Rafael Ramirez — OGILVIE

Rafael RamirezSS FCL Astros

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .259 / .280

PA55

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	164	150	17	2	1	2	9	57	4	7	3	113	184	180	364	67	163	35	5	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	164	144	22	3	1	3	15	40	4	7	3	153	252	250	502	97	186	24	9	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	126	113	20	2	1	2	9	38	2	5	2	177	250	265	515	88	240	30	7	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	126	108	29	3	2	3	14	27	2	5	2	269	363	417	780	148	325	21	11	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	86	75	8	1	0	1	7	47	3	5	2	107	212	160	372	53	250	55	8	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	86	70	13	2	0	2	12	33	3	5	2	186	329	300	629	114	306	38	14	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	HOU	—	55	50	9	1	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	180	255	260	515	80	286	33	7	248	48	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	115	105	21	3	1	2	8	37	1	2	0	200	263	305	568	105	288	32	7	260	57	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	250	226	47	7	2	5	19	78	3	4	1	208	278	323	601	115	289	31	8	268	63	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	349	316	66	11	2	7	26	107	4	6	1	209	277	323	600	114	290	31	7	274	68	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	409	370	79	13	3	9	31	125	5	7	2	214	283	338	621	124	291	31	8	277	70	-14	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.3
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	447	405	86	14	3	10	34	136	5	7	2	212	282	336	617	123	291	30	8	278	71	-15	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.4
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	40	37	7	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	189	250	297	547	108	290	32	8	254	52	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	121	110	23	4	1	2	9	38	1	2	0	209	275	318	593	109	292	31	7	262	59	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	184	166	35	6	1	4	14	57	2	3	1	211	280	331	612	120	293	31	8	268	63	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	224	202	44	7	2	5	17	68	3	4	1	218	288	347	635	129	293	30	8	271	66	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	249	225	49	8	2	6	19	76	3	4	1	218	287	351	639	133	293	31	8	272	67	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	818	740	158	26	6	18	62	252	9	14	3	214	282	338	620	124	295	31	8	269	64	-34	+2	+0	+9	+23	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	126	21	5	14	49	200	7	11	2	214	282	338	621	124	297	31	8	269	64	-27	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	2001	1810	353	54	13	39	147	643	28	44	13	195	266	304	570	109	275	32	7	258	56	-100	+4	+0	+21	+57	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	115	18	4	13	48	209	9	14	4	196	267	306	573	111	276	32	7	258	56	-33	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	164	144	22	3	1	3	15	40	4	7	3	153	252	250	502	97	186	24	9	236	39	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.7
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	126	108	29	3	2	3	14	27	2	5	2	269	363	417	780	148	325	21	11	346	123	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	86	70	13	2	0	2	12	33	3	5	2	186	329	300	629	114	306	38	14	296	85	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	872	18	14	210	277	327	+9	+9	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	13	11	210	277	327	+7.1	+6.9	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Ramirez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	192/259/280	88	286	1	1	33%	7%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Luis De Los Santos 2019 · A	21	40→47	40→45	53→45	35	198/241/288	90	276	7	8	30%	4%	42	-2.3	203/247/309	106	292	9	7	32%	4%	50	-1.8	216/283/335	119	291	13	7	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Monte Harrison 2017 · A	21	37→44	38→50	52→60	35	176/245/255	79	302	6	14	41%	6%	36	-2.7	208/262/336	128	338	14	19	41%	5%	63	-0.8	206/263/349	143	355	18	31	44%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	37→44	40→50	50→45	37	182/242/275	93	284	6	6	36%	6%	39	-2.5	204/253/323	119	282	11	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕James Harris 2015 · A	21	40→50	41→40	48→50	38	199/248/293	95	285	10	12	33%	6%	46	-2.0	225/287/317	92	321	7	13	30%	7%	68	-0.5	235/301/325	90	331	5	15	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	202/247/299	97	291	7	12	32%	5%	46	-2.0	194/247/296	102	282	9	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	138/192/212	74	190	5	0	29%	5%	1	-1.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Bubba Starling 2014 · A	21	40→46	42→45	54→50	41	197/259/298	100	284	10	13	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/251/323	121	297	12	11	35%	5%	56	-1.3	216/254/336	119	279	14	10	27%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	40	41→50	48→40	35	192/245/289	98	307	8	5	39%	6%	43	-2.2	207/273/364	157	295	18	6	35%	7%	76	+0.1	199/268/360	160	283	18	5	35%	6%	70	-0.2