Josh Tate — OGILVIE

Josh TateOF Bradenton Marauders

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 178 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION316 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .278 / .311

PA210

HR3

SB9

K%28

BB%7

BABIP298

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	70	64	12	1	2	0	3	18	1	2	1	188	235	266	501	78	250	26	4	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	70	63	15	2	2	0	4	13	1	2	1	238	294	333	627	95	288	19	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	PIT	—	316	284	66	9	2	4	22	103	4	23	10	232	297	320	617	88	346	33	7	271	66	-12	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
YTD	22	A	PIT	—	316	276	76	10	3	5	30	74	4	23	10	275	355	388	743	112	357	23	9	331	111	+4	+1	+0	-2	+9	1.2
ROS	22	A	PIT	0%	210	192	42	7	1	3	14	60	2	9	4	218	278	311	589	93	302	28	7	272	66	-8	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		301	—	—	262	59	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	PIT	—	316	285	66	9	2	4	22	103	4	23	10	232	297	319	616	88	344	33	7	271	66	-12	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
TOT	22	A	PIT	—	526	476	108	16	3	7	36	163	6	32	14	227	289	317	606	90	326	31	7	271	66	-20	+1	+0	-3	+15	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PIT	34%	336	305	69	11	2	6	24	93	4	10	4	226	291	334	626	108	303	28	7	281	73	-10	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	PIT	46%	410	373	86	14	3	8	30	112	4	12	5	231	295	349	643	118	303	27	7	287	78	-10	+0	+0	-2	+12	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	PIT	52%	440	400	92	15	3	9	32	118	5	13	5	230	295	350	645	120	303	27	7	290	80	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2030	26	MLB	PIT	54%	458	416	96	16	3	9	34	123	5	14	5	231	297	349	645	118	302	27	7	292	81	-10	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.1
2027	23	MLB	PIT	34%	115	105	24	4	1	2	8	32	1	3	1	229	289	343	632	114	302	28	7	272	67	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	PIT	46%	189	171	40	7	1	4	14	51	2	6	2	234	299	357	656	123	302	27	7	278	71	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	PIT	52%	227	206	47	8	2	4	17	61	2	7	3	228	293	345	638	117	301	27	7	281	73	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2030	26	MLB	PIT	54%	248	225	52	9	2	5	18	66	3	7	3	231	297	356	652	124	301	27	7	282	74	-7	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	779	708	163	28	6	15	57	210	8	23	9	230	295	350	646	120	304	27	7	280	72	-25	+1	+0	-5	+22	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	136	23	5	13	48	175	7	19	8	230	297	352	649	122	303	27	7	280	72	-21	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1924	1750	397	64	14	35	137	524	21	60	24	227	291	339	630	113	301	27	7	284	75	-53	+2	+0	-12	+55	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	135	22	5	12	46	177	7	20	8	228	292	343	635	115	303	27	7	284	75	-18	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	70	63	15	2	2	0	4	13	1	2	1	238	294	333	627	95	288	19	6	275	69	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	938	17	26	228	289	343	-6	+0	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	12	19	228	289	343	-4.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Tate (OGILVIE)	22	31→36	35→40	57→62	49	227/289/317	90	326	7	32	31%	7%	66	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Manuel Hilario 2014 · A	22	44	40→45	57→55	47	209/283/310	101	272	6	18	24%	8%	66	-0.6	206/261/285	79	284	5	10	28%	6%	50	-1.8	167/216/208	41	224	4	10	26%	4%	8	-0.8
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Lane Adams 2012 · A	22	43→46	40→50	54→60	39	206/259/299	93	302	7	12	33%	6%	52	-1.6	219/267/333	114	294	11	19	28%	6%	65	-0.7	228/279/363	136	311	16	36	31%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Estarlin Martinez 2014 · A	22	42→41	40	52→50	43	208/260/302	94	266	8	14	25%	6%	53	-1.5	225/273/291	66	296	3	12	24%	6%	55	-1.4	234/282/282	48	308	1	11	23%	5%	53	-0.9
✕David Kandilas 2013 · A	22	44	40→45	55	43	214/268/317	103	278	7	15	25%	6%	60	-1.0	211/272/306	95	281	8	17	26%	7%	59	-1.1	204/268/296	93	269	8	20	26%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	42	37→45	51→50	45	200/253/283	83	254	3	11	22%	6%	45	-2.1	203/251/281	78	279	3	11	27%	6%	43	-2.2	195/231/264	69	262	0	19	24%	4%	29	-0.6
✕Ryan Vilade 2021 · A	22	45→51	40→50	51→50	46	216/277/308	92	280	6	13	24%	7%	62	-0.9	210/269/296	86	277	5	11	24%	7%	56	-1.3	227/289/416	189	269	24	16	25%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Estarlyn Morales 2015 · A	22	43→39	41→40	51→50	43	210/265/312	102	273	8	12	26%	6%	58	-1.2	203/247/294	91	294	7	12	32%	5%	46	-2.0	190/227/271	81	277	6	14	33%	4%	27	-2.7
✕Luis Castro 2018 · A	22	44→38	41→50	49→45	41	214/262/318	104	265	7	11	22%	4%	59	-1.1	216/299/339	123	300	12	9	30%	7%	81	+0.4	196/281/336	140	282	16	8	34%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	45→35	39→45	52→50	40	217/270/299	82	292	6	11	27%	5%	57	-1.2	190/247/252	62	266	2	10	28%	6%	35	-2.8	164/223/206	43	232	0	12	27%	6%	13	-3.3
✕Andrew Jenkins 2023 · A	22	45	38→45	52→40	43	210/289/296	86	304	4	8	30%	7%	65	-0.7	227/281/311	84	361	7	4	36%	6%	65	-0.7	213/263/338	125	304	13	1	33%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→46	37→45	50→60	41	199/250/266	67	260	5	15	25%	5%	40	-2.4	204/263/297	93	276	7	19	27%	7%	53	-1.5	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Stuart Fairchild 2018 · A	22	47→42	38→50	51→55	43	226/289/307	81	288	6	11	23%	6%	67	-0.5	211/274/317	106	295	8	11	30%	6%	64	-0.8	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Ben Malgeri 2022 · A	22	46→45	40→50	51→50	39	216/275/313	96	317	7	11	33%	6%	63	-0.9	198/272/313	115	319	10	13	38%	7%	63	-0.9	234/294/381	147	332	14	14	32%	7%	85	+0.4