Brooks Brannon

C Portland Sea Dogs

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 210 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #719MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AABOS	159	.224/.302/.385	5	1	48	—	.182/.239/.284
2025	21	A+BOS	224	.270/.312/.398	5	3	42	—	.212/.237/.309
2026	22	AABOS	398	.280/.358/.560	22	2	107	—	.243/.305/.461
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBBOS	6	.219/.273/.382	0	0	78	0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	24	MLBBOS	129	.224/.279/.394	4	1	83	0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBBOS	212	.227/.283/.401	7	2	86	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Arb-2$4M2033Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO94

wOBA86

wRC+86

BB%44

Chase%35

Z-Con%32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 17, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 65%

CompsJulian Leon (age 23) · Deivy Grullón (age 23) · Marcos Castañon (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .273 / .382

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP306

ISO156

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED32

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$8M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	15	13	6	1	2	0	2	5	0	0	0	462	533	846	1.379	385	750	33	13	575	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	25	24	7	0	0	3	1	8	0	0	0	292	320	667	987	375	308	32	4	422	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	52	48	12	3	1	3	3	12	0	0	0	250	294	542	836	292	273	23	6	352	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	230	207	52	8	2	6	23	67	0	5	1	251	326	396	722	145	343	29	10	324	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	27	23	4	0	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	174	296	174	470		308	37	15	237	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	72	68	21	4	0	2	4	21	0	0	0	309	347	456	803	147	422	29	6	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	159	143	32	8	0	5	15	54	1	1	0	224	302	385	687	161	321	34	9	309	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	224	211	57	8	2	5	12	63	1	3	1	270	312	398	711	128	364	28	5	317	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	398	350	98	28	2	22	39	115	4	2	1	280	358	560	918	280	350	29	10	394	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	15	14	3	0	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	214	267	357	624	143	589	47	7	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	25	24	5	0	0	2	1	11	0	0	0	208	240	458	698	250	279	44	4	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	52	49	9	2	1	2	2	17	0	0	0	184	216	388	603	204	205	33	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	230	214	41	6	1	4	16	96	0	5	1	192	248	285	533	93	322	42	7	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	27	24	3	0	0	0	3	14	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		253	52	11	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	159	148	27	6	0	3	10	67	1	1	0	182	239	284	523	101	316	42	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	224	217	46	5	2	4	6	88	1	3	1	212	237	309	545	97	331	39	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	398	362	88	24	2	17	28	140	4	2	1	243	305	461	766	218	333	35	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	15	14	3	0	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	214	267	357	624	143	429	47	7	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	15	13	6	1	2	0	2	5	0	0	0	462	533	846	1.379	385	750	33	13	575	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	77	73	14	2	1	4	3	28	0	0	0	192	224	411	635	219	244	36	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	77	72	19	3	1	6	4	20	0	0	0	264	303	583	886	319	283	26	5	375	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	329	305	56	7	2	6	24	141	0	6	1	184	243	279	522	95	316	43	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	329	298	77	12	2	8	31	98	0	6	1	258	328	393	721	134	359	30	9	324	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	383	365	73	11	2	7	16	156	2	4	1	200	238	299	536	99	327	41	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	383	354	89	16	2	10	27	117	2	4	1	251	308	393	701	141	348	31	7	314	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	398	362	88	24	2	17	28	140	4	2	1	243	305	461	766	218	340	35	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	398	350	98	28	2	22	39	115	4	2	1	280	358	560	918	280	350	29	10	394	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	15	14	3	0	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	214	267	357	624	143	589	47	7	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	77	74	14	2	1	4	3	28	0	0	0	189	224	405	629	216	229	36	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	329	302	56	7	2	6	24	141	0	6	1	185	243	281	525	96	315	43	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	383	362	73	11	2	7	16	156	2	4	1	202	238	301	539	99	325	41	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	398	363	88	24	2	17	28	140	4	2	1	242	305	460	765	218	333	35	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	329	302	56	7	2	6	24	141	0	6	1	185	243	281	525	96	315	43	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	383	362	73	11	2	7	16	156	2	4	1	202	238	301	539	99	325	41	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	398	363	88	24	2	17	28	140	4	2	1	242	305	460	765	218	333	35	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BOS	2%	508	468	100	22	2	16	31	173	4	4	1	213	267	374	641	161	294	34	6	283	78	-13	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	BOS	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	219	273	382	655	163	306	33	0	289	78	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	28%	454	419	91	19	2	16	29	151	3	4	1	217	273	386	659	168	295	33	6	291	83	-9	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	BOS	44%	486	447	98	21	2	17	32	159	4	4	1	220	277	393	670	173	295	33	7	296	86	-8	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.9
2030	26	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	505	462	102	21	2	18	34	162	4	4	1	222	280	396	676	174	295	32	7	298	88	-7	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	511	467	104	22	2	18	35	162	4	4	1	222	281	394	675	172	294	32	7	298	88	-7	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	511	467	104	22	2	18	35	161	4	3	1	221	281	390	671	169	293	32	7	297	87	-8	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.9
2033	29	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	503	460	101	21	2	17	34	160	4	2	2	219	278	384	662	165	291	32	7	293	84	-9	-0	-4	+9	+11	0.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	495	456	98	20	2	16	33	159	3	1	3	216	274	376	651	160	289	32	7	288	81	-11	-1	-5	+9	+11	0.3
2035	31	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	468	431	92	19	2	15	31	152	3	2	4	212	269	367	636	155	286	32	7	282	77	-13	-1	-5	+8	+10	-0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	436	402	82	17	1	13	28	144	3	2	4	206	263	354	617	147	281	33	6	274	72	-15	-1	-6	+8	+9	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	28%	129	119	27	6	1	4	8	43	1	1	0	224	279	394	673	171	306	33	6	297	83	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	BOS	44%	212	194	44	10	1	7	14	69	2	2	1	227	283	401	684	175	307	33	7	302	86	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	265	243	55	13	1	9	18	85	2	2	1	228	286	404	690	176	306	32	7	304	88	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	286	263	60	14	1	10	19	91	2	2	1	228	287	403	689	174	305	32	7	304	88	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2032	28	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	296	272	62	14	1	10	20	93	2	2	1	228	287	399	686	171	304	31	7	303	87	-5	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	291	267	61	14	1	10	20	93	2	1	1	225	284	392	676	167	302	32	7	299	84	-5	-0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	285	262	58	13	1	9	19	92	2	1	2	222	280	385	665	163	300	32	7	294	81	-6	-1	-3	+5	+6	0.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	269	247	54	12	1	8	18	87	2	1	2	218	275	375	650	157	297	32	7	288	77	-7	-1	-3	+5	+6	-0.0
2036	32	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	251	232	49	11	1	7	16	83	1	1	3	213	269	362	631	150	292	33	6	280	72	-8	-1	-3	+4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2284	2099	470	107	9	74	152	736	16	13	12	224	281	389	671	165	305	32	7	297	80	-46	-2	-18	+41	+49	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	134	30	3	21	43	209	5	4	3	224	282	390	672	166	305	32	7	297	80	-13	-1	-5	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5891	5425	1169	240	26	192	383	1991	40	41	22	215	272	375	648	160	299	34	7	286	80	-96	-2	-35	+84	+102	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	128	26	3	21	42	220	4	5	2	214	270	372	642	159	296	34	6	286	80	-13	-0	-5	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#4John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#5Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.4	2,291	78	13	218	273	384	+41	-20	5.5	5.2
/162	664	23	4	+11.9	-5.8	1.6	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brooks Brannon (OGILVIE)	23	35→40	57	32	42	211/265/371	159	294	10	3	34%	6%	78	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Julian Leon 2019 · AAA	23	40	48→45	38→30	43	201/288/338	137	303	17	3	37%	9%	79	-0.2	188/279/300	112	310	11	5	39%	9%	67	-1.1	129/234/211	82	231	8	0	44%	10%	30	-1.6
✕Deivy Grullón 2019 · AA	23	47→45	49→55	41→30	37	238/271/379	141	306	18	2	28%	4%	81	-0.1	230/281/398	168	322	23	4	34%	6%	90	+0.6	211/270/386	176	299	25	1	37%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A	24	38→48	51→50	38→40	46	201/294/355	155	278	19	2	33%	10%	86	+0.3	220/281/359	139	288	16	3	28%	7%	80	-0.1	222/277/356	134	285	15	2	27%	6%	76	-0.3
●Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	42→38	50→65	42→45	39	211/276/367	156	300	17	5	34%	6%	81	-0.1	212/267/380	168	296	20	5	34%	6%	80	-0.1	247/319/462	214	314	30	2	30%	9%	119	+1.2
✕Kyle Wilson 2006 · A	23	46	55→60	38→30	38	239/286/424	185	309	24	4	31%	5%	98	+1.2	216/259/333	117	277	12	4	26%	4%	66	-1.1	194/230/280	86	245	7	0	24%	2%	40	-1.4
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→38	47→55	37→40	45	204/267/342	138	254	15	4	26%	7%	72	-0.7	206/284/354	148	268	16	3	28%	9%	81	-0.1	186/283/356	170	238	19	4	29%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Michael Wing 2012 · A	23	49→50	47→55	35→40	41	245/290/379	135	305	14	4	24%	5%	88	+0.4	214/254/333	119	280	11	5	27%	4%	63	-1.3	224/265/377	153	286	16	4	27%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Jamie Romak 2009 · AA	23	39→48	54→55	39→45	41	206/280/385	179	292	22	2	36%	8%	86	+0.3	202/262/336	134	270	15	4	30%	6%	68	-1.0	202/257/379	177	268	21	5	33%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2023 · AAA	25	44	50	35→45	37	229/263/382	153	275	18	2	24%	3%	79	-0.2	219/271/352	133	259	17	4	22%	5%	75	-0.5	205/264/324	119	239	16	2	22%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	39→41	46→45	38→30	41	191/287/320	129	294	14	2	37%	8%	75	-0.5	199/302/320	121	292	12	3	34%	8%	81	-0.1	177/295/278	101	266	11	1	34%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Victor Bericoto 2024 · AA	22	44→49	50	41→40	42	226/280/376	150	296	19	3	30%	7%	84	+0.1	235/281/359	124	312	14	4	28%	6%	80	-0.2	240/285/353	113	317	13	3	27%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39→40	51→50	41→30	50	208/291/361	154	264	19	3	29%	10%	85	+0.2	201/283/316	115	282	12	3	31%	9%	72	-0.7	183/271/276	93	265	9	1	32%	9%	58	-0.9
✕Alex Jackson 2018 · AA	22	40→38	49→60	42→30	34	204/259/348	144	300	17	3	37%	5%	70	-0.8	193/257/364	171	286	22	3	40%	5%	74	-0.6	173/252/371	198	240	29	2	40%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Lenyn Sosa 2024 · MLB	24	46→53	49→50	36→40	39	236/269/376	140	287	18	3	25%	4%	79	-0.2	242/274/383	141	292	18	4	23%	4%	83	+0.1	242/273/379	136	290	18	3	23%	3%	81	-0.0
✕Brennen Davis 2023 · AAA	23	41→43	47→50	43→45	42	204/289/341	137	303	15	7	36%	8%	80	-0.1	191/280/318	127	261	15	9	32%	7%	72	-0.7	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Chris Wallace 2012 · AA	24	44→41	52→55	43→45	38	227/280/392	165	293	20	4	30%	5%	88	+0.4	222/273/340	118	318	12	4	32%	5%	72	-0.7	225/274/321	96	336	8	3	34%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Eric Haase 2017 · AA	24	36→42	49→65	41→40	35	188/243/339	151	283	16	3	39%	6%	61	-1.5	200/255/382	182	287	23	4	38%	6%	76	-0.4	220/279/438	218	287	32	2	35%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Eddys Leonard 2024 · AAA	23	46→47	48→50	43→50	42	229/293/371	141	294	15	5	27%	6%	88	+0.4	218/274/363	145	273	17	10	26%	5%	79	-0.2	210/266/358	149	254	18	11	25%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	37→42	48→50	41→40	47	185/278/325	140	290	16	2	39%	11%	72	-0.7	204/302/356	152	310	17	3	36%	12%	88	+0.4	199/306/353	154	293	17	2	34%	13%	89	+0.4
✕Tyler Ogle 2016 · A	25	41→43	50	36→30	50	215/293/365	150	260	19	2	25%	9%	86	+0.3	211/278/346	135	271	15	5	27%	7%	76	-0.4	174/243/288	114	217	12	0	25%	6%	49	-0.6

Brooks Brannon

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps