Francisco Toledo

C St. Lucie Mets

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 160 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ROKNYM	80	.221/.338/.265	0	0	21	—	.153/.238/.181
2026	21	ANYM	118	.189/.271/.311	3	3	26	—	.147/.212/.229
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBNYM	228	.207/.271/.301	3	3	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBNYM	69	.206/.270/.306	1	1	67	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBNYM	142	.209/.274/.317	3	2	71	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed51

Max EV48

Z-Con%48

K%44

Whiff%34

BB%17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsBlake Hunt (age 22) · Francisco Acuna (age 22) · Aaron McKeithan (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 117 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .269 / .298

PA117

HR2

K%29

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mets 2	—	46	41	12	1	1	1	4	7	1	4	1	293	370	439	809	146	333	15	9	362	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	104	89	20	1	0	0	14	22	1	1	0	225	337	236	572	11	299	21	13	279	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Mets	—	80	68	15	3	0	0	12	13	0	0	1	221	338	265	602	44	273	16	15	289	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	118	106	20	4	0	3	10	29	2	3	2	189	271	311	583	123	230	25	8	268	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	—	46	42	8	1	1	0	3	9	1	4	1	190	261	262	523	71	223	20	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	104	95	17	1	0	0	8	33	1	1	0	179	250	189	439	11	263	32	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	80	72	11	2	0	0	8	19	0	0	1	153	237	181	418	28	211	24	10	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	118	109	16	3	0	2	7	39	2	3	2	147	212	229	441	83	215	33	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	—	46	42	8	1	1	0	3	9	1	4	1	190	261	262	523	71	242	20	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	—	46	41	12	1	1	1	4	7	1	4	1	293	370	439	809	146	333	15	9	362	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	104	95	17	1	0	0	8	33	1	1	0	179	250	189	439	11	274	32	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	104	89	20	1	0	0	14	22	1	1	0	225	337	236	572	11	299	21	13	279	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	80	72	11	2	0	0	8	19	0	0	1	153	237	181	418	28	208	24	10	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	80	68	15	3	0	0	12	13	0	0	1	221	338	265	602	44	273	16	15	289	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	118	109	16	3	0	2	7	39	2	3	2	147	212	229	441	83	206	33	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	118	106	20	4	0	3	10	29	2	3	2	189	271	311	583	123	230	25	8	268	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	—	46	42	8	1	1	0	3	9	1	4	1	190	261	262	523	71	223	20	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	104	94	17	1	0	0	8	33	1	1	0	181	250	191	441	11	263	32	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	80	72	11	2	0	0	8	19	0	0	1	153	237	181	418	28	211	24	10	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	118	108	16	3	0	2	7	39	2	3	2	148	212	231	443	83	215	33	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	104	94	17	1	0	0	8	33	1	1	0	181	250	191	441	11	263	32	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	80	72	11	2	0	0	8	19	0	0	1	153	237	181	418	28	211	24	10	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	118	108	16	3	0	2	7	39	2	3	2	148	212	231	443	83	215	33	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	228	208	42	7	1	3	16	67	2	3	1	207	271	301	571	93	285	29	7	259	62	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	200	182	39	7	1	3	14	57	2	3	1	212	276	314	590	103	287	28	7	267	67	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	46%	308	280	61	10	2	6	22	87	3	4	1	216	280	326	606	110	288	28	7	273	71	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	372	339	75	13	2	8	27	104	3	5	2	218	283	335	618	116	288	28	7	278	74	-11	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	414	376	82	14	2	9	31	115	4	5	2	220	285	341	627	121	288	28	7	282	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	433	394	86	15	2	9	32	119	4	5	2	220	286	342	628	122	288	27	7	282	77	-12	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	441	401	87	15	2	9	33	123	4	4	2	218	284	337	621	119	287	28	7	280	75	-13	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	439	399	86	15	2	9	33	123	4	2	1	216	281	331	612	115	285	28	8	276	73	-14	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	434	395	83	14	2	8	32	123	4	1	1	213	278	323	600	110	283	28	7	271	70	-16	-0	-2	+8	+9	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	69	63	12	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	206	270	306	576	100	278	29	7	261	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	46%	142	130	27	4	1	3	10	40	1	2	1	209	274	317	591	108	279	28	7	267	71	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	192	174	37	6	1	4	14	54	2	3	1	212	277	326	603	114	279	28	7	272	74	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	224	203	43	7	1	5	17	62	2	3	1	214	280	332	612	118	279	28	8	276	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	235	213	46	8	1	5	18	65	2	3	1	214	280	333	613	119	279	28	8	276	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	239	217	46	8	1	5	18	66	2	2	1	212	278	328	607	116	278	28	8	274	75	-7	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	233	212	44	7	1	5	17	65	2	1	1	210	276	322	597	112	276	28	7	270	73	-8	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	247	225	47	8	1	5	18	70	2	1	1	207	272	314	586	108	274	28	7	265	70	-9	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1581	1437	302	50	7	33	117	442	14	16	7	210	276	324	600	113	278	28	7	271	68	-49	+0	-2	+28	+34	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	125	21	3	14	48	182	6	7	3	212	278	328	606	117	279	28	7	271	68	-20	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3506	3191	674	114	17	65	258	985	33	39	17	211	277	319	596	107	282	28	7	269	68	-101	+1	-4	+56	+68	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	125	21	3	12	48	183	6	7	3	211	277	318	595	106	282	28	7	269	68	-21	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.6	1,698	34	17	217	279	332	+30	+20	2.3	2.3
/162	664	13	7	+11.9	+7.8	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Toledo (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	206/269/298	92	285	2	2	29%	7%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	200/254/277	77	265	5	3	25%	5%	51	-2.3	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	194/232/294	100	263	8	10	29%	4%	46	-2.6	197/236/287	90	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	40	203/258/299	95	286	8	8	31%	6%	57	-1.8	200/263/285	85	289	7	9	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/254/258	73	266	7	8	31%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Shane Zeile 2015 · A	22	41	41→50	46→40	39	204/253/303	99	280	9	5	30%	5%	56	-1.9	197/247/289	92	271	6	4	28%	5%	51	-2.3	186/234/289	104	249	6	2	27%	5%	45	-0.9
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	43→44	40→55	49→40	39	212/253/306	95	286	8	6	28%	5%	56	-1.9	206/261/339	133	322	14	3	39%	5%	68	-1.0	199/267/383	183	305	23	1	40%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	41	43→50	46→45	38	204/251/318	114	286	10	7	32%	5%	59	-1.6	198/261/298	100	298	9	10	34%	8%	58	-1.7	169/237/256	87	252	9	10	35%	8%	38	-0.8
✕Pablo Aliendo 2023 · A	22	44	41→50	44→45	39	212/274/305	93	304	9	5	32%	6%	65	-1.2	204/270/346	142	306	16	5	37%	6%	74	-0.5	183/251/335	152	281	19	3	40%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Luca Tresh 2022 · A	22	44→42	41→50	49→40	39	209/261/310	101	312	8	7	35%	6%	61	-1.5	211/273/348	137	275	17	4	28%	8%	75	-0.5	201/265/338	137	254	18	2	28%	7%	67	-0.7
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	204/277/310	106	298	11	13	33%	8%	68	-1.0	202/279/357	155	294	19	17	36%	8%	80	-0.2	186/267/343	157	262	20	18	36%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jack Payton 2024 · A	22	45	40→45	51→45	38	216/272/307	91	306	8	9	31%	5%	65	-1.2	213/291/319	106	300	9	6	30%	8%	75	-0.5	211/289/318	107	294	9	6	29%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Adam Abraham 2009 · A	22	38→45	44→45	49→40	43	196/257/308	112	257	12	5	28%	7%	60	-1.6	216/271/329	113	275	10	4	24%	6%	70	-0.9	223/283/338	116	279	11	2	23%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Luis Carpio 2019 · A	22	40→43	41→45	44→50	45	196/255/290	94	253	8	9	26%	7%	54	-2.0	217/278/314	97	285	8	7	25%	7%	68	-1.0	211/272/293	83	286	6	8	27%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Wynston Sawyer 2014 · A	22	41	42→45	47→45	46	204/266/305	102	255	9	3	24%	7%	62	-1.4	214/278/311	97	270	8	5	23%	7%	68	-1.0	223/309/335	112	282	10	2	23%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→42	44→55	45→50	44	183/264/301	119	275	11	7	36%	9%	61	-1.5	207/286/371	164	296	18	9	34%	9%	86	+0.3	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	41→45	47→45	41	184/247/274	90	275	9	6	35%	7%	48	-2.5	197/245/283	86	259	8	6	26%	6%	49	-2.4	182/223/254	73	228	7	4	23%	5%	32	-1.1

Francisco Toledo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps