Enmanuel Pinales P San Antonio Missions
Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 122
ERA5.38
FIP5.38
K%16.4%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%4.4%
ROS IP75
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP
K: -3.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-4KBB: -3.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -3.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +5.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+6STAMTotal WAR: -0.44 (75 IP)-0.4WAR
0.00.00.02628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL4545
CMD4040
K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202221ROKDSL Padres114361753217636%3.312.4%12.1%0.3%5.0%7.756.36
202221ROKDSL Padres114361753217636%3.318.3%9.7%8.6%3.4%7.754.91
202322MIX2 levels159602586319660%4.017.5%8.9%8.6%3.4%4.484.64
202322MIX2 levels159602586319660%4.024.4%7.4%17.1%2.3%4.483.25
202423A+Fort Wayne TinCaps2221111460101431495%5.016.9%10.7%6.2%4.6%3.495.54
202423A+Fort Wayne TinCaps2221111460101431495%5.022.0%9.3%12.6%3.0%3.494.08
202524MIX2 levels2520114484108481180%4.517.9%11.0%6.9%3.0%4.434.66
202524MIX2 levels2520114484108481180%4.522.3%9.9%12.4%2.3%4.433.72
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBSD131375318523810100%5.816.4%12.0%4.4%3.2%5.385.38-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBSD131375318563710100%5.817.5%11.6%5.8%3.2%5.255.24-0.3
202827MLBSD121274313563610100%6.217.9%11.5%6.4%3.2%5.195.20-0.3
202928MLBSD121272304553510100%6.018.0%11.6%6.5%3.3%5.215.24-0.4
202726MLBSD663313924164100%5.517.5%11.6%5.8%3.2%5.255.24-0.3
202827MLBSD884719836236100%5.917.9%11.5%6.4%3.2%5.195.20-0.4
202928MLBSD995422841268100%6.018.0%11.6%6.5%3.3%5.215.24-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career22221345681016618100%6.117.8%11.6%6.3%3.3%5.214.85+0.9
/ 200 IP33332008441509827100%6.017.8%11.6%6.3%3.3%5.214.85+1.3
Career735432113772311475374%4.416.8%10.7%6.1%3.9%4.495.17+0.9
/ 200 IP4534200858144913374%4.416.8%10.7%6.1%3.9%4.495.17+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Enmanuel Pinales (OGILVIE) 5.38 16.4%12.0%3.2% 5.23 17.8%6.2%222 -0.15
Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP 25 SP- 4.98 17.6%11.2%3.6%.282 9.58 19.7%7.1%18 +4.60 4.98 105 88
Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SP- 4.28 16.0%10.5%2.2%.338 3.79 13.6%3.1%72 -0.49 3.79 143 88
Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 25 SP 5.09 15.2%10.8%3.5%.274 5.06 13.1%-0.5%132 -0.03 4.10 218 85
J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP 24 SP- 5.38 17.9%13.9%3.7%.285 4.39 26.3%15.2%225 -0.99 4.11 563 84
Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP 25 SP- 4.62 16.9%11.4%2.7%.303 4.01 16.6%4.2%20 -0.61 4.01 214 83
Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP 26 SP- 4.24 17.5%10.9%2.3%.393 4.44 9.2%3.9%53 +0.20 4.24 166 82
Allen Webster R 2026 · 4.99 FIP 25 SP 4.99 14.0%9.1%3.5%.356 5.50 14.9%6.8%58 +0.51 4.43 177 80
Drew Gagnon R 2026 · 5.78 FIP 25 SP- 5.78 11.6%12.6%3.8%.313 4.01 20.4%12.2%311 -1.77 3.74 534 79
Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.16 FIP 25 SP- 5.16 19.7%13.2%3.7%.319 4.17 23.5%13.9%196 -0.99 4.00 512 79
Elliot Morris R 2024 · 4.46 FIP 23 SP 4.46 12.8%10.4%2.1%.320 4.46 102 79
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2028 · 5.13 FIP 27 SP- 5.13 11.6%9.8%3.2%.263 4.14 15.3%5.2%167 -0.99 3.84 272 79
David Griffin R 2026 · 4.52 FIP 25 SP 4.52 19.2%11.9%2.8%.279 5.47 15.6%5.5%168 +0.95 4.52 239 79
Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 24 SP 4.39 16.1%11.4%2.2%.309 4.74 18.4%9.4%172 +0.35 4.39 353 78
Braden Olthoff R 2024 · 4.57 FIP 23 SP- 4.57 12.5%8.0%2.8%.280 4.57 108 78
Casey Steward R 2024 · 4.79 FIP 23 SP- 4.79 15.1%12.4%2.5%.314 4.02 191 78
Trenton Toplikar R 2026 · 5.46 FIP 25 SP- 5.46 16.4%9.3%4.7%.325 6.04 16.9%4.2%30 +0.58 4.30 232 78
Matt Ager R 2024 · 5.00 FIP 23 SP- 5.00 17.1%8.6%4.1%.303 5.00 146 78
Forrest Snow R 2027 · 4.80 FIP 26 SP- 4.80 16.1%8.2%3.7%.263 4.19 21.8%14.2%256 -0.61 3.14 406 78
Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 25 SP 4.79 19.3%11.8%3.3%.286 5.16 19.9%6.6%108 +0.37 4.09 414 78
Matt Solter R 2025 · 4.60 FIP 24 SP- 4.60 16.0%11.0%2.7%.309 3.94 16.9%4.3%66 -0.66 3.94 224 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION47417.4%11.7%1.255.26
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07