Aroon Escobar

3B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #132MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP46ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+PHI	198	.256/.356/.369	4	14	63	—	.219/.284/.315
2025	20	APHI	316	.285/.381/.452	11	10	92	—	.240/.321/.362
2026	21	AAPHI	569	.230/.335/.347	12	27	74	—	.220/.303/.319
2026	21	INTLSurprise Sagu…	33	.231/.375/.346	0	2	106	—
2027PROJ2% MLB	22	MLBPHI	6	.241/.316/.353	0	0	89	0.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	23	MLBPHI	256	.246/.321/.372	6	8	95	0.5
2029PROJ58% MLB	24	MLBPHI	348	.249/.324/.384	9	11	99	0.9

Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$7M2033Arb-3$9M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

K%90

Whiff%77

Z-Con%74

Speed66

BB%64

Chase%63

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 17, comp-based) · star 7% · didn't stick 64%

CompsYusniel Díaz (age 22) · Alberto Carreon (age 22) · Enrique Osorio (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .316 / .353

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%8

BABIP286

ISO108

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.2	$7M	+$4M
2032	Arb-2	$7M	+1.2	$7M	+$2M
2033	Arb-3	$9M	+1.0	$5M	+$0.1M
Totals		$23M		$31M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	143	34	4	1	3	24	26	14	11	6	238	398	343	740	105	263	14	13	342	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	134	110	23	7	0	1	20	13	3	13	2	209	346	300	646	91	227	10	15	304	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	104	77	26	2	0	3	21	10	4	9	0	338	500	481	981	143	354	10	20	437	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	24	22	4	0	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	182	250	273	523	91	250	25	8	239	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	198	168	43	1	3	4	22	41	4	14	2	256	356	369	725	113	307	21	11	325	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	316	270	77	12	0	11	32	51	10	10	3	285	381	452	833	167	311	16	10	370	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	569	487	112	17	2	12	67	92	10	27	7	230	335	347	682	117	258	16	12	312	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	33	26	6	1	1	0	6	8	0	2	0	231	375	346	721	115	316	24	18	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	150	24	2	1	1	17	32	14	11	6	160	304	207	511	47	173	17	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	134	115	16	5	0	1	15	16	3	13	2	139	256	209	464	70	149	12	11	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	104	85	23	2	0	3	13	14	4	9	0	271	392	400	792	129	265	13	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	24	23	4	0	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	174	208	261	469	87	262	29	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	198	178	39	1	2	4	12	54	4	14	2	219	284	315	598	96	272	27	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	316	279	67	10	0	8	23	65	10	10	3	240	321	362	683	122	276	21	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	569	504	111	16	2	10	50	112	10	27	7	220	303	319	623	99	256	20	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	150	24	2	1	1	17	32	14	11	6	160	304	207	511	47	190	17	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	143	34	4	1	3	24	26	14	11	6	238	398	343	740	105	263	14	13	342	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	134	115	16	5	0	1	15	16	3	13	2	139	256	209	464	70	152	12	11	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	134	110	23	7	0	1	20	13	3	13	2	209	346	300	646	91	227	10	15	304	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	104	85	23	2	0	3	13	14	4	9	0	271	392	400	792	129	290	13	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	104	77	26	2	0	3	21	10	4	9	0	338	500	481	981	143	354	10	20	437	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	538	480	110	11	3	12	36	126	14	24	5	229	302	340	641	110	280	23	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	538	460	124	13	4	15	56	98	14	24	5	270	366	413	779	143	307	18	10	348	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	602	534	116	16	2	10	52	119	10	29	7	217	299	311	610	94	258	20	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	602	513	118	18	3	12	73	100	10	29	7	230	337	347	684	117	260	17	12	313	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	153	24	2	1	1	17	32	14	11	6	157	304	203	506	46	173	17	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	134	115	16	5	0	1	15	16	3	13	2	139	256	209	464	70	149	12	11	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	104	86	23	2	0	3	13	14	4	9	0	267	392	395	788	128	265	13	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	538	483	110	11	3	12	36	126	14	24	5	228	302	337	639	110	274	23	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	602	535	116	16	2	10	52	119	10	29	7	217	299	310	609	93	256	20	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	104	86	23	2	0	3	13	14	4	9	0	267	392	395	788	128	265	13	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	538	483	110	11	3	12	36	126	14	24	5	228	302	337	639	110	274	23	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	602	535	116	16	2	10	52	119	10	29	7	217	299	310	609	93	256	20	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	2%	634	568	136	19	3	12	51	126	10	20	5	240	314	348	662	108	286	20	8	300	89	-8	+2	-2	+2	+14	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	PHI	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	241	316	353	669	112	286	17	0	302	89	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	581	519	127	18	3	13	48	114	9	19	4	244	319	365	684	121	287	20	8	308	95	-4	+2	-2	+2	+13	1.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	597	533	132	19	3	15	50	116	9	19	4	247	322	376	699	129	288	19	8	314	99	-1	+2	-1	+2	+13	1.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	615	548	136	19	3	16	52	120	10	20	5	248	324	382	706	134	288	20	8	317	100	+0	+2	-1	+2	+13	1.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	627	559	138	20	3	16	53	124	10	20	5	248	324	384	708	136	288	20	8	317	101	+1	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	629	562	137	20	3	16	53	126	9	19	5	247	323	383	705	136	288	20	8	316	100	+0	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	626	559	137	20	3	16	53	126	9	17	4	245	320	378	698	133	287	20	8	313	98	-1	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	PHI	66%	617	551	133	19	3	15	52	126	9	14	4	242	317	371	689	129	285	20	8	310	96	-3	+1	-3	+2	+13	1.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	PHI	66%	607	543	130	19	3	14	51	126	8	10	3	239	314	363	676	124	283	21	8	305	92	-6	+1	-3	+2	+13	0.8
2036	31	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	594	532	124	18	2	13	49	126	8	6	2	234	309	352	661	118	280	21	8	298	88	-8	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.3
2037	32	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	576	517	118	16	2	12	47	125	7	2	2	229	302	339	642	111	276	22	8	290	83	-12	-0	-5	+2	+12	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	256	229	56	8	1	6	21	50	4	8	2	246	321	372	693	126	288	20	8	312	95	-2	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	348	311	78	11	2	9	29	68	5	11	3	249	324	384	708	134	289	20	8	317	99	-1	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.9
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	400	357	89	12	2	11	34	78	6	13	3	250	326	390	716	140	289	20	8	320	100	+0	+1	-1	+1	+9	1.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	427	382	95	13	2	12	36	84	6	13	3	250	326	392	718	142	289	20	8	321	101	+0	+1	-1	+2	+9	1.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	428	383	95	14	2	12	36	86	6	13	3	249	325	391	715	142	289	20	8	320	100	+0	+1	-1	+2	+9	1.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	426	381	94	13	2	12	36	86	6	11	3	247	322	385	708	138	288	20	8	317	98	-1	+1	-1	+2	+9	1.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	PHI	66%	410	366	90	13	2	11	35	84	6	9	2	244	319	378	698	134	286	20	9	313	96	-2	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.8
2035	30	MLB CTX	PHI	66%	398	357	86	12	2	10	33	83	5	7	2	241	315	370	685	129	284	21	8	308	92	-4	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.5
2036	31	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	386	346	82	11	2	9	32	82	5	4	2	236	310	359	669	123	281	21	8	302	88	-6	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.2
2037	32	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	373	335	76	10	1	8	30	81	5	1	1	231	304	346	649	115	277	22	8	293	83	-8	-0	-3	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3852	3447	841	117	18	100	322	782	54	90	24	244	318	375	694	131	287	20	8	313	90	-21	+8	-14	+14	+83	7.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	142	20	3	17	54	132	9	15	4	244	318	376	694	132	287	20	8	313	90	-4	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7953	7073	1669	233	36	179	667	1600	138	242	60	236	314	355	669	119	279	20	8	302	90	-38	+15	-24	+23	+138	11.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	137	19	3	15	55	131	11	20	5	237	315	358	673	121	280	20	8	302	90	-4	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#2Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#3Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#4Red Rolfe'34-'42 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,405 PA	8.1	5,405	69	44	262*	327*	411*	+21	-11	19.3	19.2
/162	664	8	5	+2.6	-1.4	2.4	pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.8	3,857	94	91	244	315	372	+14	-9	10.7	9.9
/162	664	16	16	+2.4	-1.5	1.8	pk7: 9
#5James Casey'01-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 4,082 PA	6.1	4,082	8	148	250*	311*	386*	+15	-22	7.6	7.6
/162	664	1	24	+2.4	-3.6	1.2	pk7: 8
#6Fresco Thompson'25-'34 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,856 PA	4.3	2,856	13	69	259*	323*	392*	+11	-4	6.2	6.7
/162	664	3	16	+2.5	-1.0	1.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aroon Escobar (OGILVIE)	22	40→51	35→48	40→42	52	238/312/345	107	286	6	10	20%	8%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yusniel Díaz 2019 · AA	22	50→54	44→45	42→50	48	245/306/365	120	311	11	10	24%	8%	91	+0.6	216/276/340	124	293	12	6	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/270/314	111	271	13	9	29%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Alberto Carreon 2010 · AAA	22	46→56	45	43→50	48	225/296/348	123	253	13	10	17%	6%	84	+0.1	242/295/324	82	298	5	9	19%	5%	76	-0.4	274/332/381	107	344	7	11	21%	5%	100	+0.8
✕Enrique Osorio 2007 · AAA	22	47→55	40→45	47→50	51	225/313/314	89	270	7	14	18%	8%	82	+0.0	221/281/293	72	273	6	14	20%	6%	65	-1.2	266/324/381	114	299	12	10	15%	6%	98	+0.6
✕José Fermín 2022 · AA	23	48→52	42→45	46→55	48	231/290/332	101	257	9	10	14%	6%	77	-0.3	221/304/328	107	247	10	14	15%	9%	82	-0.0	248/334/370	122	271	11	25	12%	10%	102	+0.9
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	48→52	41→45	48→45	51	225/337/325	100	294	8	9	24%	9%	95	+1.0	235/325/347	112	296	10	7	23%	7%	95	+0.9	237/330/347	110	299	10	5	22%	7%	95	+0.5
●Jake Meyers 2019 · A	23	48→58	42→55	43→50	45	229/291/342	113	295	9	11	24%	7%	80	-0.2	223/281/349	126	297	12	11	28%	6%	78	-0.3	254/316/413	159	324	19	11	26%	7%	105	+1.1
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2015 · AAA	22	46→56	42→50	45	44	227/273/334	107	276	10	8	21%	6%	70	-0.8	249/295/379	130	294	13	5	19%	6%	89	+0.5	255/309/403	148	298	17	1	20%	7%	101	+0.7
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	43→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	117	278	10	9	21%	6%	81	-0.1	219/292/328	109	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Matt Vierling 2019 · A	22	47→55	46→50	43→50	38	235/279/367	132	301	13	9	26%	4%	81	-0.1	208/263/306	98	279	9	14	27%	6%	61	-1.5	254/314/393	139	307	13	10	21%	7%	100	+1.2
●Trevor Plouffe 2008 · AA	22	48→54	41→60	45	46	234/285/339	105	289	8	8	22%	6%	76	-0.4	238/277/367	129	288	11	6	21%	5%	80	-0.2	249/313/413	164	289	17	2	20%	8%	105	+1.6
✕Juan Brito 2024 · AAA	22	49→50	46→50	43→45	54	240/323/378	138	287	13	8	20%	10%	100	+1.3	222/300/353	131	271	13	10	22%	9%	86	+0.3	210/289/336	126	255	12	10	22%	9%	76	-0.3
●Christian Vázquez 2014 · AA	23	51→55	43→50	42→45	49	245/307/354	108	297	10	6	20%	8%	88	+0.4	246/300/333	87	307	6	4	20%	7%	80	-0.1	259/309/407	148	296	18	8	19%	7%	102	+1.0
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2024 · A	21	49→51	43→50	50→55	46	237/307/351	113	309	11	15	26%	8%	88	+0.4	250/313/394	144	313	14	16	23%	7%	100	+1.3	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Jake Smolinski 2012 · AA	23	48→50	42→55	42→45	50	233/291/344	111	271	8	7	17%	7%	80	-0.2	228/302/336	108	277	9	9	20%	9%	82	+0.0	238/300/392	154	271	17	6	18%	7%	94	+0.6
●Kristian Campbell 2024 · A	22	49→58	41→45	46→50	43	226/306/330	104	321	7	10	30%	7%	83	+0.1	250/335/385	135	341	14	13	28%	10%	107	+1.8	243/335/370	127	339	13	12	29%	10%	101	+1.2
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→58	45→50	51→50	47	232/297/367	135	304	10	16	26%	8%	88	+0.4	256/311/403	147	336	12	14	26%	7%	101	+1.4	263/317/416	154	341	14	16	26%	7%	104	+1.0
✕Jamie Westbrook 2017 · AA	22	49→54	43→50	47→45	42	241/280/351	110	280	10	9	18%	4%	77	-0.3	243/283/370	127	276	13	5	17%	4%	83	+0.1	246/298/391	146	280	17	3	19%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Christian Villanueva 2013 · A	22	46→47	44→55	47→50	40	226/282/339	114	291	11	13	26%	5%	76	-0.4	218/266/358	140	275	15	6	26%	5%	74	-0.5	228/286/406	177	263	24	3	23%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Zelous Wheeler 2009 · A	22	46→54	43→50	43→45	44	225/283/334	110	289	10	7	25%	7%	75	-0.5	239/312/351	112	296	9	8	21%	8%	90	+0.6	245/320/372	126	288	12	7	18%	8%	95	+0.7

Aroon Escobar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps