Ranwell Smith — OGILVIE

Ranwell Smith P DSL Brewers 1

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 140 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%22.7%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	9	6	25	118	19	21	2	67%	2.7	10.9%	22.2%	-11.3%	2.1%	6.20	6.16	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	9	6	25	118	19	21	2	67%	2.7	16.1%	17.8%	-1.7%	1.7%	6.20	5.17	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	11	4	37	175	41	22	1	36%	3.4	15.9%	15.7%	0.2%	0.4%	4.34	3.98	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	11	4	37	175	41	22	1	36%	3.4	23.4%	12.6%	10.9%	0.6%	4.34	3.02	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	13	0	20	89	13	21	0	0%	1.5	9.9%	29.5%	-19.6%	0.0%	2.25	6.00	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	13	0	20	89	13	21	0	0%	1.5	9.9%	29.5%	-19.6%	0.0%	2.25	6.00	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	13	0	20	89	13	21	0	0%	1.5	14.6%	23.6%	-9.0%	0.0%	2.25	4.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	MIL	11	0	12	51	11	7	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	14.0%	8.6%	3.0%	4.98	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	19	0	20	84	20	10	2	0%	1.1	23.6%	12.2%	11.4%	2.9%	4.75	4.64	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	12.2%	11.4%	2.9%	4.75	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.6%	12.2%	11.4%	2.9%	4.75	4.26	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	23.6%	12.2%	11.4%	2.9%	4.75	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		33	10	82	382	50	80	3	30%	2.5	13.0%	20.9%	-7.9%	0.8%	4.39	5.12	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	24	200	932	121	195	8	30%	2.5	13.0%	20.9%	-7.9%	0.8%	4.39	5.12	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ranwell Smith (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	22.7%	14.0%	3.0%	—	4.64	23.6%	11.4%	20	-0.34	—	—	—
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	86
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	86
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	81
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	81
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	80
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	80
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	79
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	79
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	79
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	78
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	78
Joseph Hernandez R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	21	SW	4.39	24.7%	16.7%	2.3%	.348	4.92	18.1%	4.0%	190	+0.53	4.39	260	78
Alix Hernandez R 2024 · 4.44 FIP	20	SU	4.44	21.7%	13.7%	2.6%	.300	5.16	23.0%	11.4%	78	+0.72	3.55	170	77
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	77
Jose Romero R 2022 · 4.29 FIP	21	SW	4.29	22.7%	17.2%	1.7%	.200	4.34	21.6%	3.9%	100	+0.05	3.71	163	77
Homer Cruz R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	21	SW	3.93	20.5%	13.7%	1.5%	.286	6.04	13.5%	-1.6%	19	+2.11	3.75	127	77
Wander Guante R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	21	SW	4.74	21.3%	13.1%	3.3%	.354	5.30	14.7%	3.2%	255	+0.56	3.83	372	77
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	77
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	76
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	76