Raynerd Ortega — OGILVIE

Raynerd OrtegaSS ACL Dodgers

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 154 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 204 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .248 / .288

PA18

HR0

K%32

BB%6

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	133	31	4	0	1	23	40	2	3	2	233	354	286	640	53	326	25	15	305	93	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	194	160	36	6	0	2	24	30	7	6	4	225	351	300	651	75	260	15	12	305	92	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	117	91	18	6	1	1	16	26	8	7	0	198	362	319	681	121	262	22	14	320	103	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	95	87	17	1	1	4	6	36	2	0	0	195	263	368	631	172	277	38	6	282	77	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	123	108	30	10	1	4	7	36	6	3	1	278	355	500	855	222	371	29	6	371	137	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	143	23	2	0	1	13	59	2	3	2	161	241	196	436	35	266	37	8	203	24	-14	-0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	194	169	27	4	0	1	15	43	7	6	4	160	257	201	458	41	198	22	8	215	32	-16	-0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	117	99	14	4	1	1	9	38	8	7	0	141	267	232	500	91	191	32	8	215	32	-10	+1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	95	89	11	1	0	3	4	49	2	0	0	124	179	236	415	112	228	52	4	186	12	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	123	111	18	5	1	2	4	52	6	3	1	162	231	279	511	117	259	42	3	224	38	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	143	23	2	0	1	13	59	2	3	2	161	241	196	436	35	265	37	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	133	31	4	0	1	23	40	2	3	2	233	354	286	640	53	326	25	15	305	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	194	169	27	4	0	1	15	43	7	6	4	160	257	201	458	41	203	22	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	194	160	36	6	0	2	24	30	7	6	4	225	351	300	651	75	260	15	12	305	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	117	99	14	4	1	1	9	38	8	7	0	141	267	232	500	91	213	32	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	117	91	18	6	1	1	16	26	8	7	0	198	362	319	681	121	262	22	14	320	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	218	199	30	6	1	5	9	101	8	3	1	151	218	266	484	116	263	46	4	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	218	195	47	11	2	8	13	72	8	3	1	241	315	441	756	200	333	33	6	332	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	142	23	2	0	1	13	59	2	3	2	162	241	197	438	35	266	37	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	194	170	27	4	0	1	15	43	7	6	4	159	257	200	457	41	198	22	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	117	99	14	4	1	1	9	38	8	7	0	141	267	232	500	91	191	32	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	218	199	30	6	1	5	9	101	8	3	1	151	218	266	484	116	245	46	4	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	194	170	27	4	0	1	15	43	7	6	4	159	257	200	457	41	198	22	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	117	99	14	4	1	1	9	38	8	7	0	141	267	232	500	91	191	32	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	218	199	30	6	1	5	9	101	8	3	1	151	218	266	484	116	245	46	4	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	18	17	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	263	33	6	246	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	278	253	49	9	1	6	18	85	5	5	1	194	261	308	569	115	267	31	6	258	61	-13	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	372	339	68	13	2	8	24	111	6	7	2	201	266	322	587	121	270	30	6	266	67	-15	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	435	396	80	15	2	10	29	127	7	9	2	202	269	326	594	124	272	29	7	272	70	-16	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	471	428	88	17	2	11	32	137	8	9	3	206	274	332	605	126	272	29	7	274	72	-16	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	491	447	93	17	3	12	33	143	8	10	3	208	275	340	615	132	272	29	7	274	72	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	498	452	93	17	3	12	35	145	8	10	3	206	275	336	611	131	272	29	7	275	72	-17	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	498	452	92	17	2	12	35	146	8	10	3	204	273	330	602	126	272	29	7	274	71	-17	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	492	446	90	17	2	11	35	145	8	9	3	202	272	323	595	121	271	29	7	272	70	-17	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	483	438	88	16	2	11	34	143	8	9	2	201	271	322	593	121	270	30	7	269	69	-18	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	96	88	16	3	0	2	6	29	2	2	0	182	250	284	534	102	263	30	6	245	61	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	180	163	33	6	1	4	12	54	3	3	1	202	270	325	595	123	265	30	7	253	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	229	208	43	8	1	6	15	67	4	4	1	207	273	341	614	135	267	29	7	258	70	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	258	234	48	9	1	6	18	75	4	5	1	205	273	329	602	124	268	29	7	261	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	273	248	50	9	1	7	19	79	4	6	1	202	269	331	600	129	268	29	7	261	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	274	249	50	9	1	7	19	80	4	6	1	201	268	329	598	129	268	29	7	261	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	272	247	50	9	1	7	19	80	4	5	1	202	270	332	602	130	267	29	7	261	71	-9	+1	-0	+3	+6	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	262	237	48	9	1	6	19	77	4	5	1	203	273	325	598	122	267	29	7	259	70	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	275	249	49	9	1	6	20	82	4	5	1	197	267	313	581	116	266	30	7	256	69	-10	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2119	1923	387	71	8	51	147	623	33	41	8	201	270	326	596	125	267	29	7	258	64	-76	+5	-2	+23	+46	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	119	22	2	16	45	191	10	13	2	202	269	327	596	125	268	29	7	258	64	-23	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4723	4278	838	155	21	101	322	1429	91	97	29	196	267	313	579	117	266	30	7	262	64	-146	+7	-4	+43	+87	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	115	21	3	14	44	197	13	13	4	195	266	312	579	117	265	30	7	262	64	-23	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,324	53	45	204	268	329	+25	+18	0.6	0.8
/162	664	15	13	+7.1	+5.1	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Raynerd Ortega (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	40→45	48→53	45	186/248/288	103	263	4	3	32%	6%	52	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	38→36	45→50	54→50	38	193/255/316	124	276	12	13	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/262/352	148	296	18	14	36%	6%	72	-0.7	194/255/352	157	279	21	15	37%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→33	45→55	52→50	39	207/251/337	130	273	12	14	29%	5%	63	-1.3	187/234/345	158	264	20	4	37%	5%	60	-1.6	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	34→43	46→45	50→55	39	183/243/312	128	244	14	13	31%	6%	55	-1.9	192/254/310	118	276	11	18	33%	7%	59	-1.7	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Osiris Johnson 2022 · A	21	34	44→40	51→50	37	180/234/289	108	263	12	7	36%	6%	47	-2.6	190/240/283	93	270	10	11	32%	6%	47	-2.5	180/229/259	79	249	9	15	31%	5%	35	-1.5
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	43→50	52→55	43	204/269/311	107	264	11	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	205/270/351	146	270	17	18	29%	7%	75	-0.5	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	40→44	45→50	49→45	38	203/253/331	128	284	12	8	32%	6%	63	-1.3	200/259/336	136	279	14	8	32%	6%	67	-1.1	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→31	42→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	184/249/284	100	318	10	2	43%	6%	51	-2.2	242/289/361	119	320	16	1	29%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40→42	45→50	49→50	41	200/269/322	122	272	12	8	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/273/348	135	267	17	5	26%	6%	75	-0.5	208/267/338	130	255	17	5	26%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Jetsy Extrano 2010 · A	21	39	42→40	49→45	39	195/252/299	104	266	9	7	30%	5%	55	-1.9	190/253/278	88	280	6	8	32%	6%	51	-2.2	172/234/234	62	260	4	9	33%	5%	31	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps