Eli Serrano III — OGILVIE

Eli Serrano IIIOF Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 23 L/L 6'5" / 201 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION316 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP245

ISO119

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	63	15	3	2	2	7	16	2	1	0	238	333	444	778	206	289	22	10	345	120	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	324	72	21	1	7	50	77	5	9	3	222	335	358	693	136	266	20	13	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+8	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	65	13	3	1	2	5	23	2	1	0	200	278	369	647	169	264	32	7	276	73	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	342	61	17	1	5	32	102	5	9	3	178	259	278	536	99	227	27	8	240	49	-23	+1	—	—	+8	-1.5
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	65	13	3	1	2	5	23	2	1	0	200	278	369	647	169	275	32	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	63	15	3	2	2	7	16	2	1	0	238	333	444	778	206	289	22	10	345	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	342	61	17	1	5	32	102	5	9	3	178	259	278	536	99	234	27	8	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	324	72	21	1	7	50	77	5	9	3	222	335	358	693	136	266	20	13	315	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	65	13	3	1	2	5	23	2	1	0	200	278	369	647	169	264	32	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	343	61	17	1	5	32	102	5	9	3	178	259	277	536	99	227	27	8	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	65	13	3	1	2	5	23	2	1	0	200	278	369	647	169	264	32	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	343	61	17	1	5	32	102	5	9	3	178	259	277	536	99	227	27	8	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	NYM	—	316	277	44	14	3	5	28	103	5	8	2	159	248	285	534	126	224	33	9	234	45	-21	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	NYM	—	29	23	3	1	0	0	5	8	1	0	0	130	310	174	484	43	200	28	17	252	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	NYM	—	287	242	46	15	3	6	35	75	4	8	2	190	302	351	654	161	241	26	12	292	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	NYM	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		252	30	10	259	61	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	NYM	—	326	286	45	14	3	5	29	106	5	8	2	157	247	280	527	122	222	33	9	235	45	-21	+1	-0	-2	+7	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYM	31%	424	379	73	19	3	9	37	123	5	7	2	193	273	330	603	137	256	29	9	271	70	-15	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.9
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	45%	459	410	82	21	3	11	40	130	6	8	2	200	281	346	627	146	260	28	9	281	76	-13	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYM	51%	479	428	87	22	3	12	42	134	6	8	2	203	284	353	636	150	262	28	9	286	80	-12	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	485	433	88	22	3	12	43	135	6	9	2	203	284	351	635	148	262	28	9	287	80	-11	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYM	31%	131	117	23	6	1	3	11	38	2	2	1	197	277	342	619	145	249	29	8	258	70	-5	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	45%	205	182	35	9	1	5	18	58	3	4	1	192	276	335	611	143	253	28	9	267	76	-6	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYM	51%	244	218	44	11	2	6	21	68	3	4	1	202	281	353	634	151	255	28	9	272	80	-6	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	255	227	46	11	2	7	23	71	3	5	1	203	285	361	646	159	255	28	9	273	80	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	835	744	148	37	6	21	73	235	11	15	4	199	280	349	630	151	258	28	9	269	72	-22	+1	-1	-5	+18	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	115	29	5	16	57	183	9	12	3	199	281	349	629	150	258	28	9	269	72	-17	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2312	2066	405	104	14	51	200	650	30	42	11	196	277	334	611	138	257	28	9	274	72	-52	+3	-3	-11	+40	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	113	29	4	14	56	183	8	12	3	194	274	330	604	136	256	28	9	274	72	-18	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	841	20	15	201	279	349	-5	+0	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	16	12	-4.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Serrano III (OGILVIE)	23	35→47	40→50	50→52	50	181/262/302	121	252	5	7	30%	9%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→45	41→50	51→40	45	197/267/298	101	259	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	220/278/357	137	292	15	6	29%	6%	79	-0.2	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	40→46	42→50	50	42	193/272/298	105	296	9	12	35%	8%	63	-1.3	208/283/336	128	298	11	11	32%	8%	76	-0.4	203/278/333	131	282	12	10	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Jeisson Rosario 2023 · AA	23	45→49	42→45	47→50	49	215/293/323	108	288	9	12	27%	9%	76	-0.4	209/293/310	101	310	9	12	32%	10%	74	-0.6	195/287/283	88	301	8	12	34%	11%	63	-0.8
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A	23	43→49	43→50	48→50	40	213/276/317	104	284	11	13	28%	6%	69	-0.9	224/283/367	143	309	13	11	31%	5%	83	+0.1	221/280/376	155	306	15	9	31%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→38	43→55	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	61	-1.5	190/272/302	112	268	10	14	30%	10%	64	-1.3	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	46→55	47→45	45	203/281/331	128	258	14	8	26%	8%	74	-0.5	219/278/387	168	291	21	4	31%	6%	86	+0.3	217/271/408	191	280	27	0	32%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Kyle Kubitza 2013 · A	23	41→51	41→45	50	44	195/269/303	108	294	7	11	34%	9%	63	-1.4	219/294/346	127	335	9	10	34%	9%	82	-0.0	221/297/352	131	334	9	10	34%	9%	83	+0.1
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	43→53	44→50	50	43	215/276/329	115	276	12	14	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/291/364	126	311	13	13	26%	6%	85	+0.2	241/293/361	120	316	12	13	26%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	40→45	51→55	44	215/280/315	101	289	7	13	27%	7%	69	-0.9	208/260/300	92	298	6	11	30%	6%	58	-1.7	173/207/222	50	261	0	15	32%	4%	18	-0.8
✕Troy Montgomery 2018 · AA	23	47→55	43→40	52→50	47	228/291/339	111	290	10	13	24%	8%	78	-0.3	228/296/315	87	318	6	12	27%	9%	75	-0.5	247/322/317	70	355	2	15	28%	10%	83	+0.1
●Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	46→56	43→50	53→50	48	223/289/343	120	286	8	14	24%	8%	79	-0.2	225/291/339	114	281	9	12	22%	8%	79	-0.2	231/301/363	132	280	11	10	21%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Luis Liberato 2019 · A	23	42→49	47→50	44→50	41	212/259/350	138	282	14	6	30%	6%	70	-0.9	225/271/352	127	297	14	7	28%	6%	74	-0.5	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Blake Tekotte 2010 · A	23	43→47	43→50	50→55	47	213/273/320	107	259	10	15	22%	7%	68	-1.0	221/282/366	145	287	16	21	27%	7%	82	+0.0	214/275/365	151	282	17	23	29%	7%	76	-0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Orlando Martinez 2021 · A	23	43→49	45	44→50	41	217/263/341	124	278	13	7	27%	6%	68	-1.0	216/260/337	121	291	12	8	29%	5%	67	-1.1	231/294/322	92	284	6	11	20%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→47	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	199/278/306	107	280	9	5	30%	9%	67	-1.1	208/291/327	119	275	12	4	27%	10%	76	-0.3
✕Reid Fronk 2010 · A	24	42→48	43→45	44→50	46	206/292/318	112	279	10	10	28%	8%	76	-0.4	203/288/294	91	286	5	8	28%	9%	69	-0.9	196/287/282	85	279	3	7	28%	9%	64	-0.9
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A	23	44→43	45→50	46→45	46	211/291/336	125	311	13	8	34%	10%	78	-0.3	206/287/361	155	334	19	4	40%	10%	83	+0.1	204/288/352	148	322	17	2	39%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	210/284/319	109	280	9	10	27%	8%	72	-0.7	203/288/320	117	266	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.5	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	42→45	44→45	47→55	43	209/267/331	122	277	11	11	28%	7%	68	-1.0	212/262/326	114	280	12	10	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/285/332	119	269	12	19	24%	8%	72	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps