Yilber Herrera — OGILVIE

Yilber HerreraSS FCL Twins

Age 21 S/R 5'11" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION161 act + 107 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .310 / .277

PA107

HR1

SB5

K%30

BB%14

BABIP274

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT28

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.4M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$25M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	149	131	16	4	2	1	15	60	1	10	6	122	218	206	424	84	208	40	10	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	149	116	21	6	3	1	30	40	1	10	6	181	354	310	664	129	260	27	20	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	149	125	20	8	2	1	19	45	1	10	6	160	276	280	556	120	229	30	13	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	149	114	26	11	2	1	30	31	1	10	6	228	393	386	779	158	291	21	20	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	140	119	18	2	1	2	18	53	2	7	6	151	273	235	509	84	246	38	13	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	140	106	24	3	1	2	31	35	2	7	6	226	410	330	740	104	314	25	22	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	—	147	117	13	3	0	3	25	55	3	10	6	111	283	214	496	103	164	37	17	232	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	—	147	104	16	4	0	3	38	38	3	10	6	154	393	279	672	125	200	26	26	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	ROK	MIN	—	161	129	19	3	1	1	28	63	2	17	3	147	308	209	517	62	269	39	17	262	59	-7	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.1
YTD	21	ROK	MIN	—	161	114	26	4	2	2	43	44	2	17	3	228	447	351	797	123	343	27	27	374	145	+8	+2	+0	+2	+5	1.7
ROS	21	ROK	MIN	0%	107	90	17	3	1	1	15	32	1	5	1	188	310	277	587	89	268	30	14	279	71	-3	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		268	—	—	271	65	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	ROK	MIN	—	161	130	19	3	1	1	28	63	2	17	3	146	308	208	516	62	265	39	17	262	59	-7	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.1
TOT	21	ROK	MIN	—	268	219	36	6	2	2	43	95	3	22	4	164	309	237	546	73	271	35	16	269	64	-11	+3	+0	+3	+8	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIN	43%	287	243	48	9	2	5	39	83	3	8	2	198	316	313	629	115	274	29	14	291	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.6
2028	23	MLB	MIN	61%	377	320	64	12	2	7	50	106	4	11	3	200	316	316	631	116	277	28	13	297	85	-6	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.0
2029	24	MLB	MIN	66%	437	372	78	15	3	9	57	121	5	13	3	210	323	339	661	129	278	28	13	300	88	-6	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.3
2030	25	MLB	MIN	69%	469	400	84	16	3	10	61	129	5	14	3	210	322	340	662	130	279	28	13	302	89	-6	+2	+0	+5	+13	1.5
2031	26	MLB	MIN	70%	486	415	86	16	3	10	63	134	5	14	3	207	319	333	651	125	279	28	13	302	90	-6	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.5
2032	27	MLB	MIN	69%	492	419	87	16	3	11	65	136	5	14	4	208	321	339	660	131	279	28	13	303	90	-6	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.5
2033	28	MLB	MIN	68%	491	418	86	16	3	10	65	136	5	14	3	206	320	330	650	124	278	28	13	302	89	-6	+2	-1	+5	+14	1.4
2034	29	MLB	MIN	67%	483	411	85	16	3	10	64	135	5	12	3	207	321	333	654	127	278	28	13	300	88	-7	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.2
2035	30	MLB	MIN	66%	474	403	83	15	3	10	63	133	5	11	3	206	321	333	653	127	276	28	13	297	86	-8	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.0
2036	31	MLB	MIN	71%	461	392	79	15	2	9	61	131	5	9	2	202	317	319	635	117	274	28	13	294	83	-9	+1	-3	+5	+13	0.7
2027	22	MLB	MIN	43%	124	105	21	4	1	2	17	36	1	4	1	200	317	314	631	114	274	29	14	283	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2028	23	MLB	MIN	61%	229	195	39	8	1	4	30	64	2	7	2	200	313	313	626	113	277	28	13	289	80	-5	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.4
2029	24	MLB	MIN	66%	289	246	52	10	2	6	38	80	3	8	2	211	324	341	666	130	279	28	13	293	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.6
2030	25	MLB	MIN	69%	322	274	58	11	2	7	42	89	3	9	2	212	323	343	666	131	279	28	13	294	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.8
2031	26	MLB	MIN	70%	339	288	60	11	2	7	44	93	4	10	2	208	321	333	655	125	279	27	13	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2032	27	MLB	MIN	69%	339	287	60	11	2	7	45	93	4	10	2	209	324	334	659	125	279	27	13	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2033	28	MLB	MIN	68%	336	284	59	11	2	7	45	93	4	9	2	208	324	335	659	127	278	28	13	294	83	-6	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.7
2034	29	MLB	MIN	67%	322	273	57	11	2	7	43	90	3	8	2	209	323	341	664	132	278	28	13	292	82	-7	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2035	30	MLB	MIN	66%	311	264	54	10	2	6	41	88	3	7	2	205	318	326	644	121	277	28	13	290	80	-7	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2036	31	MLB	MIN	71%	327	277	55	10	2	6	44	93	3	7	2	199	315	314	629	116	274	28	13	286	77	-8	+1	-2	+4	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2938	2494	515	97	18	59	389	819	30	79	19	206	321	331	652	124	279	28	13	292	82	-61	+8	-5	+31	+83	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	552	113	21	4	13	86	181	7	17	4	205	320	328	648	123	276	28	13	292	82	-14	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5149	4375	864	166	33	99	680	1489	55	162	54	197	313	318	631	121	272	29	13	290	80	-114	+11	-7	+55	+146	9.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	552	108	21	4	12	86	188	7	20	7	196	312	313	625	118	270	29	13	290	80	-14	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	149	116	21	6	3	1	30	40	1	10	6	181	354	310	664	129	260	27	20	310	96	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	149	114	26	11	2	1	30	31	1	10	6	228	393	386	779	158	291	21	20	349	125	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	140	106	24	3	1	2	31	35	2	7	6	226	410	330	740	104	314	25	22	350	126	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	34	26	6	2	0	1	8	10	0	3	0	231	412	423	835	192	333	29	24	381	150	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	113	78	10	2	0	2	30	28	3	7	6	128	387	231	618	103	160	25	27	312	97	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	8	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
	/162	664	14	9	225	325	344	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,114	63	83	207	318	332	+33	+21	8.2	7.3
	/162	664	13	18	207	318	332	+7.1	+4.5	1.7	pk7: 6
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yilber Herrera (OGILVIE)	21	23→28	36→41	55→60	80	164/309/237	73	271	2	22	35%	16%	64	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	42	41→45	55→50	50	202/289/303	101	287	8	16	30%	10%	67	-0.5	220/278/339	119	309	13	11	31%	7%	71	-0.3	222/264/350	128	302	16	8	31%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Josh Johnson 2007 · A	21	46→49	37→45	49→50	57	215/306/291	76	273	4	11	21%	11%	71	-0.3	220/302/287	67	289	3	10	22%	10%	68	-0.5	249/317/359	110	296	9	16	18%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Nolan Fontana 2013 · A	22	47→43	40	53→50	63	217/344/317	100	295	6	15	25%	15%	95	+1.4	207/315/301	94	308	5	11	30%	13%	78	+0.2	201/309/291	90	299	4	9	30%	13%	71	-0.2
●Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	45→54	40→45	53→50	52	214/297/310	95	272	8	10	23%	10%	72	-0.2	225/295/354	129	272	12	8	21%	8%	82	+0.5	238/307/358	119	303	12	6	24%	8%	85	+0.5
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	45→38	38→40	63→60	49	212/292/308	96	281	3	21	24%	9%	69	-0.4	201/272/280	79	302	2	16	31%	8%	53	-1.5	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	42→39	46→45	53→55	51	210/295/335	126	263	13	20	25%	10%	78	+0.2	210/269/323	113	265	11	17	24%	7%	63	-0.8	202/247/302	100	249	8	18	22%	5%	46	-0.6
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	48→49	47→50	48→45	53	234/319/377	143	286	13	11	22%	10%	98	+1.6	227/305/369	142	277	14	9	22%	9%	91	+1.1	218/298/359	141	264	15	9	22%	9%	83	+0.4
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2013 · A	21	47	39→40	52→55	53	221/300/312	92	270	6	17	20%	9%	73	-0.1	215/283/307	92	280	7	10	24%	8%	65	-0.7	213/265/281	67	285	5	7	26%	5%	45	-0.8
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	41→43	41→45	51→55	54	194/303/299	105	291	7	16	32%	13%	72	-0.2	205/300/298	93	293	6	20	29%	11%	70	-0.3	210/285/315	105	268	10	21	24%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Luis Lara 2017 · A	22	48	42→45	52→45	50	233/294/345	112	273	9	8	18%	8%	79	+0.3	206/271/299	93	276	7	5	26%	8%	57	-1.2	170/241/242	72	237	6	1	29%	8%	27	-0.8
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→47	44→50	48→50	47	218/285/344	126	279	11	11	25%	8%	76	+0.0	225/282/355	130	283	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.1	227/277/371	143	272	15	13	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→50	50→30	46	213/275/298	85	283	5	8	26%	8%	59	-1.1	215/286/338	123	301	12	3	30%	9%	74	-0.1	237/323/373	135	298	13	0	23%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	42→52	37→40	52→65	49	195/284/270	75	291	4	13	32%	10%	56	-1.3	196/276/282	86	296	6	10	32%	10%	56	-1.3	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2013 · A	22	45	40	53→55	53	218/296/306	88	253	9	19	18%	9%	70	-0.3	203/280/285	82	264	6	13	23%	9%	58	-1.2	141/245/214	74	184	4	14	24%	11%	24	-0.7
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	40→45	54→60	55	161/294/251	90	257	7	24	35%	14%	59	-1.1	189/306/294	105	299	8	20	35%	12%	73	-0.1	189/308/299	110	300	9	21	35%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	44	36→40	48→45	47	207/285/272	64	289	4	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	237/301/331	94	305	7	8	23%	6%	79	+0.3	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	44→51	40→50	51→55	43	214/270/306	92	286	8	15	27%	7%	59	-1.1	203/268/295	92	290	8	17	31%	8%	56	-1.3	230/313/367	137	305	14	25	27%	10%	91	+0.7
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	46→50	41→40	56→60	46	222/287/330	108	287	6	20	24%	7%	72	-0.2	217/282/308	91	288	7	26	25%	7%	65	-0.7	206/276/294	89	271	8	32	26%	7%	55	-0.9