Yilber Herrera — OGILVIE

Yilber HerreraSS FCL Twins

Age 21 S/R 5'11" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION192 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .316 / .250

PA19

HR0

K%32

BB%16

BABIP270

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT27

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE79

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	149	116	21	6	3	1	30	40	1	10	6	181	354	310	664	129	260	27	20	310	96	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	149	114	26	11	2	1	30	31	1	10	6	228	393	386	779	158	291	21	20	349	122	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	140	106	24	3	1	2	31	35	2	7	6	226	410	330	740	104	314	25	22	350	123	+4	-1	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	34	26	6	2	0	1	8	10	0	3	0	231	412	423	835	192	333	29	24	381	144	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	113	78	10	2	0	2	30	28	3	7	6	128	387	231	618	103	160	25	27	312	98	-0	-1	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	129	15	4	2	1	17	59	1	10	6	116	224	202	426	85	194	40	11	197	19	-14	-0	—	—	+3	-1.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	125	19	8	1	1	19	45	1	10	6	152	269	256	525	104	213	30	13	245	52	-9	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	140	119	19	2	1	2	18	52	2	7	6	160	281	244	524	84	246	37	13	238	47	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	34	28	5	2	0	1	6	14	0	3	0	179	324	357	681	179	303	41	18	287	80	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	113	89	8	1	0	2	19	40	3	7	6	90	270	169	439	79	118	35	17	214	31	-9	-1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	129	15	4	2	1	17	59	1	10	6	116	224	202	426	85	197	40	11	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	149	116	21	6	3	1	30	40	1	10	6	181	354	310	664	129	260	27	20	310	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	125	19	8	1	1	19	45	1	10	6	152	269	256	525	104	217	30	13	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	149	114	26	11	2	1	30	31	1	10	6	228	393	386	779	158	291	21	20	349	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	140	119	19	2	1	2	18	52	2	7	6	160	281	244	524	84	258	37	13	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	140	106	24	3	1	2	31	35	2	7	6	226	410	330	740	104	314	25	22	350	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	147	117	12	3	0	2	25	55	3	10	6	103	276	179	455	77	161	37	17	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	147	104	16	4	0	3	38	38	3	10	6	154	393	279	672	125	200	26	26	328	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	130	15	4	2	1	17	59	1	10	6	115	224	200	424	85	194	40	11	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	128	19	8	1	1	19	45	1	10	6	148	269	250	519	102	213	30	13	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	140	119	19	2	1	2	18	52	2	7	6	160	281	244	524	84	246	37	13	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	147	118	12	3	0	2	25	55	3	10	6	102	276	178	454	76	161	37	17	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	128	19	8	1	1	19	45	1	10	6	148	269	250	519	102	213	30	13	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	140	119	19	2	1	2	18	52	2	7	6	160	281	244	524	84	246	37	13	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	147	118	12	3	0	2	25	55	3	10	6	102	276	178	454	76	161	37	17	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	MIN	—	192	155	23	3	2	1	31	78	3	18	5	148	302	213	514	65	278	41	16	256	59	-9	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	MIN	—	135	96	23	2	2	1	37	34	1	14	3	240	455	333	789	94	355	25	27	376	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A RAW	MIN	—	41	30	5	2	0	1	9	16	1	4	1	167	375	333	708	167	286	39	22	329	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	MIN	—	16	12	3	0	1	0	2	5	1	0	1	250	400	417	817	167	375	31	12	347	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	ROK MLE	MIN	0%	19	16	3	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	188	316	250	566	62	270	32	16	278	74	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	ROK MLE	MIN	—	211	171	26	4	2	1	34	84	3	19	5	152	303	216	519	64	281	40	16	258	61	-10	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	43%	259	219	43	8	2	4	35	75	3	7	2	196	315	306	621	110	276	29	14	290	83	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	61%	357	303	61	11	2	7	47	101	4	10	3	201	316	320	637	119	278	28	13	296	87	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	66%	423	360	75	14	3	9	55	118	5	12	4	208	321	339	660	131	280	28	13	300	89	-5	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	69%	459	391	82	15	3	10	60	127	5	13	4	210	322	340	663	130	280	28	13	302	90	-5	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	70%	480	408	85	16	3	10	63	133	6	14	4	208	323	336	659	127	280	28	13	302	91	-5	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	69%	488	415	86	16	3	10	64	136	6	14	4	207	322	333	654	125	280	28	13	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	488	414	86	16	3	10	65	136	6	13	4	208	324	333	657	126	279	28	13	302	90	-6	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	67%	482	410	84	15	3	10	64	136	5	12	4	205	319	329	649	124	279	28	13	300	89	-6	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.9
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	66%	473	402	82	15	3	9	63	134	5	11	3	204	319	323	643	119	278	28	13	297	87	-7	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	460	391	79	14	3	9	61	132	5	9	3	202	317	322	640	120	275	29	13	294	85	-8	+1	-3	+5	+10	0.4
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	443	376	74	13	3	8	59	129	5	7	2	197	314	311	625	114	272	29	13	289	81	-10	+1	-4	+5	+10	0.2
2038	33	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	414	352	67	12	2	7	55	122	4	5	2	190	307	295	602	105	269	29	13	282	77	-11	+0	-4	+4	+9	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	43%	112	95	19	3	1	2	15	33	1	3	1	200	315	316	631	116	276	29	13	282	83	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	61%	217	184	37	7	1	4	29	62	2	6	2	201	316	315	631	114	278	29	13	288	87	-3	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	66%	280	238	50	9	2	6	37	78	3	8	2	210	324	340	664	130	280	28	13	292	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	69%	315	267	56	10	2	7	41	87	4	9	3	210	324	341	665	131	280	28	13	294	90	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	70%	335	284	59	11	2	7	44	93	4	10	3	208	322	335	657	127	280	28	13	294	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	69%	336	285	59	11	2	7	44	93	4	10	3	207	321	333	655	126	280	28	13	294	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	334	283	59	11	2	7	44	93	4	9	3	208	323	336	659	127	280	28	13	293	90	-4	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	67%	322	272	56	10	2	7	43	91	4	8	2	206	323	335	657	129	279	28	13	292	89	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	66%	311	263	54	10	2	6	41	88	4	7	2	205	321	327	648	122	278	28	13	289	87	-5	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	300	254	51	9	2	6	40	86	3	6	2	201	316	323	639	122	276	29	13	286	85	-5	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	287	244	49	9	2	5	38	83	3	5	1	201	316	316	631	115	273	29	13	281	81	-6	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2038	33	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	267	227	44	8	1	5	35	79	3	3	1	194	309	304	613	110	269	30	13	275	77	-7	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3416	2896	593	108	21	69	451	966	39	84	25	205	320	328	648	123	279	28	13	289	82	-52	+7	-10	+37	+74	5.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	551	113	21	4	13	86	184	7	16	5	205	320	328	648	123	279	28	13	289	82	-10	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5830	4947	972	183	37	109	773	1696	66	165	63	196	313	315	628	118	272	29	13	290	82	-81	+10	-15	+56	+114	8.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	552	108	20	4	12	86	189	7	18	7	196	312	312	623	116	270	29	13	290	82	-10	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.4	3,573	70	87	205	317	327	+38	+27	8.6	7.5
/162	664	13	16	+7.1	+5.0	1.6	pk7: 6
#6Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yilber Herrera (OGILVIE)	21	22→27	35→40	55→60	79	184/308/277	93	270	2	7	30%	14%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nolan Fontana 2013 · A	22	47→43	40	53→50	63	214/343/314	99	296	6	15	26%	16%	95	+0.9	213/321/311	98	309	6	11	29%	13%	84	+0.2	207/315/300	93	301	5	9	29%	13%	78	-0.2
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	43→44	40→45	55→50	50	207/291/305	98	286	7	16	28%	10%	72	-0.7	224/282/341	117	311	12	11	30%	7%	76	-0.4	229/272/354	124	311	15	8	31%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→53	40→45	53→50	51	212/293/307	95	270	8	10	23%	10%	73	-0.6	225/299/349	124	276	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.2	220/327/339	119	312	10	7	29%	13%	91	+0.5
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	47→48	46→50	48→45	54	232/318/372	139	281	13	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	223/303/356	133	270	13	9	21%	9%	88	+0.4	215/296/345	130	258	13	9	21%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Josh Johnson 2007 · A	21	46→49	37→45	49→50	57	215/306/291	76	273	4	11	21%	11%	74	-0.5	220/302/287	67	289	3	10	22%	10%	72	-0.7	244/312/343	100	289	8	16	17%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	74	-0.5	227/292/341	114	308	10	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→45	58→60	54	211/315/327	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	86	+0.3	215/313/338	123	273	13	33	24%	11%	88	+0.5	211/310/338	127	264	13	40	24%	11%	84	+0.2
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→45	50→30	46	213/275/298	85	283	5	8	26%	8%	63	-1.3	216/286/336	120	301	12	3	30%	9%	77	-0.3	233/317/359	126	296	11	0	23%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2013 · A	21	47	39→40	52→55	53	221/300/312	92	270	6	17	20%	9%	76	-0.4	218/286/310	92	283	7	10	24%	8%	71	-0.8	224/275/296	72	297	6	7	25%	5%	59	-0.7
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	42→39	46→45	53→55	51	210/295/335	126	263	13	20	25%	10%	80	-0.1	211/270/323	112	266	10	17	24%	7%	68	-1.0	202/249/302	100	249	8	18	21%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	45→41	38→40	63→60	49	212/292/308	96	281	3	21	24%	9%	72	-0.7	202/272/280	78	301	2	16	31%	8%	58	-1.7	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Luis Lara 2017 · A	22	48	42→45	52→45	50	233/294/345	112	273	9	8	18%	8%	81	-0.1	207/271/300	93	275	7	5	25%	8%	62	-1.4	173/243/245	73	238	6	1	28%	8%	37	-0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Adrian Abreu 2013 · A	22	45	40	53→55	53	218/296/306	88	253	9	19	18%	9%	74	-0.6	203/280/286	83	264	6	13	23%	9%	63	-1.3	141/245/214	74	184	4	14	24%	11%	32	-0.7
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→47	45→50	48→50	47	218/285/345	126	278	11	11	25%	8%	78	-0.3	223/280/346	123	279	12	10	24%	6%	76	-0.4	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2022 · A	21	44→41	45	50→45	48	215/313/329	114	295	13	8	30%	9%	86	+0.3	192/297/304	112	261	12	6	29%	9%	76	-0.4	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	44	36→40	48→45	47	207/285/272	64	289	4	5	28%	8%	62	-1.4	235/300/323	88	304	6	8	23%	6%	79	-0.2	277/346/357	80	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	41→48	43→45	54→50	49	203/292/313	110	263	10	21	26%	9%	75	-0.5	220/278/337	117	273	11	15	23%	6%	74	-0.6	216/272/322	106	264	10	16	22%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/260	96	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	190/306/293	103	293	8	20	33%	12%	76	-0.4	190/308/293	103	292	8	21	33%	12%	74	-0.3
✕Jace Jung 2023 · A	22	44→42	39→50	50→40	50	208/292/300	92	296	6	7	29%	10%	71	-0.8	215/300/370	155	288	18	4	30%	10%	90	+0.6	208/298/364	156	272	18	3	29%	11%	86	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps