Adonys Guzman

C Salem RidgeYaks

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 221 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	A+BOS	90	.230/.360/.378	3	0	61	—	.203/.292/.342
2026	22	ABOS	218	.271/.394/.497	9	0	95	—	.225/.319/.396
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBBOS	418	.218/.298/.367	12	6	88	1.0
2028PROJ42% MLB	24	MLBBOS	142	.227/.306/.382	4	2	91	0.4
2029PROJ62% MLB	25	MLBBOS	244	.229/.308/.386	7	3	92	0.8

Next 3 projected WAR 2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%73

Z-Con%53

ISO50

K%48

wOBA45

wRC+44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsIan Rice (age 23) · Javier Valdes (age 24) · Jeferson Morales (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 302 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .295 / .364

PA302

HR9

K%28

BB%9

ISO149

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$44M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$10M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	90	74	17	2	0	3	13	22	2	0	0	230	360	378	738	149	280	24	14	336	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Salem RidgeYaks	—	218	177	48	13	0	9	31	45	5	0	0	271	394	497	892	226	305	21	14	386	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	90	79	16	2	0	3	8	29	2	0	0	203	292	342	634	139	240	32	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	218	187	42	11	0	7	21	61	5	0	0	225	319	396	715	171	266	28	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	308	266	56	12	0	10	29	90	7	0	0	211	305	368	673	158	267	29	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	308	251	65	15	0	12	44	67	7	0	0	259	384	462	846	203	298	22	14	372	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	308	269	56	12	0	10	29	90	7	0	0	208	305	364	669	156	258	29	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	308	269	56	12	0	10	29	90	7	0	0	208	305	364	669	156	258	29	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	418	373	81	15	2	12	37	117	5	6	2	218	298	367	665	149	280	28	9	298	88	-6	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	42%	337	300	66	12	2	10	30	93	4	5	1	221	301	374	675	153	281	28	9	302	91	-4	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	BOS	62%	393	350	78	14	2	12	35	107	5	5	1	223	302	379	681	156	282	27	9	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	BOS	71%	430	384	86	16	2	13	38	116	5	6	2	224	303	382	685	157	282	27	9	306	93	-3	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	BOS	73%	446	398	89	16	2	14	40	120	5	5	2	224	303	380	683	156	282	27	9	305	93	-4	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	BOS	75%	452	404	90	16	2	14	40	122	5	4	1	223	302	377	679	153	282	27	9	304	92	-5	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	BOS	73%	449	401	88	16	2	13	40	122	5	3	1	221	299	370	670	150	280	27	9	300	89	-6	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	BOS	73%	443	396	87	16	2	13	39	122	5	1	1	218	295	362	658	145	278	28	9	295	86	-7	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.8
2035	31	MLB MLE	BOS	79%	418	375	79	14	2	11	36	117	4	1	1	214	290	352	643	139	275	28	9	289	82	-9	-0	-3	+7	+9	0.5
2036	32	MLB MLE	BOS	83%	389	349	72	13	1	10	33	111	4	1	0	208	284	340	624	132	270	29	8	281	77	-11	+0	-4	+7	+8	0.1
2037	33	MLB MLE	BOS	86%	351	316	64	11	1	9	29	102	3	1	0	202	277	325	601	123	265	29	8	272	70	-12	+0	-4	+6	+8	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	42%	142	126	29	6	1	4	13	39	2	2	1	227	306	382	687	155	291	27	9	307	91	-2	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.4
2029	25	MLB CTX	BOS	62%	244	217	49	10	1	7	22	67	3	3	1	229	308	386	694	157	292	27	9	310	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	BOS	71%	306	272	63	13	1	9	27	83	4	4	1	230	309	389	697	159	292	27	9	311	93	-2	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	BOS	73%	328	292	66	13	1	10	29	89	4	4	1	230	308	388	696	157	292	27	9	311	93	-3	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	BOS	75%	338	301	69	14	1	10	30	91	4	3	1	229	307	384	692	155	291	27	9	309	92	-3	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	BOS	73%	330	294	67	13	1	10	29	90	4	2	1	227	304	378	682	151	290	27	9	305	89	-4	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.8
2034	30	MLB CTX	BOS	73%	323	288	65	13	1	9	28	89	4	1	1	224	301	370	671	146	288	28	9	300	86	-5	-0	-2	+6	+7	0.6
2035	31	MLB CTX	BOS	79%	330	295	65	13	1	9	29	92	3	1	0	219	296	360	656	141	284	28	9	294	82	-7	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2036	32	MLB CTX	BOS	83%	323	289	62	12	1	8	28	92	3	1	0	214	289	347	636	133	280	28	9	286	77	-9	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	BOS	86%	301	270	56	11	1	7	25	87	3	0	0	207	282	332	613	125	274	29	8	277	70	-11	+0	-4	+5	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2965	2644	591	118	10	83	260	819	34	21	7	224	301	370	671	146	289	28	9	301	87	-49	+1	-12	+53	+64	5.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	129	26	2	18	57	180	7	5	2	222	300	367	667	145	288	28	9	301	87	-11	+0	-3	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4718	4207	914	167	19	138	416	1307	56	36	11	217	296	364	661	147	278	28	9	296	87	-69	+3	-15	+79	+96	9.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	126	23	3	19	57	180	8	5	2	217	297	366	662	148	278	28	9	296	87	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.9	3,265	95	25	219	293	365	+58	+32	9.4	8.5
/162	664	19	5	+11.9	+6.5	1.9	pk7: 8
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#6Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adonys Guzman (OGILVIE)	23	36→41	49→54	42→47	59	216/295/364	148	280	9	4	28%	9%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ian Rice 2017 · A	23	43→40	47→50	43→30	48	215/294/352	137	286	15	4	29%	9%	84	+0.1	204/288/337	133	276	16	3	30%	10%	78	-0.3	186/275/307	121	251	15	0	30%	10%	65	-0.7
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	46	219/300/358	139	268	17	5	25%	7%	88	+0.5	217/301/360	143	265	16	5	24%	8%	88	+0.5	207/318/364	157	258	17	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→47	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	206/282/335	129	268	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Nick Cimillo 2024 · A	24	42→37	49→55	47→40	45	211/291/359	149	291	16	5	32%	9%	84	+0.2	206/277/378	172	264	21	5	29%	8%	84	+0.1	191/263/365	174	240	22	3	30%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	53→55	45→40	38	228/270/395	166	287	21	7	29%	5%	84	+0.2	235/289/374	139	337	16	5	33%	6%	86	+0.3	251/343/392	142	332	17	1	27%	10%	112	+1.0
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	43	46→50	48→40	47	217/290/349	133	270	14	4	25%	8%	82	-0.0	222/315/352	130	303	13	6	29%	9%	92	+0.7	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44→45	49→50	44→45	46	224/292/371	148	289	17	7	28%	8%	87	+0.4	217/297/370	153	284	16	5	28%	8%	89	+0.5	213/299/370	157	281	17	4	29%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Luca Tresh 2023 · AA	23	43→42	49→50	44→40	44	221/284/364	144	295	18	5	31%	8%	83	+0.1	207/267/344	137	264	16	4	27%	7%	72	-0.7	208/257/339	131	282	15	2	31%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Jace Jung 2024 · AA	23	43→44	52→50	48→40	48	220/300/383	163	290	20	5	30%	9%	93	+0.8	216/304/368	152	282	17	4	28%	11%	91	+0.7	205/299/350	146	260	16	3	27%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Jared Keel 2008 · A	23	43→37	51→50	48→45	47	223/302/384	160	276	18	7	26%	8%	95	+0.9	201/285/355	154	249	18	8	26%	9%	82	-0.0	182/273/336	154	218	19	8	26%	9%	71	-0.6
●Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	42→38	50→65	42→45	39	211/276/367	156	300	17	5	34%	6%	81	-0.1	212/267/380	168	296	20	5	34%	6%	80	-0.1	247/319/462	214	314	30	2	30%	9%	119	+1.2
✕Haydn McGeary 2024 · AA	24	48	47→50	46→45	48	234/313/369	135	313	15	7	28%	9%	95	+0.9	204/272/316	112	311	13	8	36%	8%	67	-1.1	171/234/291	120	258	16	8	39%	7%	47	-1.7
●Ryan Lavarnway 2011 · AA	23	46	51→55	44→30	44	232/301/393	161	302	19	2	29%	8%	96	+1.0	237/301/389	152	290	18	2	24%	7%	95	+0.9	237/299/380	143	282	17	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Rylan Bannon 2019 · AA	23	43→47	52→50	45→50	47	220/298/383	163	296	20	5	32%	10%	93	+0.8	212/282/348	136	268	14	8	25%	8%	78	-0.3	194/292/330	136	256	16	12	29%	11%	76	-0.3
✕Alejandro Segovia 2014 · A	24	44→45	50	45→30	48	228/303/384	156	265	18	3	22%	7%	95	+0.9	216/291/347	131	268	14	5	24%	8%	81	-0.1	190/271/310	120	232	14	3	24%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	44→45	52→55	44→40	40	232/283/398	167	288	20	4	27%	5%	91	+0.6	212/258/336	124	293	14	3	32%	5%	66	-1.1	216/302/377	161	281	21	0	29%	10%	94	+0.4
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Alex Isola 2022 · A	24	39→44	50	47→40	46	205/273/349	143	260	19	4	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/284/350	133	273	16	4	26%	8%	79	-0.2	209/277/330	121	257	15	4	24%	8%	70	-0.5

Adonys Guzman

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps