Alessandro DuranC DSL Giants Black
Age 21 S/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 38 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+50
AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .233 / .196
PA38
HR0
K%31
BB%8
BABIP254
ISO28
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.50.60.60.50.30.1+$19M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT37
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE61
scouting grade only
SPEED47
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Arb-1$3M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Giants Black — 175160 17200 10612 20 106169119287 12167 356 140 -35 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL Giants Black — 175154 24400 16422 20 156244182426 26209 249 205 15 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL Giants Black — 8371 17200 9182 00 239341268609 28321 2211 274 68 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL Giants Black — 8365 20300 14122 00 308439354793 46377 1417 367 139 — — — — — —
202520 ROKDSL Giants Black — 10690 14301 10372 00 156255222477 67232 359 212 20 — — — — — —
202520 ROKDSL Giants Black — 10682 17401 18262 00 207363293655 85271 2517 303 90 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 ROKDSL Giants Black — 5852 9101 6220 00 173259250509 77276 3810 218 25 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
YTD21 ROKDSL Giants Black — 5849 12101 9150 00 245362327689 82333 2616 322 105 +0 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.3
ROS21 ROK— 0% 3835 6100 3120 00 168233196429 28274 318 250 50 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
ROS21 MLB— 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 274 —— 250 50 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL21 ROK— — 5853 9101 6220 00 170259245504 75267 3810 218 25 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
TOT21 ROK— — 9687 15201 9340 00 171248228476 57266 359 231 35 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLB— 34% 174155 31512 15502 21 200279284563 84277 299 260 57 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
202823 MLB— 48% 294264 54915 25833 42 205281303584 98279 289 268 63 -12 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.1
202924 MLB— 53% 379339 721227 331064 62 212290322611 109281 289 273 67 -14 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.4
203025 MLB— 55% 430386 811328 371194 73 210286316602 106281 289 275 69 -15 +0 +0 +8 +12 0.5
203126 MLB— 56% 461413 861428 401285 83 208286310596 102281 289 276 69 -16 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.6
203227 MLB— 55% 475425 901529 421325 83 212290320610 108281 289 276 69 -17 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.6
203328 MLB— 55% 479428 901529 431345 83 210290318608 107280 289 275 68 -17 +0 -1 +9 +14 0.5
203429 MLB— 53% 475424 871428 431345 83 205286304590 99279 289 273 67 -18 +0 -1 +8 +13 0.3
203530 MLB— 53% 468419 861428 421334 73 205284305589 100278 289 270 65 -19 +0 -2 +8 +13 0.1
202722 MLB— 34% 6054 11201 5171 10 204283296580 93277 288 260 57 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202823 MLB— 48% 142128 26412 12401 21 203277297573 94279 288 268 63 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
202924 MLB— 53% 200179 37613 17562 31 207283302585 95281 288 273 67 -7 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
203025 MLB— 55% 235211 44714 20652 41 209283308591 100281 289 275 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
203126 MLB— 56% 257230 49815 22713 42 213290322612 109281 289 276 69 -9 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.3
203227 MLB— 55% 261233 49815 23733 42 210290318607 107281 289 276 69 -9 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.3
203328 MLB— 55% 262234 49815 23733 42 209288316605 107280 289 275 68 -9 +0 -0 +5 +7 0.2
203429 MLB— 53% 253226 47814 23712 42 208287305592 97279 289 273 67 -9 +0 -1 +5 +7 0.2
203530 MLB— 53% 246220 45714 22702 41 205283300583 95278 289 270 65 -10 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 19161716 35758833 16753619 3012 208286309594 101281 289 273 67 -71 +1 -2 +34 +54 1.7
/ 162G— — 650582 12220311 571826 104 210287311598 101283 289 273 67 -24 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.6
Career— — 40373609 7311191665 352114743 6023 203281298580 96275 289 265 61 -177 +3 -4 +72 +114 0.8
/ 162G— — 650581 11719310 571857 104 201281296577 95274 289 265 61 -29 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Giants Black — 175154 24400 16422 20 156244182426 26209 249 205 15 -17 +0 — — +5 -1.2
202419 ROKDSL Giants Black — 8365 20300 14122 00 308439354793 46377 1417 367 139 +4 +0 — — +2 0.6
202520 ROKDSL Giants Black — 10682 17401 18262 00 207363293655 85271 2517 303 90 -1 +0 — — +3 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,0073532209284312+36+241.71.7
/1626641111+11.9+7.90.6pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alessandro Duran (OGILVIE) 21 32→37 32→37 42→47 61 171/248/228 57266 10 35% 9% 35 -0.3 ————————— —————————
✕Arquímedes Gamboa
2019 · A 		21 42→44 38→40 48→50 44 202/264/277 75279 57 28% 7% 48 -1.9 182/258/257 75275 514 32% 9% 42 -2.3 198/284/2909229881533%10%58-0.7
✕Milkar Perez
2023 · A 		21 40 34→40 44→40 52 181/283/230 49284 24 33% 12% 46 -2.0 212/292/292 80316 53 31% 9% 65 -0.7 211/289/292823095231%9%61-0.6
✕Marcus Littlewood
2013 · A 		21 40 40→45 48→45 41 198/248/289 92267 87 29% 6% 44 -2.1 199/266/305 106272 105 28% 8% 57 -1.2 209/274/32211327010425%8%62-0.4
✕Franklin Tineo
2016 · A 		21 36 38→45 41→50 47 177/258/254 77247 57 29% 9% 41 -2.3 190/264/281 91260 710 28% 8% 50 -1.7 184/261/2809623981325%8%47-0.7
✕Terry Serrano
2008 · A 		21 41 35→30 46→55 49 191/267/245 53257 213 25% 9% 42 -2.3 202/275/269 67295 316 29% 9% 51 -1.7 195/275/2626729822232%10%46-0.8
✕Alejandro Flores
2016 · A 		20 37 39→50 45→40 43 182/248/265 83263 75 32% 8% 39 -2.5 203/261/310 107295 96 32% 7% 56 -1.3 202/257/34214027113430%6%59-0.5
✕Jose Herrera
2018 · A 		21 42 39→40 44→40 45 203/251/289 86249 63 21% 6% 46 -2.0 203/267/293 90267 74 25% 8% 54 -1.4 206/288/299932749326%10%63-0.4
✕Deivi Estrada
2022 · A 		21 45 36→30 46→50 45 208/280/278 70305 48 31% 8% 56 -1.3 185/243/254 69328 38 41% 6% 33 -2.9 146/188/204583143452%4%-7-1.2
✕Willy Diaz
2015 · A 		21 36 36→40 45→40 46 170/263/235 65253 45 32% 9% 40 -2.4 187/263/267 80309 54 37% 8% 46 -2.0 184/258/270863085239%8%42-0.8
✕Adrian Nieto
2011 · A 		21 40→45 36→45 45→40 45 192/260/254 62266 44 28% 8% 41 -2.3 205/267/305 100294 94 31% 7% 57 -1.2 213/279/32511229711330%8%66-0.3
✕Alan Schoenberger
2010 · A 		21 39 37→45 49→45 41 186/247/260 75289 38 35% 7% 37 -2.7 200/248/293 93296 76 33% 6% 46 -2.0 188/236/280922757533%5%34-1.4
✕Jan Vázquez
2012 · A 		21 41 36→40 45 39 191/252/258 67290 35 33% 6% 39 -2.5 200/254/278 78287 87 31% 5% 45 -2.1 211/289/296862827726%7%61-0.3
✕Mack Chambers
2022 · A 		22 41 37→40 45→50 44 197/255/273 76263 47 26% 7% 43 -2.2 211/273/309 98276 811 25% 7% 61 -1.0 203/270/2979326081324%8%54-0.7
✕Deivi Mejia
2011 · A 		21 40 39→40 43→30 44 193/264/278 85266 75 29% 8% 50 -1.8 212/259/304 92276 74 25% 4% 53 -1.5 224/268/311872676118%3%59-0.4
✕Sergio Burruel
2012 · A 		21 42 35→30 42→30 47 198/274/259 61274 34 27% 8% 50 -1.8 213/266/275 62297 36 27% 6% 48 -1.9 241/305/316752938120%8%73-0.1
✕Kelvin Alarcon
2019 · A 		20 43 35→30 48→55 51 200/292/258 58284 38 28% 11% 57 -1.2 209/271/272 63327 38 34% 7% 50 -1.7 201/262/235343190834%7%34-0.6
✕Franklin Navarro
2016 · A 		21 39 36→40 45→40 38 188/224/253 65249 45 26% 4% 24 -3.5 207/243/293 86289 74 29% 5% 43 -2.2 198/234/255573104036%4%27-0.7
✕Geovanny Planchart
2023 · A 		21 41 36→40 50→40 46 190/271/255 65295 35 34% 10% 46 -2.0 197/283/279 82287 54 30% 10% 58 -1.2 185/278/265802636229%11%51-0.7
✕Adrian Abreu
2012 · A 		21 39 38→40 47→55 47 190/263/273 82247 59 24% 8% 47 -1.9 212/292/300 88256 817 19% 9% 67 -0.5 209/299/2908024192516%10%66-0.2
✕Rey Bruguera
2013 · A 		21 43 37→40 48→50 48 200/278/274 74281 414 28% 9% 54 -1.4 195/256/265 70290 56 32% 7% 42 -2.3 169/230/220522594134%7%16-1.2