Geuri Lubo — OGILVIE

Geuri LuboSS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION140 act + 93 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .257 / .336

PA93

HR2

K%29

BB%6

BABIP262

ISO139

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	113	18	2	0	0	8	36	2	3	2	159	228	177	405	18	231	29	6	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	109	22	3	0	0	12	22	2	3	2	202	293	229	522	28	250	18	10	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	112	23	6	0	3	2	30	4	8	3	205	246	339	585	134	250	25	2	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	111	29	8	0	3	3	21	4	8	3	261	305	414	719	153	295	18	3	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	105	94	13	5	0	0	10	40	1	1	2	138	229	191	420	53	241	38	10	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	105	88	18	7	0	0	16	28	1	1	2	205	333	284	617	80	300	27	15	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	164	145	31	4	1	3	14	47	3	13	4	214	296	317	614	103	289	29	9	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	164	139	40	5	1	3	20	32	3	13	4	288	389	403	792	115	349	20	12	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	CHC	—	140	128	20	6	1	4	7	46	3	2	1	156	217	312	530	156	200	33	5	229	33	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
YTD	22	A	CHC	—	140	124	24	8	1	5	11	32	3	2	1	194	275	395	671	202	213	23	8	294	84	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
ROS	22	A	CHC	0%	93	86	17	4	1	2	6	27	1	2	1	197	257	336	593	139	256	29	6	262	58	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		257	—	—	253	52	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	CHC	—	140	129	20	6	1	4	7	46	3	2	1	155	217	310	527	155	198	33	5	229	33	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
TOT	22	A	CHC	—	233	214	37	10	2	6	13	73	4	4	2	173	233	322	555	149	226	31	6	242	43	-15	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CHC	34%	259	236	47	10	1	6	18	72	3	5	1	199	265	326	591	127	259	28	7	271	65	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2028	24	MLB	CHC	46%	351	319	66	14	2	9	25	96	4	7	2	207	273	348	621	141	262	27	7	277	70	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2029	25	MLB	CHC	52%	402	365	76	16	2	10	29	109	5	8	3	208	276	345	621	137	264	27	7	281	73	-12	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.4
2030	26	MLB	CHC	54%	434	394	82	17	2	11	32	117	5	9	3	208	276	345	621	137	265	27	7	283	75	-12	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.5
2031	27	MLB	CHC	54%	447	404	85	18	2	12	34	120	6	10	3	210	282	354	635	144	265	27	8	283	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2032	28	MLB	CHC	54%	451	408	85	18	2	12	34	122	6	10	3	208	279	350	630	142	264	27	8	282	74	-13	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.5
2033	29	MLB	CHC	53%	447	404	83	17	2	11	34	122	6	9	3	205	277	339	616	134	264	27	8	280	73	-14	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.3
2027	23	MLB	CHC	34%	89	82	16	3	1	2	6	25	1	2	1	195	258	329	588	134	260	28	7	263	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	CHC	46%	162	147	30	6	1	4	12	44	2	3	1	204	273	340	613	136	264	27	7	270	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	25	MLB	CHC	52%	208	188	39	8	1	5	15	56	3	4	1	207	277	340	617	133	265	27	7	273	67	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2030	26	MLB	CHC	54%	235	213	44	9	1	6	17	63	3	5	2	207	275	343	617	136	266	27	7	275	69	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2031	27	MLB	CHC	54%	242	219	46	10	1	6	18	65	3	5	2	210	279	347	626	137	266	27	7	275	69	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2032	28	MLB	CHC	54%	245	221	46	10	1	6	19	66	3	5	2	208	280	344	624	136	266	27	8	274	68	-9	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.1
2033	29	MLB	CHC	53%	237	214	44	9	1	6	18	65	3	5	2	206	277	341	618	136	265	27	8	273	67	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1418	1285	265	55	7	35	105	384	18	29	11	206	276	342	617	135	264	27	7	273	67	-53	+1	-1	+15	+40	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	121	25	3	16	48	176	8	13	5	205	274	340	614	134	263	27	7	273	67	-24	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	3396	3080	626	131	15	79	246	938	46	85	30	203	272	332	605	129	263	28	7	272	66	-131	+5	-2	+36	+96	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	120	25	3	15	47	180	9	16	6	203	272	332	605	129	264	28	7	272	66	-25	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	109	22	3	0	0	12	22	2	3	2	202	293	229	522	28	250	18	10	249	49	-7	-0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	111	29	8	0	3	3	21	4	8	3	261	305	414	719	153	295	18	3	318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	105	88	18	7	0	0	16	28	1	1	2	205	333	284	617	80	300	27	15	294	83	-2	-1	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	164	139	40	5	1	3	20	32	3	13	4	288	389	403	792	115	349	20	12	357	131	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,593	40	33	209	275	348	+17	+12	1.5	1.5
	/162	664	17	14	209	275	348	+7.1	+5.0	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Geuri Lubo (OGILVIE)	22	33→38	43→48	52→57	51	173/233/322	149	226	6	4	31%	6%	43	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	202/279/307	104	304	10	13	35%	8%	64	-0.8	200/283/348	148	300	18	17	37%	9%	76	+0.1	182/269/332	150	267	19	18	37%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	41→51	47→50	54→55	41	205/273/349	144	294	13	13	34%	7%	72	-0.2	233/279/364	131	293	11	16	24%	6%	77	+0.1	244/287/365	121	297	10	15	21%	5%	78	+0.2
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Kendall Simmons 2022 · A	22	41	48→50	49→50	39	207/274/357	150	293	15	9	33%	6%	75	-0.0	200/267/348	148	290	17	9	35%	6%	69	-0.4	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→45	45→50	49→40	44	227/279/348	122	288	12	8	26%	6%	74	-0.1	217/284/369	152	276	20	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	213/284/361	148	267	20	2	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	42→48	48→45	50→65	38	215/264/352	136	293	16	16	32%	6%	69	-0.4	208/270/334	126	279	13	32	29%	7%	66	-0.6	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Matt Williams 2012 · A	22	44→49	43→45	54→50	44	217/280/330	112	279	9	16	25%	7%	69	-0.4	224/272/314	90	280	6	14	21%	6%	61	-1.0	219/291/283	64	287	3	15	23%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Jack Marder 2012 · A	22	46	43→45	49→50	41	228/285/342	114	281	10	12	23%	4%	75	-0.0	230/288/338	108	284	10	13	22%	5%	75	-0.0	228/288/332	104	280	10	12	21%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Jordan Newton 2008 · A	22	45	43→55	50	38	218/267/327	109	300	10	11	30%	5%	63	-0.8	216/258/340	124	317	10	9	34%	4%	63	-0.9	215/258/341	126	317	10	8	34%	4%	59	-0.5
✕Danny Mendick 2016 · A	22	42→49	42→45	50	46	207/265/308	101	249	10	9	21%	6%	58	-1.2	207/262/300	93	261	8	9	23%	6%	53	-1.5	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2022 · A	22	48→38	43→55	50→40	45	230/301/344	114	315	11	7	29%	8%	82	+0.5	203/276/376	173	270	22	5	33%	7%	81	+0.4	189/266/361	171	251	23	4	34%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→38	46→50	48→45	53	208/301/343	135	264	13	11	25%	11%	82	+0.5	198/289/339	141	285	14	8	33%	10%	77	+0.1	175/277/324	148	244	17	6	34%	11%	65	-0.5
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→43	44→45	53→50	47	202/276/321	119	252	11	15	24%	8%	66	-0.6	223/280/337	114	297	10	10	27%	6%	71	-0.3	229/285/338	109	310	9	9	28%	6%	70	-0.2