Eybersson Polanco
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 22
RHP
6'0" / 170 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.21
FIP5.21
K%17.4%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%4.0%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 112 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Red | 12 | 12 | 51 | 194 | 50 | 17 | 0 | 100% | 4.2 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 1.78 | 3.01 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Red | 12 | 12 | 51 | 194 | 50 | 17 | 0 | 100% | 4.2 | 25.8% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 1.78 | 2.13 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 8 | 7 | 32 | 143 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 88% | 4.0 | 10.5% | 13.1% | -2.7% | 3.1% | 5.06 | 5.58 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 8 | 7 | 32 | 143 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 88% | 4.0 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 5.06 | 4.35 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 36 | 0 | 62 | 289 | 71 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 5.23 | 3.80 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 36 | 0 | 62 | 289 | 71 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 24.6% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 0.7% | 5.23 | 2.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 22 | 7 | 59 | 245 | 59 | 23 | 5 | 32% | 2.7 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 3.34 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 39 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.21 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.21 | 5.21 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 112 | 467 | 98 | 53 | 11 | — | — | 20.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | 4.22 | 4.62 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 17.4% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.21 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 43 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 46 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.83 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 32 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.83 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 68 | 286 | 55 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 4.90 | 4.45 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 98 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 4.90 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 78 | 26 | 204 | 871 | 149 | 102 | 14 | 33% | 2.6 | 17.1% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 3.79 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 25 | 200 | 854 | 146 | 100 | 13 | 33% | 2.6 | 17.1% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 3.79 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eybersson Polanco (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.21 | 17.4% | 13.4% | 2.7% | — | 4.84 | 19.2% | 7.5% | 110 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 90 |
| Blake Quinn R 2027 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 88 |
| Josh White R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.45 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .244 | 3.02 | 28.9% | 17.7% | 167 | -2.43 | 1.95 | 232 | 88 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 88 |
| Justin Ferrell R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 3.4% | .261 | 4.31 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 173 | -1.17 | 3.80 | 300 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 86 |
| Sam Ryan R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 1.6% | .328 | 3.76 | 13.7% | 2.9% | 49 | -0.71 | 3.76 | 178 | 85 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.25 | 18.3% | 14.1% | 1.7% | .359 | 4.02 | 21.8% | 11.9% | 213 | -0.23 | 3.69 | 348 | 85 |
| Alec Barger R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 85 |
| Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.67 | 16.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 140 | 84 |
| Kelvin Vasquez R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.80 | 14.8% | 13.8% | 2.2% | .248 | 5.43 | 15.0% | -3.0% | 103 | +0.63 | 4.80 | 180 | 84 |
| Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 84 |
| Jack Carey R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.47 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .333 | 4.39 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 156 | -0.08 | 3.71 | 250 | 84 |
| Junior Rincon R 2027 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 83 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 83 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 83 |
| Alejandro Melean R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.09 | 17.9% | 13.3% | 3.3% | .302 | 5.79 | 10.4% | -2.3% | 18 | +0.70 | 4.77 | 258 | 83 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.10 | 16.5% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .243 | 4.62 | 16.6% | 3.7% | 218 | -0.48 | 3.59 | 327 | 82 |
| Hunter Hayes R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.52 | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.4% | .307 | 4.64 | 16.7% | 4.2% | 149 | +0.12 | 3.33 | 210 | 82 |
| Corey Black R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.14 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .310 | 3.60 | 22.1% | 6.0% | 53 | -0.54 | 3.60 | 139 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 1.05 | 5.01 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |