Alessandro Duran

Alessandro DuranC DSL Giants Black

Age 21 S/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION116 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+65

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP279

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	175	154	24	4	0	0	16	42	2	2	0	156	244	182	426	26	209	24	9	205	25	-16	+0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	83	65	20	3	0	0	14	12	2	0	0	308	439	354	793	46	377	14	17	367	135	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	20	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	106	82	17	4	0	1	18	26	2	0	0	207	363	293	655	85	271	25	17	303	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	175	160	18	3	0	0	10	61	2	2	0	113	174	131	306	19	165	35	6	141	-18	-25	+0	—	—	+4	-2.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	83	71	17	2	0	0	9	18	2	0	0	239	341	268	609	28	303	22	11	273	71	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	106	90	14	3	0	1	10	37	2	0	0	156	255	222	477	67	213	35	9	217	33	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	175	160	18	3	0	0	10	61	2	2	0	113	174	131	306	19	176	35	6	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	175	154	24	4	0	0	16	42	2	2	0	156	244	182	426	26	209	24	9	205	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	83	71	17	2	0	0	9	18	2	0	0	239	341	268	609	28	321	22	11	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	83	65	20	3	0	0	14	12	2	0	0	308	439	354	793	46	377	14	17	367	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	106	90	14	3	0	1	10	37	2	0	0	156	255	222	477	67	232	35	9	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	106	82	17	4	0	1	18	26	2	0	0	207	363	293	655	85	271	25	17	303	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	175	161	18	3	0	0	10	61	2	2	0	112	174	130	305	19	165	35	6	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	83	72	17	2	0	0	9	18	2	0	0	236	341	264	605	28	303	22	11	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	106	93	14	3	0	1	10	37	2	0	0	151	255	215	470	65	213	35	9	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	83	72	17	2	0	0	9	18	2	0	0	236	341	264	605	28	303	22	11	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	106	93	14	3	0	1	10	37	2	0	0	151	255	215	470	65	213	35	9	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	116	102	21	3	1	2	11	35	2	1	1	206	296	314	609	108	288	30	9	266	66	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	116	95	28	5	1	2	18	24	2	1	1	295	417	432	849	137	371	21	16	382	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	ROK MLE	—	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		279	27	9	265	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	ROK MLE	—	—	127	112	22	3	1	2	12	38	2	1	1	196	286	295	580	98	274	30	9	266	66	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	—	34%	185	165	35	6	1	3	16	51	2	3	1	212	290	315	605	103	282	28	9	273	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	—	48%	302	269	58	10	2	5	27	81	3	5	2	216	294	323	618	108	284	27	9	280	76	-9	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	—	53%	385	344	74	13	2	7	34	102	4	6	3	215	293	326	619	110	285	26	9	284	79	-10	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	—	55%	434	388	84	15	2	8	38	114	5	7	3	216	295	327	622	111	285	26	9	286	80	-10	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	463	414	91	16	3	9	41	122	5	8	3	220	298	338	636	118	285	26	9	287	80	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	476	425	93	16	3	9	43	126	5	8	3	219	298	334	632	115	285	26	9	287	80	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	480	428	93	16	3	9	44	127	5	8	3	217	298	332	629	114	284	26	9	286	80	-12	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	476	424	91	16	2	9	44	127	5	8	3	215	296	325	621	111	283	27	9	284	78	-12	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2035	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	469	418	88	15	2	8	43	127	5	8	3	211	292	313	605	103	282	27	9	281	76	-13	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.4
2036	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	443	394	83	14	2	8	41	121	5	7	3	211	293	317	610	107	280	27	9	277	74	-14	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	—	52%	414	369	77	13	2	7	38	115	4	6	2	209	290	312	601	103	276	28	9	272	70	-15	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	—	34%	64	57	12	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	211	297	298	595	88	282	28	9	273	71	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	—	48%	146	130	28	5	1	2	13	39	2	2	1	215	297	315	612	100	284	27	9	280	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	—	53%	203	181	40	7	1	4	18	54	2	3	1	221	299	337	636	116	285	27	9	284	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	—	55%	238	212	46	8	1	5	21	63	3	4	2	217	297	335	632	118	285	26	9	286	80	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	258	230	50	9	1	5	23	68	3	4	2	217	297	330	627	113	285	26	9	287	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	262	233	51	9	1	5	24	69	3	5	2	219	300	330	630	112	285	26	9	287	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	262	233	50	9	1	5	24	70	3	4	2	215	296	326	622	112	284	27	9	286	80	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	254	226	48	8	1	5	23	68	3	4	2	212	294	323	617	111	283	27	9	284	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	246	218	46	8	1	4	23	66	3	4	2	211	295	312	607	101	282	27	9	281	76	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	231	205	43	7	1	4	21	63	3	4	1	210	293	312	605	102	280	27	9	277	74	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	—	52%	215	191	39	7	1	3	20	60	2	3	1	204	286	298	585	94	276	28	9	272	70	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2379	2116	453	79	10	43	216	638	28	38	16	214	295	322	617	108	284	27	9	282	73	-64	+1	-6	+42	+52	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	125	22	3	12	59	174	8	10	4	216	298	327	625	111	286	27	9	282	73	-18	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4902	4369	917	158	24	83	439	1332	54	76	29	210	290	314	604	104	280	27	9	276	73	-124	+3	-10	+81	+98	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	121	21	3	11	58	177	7	10	4	209	289	313	601	104	278	27	9	276	73	-18	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.7	2,475	44	40	216	293	326	+44	+28	4.4	4.1
/162	664	12	11	+11.9	+7.5	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alessandro Duran (OGILVIE)	21	36→41	33→38	43→48	61	202/281/291	89	279	1	1	28%	9%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A	21	41→45	37→40	48→50	44	198/260/271	72	274	5	7	28%	7%	51	-2.2	184/259/260	76	272	5	14	31%	9%	49	-2.4	199/285/288	89	292	7	15	31%	10%	63	-0.8
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	41→48	36→45	46→55	43	195/257/255	61	273	4	12	29%	7%	47	-2.6	200/267/276	76	287	5	12	30%	8%	55	-1.9	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Marcus Littlewood 2013 · A	21	40	40→45	48→45	41	198/249/288	90	271	8	7	29%	6%	51	-2.2	198/267/305	107	269	9	5	28%	8%	62	-1.4	204/271/311	107	262	9	4	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→45	50→30	46	213/275/298	85	283	5	8	26%	8%	63	-1.3	216/286/336	120	301	12	3	30%	9%	77	-0.3	233/317/359	126	296	11	0	23%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	44	36→40	48→45	47	207/285/272	64	289	4	5	28%	8%	62	-1.4	235/300/323	88	304	6	8	23%	6%	79	-0.2	277/346/357	80	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Oliver Dominguez 2010 · A	21	41	40	53→45	45	201/262/294	93	269	7	12	27%	7%	57	-1.8	201/272/295	94	275	7	13	27%	9%	62	-1.4	190/268/285	94	265	7	12	29%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Josue Huma 2021 · A	21	44	38→40	50	47	207/276/285	78	276	5	9	25%	8%	61	-1.5	207/267/287	80	282	6	9	27%	7%	58	-1.7	206/264/282	77	273	6	9	26%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	53	-2.1	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	71	-0.8	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Max Moroff 2014 · A	21	42→52	40→45	43→50	47	204/271/293	89	271	8	8	27%	8%	61	-1.5	218/282/307	89	311	5	12	29%	8%	68	-1.0	228/307/343	115	304	11	10	27%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A	20	43→49	39→45	48→50	50	203/280/297	94	266	5	9	24%	9%	65	-1.2	218/304/287	69	285	3	10	22%	11%	72	-0.7	244/312/343	100	289	8	16	17%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Andrick Nava 2023 · A	21	43	42→40	50→30	44	212/265/313	101	275	9	6	26%	7%	63	-1.4	204/271/290	86	268	7	4	25%	8%	60	-1.6	190/264/259	69	249	5	1	24%	9%	49	-0.8
✕Elih Marrero 2019 · A	22	46	36→40	49→55	47	214/278/280	67	279	3	5	23%	8%	60	-1.6	213/272/293	80	285	5	9	25%	7%	61	-1.5	210/267/320	110	294	8	22	29%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→43	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	230/261/332	102	302	9	2	26%	4%	65	-1.2	238/272/346	108	283	9	0	19%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→47	41→50	50	44	203/259/304	102	267	7	10	26%	7%	59	-1.7	221/283/344	123	281	11	10	24%	7%	77	-0.3	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Rey Bruguera 2013 · A	21	43	37→40	48→50	48	200/278/274	74	281	4	14	28%	9%	59	-1.6	197/257/267	70	291	4	6	31%	7%	49	-2.4	174/233/224	50	264	4	1	33%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Griff Erickson 2009 · A	21	42→50	38→45	42→40	44	202/268/282	80	277	6	4	28%	7%	57	-1.8	216/277/322	106	271	8	3	22%	8%	70	-0.9	215/291/341	126	265	13	2	23%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→43	39→45	46→40	43	214/262/293	80	273	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	225/298/328	103	300	8	4	26%	8%	80	-0.2	218/296/319	101	289	9	2	26%	8%	74	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps