Roderick Arias

3B Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 22 S/R 6'0" / 178 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ANYY	465	.208/.325/.315	7	34	34	—	.150/.244/.232
2026	21	AANYY	152	.257/.331/.419	4	9	71	—	.216/.278/.338
2026	21	A+NYY	395	.271/.362/.441	12	29	71	—	.216/.283/.351
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBNYY	2	.193/.262/.314	0	0	61	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBNYY	197	.199/.268/.327	5	8	66	-0.3
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBNYY	276	.203/.273/.337	7	11	70	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed88

ISO59

wRC+58

wOBA50

BB%25

K%17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 93%

CompsHayden Cantrelle (age 23) · Kaden Polcovich (age 23) · Braulio Vasquez (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .262 / .314

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%7

BABIP283

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	140	108	21	6	2	3	28	46	4	10	2	194	379	370	749	176	305	33	20	348	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	130	101	27	2	2	6	27	29	1	17	6	267	426	505	931	238	313	22	21	410	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	552	473	110	21	8	13	68	171	7	37	13	233	338	393	731	161	331	31	12	328	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	465	394	82	19	1	7	65	134	4	34	10	208	325	315	640	107	295	29	14	298	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	152	136	35	8	1	4	12	48	3	9	4	257	331	419	750	162	365	32	8	334	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	395	340	92	18	2	12	40	116	9	29	10	271	362	441	804	171	367	29	10	355	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	140	116	12	3	1	1	20	57	4	10	2	103	257	172	430	69	195	41	14	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	130	111	19	1	2	3	17	44	1	17	6	171	287	297	584	126	245	34	13	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	552	496	84	15	7	9	45	242	7	37	13	169	248	282	530	113	293	44	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	465	413	62	14	1	6	47	182	4	34	10	150	244	232	476	82	243	39	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	152	139	30	6	1	3	9	59	3	9	4	216	278	338	616	122	343	39	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	395	356	77	14	2	10	24	152	9	29	10	216	283	351	634	135	318	38	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	140	116	12	3	1	1	20	57	4	10	2	103	257	172	430	69	190	41	14	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	140	108	21	6	2	3	28	46	4	10	2	194	379	370	749	176	305	33	20	348	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	130	111	19	1	2	3	17	44	1	17	6	171	287	297	584	126	246	34	13	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	130	101	27	2	2	6	27	29	1	17	6	267	426	505	931	238	313	22	21	410	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	552	496	84	15	7	9	45	242	7	37	13	169	248	282	530	113	301	44	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	552	473	110	21	8	13	68	171	7	37	13	233	338	393	731	161	331	31	12	328	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	465	413	62	14	1	6	47	182	4	34	10	150	244	232	476	82	248	39	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	465	394	82	19	1	7	65	134	4	34	10	208	325	315	640	107	295	29	14	298	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	547	495	107	20	3	13	33	211	12	38	14	216	281	347	629	131	338	39	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	547	476	127	26	3	16	52	164	12	38	14	267	354	435	789	168	366	30	10	349	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	140	115	12	3	1	1	20	57	4	10	2	104	257	174	431	70	195	41	14	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	130	111	19	1	2	3	17	44	1	17	6	171	287	297	584	126	245	34	13	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	552	495	84	15	7	9	45	242	7	37	13	170	248	283	531	113	293	44	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	465	411	62	14	1	6	47	182	4	34	10	151	244	234	477	83	243	39	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	547	497	107	20	3	13	33	211	12	38	14	215	281	346	628	131	325	39	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	552	495	84	15	7	9	45	242	7	37	13	170	248	283	531	113	293	44	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	465	411	62	14	1	6	47	182	4	34	10	151	244	234	477	83	243	39	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	547	497	107	20	3	13	33	211	12	38	14	215	281	346	628	131	325	39	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	648	589	113	22	3	14	45	229	9	26	9	192	261	308	569	117	283	35	7	258	61	-30	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	193	262	314	576	121	283	50	0	260	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYY	35%	570	516	103	20	3	13	41	195	8	23	8	197	267	321	589	124	284	34	7	266	66	-23	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYY	46%	597	540	109	21	3	14	44	200	8	24	8	202	272	331	603	129	285	34	7	272	70	-21	+2	+0	+2	+13	-0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	615	555	114	22	3	15	46	202	9	25	9	204	276	337	613	133	286	33	7	276	73	-20	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	627	565	117	22	3	16	48	202	9	25	9	206	278	340	618	134	286	32	8	278	74	-19	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	629	568	118	23	3	16	48	201	8	24	9	207	279	341	620	134	286	32	8	279	75	-19	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	626	565	116	22	3	15	48	201	8	21	8	206	277	337	614	131	285	32	8	276	73	-20	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	617	557	114	22	3	15	47	200	8	18	7	203	275	331	606	128	284	32	8	273	71	-21	+1	-1	+2	+13	-0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	607	548	110	21	2	14	46	199	8	14	6	201	271	324	595	123	282	33	8	269	68	-23	+0	-2	+2	+13	-1.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYY	35%	197	178	36	7	1	5	14	67	3	8	3	199	268	327	596	129	284	34	7	269	66	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYY	46%	276	250	51	10	1	7	20	92	4	11	4	203	273	337	611	134	286	33	7	275	70	-10	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	318	287	59	11	2	8	24	104	4	13	4	206	277	344	621	138	286	33	8	279	73	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	340	306	64	12	2	9	26	110	5	13	5	208	279	347	626	139	286	32	8	281	74	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	341	307	64	12	2	9	26	109	5	13	5	209	280	348	628	139	286	32	8	282	75	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	340	307	64	12	2	9	26	109	4	12	4	207	279	343	622	136	285	32	8	279	73	-11	+1	-0	+1	+7	-0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	356	321	66	12	2	9	27	115	5	10	4	205	276	337	613	133	284	32	8	276	71	-12	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	364	329	66	12	1	9	27	119	5	9	4	202	272	330	602	128	282	33	7	271	68	-14	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2532	2285	470	88	13	65	190	825	35	89	33	206	277	341	618	135	287	33	8	277	66	-86	+5	-2	+9	+55	-2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	121	23	3	17	49	212	9	23	8	206	278	342	620	136	287	33	8	277	66	-22	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7042	6335	1241	237	38	157	552	2449	99	323	113	196	271	320	590	124	288	35	8	265	66	-182	+10	-4	+19	+113	-4.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	115	22	4	14	51	226	9	30	10	197	272	320	591	123	289	35	8	265	66	-23	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
#6Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.8	2,533	62	89	205	273	335	+27	+12	1.6	1.6
/162	664	16	23	+7.1	+3.1	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roderick Arias (OGILVIE)	22	25	30	60	55	190/259/306	115	283	7	13	35%	7%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/261	97	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	191/307/295	104	295	8	20	33%	12%	77	-0.3	192/310/298	105	297	8	21	33%	12%	77	-0.2
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	39→41	46→45	54→55	46	195/283/323	128	276	13	17	32%	9%	74	-0.6	200/283/317	117	274	11	17	29%	9%	72	-0.7	190/277/301	111	259	10	19	29%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	41	40	55→65	40	193/274/284	91	302	8	31	36%	8%	61	-1.5	218/287/317	99	301	6	26	28%	7%	73	-0.6	227/297/325	98	303	3	32	24%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Viandel Pena 2023 · A	22	38→39	39→40	55	41	183/248/269	86	293	6	18	37%	8%	47	-2.6	196/257/270	74	292	4	18	31%	8%	50	-2.3	198/244/283	85	286	6	20	32%	6%	44	-0.9
✕Kay-Lan Nicasia 2024 · A	22	37	41→40	53→55	41	178/255/278	100	300	8	17	40%	9%	52	-2.2	166/251/267	101	307	9	19	44%	9%	49	-2.4	117/220/216	99	221	9	21	47%	10%	25	-1.3
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39→44	43→45	59→60	44	194/276/302	108	285	11	31	34%	9%	66	-1.1	210/284/328	118	287	11	35	29%	8%	74	-0.5	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Hansel Moreno 2019 · A	22	42→33	41→40	51→50	35	202/246/303	101	302	8	16	35%	5%	53	-2.1	195/242/289	94	290	9	15	34%	6%	49	-2.4	171/218/249	78	243	10	18	33%	6%	29	-2.6
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2024 · A	22	39	37→30	58→70	39	190/246/264	74	268	4	27	30%	5%	45	-2.7	209/257/270	61	275	2	42	23%	6%	49	-2.4	208/255/258	50	270	1	58	22%	6%	44	-1.6
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Rubendy Jaquez 2021 · A	22	44→41	40	54→55	42	213/266/303	91	286	7	18	27%	6%	61	-1.5	206/252/283	77	276	4	18	25%	5%	51	-2.3	198/241/265	66	263	2	22	24%	5%	39	-1.2
✕Deivis Nadal 2024 · A	22	38	41→40	55	40	178/259/276	98	302	8	23	40%	8%	54	-2.0	179/249/282	103	352	9	15	47%	8%	51	-2.3	103/173/187	83	241	7	10	56%	7%	-1	-1.9
✕Isaiah Greene 2024 · A	22	41→42	38→40	56→55	50	187/286/268	81	306	5	19	36%	12%	62	-1.4	198/272/294	96	312	7	14	35%	9%	62	-1.4	155/236/258	102	239	4	15	34%	10%	37	-0.6
✕David Smith 2024 · A	23	45→32	41→30	53→55	45	214/293/308	94	302	9	13	30%	8%	74	-0.6	183/284/254	71	260	5	19	28%	11%	59	-1.7	157/271/211	54	223	4	23	28%	12%	45	-1.3
✕Jose Acosta 2023 · A	23	39	45	49→55	37	194/253/316	122	299	13	16	38%	6%	60	-1.6	193/246/301	108	278	10	17	33%	6%	53	-2.1	169/217/263	95	233	9	22	31%	5%	31	-1.0
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	37	42→45	51→55	41	168/271/271	102	317	9	19	45%	10%	58	-1.7	190/287/296	106	336	11	16	42%	10%	70	-0.9	180/284/294	114	291	13	20	39%	10%	65	-0.4
✕Dasan Brown 2024 · A	22	42→40	39→40	52→60	39	197/268/280	84	303	7	21	35%	6%	58	-1.7	188/264/271	83	289	7	31	35%	8%	54	-2.0	172/256/247	75	267	7	41	35%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2019 · AA	22	41→45	44→45	50	40	202/264/321	119	303	11	14	36%	7%	65	-1.2	207/276/307	100	327	9	15	36%	8%	66	-1.1	198/269/278	79	322	6	15	37%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Rolando Espinosa 2023 · AAA	22	40	41→40	58→55	41	184/266/279	95	321	10	29	42%	9%	57	-1.8	184/254/285	101	336	10	21	44%	8%	53	-2.1	167/238/269	101	303	11	23	45%	8%	43	-1.5

Roderick Arias

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps