Trei Cruz — OGILVIE

Trei CruzCF Toledo Mud Hens

Age 28 S/R 6'0" / 204 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION238 act + 158 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .285 / .325

PA158

HR3

K%30

BB%9

BABIP281

ISO120

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	253	210	26	9	2	2	38	95	1	12	3	124	261	214	475	90	209	38	15	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	253	193	31	11	2	2	55	66	1	12	3	161	349	269	619	109	228	26	22	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	3 teams	—	622	547	100	24	3	11	68	217	0	20	5	183	273	298	571	115	273	35	11	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	3 teams	—	622	518	124	25	5	8	97	142	0	20	5	239	359	353	713	114	309	23	16	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	625	564	95	23	3	12	58	214	2	12	8	168	248	284	532	115	245	34	9	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	625	533	120	26	5	15	88	138	2	12	8	225	337	377	714	152	276	22	14	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	440	405	90	18	1	9	28	142	1	9	8	222	274	338	612	116	314	32	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	440	384	100	23	1	9	49	112	1	9	8	260	346	396	741	135	341	25	11	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	2 teams	—	564	484	124	28	4	14	70	137	4	17	7	256	355	417	772	161	324	24	12	339	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	2 teams	—	564	452	126	33	4	13	102	121	4	17	7	279	416	456	872	177	349	21	18	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	DET	—	238	211	36	6	2	2	20	78	1	1	3	171	246	246	492	76	250	33	8	218	25	-20	-1	+0	+1	+7	-1.4
YTD	28	AAA	DET	—	238	203	40	7	2	2	28	64	1	1	3	197	297	281	578	84	268	27	12	264	60	-11	-1	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
ROS	28	AAA	DET	40%	158	141	29	6	1	3	15	47	1	2	2	205	285	325	610	120	283	30	9	274	68	-6	-0	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
ROS	28	MLB	DET	40%	63	57	11	2	0	1	6	19	0	1	1	193	270	281	551	88	279	30	10	266	62	-3	-0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
FULL	28	AAA	DET	—	301	268	47	8	2	3	26	97	1	2	4	175	251	254	505	78	254	32	9	228	33	-23	-1	-0	+1	+9	-1.5
TOT	28	AAA	DET	—	396	352	65	12	3	5	35	125	2	3	5	184	262	278	540	94	262	32	9	240	42	-26	-1	-0	+1	+11	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	DET	46%	529	472	98	20	3	9	49	155	3	6	5	208	286	320	606	112	284	29	9	276	70	-18	-1	-2	+2	+15	-0.5
2028	30	MLB	DET	50%	550	491	103	21	3	10	51	160	3	6	5	210	288	326	614	116	284	29	9	277	70	-18	-1	-3	+2	+16	-0.5
2027	29	MLB	DET	46%	243	217	44	9	1	4	23	71	1	3	2	203	282	309	591	106	280	29	9	268	64	-10	-0	-1	+1	+7	-0.4
2028	30	MLB	DET	50%	274	246	51	10	2	5	25	80	1	3	2	207	283	325	608	118	279	29	9	269	64	-11	-0	-2	+1	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	580	520	106	21	3	10	54	170	2	7	5	204	281	313	595	110	281	29	9	268	64	-24	-1	-3	+2	+16	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	119	24	3	11	61	191	2	8	6	204	282	312	594	108	282	29	9	268	64	-27	-1	-3	+2	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	3741	3314	665	149	20	70	377	1167	15	84	43	201	285	321	606	120	283	31	10	272	66	-143	-0	-6	+13	+106	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	115	26	3	12	65	203	3	15	7	200	284	318	602	118	281	31	10	272	66	-25	+0	-1	+2	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	107	82	13	5	1	0	22	35	0	1	1	159	337	244	580	85	271	33	21	278	71	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2021	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	146	111	18	6	1	2	33	31	1	11	2	162	359	288	647	126	203	21	23	311	96	-1	+1	—	—	+4	0.5
2022	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	30	25	5	0	0	0	5	7	0	1	0	200	333	200	533		278	23	17	267	63	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	467	386	90	19	4	8	76	111	0	15	4	233	359	365	725	132	301	24	16	330	110	+5	+1	—	—	+13	2.1
2022	24	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	125	107	29	6	1	0	16	24	0	4	1	271	366	346	712	75	341	19	13	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	538	453	97	21	4	14	81	127	2	9	6	214	335	371	706	157	265	24	15	322	104	+3	-1	—	—	+15	1.8
2023	25	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	87	80	23	5	1	1	7	11	0	3	2	287	345	412	757	125	324	13	8	339	117	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	440	384	100	23	1	9	49	112	1	9	8	260	346	396	741	135	341	25	11	331	111	+6	-1	—	—	+12	1.7
2025	27	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	241	190	54	11	2	6	48	55	0	8	3	284	429	458	886	174	364	23	20	394	160	+16	+0	—	—	+7	2.4
2025	27	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	323	262	72	22	2	7	54	66	4	9	4	275	406	454	860	179	339	20	17	383	151	+19	+0	—	—	+9	2.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	584	11	7	212	287	330	+2	-0	-0.2	-0.0
	/162	664	12	8	212	287	330	+2.4	-0.2	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trei Cruz (OGILVIE)	28	35→41	45→42	50→51	55	184/262/278	94	262	5	3	32%	9%	42	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Taylor Walls 2023 · MLB	27	39→49	45	49→60	53	196/288/318	122	254	12	14	27%	11%	71	-0.3	200/289/318	118	261	11	26	26%	11%	71	-0.3	197/285/305	108	256	9	33	25%	11%	64	-0.4
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	36→43	49→50	46→40	50	190/284/340	150	262	16	6	32%	11%	75	-0.0	214/291/357	143	326	16	7	36%	10%	82	+0.5	207/287/340	133	326	15	4	38%	10%	73	-0.1
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
✕JD Closser 2008 · MLB	28	42	47→50	45	52	212/289/351	138	253	15	7	22%	10%	79	+0.3	209/273/306	97	265	9	6	23%	8%	60	-1.0	209/267/281	72	262	7	6	22%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	47→48	47→50	57→50	46	230/294/372	142	295	13	11	26%	8%	86	+0.8	221/302/378	157	287	19	8	28%	10%	92	+1.2	209/296/361	152	272	19	4	29%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Michael De La Cruz 2021 · AAA	28	46	46→40	49→50	49	228/298/362	134	289	13	8	25%	9%	85	+0.7	224/293/370	146	291	17	8	27%	9%	85	+0.7	217/289/349	132	266	16	6	24%	9%	77	+0.0
✕Andrew Knapp 2020 · MLB	28	47→56	43→45	49→40	52	220/317/338	117	320	10	5	31%	12%	88	+0.9	212/297/338	126	299	13	4	31%	10%	79	+0.3	212/281/343	131	290	15	2	30%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Karexon Sanchez 2016 · AAA	28	49→48	46→45	48→50	44	241/307/375	134	312	14	13	26%	7%	93	+1.3	233/292/369	136	293	16	12	25%	7%	85	+0.7	224/291/346	122	273	16	8	24%	7%	74	-0.0
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	46	50	51→50	42	228/293/393	165	308	16	14	30%	7%	92	+1.2	219/280/368	149	328	16	9	36%	6%	79	+0.3	192/246/312	120	316	14	5	42%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Cole Tucker 2022 · MLB	26	43→46	43→45	51→55	46	214/278/332	118	279	10	13	27%	8%	69	-0.4	202/271/294	92	295	8	12	31%	9%	56	-1.3	189/265/262	73	285	5	11	33%	9%	44	-1.0
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	43→40	51→50	51	198/284/313	115	267	10	12	28%	10%	68	-0.5	202/287/326	124	291	12	10	32%	10%	72	-0.2	124/238/209	86	192	10	0	38%	12%	22	-0.8
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	41	48→45	46→30	43	210/274/348	137	279	17	4	30%	8%	72	-0.2	197/260/308	111	344	12	5	43%	7%	56	-1.3	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Chip Ambres 2008 · MLB	28	42→49	48→50	48→50	49	217/290/354	137	271	16	10	26%	9%	81	+0.4	219/282/362	143	266	16	7	23%	8%	79	+0.3	214/277/357	143	255	16	6	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Skye Bolt 2021 · AAA	27	42→39	47→50	49→50	42	208/271/344	135	299	14	12	34%	8%	69	-0.4	235/297/385	150	308	17	13	28%	7%	91	+1.1	238/304/382	144	312	16	12	28%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Alejandro Gonzalez 2014 · AAA	28	47→49	42→45	42→50	45	228/298/331	103	294	10	8	25%	7%	78	+0.2	222/288/318	96	297	9	6	27%	6%	70	-0.3	227/286/327	99	313	7	12	28%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	40	47→50	48→40	48	204/290/339	135	259	14	5	26%	9%	78	+0.2	218/297/342	124	289	13	7	27%	9%	81	+0.4	195/295/265	70	263	10	0	27%	12%	58	-0.2
✕Cooper Hummel 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	49→50	48→55	53	226/316/384	158	294	16	10	27%	11%	99	+1.7	225/326/370	145	307	12	18	28%	12%	100	+1.7	222/332/370	148	300	12	19	27%	12%	99	+1.1