Geuri Lubo — OGILVIE

Geuri LuboSS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION222 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .200 / .211

PA20

HR0

K%30

BB%5

BABIP252

ISO53

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	109	22	3	0	0	12	22	2	3	2	202	293	229	522	28	250	18	10	249	55	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	111	29	8	0	3	3	21	4	8	3	261	305	414	719	153	295	18	3	318	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	105	88	18	7	0	0	16	28	1	1	2	205	333	284	617	80	300	27	15	294	85	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	164	139	40	5	1	3	20	32	3	13	4	288	389	403	792	115	349	20	12	357	128	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	113	18	2	0	0	8	34	2	3	2	159	228	177	405	18	218	27	6	186	12	-13	-0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	112	22	6	0	2	2	30	4	8	3	196	237	304	541	107	244	25	2	237	47	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	105	94	13	5	0	0	10	40	1	1	2	138	229	191	420	53	235	38	10	192	16	-10	-1	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	164	146	31	4	1	2	13	47	3	13	4	212	290	295	585	82	283	29	8	263	64	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	113	18	2	0	0	8	34	2	3	2	159	228	177	405	18	225	27	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	109	22	3	0	0	12	22	2	3	2	202	293	229	522	28	250	18	10	249	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	112	22	6	0	2	2	30	4	8	3	196	237	304	541	107	247	25	2	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	111	29	8	0	3	3	21	4	8	3	261	305	414	719	153	295	18	3	318	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	105	94	13	5	0	0	10	40	1	1	2	138	229	191	420	53	241	38	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	105	88	18	7	0	0	16	28	1	1	2	205	333	284	617	80	300	27	15	294	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	164	146	31	4	1	2	13	47	3	13	4	212	290	295	585	82	293	29	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	164	139	40	5	1	3	20	32	3	13	4	288	389	403	792	115	349	20	12	357	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	113	18	2	0	0	8	34	2	3	2	159	228	177	405	18	218	27	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	112	22	6	0	2	2	30	4	8	3	196	237	304	541	107	244	25	2	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	105	93	13	5	0	0	10	40	1	1	2	140	229	194	422	54	235	38	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	164	147	31	4	1	2	13	47	3	13	4	211	290	293	583	82	283	29	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	105	93	13	5	0	0	10	40	1	1	2	140	229	194	422	54	235	38	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	164	147	31	4	1	2	13	47	3	13	4	211	290	293	583	82	283	29	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	CHC	—	222	201	30	8	1	6	12	86	4	3	1	149	212	289	501	139	211	39	5	218	33	-18	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	CHC	—	152	132	25	8	1	6	14	36	4	2	1	189	287	402	688	212	207	24	9	303	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	CHC	—	70	63	12	2	0	2	4	26	0	1	0	190	239	317	556	127	263	37	6	239	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	CHC	0%	20	19	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	158	200	211	411	53	250	30	5	256	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	CHC	—	242	220	33	9	1	6	13	92	4	3	1	150	211	282	493	132	213	38	5	221	36	-19	+0	+0	+3	+5	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	263	240	47	10	1	7	18	77	3	5	1	196	261	333	594	137	254	29	7	266	66	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	46%	353	321	64	13	2	9	25	100	4	7	2	199	266	336	602	137	258	28	7	273	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	404	367	75	15	2	11	29	113	5	8	2	204	272	346	618	142	260	28	7	277	73	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	435	395	81	17	2	12	31	121	6	9	3	205	273	349	623	144	261	28	7	279	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	448	406	83	17	2	12	33	125	6	9	3	204	274	345	619	140	261	28	7	279	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	452	409	83	17	2	12	34	127	6	9	3	203	274	342	616	139	260	28	8	278	74	-14	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	447	405	82	17	2	12	33	126	6	9	3	202	273	343	616	141	260	28	7	276	73	-14	+1	-1	+5	+10	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	440	399	80	16	2	12	33	126	5	8	2	201	270	341	611	140	259	29	8	274	71	-15	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	90	83	15	3	0	2	6	26	1	2	0	181	244	289	534	108	256	29	7	256	66	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	46%	163	149	30	6	1	4	11	46	2	3	1	201	265	336	601	134	260	28	7	263	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	209	189	38	8	1	5	15	59	3	4	1	201	271	333	604	132	262	28	7	267	73	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	236	214	43	9	1	6	17	66	3	5	1	201	269	336	606	136	263	28	7	269	75	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	243	220	44	9	1	6	18	68	3	5	1	200	270	332	602	132	262	28	7	269	75	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	245	222	44	9	1	6	18	69	3	5	1	198	267	329	596	131	262	28	7	268	74	-8	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	237	214	43	9	1	6	18	67	3	5	1	201	272	336	609	136	261	28	8	267	73	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	231	209	42	9	1	6	17	66	3	4	1	201	271	340	610	139	260	29	7	264	71	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1654	1500	299	62	7	41	120	467	21	33	7	199	268	332	600	133	258	28	7	267	68	-53	+4	-2	+18	+36	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	117	24	3	16	47	184	8	13	3	199	267	331	598	132	258	28	7	267	68	-21	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3774	3426	682	140	16	91	270	1072	51	89	30	199	268	329	597	130	259	28	7	269	68	-106	+5	-4	+35	+71	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	118	24	3	16	47	185	9	15	5	200	269	332	602	132	260	28	7	269	68	-21	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.8	1,832	48	36	205	270	345	+20	+15	1.5	1.5
/162	664	18	13	+7.1	+5.4	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Geuri Lubo (OGILVIE)	22	26→31	43→48	50→55	49	187/251/312	125	250	4	3	30%	7%	59	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marcus Chiu 2019 · A	22	40→27	45	53→45	37	201/281/329	128	285	13	11	32%	5%	75	-0.5	179/267/301	122	311	13	6	44%	7%	63	-1.3	160/247/277	116	274	14	3	44%	7%	47	-1.5
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→37	49→50	53→50	39	207/268/353	146	287	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.5	208/273/341	133	295	14	10	33%	6%	74	-0.6	202/274/346	144	284	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→50	48→45	53	208/299/335	127	266	12	11	25%	10%	82	+0.0	198/288/331	133	281	13	8	31%	10%	77	-0.3	175/276/313	138	241	16	6	32%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→33	45→55	52→50	39	207/251/337	130	273	12	14	29%	5%	63	-1.3	187/234/345	158	264	20	4	37%	5%	60	-1.6	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Adam Zebrowski 2023 · A	22	41→35	45→50	50→40	46	202/281/326	123	286	12	5	32%	9%	73	-0.6	186/249/301	115	286	13	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	188/241/319	130	273	18	2	37%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2022 · A	22	41	48→50	49→50	39	206/273/355	148	290	15	9	33%	6%	76	-0.4	200/267/343	143	290	16	9	35%	6%	72	-0.7	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	43→50	52→55	43	204/269/311	107	264	11	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	205/270/351	146	270	17	18	29%	7%	75	-0.5	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	36	49→50	54→50	37	192/251/336	144	277	17	14	36%	6%	64	-1.3	200/259/334	134	299	16	13	36%	7%	67	-1.1	181/245/299	117	275	13	12	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Max George 2018 · A	22	39→38	42→45	50→55	44	192/267/299	107	251	9	15	27%	7%	61	-1.5	187/269/294	107	260	10	20	30%	7%	62	-1.4	144/249/271	127	213	15	25	38%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→55	47→45	42	204/268/326	123	280	11	10	30%	7%	68	-1.0	194/266/335	141	268	16	7	32%	8%	70	-0.9	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	204/282/312	108	305	11	13	34%	8%	70	-0.8	201/283/352	151	301	18	17	37%	9%	80	-0.1	184/270/336	152	267	19	18	36%	9%	69	-0.5
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42→41	46→50	48→40	46	211/282/339	129	262	14	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	219/310/346	127	298	13	6	29%	9%	89	+0.5	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	181/247/307	126	264	15	5	36%	7%	56	-1.9	209/267/324	115	285	12	4	30%	7%	67	-1.1	208/268/318	109	276	12	2	28%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	74	-0.5	227/292/341	114	308	10	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Jose Rosario 2014 · A	22	41	44→40	51→50	42	207/260/321	114	253	11	12	23%	5%	63	-1.3	233/271/317	84	291	5	9	21%	4%	65	-1.2	241/271/319	78	302	4	9	21%	3%	62	-0.8
✕Jason Taylor 2010 · A	22	44→39	45	52→55	49	219/291/341	122	268	12	21	23%	8%	80	-0.2	208/259/316	108	271	10	13	26%	6%	61	-1.5	143/172/230	86	185	9	6	28%	3%	7	-1.1
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2022 · A	22	48→39	43→50	50→40	45	230/301/344	114	315	11	7	29%	8%	84	+0.2	200/276/361	161	267	20	5	32%	8%	80	-0.2	186/265/342	157	247	20	4	33%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	45→50	44→50	47	182/268/311	128	259	12	8	33%	10%	65	-1.2	195/278/338	143	287	14	9	35%	9%	75	-0.5	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps