Yorfran Medina — OGILVIE

Yorfran MedinaOF DSL LAD Mega

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 195 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .285 / .299

PA75

HR1

K%34

BB%9

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	83	74	8	2	0	1	4	36	5	1	2	108	205	176	380	68	189	43	5	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	83	72	13	3	0	2	6	26	5	1	2	181	289	306	595	125	250	31	7	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	106	72	14	7	1	3	15	32	16	1	0	194	437	444	881	250	275	30	14	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	106	63	17	8	1	5	24	22	16	1	0	270	553	667	1.220	397	308	21	23	505	244	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	159	127	16	3	0	3	16	77	13	2	1	126	288	220	509	94	260	48	10	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	159	115	24	5	0	5	28	53	13	2	1	209	417	383	799	174	317	33	18	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	LAD	—	75	67	12	3	0	1	6	25	2	1	0	179	267	269	535	90	288	33	8	271	66	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	LAD	34%	119	105	21	4	1	2	10	38	3	1	0	200	288	314	602	114	290	32	8	281	73	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	LAD	48%	255	224	46	9	2	5	22	80	7	3	1	205	296	330	627	125	291	31	9	288	78	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	LAD	53%	353	310	65	13	2	8	31	109	9	4	1	210	300	342	642	132	292	31	9	292	82	-7	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2030	25	MLB	LAD	55%	414	364	78	16	3	10	36	127	11	5	2	214	304	357	661	143	292	31	9	295	84	-8	+0	+0	-2	+12	0.2
2031	26	MLB	LAD	56%	451	397	85	17	3	11	39	138	12	5	2	214	304	355	659	141	292	31	9	296	85	-8	+0	+0	-3	+13	0.2
2032	27	MLB	LAD	55%	470	413	88	18	3	11	41	144	13	5	2	213	304	351	655	138	292	31	9	296	85	-8	+0	+0	-3	+13	0.3
2027	22	MLB	LAD	34%	41	36	7	1	0	1	4	13	1	0	0	194	293	306	598	111	286	32	10	256	54	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	LAD	48%	124	109	22	4	1	3	11	39	3	1	0	202	293	339	632	138	287	31	9	264	60	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	24	MLB	LAD	53%	186	163	34	7	1	4	16	57	5	2	1	209	299	337	636	129	288	31	9	269	64	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2030	25	MLB	LAD	55%	227	199	41	8	1	5	20	70	6	3	1	206	298	332	629	126	288	31	9	272	66	-9	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
2031	26	MLB	LAD	56%	251	220	47	9	2	6	22	77	7	3	1	214	305	355	660	141	288	31	9	273	67	-9	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
2032	27	MLB	LAD	55%	259	227	47	9	2	6	23	79	7	3	1	207	300	344	643	137	288	31	9	273	67	-10	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1088	954	198	38	7	25	96	335	29	12	4	208	299	341	640	133	289	31	9	270	65	-43	+1	+0	-7	+31	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	118	23	4	15	57	200	17	7	2	207	298	340	638	133	288	31	9	270	65	-26	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	2485	2153	433	92	15	55	220	806	91	28	11	201	302	334	636	133	289	32	9	288	79	-60	+1	+0	-15	+70	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	113	24	4	14	58	211	24	7	3	201	302	332	634	131	289	32	9	288	79	-16	+0	+0	-4	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	83	72	13	3	0	2	6	26	5	1	2	181	289	306	595	125	250	31	7	278	71	-3	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	106	63	17	8	1	5	24	22	16	1	0	270	553	667	1.220	397	308	21	23	505	244	+17	+0	—	—	+3	2.1
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	159	115	24	5	0	5	28	53	13	2	1	209	417	383	799	174	317	33	18	368	140	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,162	26	13	211	298	345	-7	+0	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	15	8	211	298	345	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yorfran Medina (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	191/285/299	108	288	1	1	34%	9%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Clint Frazier 2016 · A	21	43→45	43→55	47→50	40	209/270/325	116	308	11	9	34%	7%	64	-0.8	225/282/374	149	304	15	11	29%	7%	82	+0.5	234/305/413	179	297	20	6	27%	8%	98	+0.9
●Felix Reyes 2022 · A	21	41→51	43→55	49→45	38	202/267/312	111	283	10	12	31%	5%	60	-1.0	204/245/317	113	258	13	7	26%	4%	51	-1.7	244/271/414	171	282	21	9	22%	3%	86	+0.5
●Jordy Lara 2012 · A	21	34→44	45→50	44→40	41	177/247/296	119	264	13	5	36%	8%	47	-1.9	211/258/345	134	277	14	3	28%	5%	64	-0.8	235/283/381	147	297	15	1	25%	5%	81	+0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Clint Coulter 2014 · A	21	41→42	42→50	44→40	42	203/268/308	105	278	10	5	30%	7%	59	-1.1	211/283/348	137	270	14	4	26%	7%	76	+0.1	202/269/353	151	245	18	4	25%	5%	68	-0.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→40	46→55	46→50	47	187/275/320	133	269	13	9	34%	10%	66	-0.6	187/271/328	141	273	14	8	34%	9%	66	-0.6	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	40→46	45→50	49→45	37	203/253/331	128	288	12	8	33%	5%	59	-1.1	203/261/346	143	284	16	8	33%	6%	66	-0.6	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
●Rainel Rosario 2010 · A	21	40→50	40→50	43→50	38	190/255/286	96	302	6	8	37%	7%	48	-1.9	210/274/324	114	309	10	9	33%	7%	66	-0.6	245/301/390	145	278	18	6	19%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Jai Miller 2006 · A	21	37→47	43→60	45→55	39	184/249/291	107	287	12	11	38%	8%	46	-2.0	198/265/305	107	314	10	16	37%	8%	57	-1.2	205/270/390	185	335	23	11	43%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Michael A. Taylor 2012 · A	21	37→47	44→55	49→60	36	192/235/307	115	267	11	12	32%	4%	44	-2.1	195/247/308	113	303	10	22	37%	6%	50	-1.8	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Edgardo Baez 2006 · A	21	43→45	43→50	50	41	210/266/323	114	306	10	8	34%	7%	62	-0.9	218/270/333	115	310	11	7	32%	6%	66	-0.6	223/275/356	132	303	15	9	30%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Yunior Garcia 2022 · A	21	44→49	42→45	49→30	35	208/259/311	103	322	10	6	37%	5%	56	-1.3	220/267/336	116	322	11	3	34%	5%	66	-0.6	212/257/331	119	307	13	1	34%	4%	57	-0.5
●Junior Lake 2011 · A	21	43→53	40→50	47→55	36	208/254/301	94	306	8	10	34%	5%	50	-1.7	229/272/343	114	322	11	21	31%	5%	69	-0.4	231/302/372	141	287	15	19	24%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Michael Chavis 2017 · A	21	38→46	44→60	46→45	35	196/242/313	117	283	12	6	35%	5%	49	-1.8	223/274/401	178	298	23	4	33%	5%	86	+0.8	228/283/427	199	296	28	3	33%	6%	93	+0.8
✕John Shelby 2007 · A	21	41→51	43→55	47→55	38	206/250/315	109	274	11	8	29%	4%	53	-1.5	235/273/383	148	291	13	16	23%	4%	79	+0.3	236/276/392	156	286	14	22	23%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Brahiam Maldonado 2007 · A	21	41→44	43→55	51→50	40	201/261/321	120	296	10	8	34%	7%	59	-1.1	218/263/340	122	322	12	9	34%	5%	65	-0.7	216/265/341	125	322	14	10	35%	5%	63	-0.5