Fulton Lockhart P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 198 lbs A
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 107
ERA4.72
FIP4.72
K%23.1%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%10.7%
ROS IP11
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
K: +5.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+5KBB: -5.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-6BBCONTACT: +0.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+1CONTACTSTAM: +2.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.24 (48 IP)+0.2WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202420AInland Empire 66ers90135613910%1.417.2%19.0%-1.8%3.0%2.775.72
202420AInland Empire 66ers90135613910%1.423.2%16.1%7.1%1.8%2.774.18
202521MIX2 levels23027154453920%1.222.6%30.0%-7.4%2.1%9.006.12
202521MIX2 levels23027154453920%1.229.2%25.3%3.9%1.3%9.005.06
▸ 2026 Season
202622ARancho Cucamonga Quakes32037159592910%1.227.5%21.5%5.9%0.8%1.703.96+0.3
ROS22MLBLAA100114611610%1.123.1%12.4%10.7%2.9%4.724.72-0.0
ROS22MLBLAA023.1%12.4%10.7%2.9%4.724.72
2026 TOT22MLBLAA482057035234.0%16.9%17.0%1.1%2.384.13+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBLAA190208420920%1.123.9%11.1%12.7%2.9%4.554.47+0.0
202723MLBLAA100104210510%1.023.9%11.1%12.7%2.9%4.554.47+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career90104210510%1.123.9%11.1%12.7%2.9%4.554.09+0.1
/ 200 IP1900200844203102200%1.123.9%11.1%12.7%2.9%4.554.09+3.1
Career64077369889160%1.223.9%24.7%-0.8%1.7%4.445.13-0.2
/ 200 IP1660200958229236160%1.223.9%24.7%-0.8%1.7%4.445.13+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Fulton Lockhart (OGILVIE) 4.72 23.1%12.4%2.9% 4.47 23.9%12.7%20 -0.25
Caleb Freeman R 2025 · 3.98 FIP 21 SU 3.98 24.6%12.9%2.4%.267 5.17 21.7%8.1%58 +1.19 3.98 222 92
Nic Enright R 2026 · 3.63 FIP 22 SU 3.63 24.6%12.2%1.9%.263 3.12 29.6%23.5%124 -0.51 0.50 249 89
Cole Gordon R 2027 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 22.0%12.7%2.4%.243 5.20 20.9%9.5%83 +1.04 4.16 112 87
Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.53 FIP 23 SU 3.53 22.3%10.3%1.8%.311 5.00 22.2%10.2%100 +1.47 3.53 123 87
Mason Fox R 2025 · 3.59 FIP 21 SU 3.59 21.9%11.5%1.6%.260 7.31 21.3%4.8%30 +3.72 3.59 112 87
Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 22 SU 4.57 20.5%12.5%2.9%.330 4.23 19.2%9.0%109 -0.34 3.09 195 87
Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.13 22.3%13.1%247 -1.03 2.74 367 87
Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.48 FIP 24 SU 4.48 22.4%10.9%3.5%.261 4.12 18.8%8.1%138 -0.36 3.77 166 86
Kasey Ford R 2027 · 4.68 FIP 23 SU 4.68 20.3%14.5%2.6%.310 4.31 21.9%5.8%98 -0.37 2.53 114 86
Jonathan Brand R 2027 · 3.95 FIP 23 SU 3.95 22.7%10.8%2.5%.236 4.09 19.8%9.0%134 +0.14 3.24 172 86
Brandyn Sittinger R 2027 · 4.67 FIP 23 SU 4.67 22.2%13.8%3.1%.324 4.02 21.2%7.2%72 -0.65 3.50 152 86
Ismael Cabrera R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 22 SU 5.09 19.5%12.4%3.8%.276 5.52 16.9%6.5%95 +0.43 3.56 133 86
Hunter Dula R 2027 · 3.85 FIP 23 SU 3.85 22.0%12.3%1.9%.340 4.49 20.0%8.9%91 +0.64 3.85 132 85
Easton Sikorski R 2027 · 4.76 FIP 23 SU 4.76 20.9%14.1%3.0%.254 4.52 17.5%6.3%154 -0.24 4.09 183 85
Scott Williams R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 22 SU 4.49 20.2%10.6%3.2%.256 2.90 18.5%11.2%42 -1.59 2.90 119 85
Harrison Cohen R 2028 · 4.55 FIP 24 SU 4.55 22.4%13.4%3.0%.282 4.01 23.3%9.5%99 -0.54 2.09 146 85
Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 22 SU 4.12 21.4%8.7%3.1%.265 4.55 19.6%6.7%179 +0.43 3.41 214 84
Donovan Benoit R 2027 · 3.53 FIP 23 SU 3.53 25.3%12.4%1.8%.284 4.38 17.6%4.3%138 +0.85 3.53 183 84
Justin Yeager R 2027 · 3.58 FIP 23 SU 3.58 26.6%12.3%2.1%.281 3.98 25.4%12.6%103 +0.40 3.21 239 84
Will Kincanon R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 22 SU 3.72 20.2%11.5%1.6%.284 3.67 22.2%10.0%58 -0.05 3.67 122 84