Eybersson Polanco

Eybersson Polanco P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%17.4%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%3.5%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	12	12	51	194	50	17	0	100%	4.2	17.5%	11.0%	6.6%	0.0%	1.78	3.01	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	12	12	51	194	50	17	0	100%	4.2	25.8%	8.8%	17.0%	0.0%	1.78	2.13	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	8	7	32	143	22	15	3	88%	4.0	10.5%	13.1%	-2.7%	3.0%	5.06	5.53	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	8	7	32	143	22	15	3	88%	4.0	10.5%	13.1%	-2.7%	3.0%	5.06	5.53	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	8	7	32	143	22	15	3	88%	4.0	15.4%	10.5%	4.9%	2.1%	5.06	4.35	—
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	36	0	62	289	71	31	2	0%	1.7	18.2%	12.7%	5.5%	1.0%	5.23	3.72	—
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	36	0	62	289	71	31	2	0%	1.7	18.2%	12.7%	5.5%	1.0%	5.23	3.72	—
2025	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	36	0	62	289	71	31	2	0%	1.7	24.6%	10.7%	13.8%	0.7%	5.23	2.73	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	30	15	95	399	93	38	6	50%	3.2	18.9%	10.5%	8.4%	1.8%	4.17	3.82	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	30	15	95	399	93	38	6	50%	3.2	18.9%	10.5%	8.4%	1.8%	4.17	3.82	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	AA RAW	LAA	30	15	95	399	93	38	6	50%	3.2	23.3%	9.5%	13.8%	1.5%	4.17	3.16	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	LAA	92	0	96	407	76	51	11	0%	1.0	18.6%	12.4%	6.2%	2.7%	5.05	4.96	-0.4
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAA	94	0	99	418	81	48	11	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.5%	8.0%	2.7%	4.86	4.77	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAA	95	0	100	423	84	46	11	0%	1.1	19.9%	10.9%	9.0%	2.7%	4.73	4.66	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	LAA	95	0	100	423	85	46	11	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.8%	9.4%	2.7%	4.66	4.63	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	LAA	94	0	99	416	84	45	11	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.9%	9.3%	2.8%	4.66	4.67	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	LAA	91	0	96	404	81	44	12	0%	1.1	20.0%	11.0%	9.0%	2.9%	4.71	4.75	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	LAA	87	0	91	385	76	43	12	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.2%	8.5%	3.0%	4.81	4.88	-0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	LAA	82	0	86	362	70	42	12	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.5%	7.9%	3.2%	4.96	5.06	-0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	LAA	46	0	48	203	38	25	5	0%	1.0	18.6%	12.4%	6.2%	2.7%	5.05	4.96	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAA	67	0	70	296	57	34	8	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.5%	8.0%	2.7%	4.86	4.77	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAA	78	0	82	346	69	38	9	0%	1.1	19.9%	10.9%	9.0%	2.7%	4.73	4.66	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	LAA	84	0	88	372	75	40	10	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.8%	9.4%	2.7%	4.66	4.63	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	LAA	85	0	89	376	76	41	10	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.9%	9.3%	2.8%	4.66	4.67	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	LAA	84	0	88	372	74	41	11	0%	1.0	20.0%	11.0%	9.0%	2.9%	4.71	4.75	-0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	LAA	81	0	85	359	71	40	11	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.2%	8.5%	3.0%	4.81	4.88	-0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	LAA	76	0	80	338	66	39	11	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.5%	7.9%	3.2%	4.96	5.06	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		600	0	630	2658	525	298	75	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.2%	8.6%	2.8%	4.79	4.41	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	95	24	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.2%	8.6%	2.8%	4.79	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		86	34	240	1025	177	118	14	40%	2.8	17.3%	11.5%	5.7%	1.4%	4.06	3.88	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	28	200	855	148	99	12	40%	2.8	17.3%	11.5%	5.7%	1.4%	4.06	3.88	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eybersson Polanco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	17.4%	13.9%	2.7%	—	4.79	19.3%	7.7%	296	-0.48	—	—	—
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	89
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	89
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	88
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	86
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	86
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	84
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.7%	248	-0.19	3.67	383	84
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	84
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	83
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	83
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	83
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	82
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	82
Ryan Long R 2022 · 4.33 FIP	22	SW	4.33	17.1%	11.6%	2.2%	.263	4.69	16.6%	7.3%	292	+0.36	4.20	430	82
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	82
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	82
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	81
Josh Gessner R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SW	5.47	17.0%	15.0%	3.5%	.299	5.35	12.0%	-10.1%	34	-0.12	2.98	126	81
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.1	91	19.5%	11.4%	1.09	4.83
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36