Rey Bruguera
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 21 | A+/A/ROK2 orgs | 139 | .260/.319/.370 | 2 | 1 | 48 | — | .222/.268/.323 |
| 2014 | 22 | A+/ASD | 160 | .219/.274/.267 | 1 | 0 | 18 | — | .176/.223/.216 |
| 2015 | 23 | AA/A+/ASD | 240 | .191/.301/.240 | 1 | 0 | 20 | — | .155/.237/.197 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 104 | 87 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 207 | 330 | 264 | 594 | 57 | 269 | 20 | 15 | 282 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 112 | 89 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 213 | 375 | 270 | 645 | 56 | 269 | 19 | 18 | 315 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 261 | 217 | 59 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 51 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 272 | 390 | 392 | 782 | 120 | 348 | 20 | 15 | 355 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 167 | 250 | 30 | 5 | 262 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 93 | 86 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 326 | 370 | 419 | 788 | 93 | 397 | 18 | 6 | 350 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 26 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 192 | 217 | 410 | 130 | 67 | 27 | 12 | 195 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 63 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 169 | 210 | 237 | 447 | 68 | 214 | 25 | 3 | 202 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 97 | 87 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 316 | 287 | 603 | 34 | 333 | 24 | 8 | 275 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 97 | 84 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 316 | 321 | 637 | 95 | 290 | 22 | 11 | 288 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 64 | 56 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 238 | 161 | 399 | 18 | 205 | 27 | 11 | 195 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 79 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 188 | 333 | 203 | 536 | 16 | 300 | 30 | 16 | 266 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 104 | 92 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 141 | 233 | 185 | 418 | 43 | 183 | 25 | 11 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 112 | 95 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 126 | 259 | 137 | 396 | 11 | 182 | 23 | 12 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 261 | 230 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 62 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 170 | 263 | 235 | 497 | 65 | 228 | 24 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 167 | 207 | 40 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 93 | 88 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 273 | 304 | 352 | 657 | 80 | 359 | 25 | 4 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 154 | 208 | 362 | 125 | 52 | 38 | 8 | 124 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 63 | 59 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 153 | 194 | 220 | 414 | 68 | 207 | 33 | 3 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 97 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 242 | 213 | 456 | 22 | 286 | 34 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 97 | 87 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 195 | 263 | 276 | 539 | 80 | 273 | 28 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 64 | 58 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 175 | 121 | 295 | 17 | 163 | 38 | 8 | 140 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 79 | 68 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 147 | 256 | 162 | 418 | 15 | 258 | 42 | 11 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 104 | 92 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 141 | 233 | 185 | 418 | 43 | 194 | 25 | 11 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 104 | 87 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 207 | 330 | 264 | 594 | 57 | 269 | 20 | 15 | 282 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 112 | 95 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 126 | 259 | 137 | 396 | 11 | 174 | 23 | 12 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 112 | 89 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 213 | 375 | 270 | 645 | 56 | 269 | 19 | 18 | 315 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 261 | 230 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 62 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 170 | 263 | 235 | 497 | 65 | 228 | 24 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 261 | 217 | 59 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 51 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 272 | 390 | 392 | 782 | 120 | 348 | 20 | 15 | 355 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 139 | 130 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 223 | 268 | 323 | 591 | 100 | 310 | 29 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 139 | 127 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 260 | 319 | 370 | 689 | 110 | 326 | 22 | 7 | 308 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 160 | 149 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 174 | 217 | 215 | 431 | 40 | 260 | 34 | 4 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 160 | 146 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 274 | 267 | 541 | 48 | 287 | 24 | 6 | 246 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 240 | 213 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 155 | 237 | 197 | 434 | 42 | 250 | 35 | 9 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 240 | 204 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 191 | 301 | 240 | 541 | 49 | 270 | 26 | 13 | 256 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 104 | 92 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 141 | 233 | 185 | 418 | 43 | 183 | 25 | 11 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 112 | 94 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 128 | 259 | 138 | 397 | 11 | 182 | 23 | 12 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 261 | 230 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 62 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 170 | 263 | 235 | 497 | 65 | 228 | 24 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 139 | 130 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 223 | 268 | 323 | 591 | 100 | 280 | 29 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 160 | 151 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 172 | 217 | 212 | 428 | 40 | 255 | 34 | 4 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 240 | 215 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 153 | 237 | 195 | 433 | 42 | 239 | 35 | 9 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1016 | 909 | 152 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 86 | 293 | 10 | 29 | 26 | 167 | 247 | 220 | 467 | 53 | 239 | 29 | 8 | 212 | 30 | -85 | -5 | +0 | +4 | +22 | -6.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 97 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 187 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 167 | 246 | 218 | 464 | 52 | 239 | 29 | 8 | 212 | 30 | -54 | -3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -4.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AASan Antonio Missions · 97 PAwOBA .281 → .243 (−38)K% 21.6% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.65% | ÷0.963 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.34% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.63% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷0.989 | ×0.840 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 6.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.940 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.45% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 125, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .281 → .243; ISO .095 → .084; BABIP .290 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 79 PAwOBA .261 → .191 (−70)K% 30.4% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.38% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.46% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 11.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.50% | ÷1.041 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 23.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 2.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .191; ISO .016 → .011; BABIP .300 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 64 PAwOBA .191 → .140 (−51)K% 26.6% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.56% | ÷0.955 | ×1.340 | — | — | 37.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.94% | ÷0.917 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.080 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 14.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.949 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 2.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.805 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 61, 1B 116, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 91, BB 83 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .191 → .140; ISO .018 → .013; BABIP .205 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 97 PAwOBA .273 → .210 (−64)K% 23.7% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.71% | ÷0.958 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.25% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.69% | ÷1.032 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 26.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 106, 2B 116, 3B 105, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .273 → .210; ISO .034 → .024; BABIP .333 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 63 PAwOBA .197 → .172 (−25)K% 25.4% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.40% | ÷1.013 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.17% | ÷0.955 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 2.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.60% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 18.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 2.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.875 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 2.44% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 96, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 103, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .197 → .172; ISO .068 → .063; BABIP .214 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 93 PAwOBA .341 → .284 (−57)K% 18.3% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.28% | ÷0.986 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.45% | ÷0.951 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | — | 30.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.204 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | — | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.956 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | — | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.907 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.28% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 105, 2B 141, 3B 91, K 97, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .341 → .284; ISO .093 → .074; BABIP .397 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Padres · 26 PAwOBA .191 → .124 (−67)K% 26.9% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 5.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 4.75% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .191 → .124; ISO .130 → .087; BABIP .067 → .052. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 20 PAwOBA .255 → .186 (−69)K% 30.0% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.023 | ×1.340 | — | — | 39.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 4.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.987 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 7.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.973 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.012 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.098 | ×0.760 | — | ×1.012 | 5.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 120, K 105, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .255 → .186; ISO .167 → .110; BABIP .250 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).