Sadiel Baro

P Inland Empire 66ers

Age 22 LHP 6'2" / 177 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	18	ROKLAA	12	11	44	3.27	2.92	22.5%	13.6%	—	K 15.3% · BB 17.0% · FIP 3.96
2024	19	MIX2 levels	15	7	59	4.88	2.42	21.9%	6.2%	—	K 15.1% · BB 7.6% · FIP 3.48
2025	20	ASEA	28	1	33	10.47	4.48	20.8%	12.5%	—	K 15.4% · BB 14.8% · FIP 5.31
2027PROJ	22	MLBSEA	22	0	23	4.91	4.91	19.7%	11.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBSEA	14	0	15	4.73	4.65	21.0%	10.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsMatt Osterberg (age 22) · Brad Mills (age 25) · Jack Patterson (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 126

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%19.7%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%8.2%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	9	53	234	60	18	3	75%	4.4	17.4%	9.6%	7.8%	2.2%	4.08	4.08	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	12	9	53	234	60	18	3	75%	4.4	25.6%	7.7%	17.9%	1.3%	4.08	2.59	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	11	44	191	43	26	0	92%	3.7	15.3%	17.0%	-1.7%	0.0%	3.27	3.96	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	12	11	44	191	43	26	0	92%	3.7	22.5%	13.6%	8.9%	0.0%	3.27	2.92	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	7	59	260	57	16	2	47%	3.9	15.1%	7.6%	7.5%	1.3%	4.88	3.48	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	7	59	260	57	16	2	47%	3.9	15.1%	7.6%	7.5%	1.3%	4.88	3.48	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	7	59	260	57	16	2	47%	3.9	21.9%	6.2%	15.8%	0.8%	4.88	2.42	—
2025	20	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	28	1	33	168	35	21	4	4%	1.2	15.4%	14.8%	0.7%	3.0%	10.47	5.31	—
2025	20	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	28	1	33	168	35	21	4	4%	1.2	15.4%	14.8%	0.7%	3.0%	10.47	5.31	—
2025	20	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	28	1	33	168	35	21	4	4%	1.2	20.8%	12.5%	8.3%	2.4%	10.47	4.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	SEA	22	0	23	97	19	11	3	0%	1.0	19.7%	11.5%	8.2%	3.0%	4.91	4.91	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SEA	29	0	30	129	27	13	4	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.5%	10.5%	2.9%	4.73	4.65	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	SEA	14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.5%	10.5%	2.9%	4.73	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.5%	10.5%	2.9%	4.73	4.27	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	93	27	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.5%	10.5%	2.9%	4.73	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		67	28	189	853	135	99	14	42%	2.8	15.8%	11.7%	4.2%	1.6%	5.25	4.11	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	30	200	904	143	105	14	42%	2.8	15.8%	11.7%	4.2%	1.6%	5.25	4.11	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sadiel Baro (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	19.7%	11.5%	3.0%	—	4.65	21.0%	10.5%	30	-0.26	—	—	—
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	88
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	83
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	82
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	78
Estevan Gonzalez L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.86	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.09	4.58	195	78
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	78
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	77
Joe Kemlage L 2022 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	19.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.278	5.35	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.93	4.42	128	77
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	77
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	77
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	77
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	77
Jose Alvarez L 2013 · 5.02 FIP	24	SW	5.02	18.0%	8.7%	4.2%	.294	2.98	20.4%	14.8%	124	-2.04	2.78	414	76
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	76
Kyle Twomey L 2016 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP-	4.07	17.6%	10.5%	2.1%	.298	3.96	14.8%	6.9%	68	-0.11	3.96	141	75
Casey Fossum L 2001 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP-	4.32	13.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.270	4.46	19.3%	10.9%	328	+0.14	3.50	782	75
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	74
Marco Gonzales L 2014 · 4.56 FIP	22	SP-	4.56	19.9%	12.8%	2.8%	.277	4.22	16.6%	9.5%	190	-0.34	3.09	1,143	74
Alex Cornwell L 2022 · 3.76 FIP	23	SW	3.76	18.9%	7.3%	2.4%	.382	3.79	16.4%	8.4%	311	+0.03	3.16	381	74
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	20.4%	10.9%	1.14	4.81
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*