Eli Serrano IIIOF
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 23
L/L
6'5" / 201 lbs
AA
H +5%HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.3 · 2030
wRC+†90
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .294 / .361
PA320
HR8
K%26
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35↗47
PWR
40↗50
SPD
50↗52
FLD
40↗50
EYE
48↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.3peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.2 | $10M | +$10M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +1.0 | $10M | +$8M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.8 | $4M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $3M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $10M | $48M | +$39M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 72 | 65 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .278 | .369 | .647 | .169 | .275 | 32 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 383 | 345 | 59 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 100 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .171 | .245 | .275 | .521 | .104 | .218 | 26 | 8 | .234 | 37 | -27 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 64 | 54 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .333 | .444 | .778 | .222 | .355 | 36 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYM | 256 | 229 | 51 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 70 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .223 | .299 | .376 | .675 | .153 | .289 | 27 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 0.2 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | NYM | 320 | 283 | 63 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 93 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .223 | .306 | .389 | .695 | .166 | .303 | 29 | 8 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +9 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 11% | NYM | 423 | 375 | 85 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 97 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .227 | .310 | .384 | .694 | .157 | .276 | 23 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 26% | NYM | 458 | 406 | 94 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 105 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .232 | .314 | .397 | .711 | .165 | .278 | 23 | 9 | .316 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 44% | NYM | 478 | 424 | 99 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 44 | 109 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .233 | .316 | .401 | .717 | .167 | .279 | 23 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +14 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 59% | NYM | 484 | 429 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 111 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .233 | .316 | .399 | .715 | .166 | .280 | 23 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 69% | NYM | 484 | 428 | 99 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 112 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .231 | .316 | .397 | .713 | .166 | .279 | 23 | 10 | .318 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | NYM | 477 | 422 | 96 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 45 | 111 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .227 | .312 | .386 | .698 | .159 | .279 | 23 | 9 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 85% | NYM | 468 | 414 | 95 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 44 | 111 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .229 | .314 | .391 | .705 | .162 | .277 | 24 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +13 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | NYM | 455 | 402 | 90 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 110 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .224 | .310 | .381 | .690 | .157 | .276 | 24 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 437 | 387 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 108 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .220 | .304 | .367 | .671 | .147 | .274 | 25 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 408 | 361 | 78 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 103 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .216 | .301 | .360 | .661 | .144 | .272 | 25 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 363 | 321 | 68 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 95 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .212 | .297 | .349 | .646 | .137 | .270 | 26 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5646 | 5008 | 1112 | 238 | 46 | 147 | 515 | 1365 | 84 | 98 | 18 | .222 | .305 | .376 | .681 | .154 | .274 | 24 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -54 | +12 | -28 | -34 | +160 | 5.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 127 | 27 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 157 | 10 | 11 | 2 | .220 | .303 | .373 | .676 | .153 | .271 | 24 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -6 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 72 | 63 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .238 | .333 | .444 | .778 | .206 | .289 | 22 | 10 | .345 | 122 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 383 | 324 | 72 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 77 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .222 | .335 | .358 | .693 | .136 | .266 | 20 | 13 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +11 | 1.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Eli Serrano III (OGILVIE) | 23 | 35→47 | 40→50 | 50→52 | 50 | .221/.294/.361 | .141 | .283 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 85 | +0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA |
23 | 41→47 | 49→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .211/.270/.356 | .146 | .270 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.290/.386 | .163 | .284 | 18 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .223/.295/.390 | .167 | .282 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 9% | 89 | +0.8 |
|
●Brian Goodwin 2014 · AA |
23 | 46→52 | 45→60 | 50 | 48 | .226/.299/.357 | .132 | .297 | 12 | 15 | 27% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .214/.278/.326 | .112 | .294 | 10 | 13 | 29% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .243/.309/.437 | .195 | .311 | 23 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 105 | +1.3 |
|
✕Jaff Decker 2013 · AA |
23 | 39→49 | 51→55 | 49→55 | 49 | .203/.290/.361 | .159 | .263 | 19 | 10 | 30% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .218/.293/.338 | .120 | .287 | 11 | 10 | 26% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .223/.297/.332 | .109 | .287 | 9 | 13 | 24% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
●Brandon Jones 2007 · AA |
23 | 47→53 | 49→55 | 48→50 | 44 | .237/.286/.386 | .149 | .291 | 16 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .246/.297/.388 | .142 | .311 | 13 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 91 | +1.1 | .249/.304/.384 | .135 | .313 | 12 | 10 | 23% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A |
23 | 39→47 | 48→55 | 46→45 | 43 | .204/.269/.341 | .137 | .271 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .226/.282/.376 | .150 | .297 | 15 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .233/.301/.393 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Bronson Sardinha 2006 · AA |
23 | 47→53 | 44→50 | 47→50 | 44 | .230/.287/.348 | .118 | .298 | 11 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .232/.285/.361 | .129 | .290 | 13 | 7 | 24% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .259/.325/.398 | .139 | .314 | 13 | 8 | 21% | 8% | 103 | +1.2 |
|
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A |
23 | 47 | 47→55 | 54→40 | 46 | .233/.294/.373 | .139 | .289 | 13 | 5 | 24% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .207/.269/.295 | .088 | .284 | 6 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .167/.232/.203 | .036 | .241 | 0 | 2 | 28% | 7% | 14 | -1.3 |
|
●Zach Borenstein 2013 · A |
23 | 44→54 | 46→60 | 53→50 | 43 | .217/.276/.354 | .136 | .272 | 12 | 14 | 24% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .247/.298/.434 | .187 | .311 | 22 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 105 | +2.1 | .250/.301/.438 | .188 | .317 | 23 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 105 | +1.6 |
|
●JJ Bleday 2021 · A |
23 | 44→50 | 43→55 | 48→45 | 42 | .218/.269/.329 | .110 | .289 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .191/.278/.336 | .145 | .249 | 16 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 71 | -0.3 | .233/.319/.423 | .190 | .271 | 22 | 4 | 22% | 11% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
●Mat Gamel 2008 · A |
23 | 48→56 | 45→55 | 49→45 | 43 | .238/.285/.373 | .135 | .300 | 12 | 8 | 24% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .248/.303/.402 | .154 | .330 | 15 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .247/.307/.405 | .158 | .332 | 17 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 100 | +1.4 |
|
●Cedric Mullins 2018 · AA |
23 | 43→53 | 49→55 | 50→60 | 41 | .221/.256/.369 | .148 | .262 | 16 | 14 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.272/.354 | .129 | .266 | 13 | 18 | 20% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .254/.323/.426 | .171 | .293 | 19 | 27 | 19% | 8% | 108 | +2.3 |
|
✕Trevor Larnach 2019 · A |
22 | 48→53 | 45→55 | 51→45 | 47 | .235/.297/.362 | .127 | .292 | 11 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .238/.301/.359 | .121 | .342 | 12 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .235/.316/.401 | .167 | .293 | 21 | 4 | 26% | 10% | 99 | +1.4 |
|
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A |
22 | 46→51 | 45→55 | 49→50 | 51 | .225/.302/.352 | .127 | .274 | 12 | 12 | 22% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .233/.299/.395 | .162 | .280 | 19 | 11 | 23% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .223/.293/.390 | .167 | .262 | 20 | 11 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A |
23 | 44 | 48→55 | 50→45 | 44 | .221/.290/.369 | .149 | .286 | 15 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .228/.290/.346 | .118 | .296 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .223/.283/.406 | .183 | .282 | 24 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 88 | +0.4 |
|
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A |
23 | 40 | 45→55 | 47→45 | 45 | .204/.281/.326 | .122 | .262 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.278/.391 | .172 | .284 | 22 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .215/.266/.411 | .196 | .270 | 28 | 0 | 32% | 5% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A |
24 | 48→53 | 45→50 | 53→55 | 44 | .238/.287/.362 | .124 | .295 | 13 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .243/.318/.373 | .130 | .299 | 10 | 18 | 21% | 9% | 97 | +1.5 | .241/.321/.375 | .134 | .285 | 11 | 17 | 18% | 9% | 95 | +1.0 |
|
✕DJ Stewart 2017 · A |
23 | 44→48 | 43→60 | 51→50 | 47 | .213/.288/.324 | .111 | .289 | 10 | 16 | 28% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .228/.300/.377 | .149 | .280 | 17 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .228/.303/.393 | .165 | .269 | 20 | 12 | 23% | 8% | 94 | +1.1 |
|
✕Brandon Boggs 2006 · A |
23 | 42→48 | 48→55 | 48→50 | 50 | .215/.288/.356 | .141 | .265 | 16 | 12 | 25% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .215/.291/.372 | .157 | .281 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .213/.298/.382 | .169 | .284 | 17 | 11 | 29% | 10% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A |
23 | 43→52 | 44→50 | 50 | 43 | .215/.276/.330 | .115 | .277 | 12 | 14 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .235/.289/.369 | .134 | .309 | 14 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .237/.290/.360 | .124 | .314 | 13 | 13 | 28% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Spencer Packard 2022 · A |
24 | 45→51 | 45 | 51→40 | 46 | .224/.287/.344 | .120 | .266 | 12 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .234/.306/.367 | .133 | .278 | 14 | 5 | 21% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .238/.319/.355 | .117 | .280 | 12 | 1 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.9 |