Yilber Herrera — OGILVIE

Yilber HerreraSS Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 21 S/R 5'11" / 145 lbs A BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.1 · 2031

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .294 / .323

PA140

HR3

SB7

K%30

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

21↗26

PWR

37↗42

SPD

52↗57

EYE

71↗76

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$19M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.0	$20M	+$19M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.8	$18M	+$14M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.6	$17M	+$11M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.3	$14M	+$7M
Totals		$19M		$108M	+$89M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	149	130	16	4	2	1	16	59	1	10	6	.123	.224	.208	.432	.085	.208	40	11	.195	7	-16	-0	+0	+2	+4	-1.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Twins	149	125	20	8	2	1	19	45	1	10	6	.160	.276	.280	.556	.120	.229	30	13	.246	46	-9	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	140	119	18	2	1	2	18	52	2	7	6	.151	.273	.235	.509	.084	.242	37	13	.237	40	-10	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	147	117	12	3	0	2	25	55	3	10	6	.103	.276	.179	.455	.077	.161	37	17	.231	35	-11	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	35	27	3	1	0	1	7	21	1	4	1	.111	.314	.259	.574	.148	.400	60	20	.231	35	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	105	91	19	4	1	2	12	34	1	3	1	.209	.308	.341	.648	.132	.285	32	11	.284	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
TOT	21	MLB	MIN	140	118	22	5	1	3	19	55	2	7	2	.186	.309	.322	.631	.136	.311	39	14	.270	65	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	MIN	230	198	42	8	1	6	27	61	3	6	2	.212	.316	.354	.669	.141	.271	27	12	.301	88	-3	+0	+0	+2	+7	0.6
2028	23	MLB 28%	MIN	335	288	63	12	2	9	40	86	4	9	2	.219	.322	.368	.690	.149	.273	26	12	.308	94	-2	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.2
2029	24	MLB 45%	MIN	408	351	77	15	2	11	49	103	5	10	3	.219	.323	.368	.691	.148	.275	25	12	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.6
2030	25	MLB 60%	MIN	450	387	85	16	2	13	55	113	5	11	3	.220	.324	.372	.696	.152	.276	25	12	.316	100	+0	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.9
2031	26	MLB 77%	MIN	474	407	90	17	2	14	58	119	6	11	3	.221	.327	.376	.703	.155	.276	25	12	.318	102	+1	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.1
2032	27	MLB 92%	MIN	484	415	92	18	2	14	60	122	6	11	3	.222	.328	.376	.704	.154	.276	25	12	.318	102	+1	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.1
2033	28	MLB	MIN	486	416	92	18	2	14	61	123	6	11	3	.221	.329	.375	.704	.154	.276	25	13	.317	101	+0	+1	-1	+5	+14	2.0
2034	29	MLB	MIN	480	411	89	17	2	13	60	123	6	10	2	.217	.325	.363	.687	.146	.275	26	12	.315	99	-0	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.8
2035	30	MLB	MIN	472	404	87	17	2	13	59	123	6	10	2	.215	.324	.364	.688	.149	.273	26	12	.312	97	-2	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.6
2036	31	MLB	MIN	460	394	84	16	2	12	58	121	5	8	1	.213	.322	.355	.677	.142	.272	26	13	.308	94	-3	+1	-3	+5	+13	1.3
2037	32	MLB	MIN	442	379	79	15	2	11	55	119	5	8	1	.208	.317	.346	.662	.137	.270	27	12	.303	90	-5	+1	-4	+5	+13	1.0
2038	33	MLB	MIN	413	353	73	14	2	10	52	114	5	7	0	.207	.317	.343	.660	.136	.268	28	13	.298	86	-6	+1	-4	+4	+12	0.7
2039	34	MLB	MIN	368	315	62	12	1	8	46	105	4	6	0	.197	.307	.317	.624	.121	.266	29	12	.291	81	-8	+1	-5	+4	+10	0.3
2040	35	MLB	MIN	315	270	53	10	1	7	39	93	3	6	0	.196	.304	.319	.623	.122	.263	30	12	.284	75	-9	+1	-6	+3	+9	-0.1
2041	36	MLB	MIN	258	222	42	8	1	5	31	79	3	5	0	.189	.297	.302	.599	.113	.260	31	12	.275	69	-9	+1	-6	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6765	5792	1195	234	32	168	840	1849	80	169	50	.206	.315	.345	.660	.138	.269	27	12	.300	88	-95	+14	-31	+72	+192	15.5
/ 162G	—			650	557	114	22	3	16	81	178	8	16	5	.205	.315	.341	.656	.136	.267	27	12	.300	88	-9	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	149	116	21	6	3	1	30	40	1	10	6	.181	.354	.310	.664	.129	.260	27	20	.310	96	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Twins	149	114	26	11	2	1	30	31	1	10	6	.228	.393	.386	.779	.158	.291	21	20	.349	125	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	140	106	24	3	1	2	31	35	2	7	6	.226	.410	.330	.740	.104	.314	25	22	.350	126	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	34	26	6	2	0	1	8	10	0	3	0	.231	.412	.423	.835	.192	.333	29	24	.381	150	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	20	ROK	FCL Twins	113	78	10	2	0	2	30	28	3	7	6	.128	.387	.231	.618	.103	.160	25	27	.312	97	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yilber Herrera (OGILVIE)	21	21→26	37→42	52→57	76	.203/.294/.323	.120	.282	3	3	30%	10%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	47→48	46→50	47→45	53	.232/.316/.369	.138	.282	13	11	22%	10%	95	+1.4	.228/.308/.369	.141	.274	14	9	21%	9%	92	+1.2	.219/.301/.361	.142	.260	15	9	21%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	44→45	40→45	55→50	50	.208/.290/.307	.098	.287	7	16	28%	10%	68	-0.5	.222/.281/.341	.119	.304	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	.227/.267/.356	.130	.303	16	8	30%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→45	50→30	46	.215/.277/.302	.088	.284	6	8	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.215/.286/.335	.120	.300	12	3	30%	9%	73	-0.1	.241/.325/.370	.129	.305	12	0	23%	11%	94	+0.6
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	43→40	45	52→55	51	.212/.298/.333	.121	.262	13	19	24%	10%	79	+0.3	.213/.277/.328	.115	.263	11	18	22%	7%	67	-0.5	.203/.251/.303	.099	.247	8	18	21%	6%	48	-0.6
●Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	44→54	37→40	52→65	51	.204/.293/.279	.075	.289	4	14	28%	10%	62	-0.9	.196/.276/.281	.085	.293	6	9	32%	9%	56	-1.3	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	41→50	42→45	48	.206/.286/.310	.104	.297	8	6	31%	10%	67	-0.5	.180/.241/.263	.083	.269	8	5	34%	7%	36	-2.7	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→48	45→50	48→50	46	.219/.283/.344	.126	.277	12	11	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.225/.282/.353	.128	.282	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.1	.224/.278/.351	.127	.277	13	10	23%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	45	36→40	48→45	47	.210/.288/.277	.068	.290	4	5	27%	8%	59	-1.1	.233/.300/.320	.087	.305	6	8	24%	7%	76	+0.0	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2023 · A	21	42→34	43→45	51→50	44	.203/.280/.321	.117	.309	10	15	35%	9%	67	-0.5	.191/.255/.298	.107	.283	10	11	34%	7%	51	-1.7	.179/.237/.275	.096	.257	9	10	33%	6%	35	-1.5
✕Nolan Fontana 2013 · A	22	46→43	41→40	53→50	60	.213/.329/.315	.101	.288	7	14	26%	14%	88	+0.9	.208/.315/.303	.095	.304	6	11	29%	13%	79	+0.3	.201/.310/.291	.090	.296	4	9	29%	13%	71	-0.2
●Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	45→53	41→45	52→50	52	.215/.295/.312	.097	.270	8	10	22%	9%	72	-0.2	.225/.300/.348	.123	.272	11	8	20%	9%	82	+0.5	.212/.320/.332	.121	.306	11	7	31%	13%	85	+0.5
✕John Aiello 2019 · A	22	47	40→45	47→45	44	.219/.299/.315	.095	.320	7	7	31%	8%	74	-0.1	.205/.278/.311	.106	.340	9	6	40%	6%	65	-0.7	.226/.306/.342	.115	.345	12	3	34%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	.209/.289/.316	.107	.254	9	14	21%	8%	70	-0.3	.226/.290/.341	.115	.304	10	11	28%	6%	77	+0.1	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2022 · A	21	44→40	45	49→45	47	.214/.307/.328	.114	.289	13	8	29%	9%	82	+0.5	.195/.298/.311	.116	.261	12	6	28%	9%	75	-0.0	.175/.290/.274	.099	.238	9	4	28%	10%	60	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)