Jorgelys Mota

SS Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #839MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP45ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	AWSH	328	.270/.341/.409	6	25	49	—	.198/.259/.290
2026	21	A+WSH	88	.211/.364/.239	0	10	34	—	.158/.273/.171
2026	21	AWSH	21	.312/.476/.688	2	1	139	—	.235/.381/.412
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBWSH	1	.175/.247/.259	0	0	45	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBWSH	73	.182/.255/.282	1	2	53	-0.2
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBWSH	146	.190/.262/.305	3	4	61	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$0.8M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed72

BB%66

Chase%41

wRC+30

wOBA26

K%16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJase Bowen (age 22) · Ismael Alcantara (age 22) · Jamari Baylor (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .247 / .259

PA1

HR0

K%37

BB%6

BABIP274

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	73	65	17	1	1	2	6	22	2	4	2	262	342	400	742	138	366	30	8	335	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	1	7	1	1	0	154	267	308	574	154	333	47	7	263	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	98	85	27	5	2	1	9	31	3	1	2	318	402	459	861	141	481	32	9	382	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	111	102	26	4	2	0	5	39	4	3	2	255	315	333	649	78	413	35	5	296	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	181	162	31	3	0	3	13	60	5	12	5	191	272	265	538	74	280	33	7	251	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	328	296	80	17	3	6	26	101	6	25	7	270	341	409	750	139	392	31	8	337	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	88	71	15	2	0	0	12	28	5	10	1	211	364	239	603	28	349	32	14	300	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	21	16	5	0	0	2	3	6	2	1	2	312	476	688	1.164	375	375	29	14	497	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	15	12	5	1	0	1	1	5	1	2	0	417	500	750	1.250	333	571	33	7	501	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	73	67	12	1	1	1	4	27	2	4	2	179	247	269	515	90	247	37	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	1	10	1	1	0	154	267	308	574	154	297	67	7	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	98	88	19	3	1	1	6	44	3	1	2	216	289	307	595	91	394	45	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	111	104	20	3	1	0	3	51	4	3	2	192	243	240	484	48	398	46	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	181	167	21	2	0	2	8	87	5	12	5	126	189	174	363	48	234	48	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	328	303	60	12	2	4	19	142	6	25	7	198	259	290	550	92	351	43	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	88	76	12	1	0	0	7	37	5	10	1	158	273	171	444	13	307	42	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	21	17	4	0	0	1	2	8	2	1	2	235	381	412	793	176	334	38	10	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	15	12	4	1	0	1	1	7	1	2	0	333	429	667	1.095	333	428	47	7	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	73	67	12	1	1	1	4	27	2	4	2	179	247	269	515	90	282	37	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	73	65	17	1	1	2	6	22	2	4	2	262	342	400	742	138	366	30	8	335	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	113	102	20	3	2	1	6	54	4	2	2	196	268	294	562	98	396	48	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	113	98	29	5	3	1	10	38	4	2	2	296	384	439	823	143	467	34	9	366	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	292	270	42	5	1	2	12	138	9	15	7	156	216	204	420	48	305	47	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	292	264	57	7	2	3	18	99	9	15	7	216	289	292	580	76	331	34	6	268	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	328	303	60	12	2	4	19	142	6	25	7	198	259	290	550	92	357	43	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	328	296	80	17	3	6	26	101	6	25	7	270	341	409	750	139	392	31	8	337	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	124	105	20	2	0	2	10	52	8	13	3	190	309	267	576	76	346	42	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	124	99	25	3	0	3	16	39	8	13	3	253	398	374	772	121	379	31	13	358	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	73	67	12	1	1	1	4	27	2	4	2	179	247	269	515	90	247	37	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	113	102	20	3	2	1	6	54	4	2	2	196	268	294	562	98	381	48	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	292	269	42	5	1	2	12	138	9	15	7	156	216	204	421	48	296	47	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	328	300	60	12	2	4	19	142	6	25	7	200	259	293	552	93	351	43	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	124	105	20	2	0	2	10	52	8	13	3	190	309	267	576	76	326	42	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	292	269	42	5	1	2	12	138	9	15	7	156	216	204	421	48	296	47	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	328	300	60	12	2	4	19	142	6	25	7	200	259	293	552	93	351	43	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	124	105	20	2	0	2	10	52	8	13	3	190	309	267	576	76	326	42	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	278	252	44	8	1	4	17	103	7	10	3	175	247	260	507	85	274	37	6	234	45	-18	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	WSH	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	175	247	259	506	84	274	0	0	234	45	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	WSH	35%	210	190	35	6	1	4	13	76	5	7	2	183	255	284	539	101	277	36	6	247	53	-12	+1	-0	+2	+5	-0.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	WSH	46%	315	285	53	9	1	7	20	112	7	9	3	190	263	307	569	117	279	36	6	259	61	-15	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	378	341	67	11	2	10	25	131	9	11	3	196	268	323	591	128	281	35	7	267	67	-15	+1	+1	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	419	379	76	13	2	12	28	143	9	11	3	200	272	335	607	135	281	34	7	274	71	-14	+1	+1	+4	+9	0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	438	396	80	14	2	12	30	147	9	11	3	201	274	336	610	135	282	34	7	275	72	-15	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	446	403	81	14	2	12	31	151	9	10	3	199	272	331	603	132	281	34	7	272	70	-16	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	443	401	79	13	2	12	30	151	9	9	3	197	269	326	595	129	279	34	7	269	68	-17	+1	-1	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	WSH	35%	73	66	11	2	0	1	5	26	2	2	1	182	255	282	537	100	276	36	7	246	53	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	WSH	46%	146	133	25	4	1	3	9	52	3	4	1	190	262	305	568	116	279	36	6	258	61	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	195	176	35	6	1	5	13	68	4	6	1	195	268	322	590	127	280	35	7	267	67	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	227	205	41	7	1	6	15	77	5	6	2	199	272	333	605	134	281	34	7	273	71	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	238	215	44	8	1	7	16	80	5	6	2	201	274	335	608	134	281	34	7	274	72	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	242	218	44	8	1	6	17	82	5	6	2	199	272	330	602	131	280	34	7	272	70	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	235	212	42	7	1	6	16	80	5	5	2	197	269	324	593	128	279	34	7	268	68	-9	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1356	1225	242	42	6	34	91	465	29	35	11	198	269	325	594	127	284	34	7	268	59	-52	+3	+1	+15	+29	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	116	20	3	16	44	223	14	17	5	198	270	324	593	126	285	34	7	268	59	-25	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3723	3372	648	107	19	81	237	1377	90	132	42	192	264	307	571	115	294	37	6	256	59	-112	+6	+1	+30	+61	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	113	19	3	14	41	240	16	23	7	192	263	306	569	114	293	37	6	256	59	-26	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,357	35	35	198	267	327	+15	-1	0.4	0.5
/162	664	17	17	+7.1	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 1
#3Pedro Garcia'73-'77 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,967 PA	3.0	1,967	37	35	220*	270*	388*	+6	-6	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	12	12	+2.1	-2.0	-0.1	pk7: -0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorgelys Mota (OGILVIE)	22	22→25	42→54	60	40	174/245/258	84	274	2	5	37%	6%	45	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→42	44→50	55	35	195/250/303	109	296	12	14	37%	5%	56	-1.9	203/253/327	124	287	14	19	33%	5%	62	-1.4	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	37	42→45	51→55	41	168/271/271	102	317	9	19	45%	10%	58	-1.7	190/287/296	106	336	11	16	42%	10%	70	-0.9	180/284/294	114	291	13	20	39%	10%	65	-0.4
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	41→46	43→45	56→55	38	200/251/308	108	302	10	21	36%	6%	57	-1.8	216/263/319	103	337	10	20	37%	5%	63	-1.3	221/269/319	98	346	9	22	37%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→50	52→55	39	208/262/296	88	288	6	20	29%	5%	58	-1.7	210/270/340	130	291	14	23	31%	7%	72	-0.7	201/268/328	126	276	14	27	31%	7%	65	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Dasan Brown 2024 · A	22	42→40	39→40	52→60	39	197/268/280	84	303	7	21	35%	6%	58	-1.7	188/264/271	83	289	7	31	35%	8%	54	-2.0	172/256/247	75	267	7	41	35%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	180/213/275	96	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/263/300	84	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Alexander Suarez 2024 · A	22	38→36	41→45	54→55	30	185/237/283	98	306	9	15	41%	4%	47	-2.6	211/256/329	118	320	13	17	37%	4%	64	-1.3	213/248/353	139	307	18	27	36%	3%	63	-0.5
✕Ryan Spikes 2024 · A	21	36→30	42→45	53→55	35	175/239/277	101	299	10	17	42%	7%	45	-2.7	186/234/300	114	292	13	18	39%	5%	49	-2.4	181/223/300	119	274	14	22	38%	4%	42	-1.5
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Junior Perez 2024 · A	23	39→40	43→50	55	39	185/256/292	108	313	10	25	42%	8%	56	-1.9	183/253/316	133	294	14	24	40%	8%	60	-1.6	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	43→50	51→45	37	182/262/286	105	304	11	11	41%	7%	57	-1.8	200/264/310	110	285	13	7	33%	6%	63	-1.4	188/246/284	96	261	13	5	32%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	40→46	40→45	52→60	36	186/245/269	83	325	8	16	43%	7%	46	-2.6	207/266/306	99	317	8	29	35%	7%	62	-1.4	210/270/327	118	310	11	32	34%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Sammy Infante 2024 · A	23	37→26	42→45	50→55	37	183/252/282	99	292	10	15	39%	7%	52	-2.2	200/263/295	95	313	8	15	36%	7%	59	-1.7	164/228/246	82	264	6	18	38%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Narciso Crook 2017 · A	22	38→43	42→50	51→50	32	193/230/298	105	288	10	11	36%	4%	46	-2.6	210/261/330	120	310	11	10	34%	5%	65	-1.2	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3

Jorgelys Mota

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps