Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 20 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.3% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 2.96 | 3.88 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 20 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 40.2% | 13.7% | 26.5% | 1.0% | 2.96 | 1.99 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 24 | 105 | 44 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 24.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.00 | 6.58 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 24 | 105 | 44 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 41.9% | 16.2% | 25.7% | 2.9% | 6.00 | 3.18 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 28 | 0 | 24 | 111 | 44 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.3% | 26.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 6.08 | 4.55 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 28 | 0 | 24 | 111 | 44 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 39.6% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 0.9% | 6.08 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 40 | 0 | 36 | 179 | 45 | 46 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.4% | 29.6% | -10.2% | 0.0% | 6.69 | 5.21 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 40 | 0 | 36 | 179 | 45 | 46 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.1% | 25.7% | -0.6% | 0.0% | 6.69 | 4.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 26 | 0 | 23 | 129 | 27 | 42 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.1% | 37.4% | -21.3% | 3.9% | 10.32 | 8.61 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAD | 86 | 0 | 90 | 380 | 92 | 99 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 26.2% | -2.0% | 2.6% | 6.16 | 6.16 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.2% | 26.2% | -2.0% | 2.6% | 6.16 | 6.16 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 113 | 509 | 119 | 141 | 14 | — | — | 23.4% | 27.8% | -4.4% | 2.7% | 7.00 | 6.65 | -1.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.2% | 26.2% | -2.0% | 2.6% | 6.16 | 5.78 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAD | 89 | 0 | 93 | 394 | 99 | 87 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 22.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.72 | 5.56 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 91 | 0 | 96 | 404 | 103 | 78 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 19.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 5.35 | 5.17 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAD | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 49 | 43 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 22.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.72 | 5.56 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 72 | 54 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 19.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 5.35 | 5.17 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 108 | 0 | 114 | 479 | 121 | 98 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 20.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 5.50 | 4.95 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 213 | 173 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 20.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 5.50 | 4.95 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 139 | 0 | 131 | 626 | 144 | 174 | 13 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.0% | 27.8% | -4.8% | 2.1% | 6.39 | 5.81 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 212 | 0 | 200 | 956 | 220 | 266 | 20 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.0% | 27.8% | -4.8% | 2.1% | 6.39 | 5.81 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reynaldo Yean (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.16 | 24.2% | 26.2% | 2.6% | — | 5.36 | 25.3% | 4.7% | 189 | -0.80 | — | — | — |
| Connor Walsh R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.98 | 23.3% | 20.7% | 2.2% | .288 | 4.02 | 21.3% | 6.8% | 151 | -0.96 | 3.40 | 266 | 81 |
| Yerlin Rodriguez R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.34 | 22.1% | 23.3% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.01 | 22.5% | -2.7% | 82 | -0.33 | 3.84 | 232 | 78 |
| Roberto Espinosa R 2027 · 5.02 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.02 | 18.9% | 18.6% | 2.1% | .273 | 4.46 | 14.8% | 2.2% | 77 | -0.56 | 4.32 | 117 | 78 |
| Madison Jeffrey R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.33 | 19.9% | 25.3% | 1.3% | .252 | 5.08 | 17.6% | -9.7% | 107 | -0.25 | 4.65 | 166 | 78 |
| Zane Russell R 2028 · 5.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.19 | 22.7% | 18.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 5.10 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 71 | -0.09 | 4.28 | 108 | 78 |
| Joseph Yabbour R 2026 · 6.58 FIP | 22 | SU | 6.58 | 20.2% | 24.2% | 3.9% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 105 | 77 |
| Leonardo Taveras R 2026 · 6.07 FIP | 22 | SU | 6.07 | 21.7% | 27.4% | 2.5% | .279 | 4.17 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 127 | -1.90 | 3.61 | 275 | 76 |
| Danny Dopico R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.51 | 18.3% | 22.6% | 2.0% | .309 | 3.28 | 23.9% | 11.2% | 189 | -2.23 | 3.00 | 318 | 76 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2029 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 76 |
| Marcus Crescentini R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.80 | 21.8% | 21.9% | 3.2% | .365 | 3.82 | 23.3% | 11.6% | 123 | -1.98 | 2.73 | 150 | 76 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.06 | 22.4% | 18.8% | 2.7% | .279 | 4.12 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 76 | -0.94 | 2.28 | 158 | 75 |
| Jacob Morris R 2028 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 75 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .295 | 5.27 | 18.8% | 4.5% | 93 | -0.01 | 3.94 | 189 | 74 |
| Angel German R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.16 | 19.0% | 16.3% | 2.9% | .324 | 7.76 | 17.8% | 2.7% | 52 | +2.60 | 3.33 | 200 | 74 |
| Elison Joseph R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.78 | 22.7% | 17.0% | 4.4% | .297 | 4.18 | 24.4% | 3.7% | 110 | -1.60 | 3.45 | 217 | 73 |
| Jorge Labrador R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.16 | 22.9% | 22.1% | 2.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 149 | 73 |
| Juan Reynoso R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.65 | 22.3% | 19.6% | 3.5% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 235 | 73 |
| Tyler Vogel R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.21 | 23.4% | 14.3% | 4.2% | .305 | 4.40 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 116 | -0.81 | 3.83 | 182 | 73 |
| Cole Aker R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.51 | 19.5% | 20.6% | 2.6% | .239 | 6.10 | 12.0% | -9.9% | 28 | +0.59 | 3.60 | 147 | 72 |
| Alejandro Méndez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.83 | 20.6% | 28.1% | 1.7% | .211 | 5.15 | 15.0% | -6.0% | 38 | -0.68 | 4.70 | 136 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 93 | 24.9% | 22.4% | 1.00 | 5.74 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |