Rolando Espinosa

Rolando EspinosaSS Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 177 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 298 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .256 / .306

PA24

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO116

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Astros	—	209	188	32	5	2	1	18	54	1	10	6	170	246	234	480	64	231	26	9	224	38	-16	-0	—	—	+5	-1.2
2019	18	ROK	GCL Astros	—	151	129	26	8	2	1	16	43	5	9	3	202	313	318	631	116	291	28	11	291	83	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	21	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	20	18	1	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	56	150	56	206		100	40	10	115	-36	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	25	21	3	1	0	0	3	10	1	4	1	143	280	190	470	48	273	40	12	237	46	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	21	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	175	140	34	3	1	6	29	50	3	32	5	243	384	407	791	164	322	29	17	355	126	+5	+4	—	—	+4	1.4
2023	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	190	165	38	10	1	5	22	73	0	12	6	230	319	394	713	164	371	38	12	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	123	98	19	6	0	0	21	41	3	10	3	194	352	255	608	61	328	33	17	295	86	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	300	265	59	11	1	10	29	101	1	13	2	223	302	385	687	162	308	34	10	303	91	-3	+2	—	—	+6	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	209	195	23	3	1	1	11	78	1	10	6	118	169	159	328	41	189	37	5	152	-11	-28	-0	—	—	+5	-2.4
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	151	135	17	5	1	1	10	62	5	9	3	126	213	200	413	74	215	41	7	185	11	-16	+1	—	—	+3	-1.2
2022	21	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	20	19	1	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	53	100	53	153		92	50	5	84	-57	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	25	22	2	1	0	0	2	15	1	4	1	91	200	136	336	45	253	60	8	155	-9	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	175	151	25	2	1	4	18	73	3	32	5	166	267	272	539	106	261	42	10	243	51	-10	+4	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	190	174	27	6	1	3	14	101	0	12	6	155	218	253	471	98	329	53	7	211	29	-16	+0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2023	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	123	106	15	4	0	0	13	57	3	10	3	142	254	179	433	38	305	46	11	216	32	-10	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	300	274	51	10	1	8	20	123	1	13	2	186	244	318	562	131	280	41	7	244	51	-17	+2	—	—	+6	-0.9
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	209	195	23	3	1	1	11	78	1	10	6	118	169	159	328	41	188	37	5	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	—	209	188	32	5	2	1	18	54	1	10	6	170	246	234	480	64	231	26	9	224	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	151	135	17	5	1	1	10	62	5	9	3	126	213	200	413	74	219	41	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	—	151	129	26	8	2	1	16	43	5	9	3	202	313	318	631	116	291	28	11	291	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	220	192	29	3	1	4	21	98	4	36	6	151	249	240	488	89	269	45	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	220	179	38	4	1	6	34	68	4	36	6	212	350	346	697	134	296	31	15	320	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	313	280	44	11	1	3	27	158	3	22	9	157	239	236	474	79	336	50	9	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	313	263	57	16	1	5	43	114	3	22	9	217	332	342	674	125	354	36	14	308	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	300	274	51	10	1	8	20	123	1	13	2	186	244	318	562	131	291	41	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	300	265	59	11	1	10	29	101	1	13	2	223	302	385	687	162	308	34	10	303	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	209	195	23	3	1	1	11	78	1	10	6	118	169	159	328	41	189	37	5	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	151	135	17	5	1	1	10	62	5	9	3	126	213	200	413	74	215	41	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	220	193	29	3	1	4	21	98	4	36	6	150	249	238	487	88	245	45	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	313	280	44	11	1	3	27	158	3	22	9	157	239	236	474	79	320	50	9	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	300	276	51	10	1	8	20	123	1	13	2	185	244	315	559	130	280	41	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	313	280	44	11	1	3	27	158	3	22	9	157	239	236	474	79	320	50	9	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	300	276	51	10	1	8	20	123	1	13	2	185	244	315	559	130	280	41	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	8	0	1	0	227	292	409	701	182	266	33	8	256	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	31%	337	306	61	12	1	8	26	104	2	8	2	199	266	324	590	124	269	31	8	264	65	-14	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	42%	367	332	68	13	2	9	29	111	3	9	2	205	275	337	612	133	271	30	8	269	68	-14	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	385	349	71	14	2	9	30	115	3	9	2	203	272	332	605	129	271	30	8	271	70	-14	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	388	351	72	14	2	9	31	116	3	8	2	205	275	333	609	128	271	30	8	271	69	-14	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	HOU	50%	389	352	71	14	1	9	31	118	3	8	2	202	272	324	596	122	270	30	8	268	68	-15	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	31%	105	95	18	4	0	2	8	32	1	3	1	189	260	295	554	105	271	30	8	259	65	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	42%	154	140	28	6	1	3	12	47	1	4	1	200	268	321	589	121	273	31	8	264	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	184	166	34	7	1	4	15	55	1	4	1	205	275	331	606	127	274	30	8	265	70	-7	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	192	174	35	7	1	4	15	58	1	4	1	201	268	322	590	121	273	30	8	265	69	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	HOU	50%	195	176	35	7	1	4	16	59	1	4	1	199	269	318	588	119	272	30	8	263	68	-8	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	830	751	150	31	4	17	66	251	5	19	5	200	269	320	588	120	273	30	8	264	52	-31	+2	-2	+9	+18	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	117	24	3	13	52	197	4	15	4	199	269	316	585	117	272	30	8	264	52	-25	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3083	2788	512	100	13	62	238	1091	28	133	36	184	255	296	550	112	271	35	8	245	52	-72	+5	-4	+20	+41	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	108	21	3	13	50	230	6	28	8	184	255	296	551	112	271	35	8	245	52	-25	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	836	19	19	202	269	327	+9	+6	0.2	0.2
/162	664	15	15	+7.1	+4.8	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rolando Espinosa (OGILVIE)	25	20	45	55	45	191/256/306	115	266	6	7	32%	7%	59	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	37→35	45→50	51→55	39	190/251/306	117	268	13	16	34%	6%	57	-1.8	204/278/330	126	297	13	15	34%	8%	73	-0.6	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	38→40	44→50	51→50	39	193/251/307	114	272	12	15	33%	6%	57	-1.8	199/261/336	137	306	16	11	38%	7%	68	-1.0	179/258/334	155	270	19	6	39%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	185/248/306	121	260	15	19	34%	7%	56	-1.9	181/262/305	124	259	14	22	34%	8%	62	-1.4	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	37	201/256/323	123	294	12	21	35%	6%	63	-1.4	207/285/328	121	308	10	26	34%	8%	75	-0.5	192/286/323	131	289	10	39	34%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	46→45	52→50	42	198/262/325	127	277	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	189/270/297	108	298	10	14	37%	9%	63	-1.4	173/262/275	101	278	9	12	37%	10%	52	-1.2
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	191/254/290	99	287	9	12	35%	8%	54	-2.0	206/269/313	107	301	10	9	33%	8%	65	-1.2	165/225/251	86	232	8	0	31%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Brandon Martorano 2023 · AA	25	39	46→45	54→50	40	194/269/329	134	303	14	12	38%	8%	69	-0.9	190/267/303	113	306	12	8	39%	9%	63	-1.4	158/248/249	90	256	12	2	40%	10%	42	-1.0
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	41→42	45	53→50	43	205/281/329	124	284	13	14	31%	8%	74	-0.6	189/257/296	107	273	11	13	33%	7%	57	-1.8	162/232/259	97	233	10	12	34%	7%	37	-1.8
✕Cody Puckett 2012 · AA	25	39→40	49→50	50	38	205/256/358	153	272	16	12	31%	5%	71	-0.8	203/249/331	128	250	15	10	25%	5%	61	-1.5	192/237/307	114	230	15	9	24%	5%	50	-1.7
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA	25	38→41	47→45	55→50	39	191/262/320	129	299	15	15	39%	8%	64	-1.3	190/248/296	106	296	11	14	37%	6%	53	-2.1	164/223/265	101	276	11	8	42%	6%	34	-2.5
✕Jeremy Sy 2015 · A	25	38	49→50	49→50	45	198/271/345	146	259	17	12	30%	8%	74	-0.6	209/276/324	115	302	11	13	32%	8%	70	-0.8	199/270/292	93	300	7	15	34%	8%	57	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps