Gavin Turley

OF Stockton Ports

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 196 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

APROSPECTFG #791MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP41ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AOAK	125	.243/.341/.430	4	0	54	—	.179/.252/.312
2026	22	A+OAK	30	.111/.200/.148	0	1	-29	—	.107/.167/.143
2026	22	AOAK	352	.244/.368/.440	15	3	61	—	.179/.276/.316
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBOAK	489	.200/.279/.338	13	8	75	-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBOAK	125	.210/.289/.360	4	2	80	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBOAK	201	.214/.292/.369	6	4	83	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.4M2033Arb-2$0.4M2034Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO78

Chase%73

BB%69

wOBA60

wRC+53

Whiff%25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsTroy Stokes Jr. (age 23) · Jeremiah Jackson (age 23) · Michael Toglia (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .277 / .335

PA320

HR9

SB5

K%33

BB%9

ISO138

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	125	107	26	8	0	4	14	34	2	0	0	243	341	430	771	187	310	27	11	340	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	30	27	3	1	0	0	2	12	1	1	1	111	200	148	348	37	200	40	7	174	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	352	291	71	10	1	15	51	110	6	3	2	244	368	440	808	196	329	31	14	359	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	125	112	20	6	0	3	9	46	2	0	0	179	252	312	565	134	257	37	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	30	28	3	1	0	0	1	15	1	1	1	107	167	143	310	36	176	50	3	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	352	307	55	7	1	11	35	150	6	3	2	179	276	316	592	137	279	43	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	125	112	20	6	0	3	9	46	2	0	0	179	252	312	565	134	262	37	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Stockton Ports	—	125	107	26	8	0	4	14	34	2	0	0	243	341	430	771	187	310	27	11	340	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	382	335	57	8	1	11	36	165	7	4	3	170	265	299	563	128	282	43	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	382	318	74	11	1	15	53	122	7	4	3	233	354	415	770	182	319	32	14	345	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	125	113	20	6	0	3	9	46	2	0	0	177	252	310	562	133	257	37	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	382	336	57	8	1	11	36	165	7	4	3	170	265	298	562	128	271	43	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	125	113	20	6	0	3	9	46	2	0	0	177	252	310	562	133	257	37	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	382	336	57	8	1	11	36	165	7	4	3	170	265	298	562	128	271	43	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	489	438	87	16	2	13	42	161	6	8	3	200	279	338	617	138	278	33	9	278	75	-15	+0	-1	-3	+11	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	OAK	30%	414	370	76	14	2	12	36	134	5	8	2	205	284	352	636	147	280	32	9	286	80	-10	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	OAK	44%	456	407	85	15	2	14	40	145	6	9	3	209	288	361	649	153	281	32	9	291	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	OAK	51%	481	430	91	16	2	16	42	151	6	9	3	211	290	368	658	156	281	31	9	294	85	-8	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	491	439	93	17	2	16	43	152	6	10	3	212	291	367	658	155	281	31	9	294	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	493	441	93	17	2	15	43	152	6	9	3	212	290	365	655	153	281	31	9	293	85	-9	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	488	438	91	16	2	15	42	152	5	8	3	209	287	358	645	149	279	31	9	289	82	-10	+0	-1	-3	+11	-0.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	480	431	89	16	2	14	41	151	5	7	4	206	283	350	634	144	277	31	9	285	79	-12	-0	-2	-3	+10	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	OAK	30%	125	111	25	5	1	4	11	40	2	2	1	210	289	360	648	149	289	32	9	291	80	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	OAK	44%	201	180	39	8	1	6	17	64	2	4	1	214	292	369	662	155	290	32	8	296	83	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	OAK	51%	244	218	47	9	1	8	21	76	3	5	2	217	295	376	670	159	291	31	9	299	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	257	230	50	10	1	8	22	80	3	5	2	217	295	375	670	158	291	31	9	299	85	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	263	235	51	10	1	8	23	81	3	5	2	217	295	373	667	155	290	31	9	298	85	-5	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	256	229	50	10	1	8	22	79	3	4	2	215	292	366	658	151	289	31	9	294	82	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	250	224	47	9	1	7	21	78	3	4	2	212	288	358	646	146	286	31	8	290	79	-6	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1596	1427	309	61	7	49	137	498	19	29	12	217	294	372	666	156	293	31	9	296	79	-32	+1	-2	-10	+35	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	126	25	3	20	56	203	8	12	5	217	295	373	668	157	294	31	9	296	79	-13	+0	-1	-4	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4130	3689	752	135	16	125	359	1354	52	69	26	204	284	351	634	147	281	33	9	284	79	-78	+4	-4	-22	+78	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	119	21	3	20	57	213	8	11	4	205	285	355	639	150	282	33	9	284	79	-14	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.9	1,916	59	34	209	284	359	-11	+0	0.1	0.3
/162	664	20	12	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 1
#5Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Turley (OGILVIE)	23	20→36	40→56	50→53	44	198/277/335	137	278	9	5	33%	9%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	49→55	48→55	42	201/265/351	150	272	17	12	32%	7%	73	-0.6	221/268/376	155	290	20	15	30%	6%	80	-0.2	231/272/390	159	293	20	15	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	38→40	48→55	49→45	42	194/267/337	143	289	16	9	37%	8%	70	-0.8	202/275/366	164	281	21	7	34%	9%	80	-0.1	205/279/388	183	275	23	7	34%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	37→36	50→60	50	36	195/243/346	150	282	18	14	37%	6%	63	-1.4	213/276/401	188	298	24	14	35%	7%	89	+0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	37→47	48→60	52→50	39	195/259/338	144	277	16	15	35%	7%	68	-1.0	216/274/366	150	286	15	14	29%	7%	79	-0.2	203/291/407	204	286	27	7	37%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→30	47→60	51→50	42	207/297/346	139	317	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.2	204/282/377	173	332	21	8	42%	8%	86	+0.3	194/269/385	191	316	25	12	44%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Travis Taijeron 2013 · A	24	41	49→55	50→40	41	205/281/358	153	305	17	6	37%	8%	80	-0.1	208/285/373	165	306	18	3	36%	8%	86	+0.3	199/284/369	170	293	19	1	37%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Brandon Meredith 2013 · A	23	46→39	50	52→45	43	232/298/391	159	310	17	11	30%	7%	94	+0.9	211/289/360	149	277	17	7	29%	9%	84	+0.1	195/280/338	143	251	17	5	28%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Jordan Beck 2024 · AA	23	43→49	51→50	50	46	220/290/383	163	296	19	13	31%	9%	89	+0.5	226/286/364	138	314	14	16	31%	8%	83	+0.1	224/283/356	132	309	13	18	30%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	38→40	47→60	48→45	42	198/263/331	133	270	14	9	32%	7%	68	-1.0	210/285/377	167	290	20	5	33%	8%	86	+0.3	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA	23	43→39	49→60	53→50	33	213/257/360	147	326	18	13	39%	5%	72	-0.7	211/274/393	182	292	24	14	35%	7%	86	+0.3	203/275/390	187	263	25	12	32%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Travis Demeritte 2018 · AA	23	38→46	48→55	47→50	39	193/255/339	145	296	15	9	38%	7%	65	-1.2	209/276/372	163	301	18	7	35%	8%	82	-0.0	211/277/384	173	306	21	9	36%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→37	49→45	51→50	40	207/277/361	153	275	17	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	209/284/321	112	285	10	10	29%	6%	74	-0.6	205/290/288	83	271	7	10	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→36	49→50	53→50	39	208/269/355	147	289	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.5	208/272/340	132	295	14	10	33%	6%	73	-0.6	202/272/344	143	283	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→42	44→55	45→50	44	183/264/301	119	275	11	7	36%	9%	61	-1.5	207/286/371	164	296	18	9	34%	9%	86	+0.3	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A	23	38	45→50	47→30	44	191/278/314	124	278	13	2	34%	9%	70	-0.8	195/271/326	131	277	15	3	33%	8%	70	-0.9	176/253/298	122	249	15	0	34%	7%	54	-0.9
✕Jabari Henry 2013 · A	22	41	46→55	49→45	44	208/269/341	133	270	13	6	28%	7%	72	-0.7	206/283/358	152	269	17	6	28%	9%	81	-0.1	191/276/354	163	247	19	6	30%	10%	74	-0.4
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	202/261/310	108	272	11	10	29%	6%	61	-1.5	216/274/340	124	275	14	9	26%	6%	74	-0.6	207/266/326	119	257	14	7	25%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · AA	23	42→44	49→50	47→45	41	212/281/356	144	311	18	6	36%	8%	80	-0.1	202/268/336	134	315	17	7	39%	8%	70	-0.8	194/263/327	133	302	17	7	39%	8%	64	-1.0

Gavin Turley

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps