Johan Barrios — OGILVIE

Johan BarriosSS ACL Brewers

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .265 / .281

PA79

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	131	124	25	2	1	0	7	40	0	3	4	202	244	234	478	32	298	31	5	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	131	120	35	3	2	0	11	31	0	3	4	292	351	350	701	58	393	24	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	145	131	18	2	0	1	12	77	1	4	1	137	215	176	391	38	315	53	8	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	145	123	28	3	0	1	20	50	1	4	1	228	340	276	617	49	370	34	14	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	173	152	29	2	2	2	16	59	3	7	3	191	281	270	550	79	290	34	9	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	173	142	40	3	2	3	26	41	3	7	3	282	404	394	798	113	370	24	15	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	MIL	—	79	72	15	2	1	1	6	25	1	1	0	208	278	306	584	97	287	32	8	252	51	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIL	34%	120	109	23	4	1	2	9	36	1	2	0	211	277	321	598	110	289	30	8	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	MIL	48%	256	231	50	8	2	5	20	76	3	4	1	216	287	333	621	117	290	30	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2029	24	MLB	MIL	53%	355	320	69	11	2	7	28	104	4	5	1	216	287	328	615	112	292	29	8	280	72	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2030	25	MLB	MIL	55%	416	376	82	13	3	9	33	121	4	6	2	218	288	340	629	122	292	29	8	283	75	-12	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.5
2031	26	MLB	MIL	56%	453	409	89	14	3	10	36	131	5	7	2	218	289	340	629	122	292	29	8	285	76	-12	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2032	27	MLB	MIL	55%	472	426	93	15	3	11	38	137	5	7	2	218	290	345	635	127	292	29	8	285	76	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2033	28	MLB	MIL	55%	479	432	94	15	3	11	39	140	5	7	2	218	290	343	633	125	291	29	8	284	76	-13	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.5
2027	22	MLB	MIL	34%	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	211	268	316	584	105	287	29	7	256	54	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	MIL	48%	124	112	24	4	1	2	10	37	1	2	0	214	285	321	606	107	288	30	8	264	60	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	MIL	53%	187	168	37	6	1	4	15	55	2	3	1	220	292	339	631	119	289	29	8	270	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2030	25	MLB	MIL	55%	228	206	44	7	1	5	18	66	2	3	1	214	283	330	613	117	290	29	8	274	67	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB	MIL	56%	252	227	50	8	2	6	20	73	3	4	1	220	292	352	644	132	290	29	8	275	69	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2032	27	MLB	MIL	55%	260	234	51	8	2	6	21	76	3	4	1	218	291	346	637	128	289	29	8	275	69	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2033	28	MLB	MIL	55%	262	236	51	8	2	6	21	76	3	4	1	216	288	343	632	127	289	29	8	274	68	-9	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1354	1221	265	42	9	30	108	395	14	21	5	217	288	340	628	123	293	29	8	272	67	-51	+2	-0	+15	+38	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	126	20	4	14	52	190	7	10	2	215	287	334	621	119	291	29	8	272	67	-24	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	3079	2782	587	88	21	59	244	946	32	53	18	211	282	321	604	110	295	31	8	272	66	-118	+3	-1	+33	+87	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	123	19	4	12	52	200	7	11	4	210	282	317	599	107	294	31	8	272	66	-25	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	131	120	35	3	2	0	11	31	0	3	4	292	351	350	701	58	393	24	8	320	103	+0	-1	—	—	+4	0.3
2023	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	145	123	28	3	0	1	20	50	1	4	1	228	340	276	617	49	370	34	14	292	82	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	173	142	40	3	2	3	26	41	3	7	3	282	404	394	798	113	370	24	15	362	135	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,433	31	21	217	284	337	+15	+15	1.4	1.5
	/162	664	14	10	217	284	337	+7.1	+7.0	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Barrios (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	198/265/281	84	287	1	1	31%	7%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Wendell Rijo 2017 · AA	21	39→41	39→55	46→50	38	192/239/276	85	274	6	11	31%	5%	37	-2.6	199/255/292	93	268	8	8	28%	6%	49	-1.8	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→46	40→50	43→40	38	183/235/269	86	268	8	6	34%	6%	34	-2.8	200/265/307	107	312	12	4	37%	7%	57	-1.2	212/288/371	159	311	18	3	35%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	42→52	41→45	52→50	40	203/262/305	102	282	7	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	223/270/319	96	299	8	9	27%	5%	62	-0.9	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	38→44	42→50	45	39	189/240/301	111	260	9	5	30%	5%	45	-2.1	211/260/341	130	280	14	6	29%	6%	64	-0.8	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	40→46	45→50	49→45	37	203/253/331	128	288	12	8	33%	5%	59	-1.1	203/261/346	143	284	16	8	33%	6%	66	-0.6	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	39	39→55	44→45	37	185/262/263	79	305	7	6	39%	6%	46	-2.0	203/269/331	128	302	14	5	36%	6%	66	-0.6	196/264/343	147	286	18	5	37%	6%	64	-0.4