Johan Barrios — OGILVIE

Johan BarriosSS ACL Brewers

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .266 / .281

PA6

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	131	120	35	3	2	0	11	31	0	3	4	292	351	350	701	58	393	24	8	320	103	+0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	145	123	28	3	0	1	20	50	1	4	1	228	340	276	617	49	370	34	14	292	84	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	173	142	40	3	2	3	26	41	3	7	3	282	404	394	798	113	370	24	15	362	131	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	131	124	25	2	1	0	7	42	0	3	4	202	244	234	478	32	306	32	5	216	32	-11	-1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	145	131	19	2	0	1	12	74	1	4	1	145	222	183	405	38	302	51	8	184	11	-15	+0	—	—	+3	-1.2
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	173	152	29	2	1	2	16	59	3	7	3	191	281	257	537	66	283	34	9	250	55	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	131	124	25	2	1	0	7	42	0	3	4	202	244	234	478	32	305	32	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	—	131	120	35	3	2	0	11	31	0	3	4	292	351	350	701	58	393	24	8	320	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	145	131	19	2	0	1	12	74	1	4	1	145	222	183	405	38	316	51	8	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	—	145	123	28	3	0	1	20	50	1	4	1	228	340	276	617	49	370	34	14	292	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	173	152	29	2	1	2	16	59	3	7	3	191	281	257	537	66	290	34	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	—	173	142	40	3	2	3	26	41	3	7	3	282	404	394	798	113	370	24	15	362	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	131	123	25	2	1	0	7	42	0	3	4	203	244	236	480	33	306	32	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	145	131	19	2	0	1	12	74	1	4	1	145	222	183	405	38	302	51	8	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	173	152	29	2	1	2	16	59	3	7	3	191	281	257	537	66	283	34	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	145	131	19	2	0	1	12	74	1	4	1	145	222	183	405	38	302	51	8	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	173	152	29	2	1	2	16	59	3	7	3	191	281	257	537	66	283	34	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		287	33	0	252	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	120	109	23	4	1	2	9	36	1	2	0	211	277	321	598	110	289	30	8	265	66	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	256	231	50	8	2	5	20	75	3	4	1	216	287	333	621	117	290	29	8	274	72	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	355	320	69	11	2	7	28	103	4	5	1	216	287	328	615	112	291	29	8	280	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	416	376	82	13	3	9	33	119	4	6	2	218	288	340	629	122	291	29	8	284	78	-11	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	453	409	89	14	3	10	36	130	5	7	2	218	289	340	629	122	291	29	8	285	79	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	472	426	94	15	3	11	38	136	5	7	2	221	292	347	640	127	291	29	8	285	79	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	479	432	94	15	3	11	39	138	5	7	2	218	290	343	633	125	291	29	8	284	79	-12	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	478	431	94	15	3	11	39	139	5	6	2	218	291	343	634	125	290	29	8	283	77	-13	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	472	425	91	14	3	10	39	139	5	5	2	214	288	332	620	118	289	29	8	280	76	-14	+0	-2	+5	+10	-0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	211	268	316	584	105	287	29	7	258	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	124	112	24	4	1	2	10	36	1	2	0	214	285	321	606	107	288	29	8	267	72	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	187	168	37	6	1	4	15	54	2	3	1	220	292	339	631	119	290	29	8	274	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	228	206	44	7	1	5	18	65	2	3	1	214	283	330	613	117	290	29	8	277	78	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	252	227	50	8	2	6	20	72	3	4	1	220	292	352	644	132	290	29	8	279	79	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	260	234	51	8	2	6	21	75	3	4	1	218	291	346	637	128	290	29	8	279	79	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	262	236	52	8	2	6	21	76	3	4	1	220	292	347	640	127	289	29	8	278	79	-7	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	255	229	51	8	2	6	21	74	3	3	1	223	296	354	650	131	289	29	8	276	77	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	248	224	47	7	1	6	20	73	2	3	1	210	280	330	611	121	288	29	8	274	76	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1857	1674	364	57	12	42	149	537	19	27	7	217	289	341	630	124	292	29	8	276	72	-51	+3	-2	+20	+40	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	128	20	4	15	52	188	7	9	2	218	290	343	633	125	293	29	8	276	72	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3956	3572	760	115	25	79	316	1192	41	63	22	213	284	325	610	113	294	30	8	275	72	-97	+4	-4	+38	+76	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	125	19	4	13	52	196	7	10	4	213	285	325	610	112	294	30	8	275	72	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.9	1,936	41	27	217	285	337	+21	+18	2.3	2.3
/162	664	14	9	+7.1	+6.2	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Barrios (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	198/266/281	83	287	1	1	31%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	197/270/305	108	273	9	3	29%	8%	64	-1.3	221/278/353	132	287	16	6	28%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	222/279/297	75	309	6	16	28%	6%	65	-1.2	239/307/326	86	317	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	42→52	39→45	50	41	204/263/293	89	285	6	11	29%	6%	58	-1.7	228/278/329	101	310	10	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→45	48→50	45	182/274/268	86	264	6	10	31%	8%	58	-1.7	206/278/301	95	283	7	11	28%	7%	66	-1.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→46	40→50	43→40	38	183/235/269	86	268	8	6	34%	6%	42	-2.9	200/264/305	105	311	11	4	37%	7%	61	-1.5	205/282/349	144	303	16	3	35%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→43	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	230/261/332	102	302	9	2	26%	4%	65	-1.2	238/272/346	108	283	9	0	19%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Lenyn Sosa 2021 · A	21	42→51	40→50	43→40	37	207/237/300	93	263	7	5	25%	3%	49	-2.4	227/259/346	119	289	14	3	26%	4%	68	-1.0	243/274/380	137	290	18	3	23%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/258/283	79	271	6	3	26%	5%	54	-2.0	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	39	39→50	44→45	37	186/262/264	78	301	7	6	38%	6%	52	-2.2	204/269/325	121	300	13	5	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	41	40→45	47→60	42	200/264/290	90	290	8	9	32%	7%	58	-1.7	191/247/278	87	313	7	24	39%	6%	49	-2.4	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps