Jean Calderon prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jean Calderon P St. Lucie Mets

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 220 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.22

FIP5.22

K%22.1%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%6.5%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	10	0	10	47	20	9	1	0%	1.0	42.6%	19.1%	23.4%	2.1%	9.58	3.10	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	10	0	10	47	20	9	1	0%	1.0	42.6%	19.1%	23.4%	2.1%	9.58	3.10	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	7	2	16	68	21	5	1	29%	2.2	21.0%	9.2%	11.8%	1.9%	5.74	3.54	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	7	2	16	68	21	5	1	29%	2.2	30.9%	7.4%	23.5%	1.5%	5.74	2.21	—
2023	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	24	0	28	147	31	35	1	0%	1.2	15.6%	28.1%	-12.5%	0.7%	6.43	5.72	—
2023	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	24	0	28	147	31	35	1	0%	1.2	15.6%	28.1%	-12.5%	0.7%	6.43	5.72	—
2023	22	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	24	0	28	147	31	35	1	0%	1.2	21.1%	23.8%	-2.7%	0.7%	6.43	5.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	NYM	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.1%	15.6%	6.5%	3.0%	5.22	5.22	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYM	19	0	20	84	19	13	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	3.0%	5.12	5.11	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYM	9	0	9	38	9	6	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	3.0%	5.12	5.11	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	3.0%	5.12	4.73	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	117	23	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	3.0%	5.12	4.73	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		41	2	54	262	57	57	3	5%	1.3	21.8%	21.6%	0.3%	1.3%	6.83	4.68	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		152	7	200	970	212	209	12	5%	1.3	21.8%	21.6%	0.3%	1.3%	6.83	4.68	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jean Calderon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.22	22.1%	15.6%	3.0%	—	5.11	22.4%	7.5%	20	-0.11	—	—	—
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	89
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	86
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	86
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	85
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	84
Brad Boxberger R 2013 · 4.40 FIP	25	SU	4.40	25.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.296	3.54	32.3%	22.2%	152	-0.86	2.63	478	84
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	84
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.13	18.4%	7.3%	90	-0.76	3.84	164	83
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	83
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	83
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	83
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	83
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	82
Dan Kolb R 2001 · 4.49 FIP	26	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.9%	2.9%	.295	3.61	14.3%	5.5%	131	-0.88	3.00	283	82