Rolando Espinosa
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | AAA/A/ROK2 orgs | 220 | .212/.350/.346 | 6 | 36 | 34 | — | .147/.249/.237 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+/AHOU | 313 | .217/.332/.342 | 5 | 22 | 32 | — | .154/.239/.232 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAHOU | 300 | .223/.302/.385 | 10 | 13 | 54 | — | .183/.244/.311 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros | — | 209 | 188 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 54 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 170 | 246 | 234 | 480 | 64 | 231 | 26 | 9 | 224 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | — | 151 | 129 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 202 | 313 | 318 | 631 | 116 | 291 | 28 | 11 | 291 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 20 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 56 | 206 | 100 | 40 | 10 | 115 | -52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 25 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 143 | 280 | 190 | 470 | 48 | 273 | 40 | 12 | 237 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Astros Orange | — | 175 | 140 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 50 | 3 | 32 | 5 | 243 | 384 | 407 | 791 | 164 | 322 | 29 | 17 | 355 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 190 | 165 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 73 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 230 | 319 | 394 | 713 | 164 | 371 | 38 | 12 | 316 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 123 | 98 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 41 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 194 | 352 | 255 | 608 | 61 | 328 | 33 | 17 | 295 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 300 | 265 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 101 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 223 | 302 | 385 | 687 | 162 | 308 | 34 | 10 | 303 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros | — | 209 | 193 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 66 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 109 | 169 | 135 | 304 | 26 | 160 | 32 | 6 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 151 | 135 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 126 | 213 | 200 | 413 | 74 | 219 | 41 | 7 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 20 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 56 | 206 | 99 | 50 | 10 | 91 | -52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 91 | 200 | 136 | 336 | 45 | 253 | 56 | 8 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros Orange | — | 175 | 151 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 73 | 3 | 32 | 5 | 166 | 267 | 272 | 539 | 106 | 257 | 42 | 10 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 190 | 175 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 98 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 154 | 213 | 251 | 464 | 97 | 316 | 52 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 123 | 104 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 154 | 279 | 202 | 481 | 48 | 300 | 45 | 12 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 300 | 273 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 123 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 183 | 244 | 311 | 555 | 128 | 281 | 41 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros | — | 209 | 193 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 66 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 109 | 169 | 135 | 304 | 26 | 164 | 32 | 6 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Astros | — | 209 | 188 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 54 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 170 | 246 | 234 | 480 | 64 | 231 | 26 | 9 | 224 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 151 | 135 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 126 | 213 | 200 | 413 | 74 | 219 | 41 | 7 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Astros | — | 151 | 129 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 202 | 313 | 318 | 631 | 116 | 291 | 28 | 11 | 291 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 220 | 192 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 97 | 4 | 36 | 6 | 151 | 249 | 240 | 488 | 89 | 266 | 44 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 220 | 179 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 68 | 4 | 36 | 6 | 212 | 350 | 346 | 697 | 134 | 296 | 31 | 15 | 320 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 279 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 153 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 158 | 242 | 237 | 478 | 79 | 325 | 49 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 313 | 263 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 43 | 114 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 217 | 332 | 342 | 674 | 125 | 354 | 36 | 14 | 308 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 300 | 273 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 123 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 183 | 244 | 311 | 555 | 128 | 286 | 41 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 300 | 265 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 101 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 223 | 302 | 385 | 687 | 162 | 308 | 34 | 10 | 303 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros | — | 209 | 193 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 66 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 109 | 169 | 135 | 304 | 26 | 160 | 32 | 6 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 151 | 135 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 126 | 213 | 200 | 413 | 74 | 219 | 41 | 7 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 220 | 193 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 97 | 4 | 36 | 6 | 150 | 249 | 238 | 487 | 88 | 242 | 44 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 279 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 153 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 158 | 242 | 237 | 478 | 79 | 310 | 49 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 300 | 275 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 123 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 182 | 244 | 309 | 553 | 127 | 281 | 41 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 300 | 275 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 123 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 182 | 244 | 309 | 553 | 127 | 281 | 41 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1193 | 1072 | 161 | 31 | 5 | 16 | 93 | 501 | 14 | 90 | 26 | 150 | 227 | 233 | 461 | 83 | 255 | 42 | 8 | 209 | 27 | -103 | +8 | +0 | +13 | +26 | -5.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 273 | 8 | 49 | 14 | 151 | 229 | 236 | 465 | 86 | 256 | 42 | 8 | 209 | 27 | -56 | +4 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 300 PAwOBA .300 → .248 (−53)K% 33.7% → 41.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.67% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.67% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.56% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 20.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.71% | ÷0.908 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.908 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.10% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.16% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 82, 3B 82, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .300 → .248; ISO .162 → .133; BABIP .308 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Asheville Tourists · 190 PAwOBA .312 → .210 (−101)K% 38.4% → 51.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.42% | ÷0.971 | ×1.310 | — | — | 51.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.58% | ÷1.033 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷0.968 | ×0.870 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 22.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 7.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.980 | ×0.850 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.218 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 3.97% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 94, 2B 120, 3B 96, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .312 → .210; ISO .164 → .104; BABIP .371 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 123 PAwOBA .292 → .223 (−68)K% 33.3% → 44.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.016 | ×1.360 | — | — | 44.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.07% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | — | 11.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.81% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | — | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | — | 8.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .292 → .223; ISO .061 → .046; BABIP .328 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Astros Orange · 175 PAwOBA .352 → .240 (−113)K% 28.6% → 41.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.986 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.57% | ÷0.997 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 10.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | ×1.009 | ×0.985 | 22.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | ×1.009 | ×0.985 | 2.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | ×1.009 | ×0.985 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.056 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 4.85% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .352 → .240; ISO .164 → .108; BABIP .322 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 25 PAwOBA .232 → .164 (−68)K% 40.0% → 55.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷0.976 | ×1.360 | — | — | 55.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 3.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 17.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 8.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .232 → .164; ISO .048 → .032; BABIP .273 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 20 PAwOBA .113 → .091 (−22)K% 40.0% → 48.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 48.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 9.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 97, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .113 → .091; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .100 → .099. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Astros · 151 PAwOBA .286 → .188 (−98)K% 28.5% → 41.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.48% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.31% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 13.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.93% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .286 → .188; ISO .116 → .073; BABIP .291 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL Astros · 209 PAwOBA .219 → .147 (−72)K% 25.8% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.028 | ×1.022 | 12.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.028 | ×1.022 | 2.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.028 | ×1.022 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.36% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .219 → .147; ISO .064 → .037; BABIP .231 → .160. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).