Luke Hill3B
Lake County Captains
Age 22
R/R
5'11" / 193 lbs
A+
K +5%HR +5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.3 · 2030
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .285 / .348
PA77
HR2
K%29
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
55→55
PWR
45→45
SPD
45→45
FLD
50→50
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.3peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +1.1 | $11M | +$9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.9 | $5M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.7 | $4M | +$0.2M |
| Totals | $11M | $55M | +$44M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 62 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 4 | .302 | .383 | .453 | .836 | .151 | .405 | 26 | 11 | .341 | 119 | +1 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 53 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .186 | .314 | .326 | .639 | .140 | .194 | 23 | 11 | .282 | 74 | -2 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CLE | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .227 | .292 | .409 | .701 | .182 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | CLE | 77 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .200 | .307 | .354 | .661 | .154 | .222 | 25 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -2 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 7% | CLE | 171 | 152 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 42 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .230 | .308 | .382 | .689 | .151 | .278 | 25 | 9 | .301 | 88 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 17% | CLE | 286 | 254 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 68 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .232 | .313 | .382 | .695 | .150 | .280 | 24 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 25% | CLE | 356 | 316 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 84 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .231 | .312 | .377 | .688 | .146 | .281 | 24 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 35% | CLE | 402 | 356 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 95 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .233 | .316 | .385 | .701 | .152 | .282 | 24 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 43% | CLE | 425 | 376 | 87 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 101 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .231 | .315 | .378 | .693 | .146 | .282 | 24 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 46% | CLE | 435 | 385 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 104 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .231 | .315 | .382 | .697 | .151 | .282 | 24 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 49% | CLE | 434 | 384 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 105 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .229 | .313 | .372 | .686 | .143 | .281 | 24 | 10 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB 52% | CLE | 430 | 380 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 106 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .226 | .311 | .368 | .680 | .142 | .280 | 25 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB 56% | CLE | 420 | 371 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 105 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .224 | .309 | .361 | .671 | .137 | .279 | 25 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB 60% | CLE | 403 | 356 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 103 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .219 | .305 | .351 | .656 | .132 | .277 | 26 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB 63% | CLE | 375 | 332 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 98 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .217 | .301 | .346 | .647 | .130 | .276 | 26 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -7 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB 73% | CLE | 331 | 292 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 89 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .216 | .302 | .346 | .648 | .130 | .275 | 27 | 10 | .288 | 78 | -8 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB 84% | CLE | 279 | 248 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 78 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .206 | .289 | .319 | .607 | .113 | .273 | 28 | 9 | .280 | 73 | -9 | +1 | -6 | +1 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4833 | 4277 | 968 | 162 | 25 | 130 | 462 | 1201 | 56 | 77 | 21 | .226 | .310 | .367 | .677 | .141 | .282 | 25 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -48 | +7 | -25 | +17 | +137 | 8.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 130 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 62 | 162 | 8 | 10 | 3 | .226 | .310 | .363 | .674 | .137 | .283 | 25 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 62 | 49 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 4 | .347 | .467 | .510 | .977 | .163 | .421 | 18 | 18 | .421 | 180 | +6 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luke Hill (OGILVIE) | 22 | 55 | 45 | 45 | — | .220/.285/.348 | .128 | .294 | 2 | 1 | 29% | 7% | 77 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Matt Vierling 2019 · A |
22 | 46→55 | 47→50 | 44→50 | 39 | .231/.274/.365 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 9 | 26% | 4% | 76 | +0.1 | .206/.259/.305 | .099 | .275 | 9 | 14 | 27% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .252/.313/.388 | .135 | .304 | 13 | 10 | 21% | 7% | 95 | +1.2 |
|
●Tyler Nevin 2019 · A |
22 | 50→54 | 43→50 | 45 | 42 | .243/.288/.353 | .109 | .312 | 10 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .218/.277/.332 | .114 | .272 | 12 | 6 | 23% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .240/.318/.386 | .146 | .290 | 17 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 98 | +1.1 |
|
●Connor Norby 2022 · A |
22 | 48→49 | 43→55 | 49→50 | 45 | .228/.300/.340 | .113 | .324 | 10 | 11 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .238/.298/.405 | .167 | .308 | 20 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .239/.300/.413 | .174 | .310 | 21 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 |
|
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A |
22 | 48→56 | 44→50 | 51→50 | 47 | .232/.297/.363 | .132 | .298 | 10 | 16 | 25% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .253/.307/.400 | .147 | .331 | 13 | 14 | 26% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .259/.313/.416 | .157 | .335 | 15 | 16 | 26% | 7% | 102 | +1.2 |
|
●Justyn-Henry Malloy 2022 · A |
22 | 46→56 | 45→50 | 48→45 | 47 | .224/.294/.345 | .121 | .300 | 13 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .233/.321/.379 | .146 | .324 | 18 | 5 | 31% | 11% | 100 | +1.7 | .234/.340/.391 | .157 | .320 | 18 | 5 | 30% | 12% | 109 | +2.0 |
|
●Jonathan India 2019 · A |
22 | 43→51 | 45→50 | 51→50 | 45 | .208/.290/.333 | .125 | .296 | 12 | 10 | 32% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.304/.340 | .123 | .297 | 12 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .243/.342/.393 | .150 | .294 | 17 | 11 | 22% | 10% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2018 · A |
22 | 48→56 | 42→55 | 44→45 | 41 | .235/.279/.339 | .105 | .302 | 8 | 8 | 25% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .229/.263/.335 | .106 | .281 | 9 | 5 | 21% | 4% | 63 | -0.9 | .246/.303/.412 | .166 | .293 | 19 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 97 | +1.1 |
|
●Gordon Beckham 2009 · A |
22 | 47→57 | 48→50 | 46→45 | 45 | .237/.285/.376 | .139 | .276 | 16 | 8 | 21% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .254/.317/.400 | .146 | .293 | 14 | 7 | 18% | 7% | 103 | +1.9 | .247/.314/.379 | .132 | .288 | 12 | 6 | 18% | 7% | 93 | +1.2 |
|
●Rainel Rosario 2011 · A |
22 | 42→51 | 45→50 | 46→50 | 44 | .207/.283/.342 | .135 | .296 | 11 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .210/.267/.310 | .100 | .310 | 8 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .253/.308/.402 | .150 | .285 | 19 | 6 | 18% | 7% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
✕D'Andre Smith 2023 · A |
22 | 47→53 | 47→45 | 49→60 | 37 | .224/.284/.362 | .138 | .335 | 14 | 10 | 36% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .208/.260/.305 | .097 | .303 | 8 | 15 | 32% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .217/.265/.310 | .093 | .297 | 8 | 24 | 28% | 4% | 53 | -0.7 |
|
✕Zelous Wheeler 2009 · A |
22 | 44→52 | 43→50 | 43→45 | 43 | .219/.274/.329 | .109 | .278 | 10 | 7 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.304/.346 | .113 | .289 | 10 | 8 | 22% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .242/.315/.375 | .133 | .285 | 14 | 7 | 19% | 8% | 93 | +1.0 |
|
●Chris Pettit 2007 · A |
22 | 48→55 | 44→50 | 50 | 44 | .232/.306/.363 | .131 | .306 | 10 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .250/.312/.393 | .143 | .305 | 13 | 14 | 22% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 | .254/.314/.396 | .142 | .306 | 13 | 18 | 20% | 6% | 98 | +1.1 |
|
✕Yusniel Díaz 2019 · AA |
22 | 48→52 | 44→45 | 42→50 | 46 | .236/.294/.356 | .120 | .303 | 12 | 10 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .216/.275/.345 | .129 | .292 | 13 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .205/.272/.325 | .121 | .274 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A |
22 | 45→46 | 49→50 | 45 | 42 | .226/.293/.375 | .150 | .293 | 16 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .220/.279/.369 | .149 | .281 | 17 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .212/.267/.368 | .155 | .262 | 19 | 9 | 27% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Nick Yorke 2023 · A |
21 | 45→55 | 48→50 | 46→55 | 43 | .230/.283/.366 | .136 | .290 | 16 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .237/.292/.360 | .123 | .316 | 13 | 15 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .246/.301/.362 | .116 | .327 | 12 | 18 | 27% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 |
|
✕Wilver Perez 2006 · A |
22 | 49→48 | 43→45 | 45 | 43 | .233/.292/.350 | .116 | .319 | 9 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .228/.286/.326 | .098 | .317 | 8 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.277/.310 | .091 | .308 | 7 | 14 | 29% | 6% | 60 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ryan Adams 2009 · A |
22 | 49→55 | 43→45 | 48→45 | 39 | .238/.282/.353 | .115 | .323 | 10 | 8 | 29% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .248/.292/.361 | .113 | .336 | 10 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .251/.298/.365 | .113 | .341 | 9 | 3 | 28% | 5% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕German Duran 2007 · A |
22 | 46→49 | 45→50 | 46→45 | 42 | .231/.273/.358 | .127 | .286 | 13 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .233/.276/.377 | .144 | .275 | 16 | 9 | 21% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.267/.365 | .142 | .257 | 16 | 6 | 20% | 5% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A |
22 | 45→48 | 42→50 | 51→50 | 43 | .218/.284/.328 | .110 | .300 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.275/.332 | .128 | .317 | 14 | 12 | 38% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .220/.308/.345 | .126 | .328 | 13 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Connor Wong 2018 · A |
22 | 47→55 | 49→55 | 47→50 | 39 | .234/.284/.379 | .144 | .318 | 17 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .208/.261/.369 | .161 | .334 | 21 | 8 | 42% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .245/.299/.393 | .149 | .318 | 17 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 90 | +0.8 |