Brock Porter

P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 208 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	MIX2 levels	8	7	19	6.98	6.31	17.8%	23.8%	—	K 12.1% · BB 24.6% · FIP 6.50
2025	22	MIX2 levels	42	0	68	3.03	4.07	26.9%	13.6%	—	K 19.6% · BB 15.5% · FIP 5.30
2026	23	MIX2 levels	23	1	76	4.01	4.63	25.6%	17.0%	—	K 19.9% · BB 19.4% · FIP 5.61
2027PROJ	24	MLBTEX	64	0	67	5.98	5.98	19.5%	19.5%	-1.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBTEX	29	0	30	5.67	5.57	20.3%	16.8%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBTEX	44	0	46	5.50	5.45	20.7%	16.2%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control30Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAustin Vernon (age 24) · Robbie Peto (age 24) · Victor Santos (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 130

ERA5.98

FIP5.98

K%19.5%

BB%19.5%

K-BB%0.0%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	21	21	69	293	95	42	1	100%	3.3	24.0%	16.9%	7.1%	0.4%	2.47	3.44	—
2023	20	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	21	21	69	293	95	42	1	100%	3.3	32.4%	14.3%	18.1%	0.3%	2.47	2.36	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	7	19	101	18	24	2	88%	2.4	12.1%	24.6%	-12.4%	2.4%	6.98	6.50	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	7	19	101	18	24	2	88%	2.4	12.1%	24.6%	-12.4%	2.4%	6.98	6.50	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	7	19	101	18	24	2	88%	2.4	17.8%	23.8%	-5.9%	2.0%	6.98	6.31	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	68	294	79	40	8	0%	1.6	19.6%	15.5%	4.2%	3.5%	3.03	5.30	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	68	294	79	40	8	0%	1.6	19.6%	15.5%	4.2%	3.5%	3.03	5.30	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	68	294	79	40	8	0%	1.6	26.9%	13.6%	13.3%	2.7%	3.03	4.07	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	1	76	352	90	60	9	4%	3.3	19.9%	19.4%	0.6%	3.2%	4.01	5.61	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	1	76	352	90	60	9	4%	3.3	19.9%	19.4%	0.6%	3.2%	4.01	5.61	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	1	76	352	90	60	9	4%	3.3	25.6%	17.0%	8.5%	2.6%	4.01	4.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TEX	64	0	67	283	55	55	9	0%	1.0	19.5%	19.5%	0.0%	3.1%	5.98	5.98	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	66	0	70	294	60	49	9	0%	1.1	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	3.0%	5.67	5.57	-0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	66	0	70	294	61	48	9	0%	1.1	20.7%	16.2%	4.5%	3.0%	5.50	5.45	-0.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	65	0	69	290	60	46	9	0%	1.1	20.8%	15.9%	4.9%	3.1%	5.44	5.43	-0.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	TEX	63	0	66	281	58	45	9	0%	1.1	20.8%	15.9%	4.8%	3.2%	5.46	5.49	-0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	TEX	60	0	64	268	55	43	9	0%	1.1	20.5%	16.2%	4.4%	3.3%	5.56	5.62	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	29	0	30	127	26	21	4	0%	1.0	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	3.0%	5.67	5.57	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	44	0	46	194	40	32	6	0%	1.0	20.7%	16.2%	4.5%	3.0%	5.50	5.45	-0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	50	0	53	224	47	36	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	15.9%	4.9%	3.1%	5.44	5.43	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	TEX	53	0	56	236	49	38	8	0%	1.1	20.8%	15.9%	4.8%	3.2%	5.46	5.49	-0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53	0	56	236	49	38	8	0%	1.1	20.5%	16.2%	4.4%	3.3%	5.56	5.62	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		229	0	241	1016	210	164	32	0%	1.1	20.7%	16.1%	4.5%	3.1%	5.51	5.13	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	136	27	0%	1.1	20.7%	16.1%	4.5%	3.1%	5.51	5.13	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		94	29	233	1040	210	188	25	31%	2.5	20.2%	18.1%	2.2%	2.4%	3.51	5.00	-3.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	25	200	891	180	161	21	31%	2.5	20.2%	18.1%	2.2%	2.4%	3.51	5.00	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brock Porter (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.98	19.5%	19.5%	3.1%	—	5.48	20.6%	4.3%	208	-0.50	—	—	—
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.68	23.3%	10.0%	100	-2.07	3.37	261	83
Robbie Peto R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	24	SU	5.39	15.6%	19.4%	2.1%	.242	5.75	15.3%	1.9%	80	+0.36	5.39	232	80
Victor Santos R 2001 · 4.97 FIP	24	SW	4.97	15.5%	13.4%	2.7%	.231	4.38	16.4%	7.4%	206	-0.59	4.09	602	78
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	77
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	76
Will Bednar R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	24	SW	6.40	23.8%	23.1%	4.3%	.240	3.83	25.5%	9.4%	115	-2.57	3.38	202	76
Yoel Espinal R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	21.4%	23.1%	2.1%	.255	4.24	22.9%	10.0%	99	-1.13	3.86	231	76
Matt Merrill R 2022 · 6.06 FIP	24	SW	6.06	20.4%	22.4%	3.4%	.314	3.92	25.4%	7.0%	108	-2.14	3.14	205	75
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	75
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	75
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	75
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	75
Adrian Chaidez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	24	SW	4.96	19.4%	16.3%	2.6%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	144	75
Elian Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.60 FIP	24	SW	5.60	18.3%	21.9%	2.3%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	109	74
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	74
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	74
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	74
Miguel Medrano R 2022 · 6.10 FIP	24	SW	6.10	18.1%	18.6%	4.0%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	2.73	232	74
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	73
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	68	20.4%	16.8%	1.21	5.60
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*