Grant Jay

C Inland Empire 66ers

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 225 lbs A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	ASEA	327	.225/.361/.434	12	8	51	—	.146/.262/.279
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBSEA	437	.190/.273/.315	10	8	67	0.3
2028PROJ38% MLB	24	MLBSEA	134	.192/.275/.319	3	3	71	0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	25	MLBSEA	226	.195/.278/.326	5	4	73	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO85

Speed69

wOBA58

wRC+55

BB%53

Chase%47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsSicnarf Loopstok (age 23) · Kendall Simmons (age 23) · Chris Williams (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .271 / .312

PA320

HR7

SB6

K%33

BB%8

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	267	60	14	3	12	41	121	16	8	2	225	361	434	796	210	350	37	13	355	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	280	41	9	2	8	28	164	16	8	2	146	262	279	541	132	288	50	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	280	41	9	2	8	28	164	16	8	2	146	262	279	541	132	297	50	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	267	60	14	3	12	41	121	16	8	2	225	361	434	796	210	350	37	13	355	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	280	41	9	2	8	28	164	16	8	2	146	262	279	541	132	288	50	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	280	41	9	2	8	28	164	16	8	2	146	262	279	541	132	288	50	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	437	389	75	14	3	10	36	143	9	8	2	190	273	315	588	125	267	33	8	268	67	-17	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	38%	355	316	62	11	2	9	29	114	7	7	2	194	277	324	601	130	270	32	8	273	71	-12	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	408	363	71	13	2	10	34	129	8	8	2	198	280	331	611	133	271	32	8	277	73	-13	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	64%	441	393	78	14	3	11	37	137	8	9	2	200	282	336	618	136	272	31	8	279	75	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	66%	455	406	82	15	3	12	38	140	8	9	2	201	283	337	620	135	272	31	8	280	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2032	28	MLB MLE	SEA	67%	460	410	82	15	2	12	39	141	8	8	2	202	283	336	618	134	272	31	8	280	75	-13	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	SEA	66%	456	407	81	15	2	11	38	141	8	8	2	199	280	329	609	130	271	31	8	276	73	-15	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	449	402	78	14	2	10	37	140	7	7	3	196	276	321	598	125	268	31	8	271	70	-16	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	38%	134	119	23	4	1	3	11	43	3	3	1	192	275	319	595	127	267	32	8	270	71	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	226	201	38	7	1	5	19	72	4	4	1	195	278	326	604	130	269	32	8	274	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	64%	281	250	50	9	2	7	24	88	5	6	1	198	280	331	611	133	269	31	9	277	75	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	66%	299	267	53	10	2	7	25	92	5	6	2	199	281	332	613	132	270	31	8	277	76	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	SEA	67%	307	273	55	10	2	8	26	94	5	6	2	200	281	330	611	131	270	31	8	277	75	-9	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	SEA	66%	300	267	52	10	1	7	25	93	5	5	2	197	278	324	602	127	268	31	8	273	73	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	292	261	50	9	1	7	24	91	5	5	2	194	275	316	591	122	266	31	8	269	70	-11	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1839	1638	321	59	10	44	154	573	32	35	11	196	278	325	603	129	269	31	8	274	71	-58	+3	-3	+33	+40	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	115	21	4	16	54	203	11	12	4	199	279	332	611	133	273	31	8	274	71	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3671	3262	629	116	20	90	306	1211	76	70	19	193	277	323	601	131	272	33	8	273	71	-108	+6	-4	+60	+72	2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	112	21	4	16	54	214	13	12	3	194	277	327	604	133	274	33	8	273	71	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	6	31	203*	288*	330*	+44	-1	3.8	4.2
/162	664	2	8	+11.6	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Billy Sullivan'01-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,652 PA	5.5	3,652	11	92	206*	257*	335*	+64	-1	2.9	3.4
/162	664	2	17	+11.7	-0.2	0.5	pk7: 4
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.3	2,158	53	40	199	277	330	+39	+20	3.2	3.1
/162	664	16	12	+11.9	+6.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Grant Jay (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	44→49	48→53	56	188/271/312	124	267	7	6	33%	8%	67	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→36	49→50	53→50	39	208/269/355	147	289	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.5	208/272/340	132	295	14	10	33%	6%	73	-0.6	202/272/344	143	283	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Chris Williams 2021 · A	24	35→31	49→55	49→40	47	187/275/336	149	266	17	5	35%	10%	74	-0.6	187/267/334	147	293	18	4	39%	9%	70	-0.8	175/259/344	169	246	24	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→50	48→45	53	209/300/336	128	267	12	11	25%	10%	82	+0.0	201/292/339	138	285	13	8	31%	10%	80	-0.1	178/280/321	143	246	16	6	32%	11%	70	-0.6
✕Adam Zebrowski 2024 · A	23	35→33	46→50	49→40	41	182/255/306	124	272	14	3	37%	8%	59	-1.6	191/245/316	125	282	16	4	37%	6%	57	-1.8	186/237/319	133	265	18	2	36%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→37	49→45	51→50	40	207/277/361	153	275	17	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	209/284/321	112	285	10	10	29%	6%	74	-0.6	205/290/288	83	271	7	10	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Freuddy Batista 2023 · A	23	41	47→50	49→40	38	203/273/342	139	299	15	8	36%	6%	74	-0.5	208/263/337	129	300	13	4	33%	5%	68	-1.0	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	38→40	46→50	51→50	37	199/250/327	129	279	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/255/347	143	278	15	11	31%	5%	68	-1.0	196/250/340	143	260	16	11	30%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	182/248/308	126	266	15	5	36%	7%	57	-1.8	208/266/323	115	283	12	4	30%	7%	66	-1.1	206/265/315	109	274	12	2	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A	23	38	45→50	47→30	44	191/278/314	124	278	13	2	34%	9%	70	-0.8	195/271/326	131	277	15	3	33%	8%	70	-0.9	176/253/298	122	249	15	0	34%	7%	54	-0.9
✕Braxton Fulford 2023 · A	24	44→41	47→50	52→50	44	216/299/348	131	298	14	10	31%	8%	85	+0.2	213/288/349	136	291	14	10	30%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/351	144	282	15	9	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	40	47→50	47→45	36	209/246/340	131	279	16	4	31%	4%	62	-1.4	203/244/336	133	263	14	4	28%	5%	61	-1.5	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→42	44→55	45→50	44	183/264/301	119	275	11	7	36%	9%	61	-1.5	207/286/371	164	296	18	9	34%	9%	86	+0.3	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Pablo Aliendo 2024 · AA	23	42	46→50	49→45	39	210/276/342	132	302	14	6	34%	6%	75	-0.5	196/262/340	144	304	17	5	39%	6%	70	-0.9	171/240/309	138	271	18	1	42%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	39	181/242/290	109	276	11	4	37%	7%	50	-2.3	203/259/322	119	277	12	4	30%	6%	63	-1.3	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Nick Cimillo 2024 · A	24	42→37	49→55	47→40	45	211/291/359	149	291	16	5	32%	9%	84	+0.2	206/277/378	172	264	21	5	29%	8%	84	+0.1	191/263/365	174	240	22	3	30%	8%	73	-0.4

Grant Jay

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps