Peter Bonilla

P ACL Dodgers

Age 22 LHP 6'3" / 195 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	11	19	4.34	3.10	30.7%	14.7%	—	K 20.9% · BB 18.3% · FIP 4.63
2025	20	ROKLAD	17	22	4.50	4.69	25.2%	19.6%	—	K 17.2% · BB 24.5% · FIP 5.97
2026	21	MIX2 levels	24	29	7.98	4.91	30.5%	20.5%	—	K 21.2% · BB 25.1% · FIP 6.45
2027PROJ	22	MLBLAD	15	16	5.90	5.90	21.1%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBLAD	12	13	5.52	5.38	22.0%	16.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDillon Larsen (age 24) · Jackson Lancaster (age 24) · Brendan Nail (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 145

ERA5.90

FIP5.90

K%21.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	18	0	32	128	37	11	3	0%	1.8	19.7%	10.7%	8.9%	3.2%	1.95	4.55	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	18	0	32	128	37	11	3	0%	1.8	28.9%	8.6%	20.3%	2.3%	1.95	3.04	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	19	0	32	134	38	20	1	0%	1.7	19.3%	18.7%	0.6%	0.8%	1.41	4.27	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	19	0	32	134	38	20	1	0%	1.7	28.4%	14.9%	13.4%	0.7%	1.41	3.01	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	11	0	19	75	23	11	1	0%	1.7	20.9%	18.3%	2.5%	1.8%	4.34	4.63	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	11	0	19	75	23	11	1	0%	1.7	20.9%	18.3%	2.5%	1.8%	4.34	4.63	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	11	0	19	75	23	11	1	0%	1.7	30.7%	14.7%	16.0%	1.3%	4.34	3.10	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	17	0	22	107	27	21	2	0%	1.3	17.2%	24.5%	-7.4%	2.2%	4.50	5.97	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	17	0	22	107	27	21	2	0%	1.3	17.2%	24.5%	-7.4%	2.2%	4.50	5.97	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	17	0	22	107	27	21	2	0%	1.3	25.2%	19.6%	5.6%	1.9%	4.50	4.69	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	29	151	46	31	4	0%	1.2	21.2%	25.1%	-3.9%	3.6%	7.98	6.45	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	29	151	46	31	4	0%	1.2	21.2%	25.1%	-3.9%	3.6%	7.98	6.45	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	29	151	46	31	4	0%	1.2	30.5%	20.5%	9.9%	2.6%	7.98	4.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	LAD	15	0	16	68	14	14	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	20.0%	1.1%	3.0%	5.90	5.90	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAD	26	0	27	116	25	19	3	0%	1.1	22.0%	16.7%	5.3%	3.0%	5.52	5.38	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAD	12	0	13	55	12	9	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	16.7%	5.3%	3.0%	5.52	5.38	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	57	13	10	2	0%	1.0	22.0%	16.7%	5.3%	3.0%	5.52	5.00	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	148	30	0%	1.1	22.0%	16.7%	5.3%	3.0%	5.52	5.00	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		89	0	134	595	117	117	14	0%	1.5	19.7%	19.6%	0.1%	2.4%	3.89	5.24	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	0	200	886	174	174	21	0%	1.5	19.7%	19.6%	0.1%	2.4%	3.89	5.24	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Peter Bonilla (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.90	21.1%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.38	22.0%	5.3%	27	-0.52	—	—	—
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	89
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	87
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	85
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	85
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	85
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	85
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	84
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	83
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	83
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	83
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	80
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	80
Jordan Norberto L 2010 · 6.32 FIP	23	SU	6.32	16.0%	22.3%	3.2%	.236	3.89	21.7%	12.3%	52	-2.43	3.89	117	79
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	78
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	78
Jeff Wallace L 2000 · 5.61 FIP	24	SU	5.61	14.6%	17.8%	2.7%	.308	4.73	16.9%	0.5%	50	-0.88	2.51	137	78
Ramon Perez L 2021 · 4.98 FIP	22	SU	4.98	19.9%	17.9%	2.4%	.290	3.08	28.9%	14.2%	31	-1.90	3.08	199	77
Armando Vasquez L 2023 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	21.5%	18.0%	2.9%	.312	6.10	20.8%	2.7%	36	+0.95	4.22	131	77
Destin Dotson L 2022 · 5.84 FIP	22	SU	5.84	23.0%	19.9%	4.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.90	113	77
Reymin Guduan L 2015 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	18.8%	2.1%	.319	3.78	23.0%	10.3%	160	-1.07	3.60	268	76