Leiker Figueroa
SS Augusta GreenJackets| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROKATL | 176 | .215/.335/.295 | 1 | 7 | 35 | — | .173/.267/.244 |
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROKATL | 219 | .170/.231/.215 | 0 | 13 | 3 | — | .148/.199/.187 |
| 2025 | 20 | AATL | 135 | .242/.321/.333 | 2 | 3 | 45 | — | .195/.261/.252 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBATL | 245 | .213/.274/.319 | 4 | 5 | 67 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBATL | 32 | .218/.280/.333 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBATL | 77 | .222/.284/.344 | 2 | 2 | 77 | 0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | — | 187 | 161 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 38 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 211 | 317 | 255 | 572 | 43 | 274 | 20 | 10 | 273 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 176 | 149 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 42 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 215 | 335 | 295 | 631 | 81 | 292 | 24 | 12 | 298 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 201 | 183 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 54 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 169 | 232 | 213 | 445 | 44 | 237 | 27 | 5 | 207 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 214 | 17 | 6 | 211 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 135 | 120 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 242 | 321 | 333 | 654 | 92 | 314 | 24 | 7 | 299 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 187 | 166 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 45 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 151 | 242 | 175 | 417 | 24 | 198 | 24 | 7 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 176 | 156 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 59 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 173 | 267 | 244 | 511 | 71 | 254 | 34 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 201 | 186 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 73 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 151 | 202 | 188 | 390 | 38 | 234 | 36 | 4 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 176 | 343 | 59 | 163 | 22 | 6 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 135 | 123 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 195 | 261 | 252 | 513 | 57 | 293 | 33 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 187 | 166 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 45 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 151 | 242 | 175 | 417 | 24 | 205 | 24 | 7 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Braves | — | 187 | 161 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 38 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 211 | 317 | 255 | 572 | 43 | 274 | 20 | 10 | 273 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 176 | 156 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 59 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 173 | 267 | 244 | 511 | 71 | 271 | 34 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Braves | — | 176 | 149 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 42 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 215 | 335 | 295 | 631 | 81 | 292 | 24 | 12 | 298 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 219 | 203 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 77 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 148 | 199 | 187 | 386 | 39 | 234 | 35 | 4 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 219 | 200 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 57 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 170 | 231 | 215 | 446 | 45 | 234 | 26 | 5 | 207 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 135 | 123 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 195 | 261 | 252 | 513 | 57 | 295 | 33 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 135 | 120 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 242 | 321 | 333 | 654 | 92 | 314 | 24 | 7 | 299 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 187 | 165 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 45 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 152 | 242 | 176 | 418 | 24 | 198 | 24 | 7 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 176 | 154 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 59 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 175 | 267 | 247 | 514 | 71 | 254 | 34 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 219 | 204 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 77 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 147 | 199 | 186 | 385 | 39 | 228 | 35 | 4 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 135 | 123 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 195 | 261 | 252 | 513 | 57 | 293 | 33 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 219 | 204 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 77 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 147 | 199 | 186 | 385 | 39 | 228 | 35 | 4 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 135 | 123 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 195 | 261 | 252 | 513 | 57 | 293 | 33 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | ATL | 0% | 245 | 224 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 66 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 213 | 274 | 319 | 593 | 105 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | ATL | 34% | 93 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 280 | 333 | 613 | 115 | 282 | 27 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | ATL | 46% | 167 | 152 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 284 | 344 | 628 | 123 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | ATL | 52% | 235 | 214 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 61 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 224 | 287 | 352 | 639 | 128 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | ATL | 54% | 292 | 267 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 75 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 289 | 358 | 647 | 132 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 54% | 324 | 294 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 83 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 290 | 358 | 647 | 132 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 54% | 340 | 309 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 88 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 224 | 288 | 353 | 641 | 129 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 287 | 80 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | ATL | 53% | 341 | 310 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 89 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 285 | 347 | 633 | 126 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 284 | 78 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | ATL | 52% | 336 | 306 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 89 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 219 | 282 | 340 | 622 | 121 | 281 | 26 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | ATL | 34% | 32 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 280 | 333 | 613 | 115 | 282 | 25 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | ATL | 46% | 77 | 71 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 284 | 344 | 628 | 123 | 284 | 26 | 6 | 282 | 77 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | ATL | 52% | 121 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 287 | 352 | 639 | 128 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | ATL | 54% | 158 | 144 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 289 | 358 | 647 | 132 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 54% | 176 | 160 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 290 | 358 | 647 | 132 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 54% | 184 | 167 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 288 | 353 | 641 | 129 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 287 | 80 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | ATL | 53% | 181 | 164 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 285 | 347 | 633 | 126 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 284 | 78 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | ATL | 52% | 176 | 160 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 282 | 340 | 622 | 121 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1105 | 1007 | 223 | 39 | 6 | 26 | 76 | 287 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 221 | 284 | 350 | 634 | 128 | 281 | 26 | 7 | 285 | 65 | -27 | +2 | -2 | +12 | +24 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 592 | 131 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 169 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 221 | 284 | 350 | 634 | 128 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 285 | 65 | -16 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2903 | 2639 | 551 | 92 | 19 | 52 | 196 | 795 | 45 | 81 | 28 | 209 | 275 | 317 | 592 | 108 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -55 | +3 | -4 | +23 | +47 | 1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 178 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 210 | 276 | 320 | 596 | 110 | 277 | 27 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -16 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 135 PAwOBA .291 → .234 (−58)K% 23.7% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.70% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.96% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.14% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×1.030 | 24.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.41% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.030 | 3.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.037 | ×0.910 | ×1.029 | ×1.030 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.281 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 107, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .291 → .234; ISO .092 → .064; BABIP .314 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 201 PAwOBA .204 → .175 (−29)K% 26.9% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.87% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.47% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 3.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.38% | ÷0.959 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.045 | 19.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.10% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.045 | 2.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.045 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 100, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .204 → .175; ISO .044 → .037; BABIP .237 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Braves · 18 PAwOBA .205 → .144 (−62)K% 16.7% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.037 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.965 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.047 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 11.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.022 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.266 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 107, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .205 → .144; ISO .059 → .039; BABIP .214 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Braves · 176 PAwOBA .292 → .220 (−72)K% 23.9% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.86% | ÷1.020 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.958 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.84% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.50% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×1.022 | 18.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.54% | ÷0.882 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×1.022 | 5.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.928 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×1.022 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.893 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.83% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 76, 3B 86, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .292 → .220; ISO .081 → .063; BABIP .292 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Braves · 187 PAwOBA .268 → .192 (−76)K% 20.3% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.32% | ÷1.027 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.16% | ÷0.994 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.21% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.58% | ÷0.935 | ×0.680 | ×1.010 | ×1.022 | 17.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.118 | ×0.600 | ×1.010 | ×1.022 | 1.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷1.122 | ×0.600 | ×1.010 | ×1.022 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.885 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 87, 2B 124, 3B 124, K 105, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .268 → .192; ISO .043 → .024; BABIP .274 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).