Marco Marcelino — OGILVIE

Marco MarcelinoOF DSL Astros Blue

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 190 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .279 / .283

PA4

HR0

K%31

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	63	49	9	0	0	0	11	17	0	6	0	184	333	184	517		257	27	17	251	56	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	83	59	12	0	0	2	16	26	7	3	4	203	427	305	732	102	312	31	19	356	127	+3	-1	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	89	74	15	3	1	1	13	17	2	5	0	203	337	311	648	108	250	19	15	305	93	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	63	53	8	0	0	0	7	24	0	6	0	151	250	151	401		215	38	11	186	12	-7	+1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	83	65	9	0	0	1	10	36	7	3	4	138	317	185	502	46	254	43	12	243	51	-5	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	89	79	12	2	1	1	8	25	2	5	0	152	247	241	488	89	200	28	9	212	30	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	63	53	8	0	0	0	7	24	0	6	0	151	250	151	401		250	38	11	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	—	63	49	9	0	0	0	11	17	0	6	0	184	333	184	517		257	27	17	251	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	83	65	9	0	0	1	10	36	7	3	4	138	317	185	502	46	276	43	12	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	83	59	12	0	0	2	16	26	7	3	4	203	427	305	732	102	312	31	19	356	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	89	79	12	2	1	1	8	25	2	5	0	152	247	241	488	89	208	28	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	89	74	15	3	1	1	13	17	2	5	0	203	337	311	648	108	250	19	15	305	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	63	56	8	0	0	0	7	24	0	6	0	143	250	143	393		215	38	11	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	83	66	9	0	0	1	10	36	7	3	4	136	317	182	499	45	254	43	12	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	89	79	12	2	1	1	8	25	2	5	0	152	247	241	488	89	200	28	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	83	66	9	0	0	1	10	36	7	3	4	136	317	182	499	45	254	43	12	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	89	79	12	2	1	1	8	25	2	5	0	152	247	241	488	89	200	28	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		288	25	0	261	63	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	115	103	21	3	1	2	9	34	2	2	0	204	281	311	591	107	289	30	8	271	70	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	291	30	8	258	70	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	261	30	8	258	45	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	113	16	0	16	49	195	16	16	0	193	274	303	576	109	259	30	8	258	45	-24	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	354	304	51	5	2	4	34	120	11	16	4	168	275	237	512	69	254	34	10	234	45	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	93	9	4	7	62	220	20	29	7	167	273	235	508	68	253	34	10	234	45	-24	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marco Marcelino (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	199/279/283	84	288	1	1	31%	8%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	45→23	42→50	47→45	42	215/291/320	105	306	9	7	31%	7%	76	-0.4	183/279/347	164	286	19	5	40%	9%	78	-0.3	155/265/319	163	241	20	5	41%	10%	64	-0.8
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	46→36	39→45	52→50	40	220/273/303	83	294	6	11	27%	5%	64	-1.3	194/250/257	63	268	2	10	27%	6%	45	-2.7	169/228/214	45	235	0	12	26%	6%	26	-3.1
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	51	-2.2	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	61	-1.5	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→27	42→45	51→50	36	201/283/313	112	310	9	12	35%	5%	72	-0.7	171/244/297	126	334	15	12	50%	5%	54	-2.0	135/213/254	119	281	17	13	54%	6%	30	-1.6
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	42	39→45	50	43	202/271/295	93	278	6	11	28%	7%	62	-1.4	191/264/289	98	316	7	8	38%	8%	58	-1.7	152/241/272	120	265	13	9	44%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	41	40→45	47→60	42	200/264/290	90	290	8	9	32%	7%	58	-1.7	191/247/278	87	313	7	24	39%	6%	49	-2.4	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	39→38	40→45	47→55	43	187/274/280	93	280	7	10	33%	8%	61	-1.5	185/265/295	110	249	10	19	28%	7%	61	-1.5	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	42→35	37→45	47→50	42	196/257/268	73	297	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	200/249/293	93	324	8	10	38%	6%	52	-2.2	191/275/315	124	286	14	8	36%	10%	68	-0.5
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Max Wagner 2023 · A	21	46→38	41→50	52→50	42	216/291/321	105	306	8	9	30%	7%	76	-0.4	195/264/308	113	298	10	16	35%	8%	62	-1.4	189/258/322	134	284	15	13	37%	7%	60	-1.0
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	42→38	36→40	46→50	45	196/282/260	64	285	4	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	195/265/290	95	267	9	12	29%	7%	59	-1.7	182/251/273	91	250	9	14	30%	7%	47	-1.4