Gabriel AraujoOF DSL Arizona Black
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .279 / .291
PA66
HR1
K%27
BB%7
ISO82
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.1-0.12628
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL D-backs Black — 127112 20411 7337 24 179270259529 80241 266 235 38 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL D-backs Black — 127109 28721 10227 24 257357385742 128310 178 336 116 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 161141 29201 10298 164 206296241537 35250 186 240 42 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 161135 37401 16208 164 274384326710 52313 1210 331 111 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 124108 24510 12324 102 222323287610 65316 2610 268 63 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 124102 29610 18234 102 284411363774 78367 1915 361 134 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBARI — 6660 12201 5181 10 200273283556 83286 278 263 60 -3 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBARI 34% 117105 24412 9312 30 229302343645 114288 268 275 69 -4 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
202823 MLBARI 48% 252227 49814 19654 51 216288313601 97289 268 283 75 -7 +1 +0 -2 +7 -0.1
202722 MLBARI 34% 4036 8101 3101 10 222300333633 111290 258 266 61 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
202823 MLBARI 48% 122110 25412 9322 30 227298336634 109291 267 274 68 -4 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 162146 33513 12423 40 226298336634 110294 267 272 66 -6 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
/ 162G— — 650586 13220412 4816912 160 225297334632 109293 267 272 66 -25 +3 +0 -4 +18 -0.7
Career— — 847753 1582549 6220826 3711 210293290582 80276 257 263 59 -39 +3 +0 -5 +24 -1.7
/ 162G— — 650578 1211937 4816020 288 209293289582 80275 257 263 59 -30 +2 +0 -4 +18 -1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL D-backs Black — 127109 28721 10227 24 257357385742 128310 178 336 116 +2 -1 — — +4 0.5
202318 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 161135 37401 16208 164 274384326710 52313 1210 331 111 +2 +2 — — +5 0.8
202419 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 124102 29610 18234 102 284411363774 78367 1915 361 134 +5 +1 — — +4 1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
222835220287319-1+0-0.2-0.1
/1626641014-4.0+0.0-0.5pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Gabriel Araujo (OGILVIE) 21 — — — — 210/279/291 81286 11 27% 7% 60 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Zack Larson
2015 · A 		21 45→35 39→45 52→50 40 217/270/299 82292 611 27% 5% 57 -1.2 190/247/252 62266 210 28% 6% 35 -2.8 164/223/2064323201227%6%13-3.3
✕Misael Urbina
2023 · A 		21 38→29 42→45 49→50 44 189/258/299 110261 812 30% 8% 53 -1.5 172/250/256 84262 69 34% 9% 38 -2.6 154/242/228742355833%9%26-2.0
✕Kyle Nevin
2023 · A 		21 41→38 40→45 52→50 38 198/249/295 97282 610 31% 5% 47 -1.9 217/274/320 103339 910 36% 7% 64 -0.8 212/271/3099733491237%7%57-0.7
✕Chris Roller
2018 · A 		21 37 37→50 53→55 45 178/254/255 77243 412 27% 8% 40 -2.4 208/276/322 114297 811 31% 7% 66 -0.6 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
✕Jose Meza
2023 · A 		20 41→34 41→45 48→50 40 199/264/295 96283 910 32% 6% 54 -1.4 202/295/301 99301 98 33% 10% 69 -0.4 182/291/2769427591033%11%61-0.6
✕Troy Stokes Jr.
2017 · A 		21 44→38 39→50 54→55 45 207/278/296 88274 519 25% 7% 59 -1.1 198/271/329 131274 1318 31% 8% 66 -0.6 184/263/319135258141933%8%58-1.0
✕Franklin Labour
2019 · A 		21 42 39→45 50 43 202/271/295 93278 611 28% 7% 57 -1.2 192/266/288 96314 78 38% 8% 53 -1.5 150/245/27212126113944%10%39-1.0
✕Nelson Medina
2022 · A 		21 39 38→45 53→50 47 187/270/270 84274 515 31% 9% 51 -1.7 185/255/279 94336 713 43% 8% 46 -2.0 134/194/2097529151652%6%-1-1.8
✕Grolmann Gonzalez
2010 · A 		21 40 38→40 52→55 42 193/255/277 85272 49 29% 7% 45 -2.1 209/265/303 94303 67 31% 6% 56 -1.3 218/266/3191013077430%6%58-0.2
✕Ricardo Rosario
2023 · A 		20 40 37→40 50→55 42 191/251/266 76262 412 28% 6% 40 -2.4 205/277/292 87289 819 29% 8% 59 -1.1 203/290/29289267112926%9%63-0.4
✕Ismael Alcantara
2019 · A 		20 39→28 38→45 51→50 41 185/255/266 81281 513 34% 7% 43 -2.2 211/277/317 106330 915 36% 7% 64 -0.8 193/256/311118287121635%6%52-0.7
✕Allan Cerda
2021 · A 		21 45→22 42→55 47→45 42 215/291/320 105306 97 31% 7% 72 -0.2 184/280/353 169285 205 40% 9% 77 +0.1 155/264/32316823821542%10%60-0.6
✕Carlos Dominguez
2021 · A 		21 43→23 42→45 51→50 36 201/283/313 112310 912 35% 5% 68 -0.5 166/239/291 125334 1512 52% 5% 44 -2.1 124/203/239115271161357%5%13-1.9
✕Gilbert Gomez
2012 · A 		20 39→35 40 52→50 40 193/252/284 91274 714 31% 6% 46 -2.0 201/271/278 77305 48 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/271/264742963733%9%45-1.3
✕Jorge Alcantara
2013 · A 		21 42 41→45 50 43 201/271/299 98298 811 33% 8% 58 -1.2 193/263/287 94294 614 34% 8% 51 -1.7 147/226/2449722162534%8%24-0.9
✕Stanley Martinez
2018 · A 		21 42 41→45 49→50 46 203/276/300 97261 88 25% 7% 61 -1.0 227/289/332 105321 97 30% 7% 74 -0.1 220/280/293723425334%6%56-0.4
✕Kenedy Corona
2021 · A 		21 45→40 42→45 53→55 46 220/282/327 107269 814 21% 6% 69 -0.4 206/264/322 116293 1121 32% 6% 60 -1.0 198/258/327129278142633%6%57-0.8
✕Luis Castro
2017 · A 		21 47→38 39→50 48→45 43 222/280/306 83305 69 28% 7% 63 -0.9 213/282/316 103290 88 28% 6% 67 -0.5 196/281/33614028216834%8%71-0.2
✕Janelfry Zorrilla
2011 · A 		20 41 40→45 50 42 202/257/291 89262 713 26% 6% 49 -1.8 224/280/353 129280 1310 24% 6% 76 +0.0 226/277/35312728514825%5%72-0.1
✕Jose Ramirez
2010 · A 		21 39 38→40 46→50 43 188/249/265 77248 510 25% 6% 40 -2.4 211/278/295 84273 711 24% 7% 60 -1.0 214/288/2867226691522%7%59-0.5