Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs Red | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 0.7 | 11.1% | 44.4% | -33.3% | 0.0% | 13.50 | 7.79 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs Red | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 0.7 | 11.1% | 44.4% | -33.3% | 0.0% | 13.50 | 10.60 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 4 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 33.3% | -14.8% | 0.0% | 15.75 | 5.76 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 4 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 33.3% | -14.8% | 0.0% | 15.75 | 7.35 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 5 | 1 | 14 | 68 | 17 | 16 | 0 | 20% | 2.7 | 17.0% | 29.4% | -12.4% | 0.0% | 3.95 | 5.39 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 5 | 1 | 14 | 68 | 17 | 16 | 0 | 20% | 2.7 | 25.0% | 23.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 3.95 | 4.12 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 12.5% | 25.0% | -12.5% | 0.0% | 67.50 | 5.21 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 12.5% | 25.0% | -12.5% | 0.0% | 67.50 | 9.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.1 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.80 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 12 | 7 | 20 | 112 | 19 | 35 | 0 | 58% | 1.6 | 16.6% | 31.2% | -14.7% | 0.0% | 9.15 | 5.66 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 122 | 71 | 200 | 1139 | 189 | 356 | 0 | 58% | 1.6 | 16.6% | 31.2% | -14.7% | 0.0% | 9.15 | 5.66 | -0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeffrey Amparo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.18 | 24.2% | 15.1% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Carson Rudd R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 82 |
| Wilmer Ortega R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .304 | 5.83 | 16.1% | 1.8% | 30 | +1.97 | 3.62 | 158 | 76 |
| Grant Holman R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 76 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 75 |
| Cole Stapler R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 75 |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 74 |
| Breidy Encarnación R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.48 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .222 | 3.47 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 67 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 164 | 74 |
| Jeronimo Castro R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.37 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 3.84 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.19 | 158 | 74 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 73 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 73 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 73 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 73 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 72 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 72 |
| Franco Aleman R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 72 |
| Daniel Bies R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 72 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 72 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 72 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 71 |
| Jared Ruxer R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.68 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 240 | +0.52 | 3.38 | 270 | 71 |