Estiven Giron — OGILVIE

Estiven GironC DSL Padres Gold

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .280 / .283

PA6

HR0

K%29

BB%9

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	71	60	15	4	1	1	7	13	2	0	0	250	348	400	748	150	292	18	10	329	109	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	80	57	9	2	0	0	20	19	2	0	0	158	392	193	585	35	231	24	25	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	143	114	27	5	0	2	23	30	4	0	0	237	383	333	716	96	298	21	16	333	112	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	71	63	12	3	1	1	4	19	2	0	0	190	261	317	578	127	218	27	6	234	45	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	80	64	8	2	0	0	13	27	2	0	0	125	291	156	447	31	182	34	16	213	30	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	143	123	20	3	0	2	14	45	4	0	0	163	270	236	505	73	220	31	10	226	39	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	71	63	12	3	1	1	4	19	2	0	0	190	261	317	578	127	244	27	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	71	60	15	4	1	1	7	13	2	0	0	250	348	400	748	150	292	18	10	329	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	80	64	8	2	0	0	13	27	2	0	0	125	291	156	447	31	211	34	16	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	80	57	9	2	0	0	20	19	2	0	0	158	392	193	585	35	231	24	25	304	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	143	123	20	3	0	2	14	45	4	0	0	163	270	236	505	73	231	31	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	143	114	27	5	0	2	23	30	4	0	0	237	383	333	716	96	298	21	16	333	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	71	65	12	3	1	1	4	19	2	0	0	185	261	308	569	123	218	27	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	80	65	8	2	0	0	13	27	2	0	0	123	291	154	445	31	182	34	16	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	143	124	20	3	0	2	14	45	4	0	0	161	270	234	503	73	220	31	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	80	65	8	2	0	0	13	27	2	0	0	123	291	154	445	31	182	34	16	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	143	124	20	3	0	2	14	45	4	0	0	161	270	234	503	73	220	31	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	SD	0%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	200	333	200	533		287	33	17	261	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SD	34%	118	106	23	4	1	2	10	34	1	1	0	217	291	330	621	113	288	29	8	272	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	48%	253	226	48	9	1	4	22	71	3	2	1	212	291	314	605	102	290	28	9	280	75	-7	+0	+0	+5	+5	0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	SD	53%	352	314	69	12	2	7	31	97	4	3	1	220	298	338	636	118	291	28	9	285	79	-9	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	SD	55%	412	368	80	14	2	8	36	113	5	4	1	217	296	332	627	114	291	27	9	288	81	-9	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	450	402	87	15	2	9	39	123	6	4	2	216	295	331	626	114	291	27	9	289	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	468	418	93	16	3	10	41	128	6	4	2	222	301	347	648	124	291	27	9	289	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	476	425	93	16	2	10	42	131	6	4	2	219	298	336	635	118	290	28	9	288	81	-11	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	474	422	91	16	2	9	43	132	6	4	1	216	297	327	624	111	289	28	9	286	80	-11	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	SD	53%	468	417	89	15	2	9	42	131	6	4	1	213	295	324	618	110	288	28	9	284	78	-12	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	SD	56%	443	395	83	14	2	8	40	125	5	3	1	210	291	316	607	106	285	28	9	280	75	-13	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	SD	59%	415	370	77	13	2	7	37	119	5	2	1	208	289	311	600	103	282	29	9	274	72	-14	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	SD	34%	41	36	8	1	0	1	4	12	1	0	0	222	317	333	650	111	285	29	10	262	70	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	48%	123	109	24	4	1	2	11	34	2	1	0	220	303	330	634	110	287	28	9	269	75	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	SD	53%	186	166	36	6	1	4	16	51	2	2	1	217	293	337	631	120	288	27	9	275	79	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	SD	55%	225	200	45	8	1	5	20	62	3	2	1	225	305	350	655	125	288	28	9	278	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	250	223	48	8	1	5	22	68	3	2	1	215	294	327	622	112	288	27	9	279	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	257	229	50	9	1	5	23	70	3	2	1	218	298	332	630	114	288	27	9	279	82	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	260	232	50	9	1	5	23	72	3	2	1	216	295	328	622	112	287	28	9	278	81	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	253	225	48	8	1	5	23	70	3	2	1	213	295	324	619	111	286	28	9	276	80	-6	+0	-1	+5	+5	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	SD	53%	246	219	47	8	1	5	22	69	3	2	1	215	295	329	624	114	285	28	9	274	78	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	SD	56%	250	223	47	8	1	5	22	71	3	2	1	211	290	323	613	112	282	28	9	270	75	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	SD	59%	246	219	44	7	1	4	22	71	3	1	0	201	283	297	580	96	279	29	9	264	72	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2337	2081	447	76	10	46	208	650	29	18	8	215	295	327	622	112	287	28	9	274	76	-59	+0	-6	+42	+51	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	125	21	3	13	58	181	8	5	2	216	297	330	626	114	289	28	9	274	76	-17	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4629	4118	874	152	22	86	415	1297	61	35	13	212	294	322	616	110	286	28	9	280	76	-111	+2	-10	+77	+94	5.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	122	21	3	12	58	182	9	5	2	211	293	320	613	109	284	28	9	280	76	-17	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.6	2,408	46	20	217	293	330	+43	+28	4.6	4.2
/162	664	13	6	+11.9	+7.7	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Estiven Giron (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	202/280/283	82	287	1	1	29%	9%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.7	212/274/363	151	314	18	7	36%	7%	79	-0.2	218/289/380	162	269	18	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	54	-2.0	201/288/312	111	366	10	4	43%	10%	72	-0.7	185/281/295	109	345	11	2	44%	11%	63	-0.7
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	38→48	40→50	50	43	185/251/280	94	271	8	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	211/270/297	86	293	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	223/303/368	144	295	14	13	28%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	43→44	39→55	49→50	43	209/262/300	92	280	6	8	27%	6%	59	-1.7	212/262/331	119	273	12	10	26%	6%	66	-1.1	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Pratt Maynard 2012 · A	22	43	39→45	48→45	42	206/272/292	86	305	7	5	33%	7%	61	-1.5	216/277/306	90	276	7	5	23%	8%	65	-1.2	218/281/314	96	272	7	4	21%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Joe Rizzo 2019 · A	21	43→48	38→50	47→40	41	205/258/277	72	292	6	5	31%	6%	52	-2.2	223/269/328	105	291	11	4	26%	5%	68	-1.0	232/279/362	130	287	16	2	25%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	94	272	5	6	36%	8%	48	-2.5	200/267/315	115	279	11	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Charles Mack 2021 · A	21	44	37→45	49→40	42	207/267/284	77	296	4	7	30%	7%	57	-1.8	181/260/284	103	307	10	4	40%	9%	55	-1.9	151/238/254	103	250	11	1	41%	10%	39	-1.3
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Ben Rortvedt 2019 · A	21	44	39→45	49→40	42	212/262/296	84	275	6	3	25%	6%	58	-1.7	212/271/317	105	283	10	3	27%	6%	67	-1.1	199/285/301	102	280	11	2	31%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Imanol Vargas 2019 · A	21	42→43	40→50	45	51	200/293/295	95	288	7	9	30%	11%	71	-0.8	206/284/345	139	314	15	7	36%	9%	78	-0.3	204/288/352	148	322	17	2	39%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A	22	42	38→55	47→45	43	200/270/287	86	279	5	10	28%	7%	59	-1.6	215/282/373	158	275	20	5	29%	7%	84	+0.2	208/273/389	181	258	25	2	30%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps