Josh Tate

CF Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 178 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1927ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	APIT	70	.238/.294/.333	0	2	38	—	.188/.235/.266
2026	22	A+/APIT	447	.283/.360/.401	6	29	67	—	.233/.287/.323
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBPIT	1	.231/.286/.330	0	0	74	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBPIT	112	.234/.290/.341	2	3	78	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBPIT	179	.235/.292/.348	3	4	81	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%74

Speed70

Whiff%59

Chase%58

wOBA56

ISO52

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsCorey Joyce (age 23) · Stuart Fairchild (age 23) · Michael Guldberg (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .286 / .330

PA1

HR0

K%27

BB%6

BABIP310

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	70	63	15	2	2	0	4	13	1	2	1	238	294	333	627	95	288	19	6	275	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	233	205	58	14	3	4	22	58	2	13	8	283	358	439	797	156	370	25	9	350	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	214	187	53	4	2	2	21	51	2	16	5	283	362	358	720	75	378	24	10	324	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	70	64	12	1	2	0	3	18	1	2	1	188	235	266	501	78	249	26	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	233	214	47	11	2	3	13	76	2	13	8	220	271	332	603	112	313	33	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	214	194	48	3	2	2	14	69	2	16	5	247	305	314	619	67	357	32	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	70	64	12	1	2	0	3	18	1	2	1	188	235	266	501	78	250	26	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	70	63	15	2	2	0	4	13	1	2	1	238	294	333	627	95	288	19	6	275	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	447	407	95	14	4	5	28	145	4	29	13	233	289	324	614	91	345	32	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	447	392	111	18	5	6	43	109	4	29	13	283	360	401	760	117	374	24	10	337	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	70	66	12	1	2	0	3	18	1	2	1	182	235	258	493	76	249	26	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	447	412	95	14	4	5	28	145	4	29	13	231	289	320	610	90	334	32	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	70	66	12	1	2	0	3	18	1	2	1	182	235	258	493	76	249	26	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	447	412	95	14	4	5	28	145	4	29	13	231	289	320	610	90	334	32	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	497	459	106	20	4	6	31	133	4	13	5	231	286	331	617	100	309	27	6	277	74	-15	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	231	286	330	616	99	310	0	0	277	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	369	340	80	15	3	6	23	97	3	9	4	234	290	343	633	109	309	26	6	284	78	-10	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	44%	404	371	87	16	3	7	26	106	4	10	4	236	293	350	643	114	308	26	6	288	81	-9	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	51%	423	388	92	17	3	8	28	110	4	10	4	236	294	354	649	118	307	26	7	290	83	-9	+0	+0	+2	+9	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	430	394	93	17	3	8	29	111	4	10	4	236	294	354	649	119	306	26	7	290	83	-9	+0	+0	+2	+9	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	428	392	92	17	3	8	29	111	4	8	4	234	294	352	646	118	304	26	7	289	82	-9	+0	-1	+2	+9	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	418	384	89	17	3	7	28	110	3	7	3	232	291	346	637	114	303	26	7	286	79	-10	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	112	103	25	5	1	2	7	30	1	3	1	234	290	341	631	107	310	27	6	283	78	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	44%	179	163	39	8	1	3	12	47	2	4	2	235	292	348	640	112	309	26	7	287	81	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	51%	215	197	47	9	2	4	14	56	2	5	2	236	294	351	645	115	308	26	7	289	83	-4	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	225	206	49	9	2	4	15	58	2	5	2	235	294	351	645	116	307	26	7	289	83	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	228	208	49	10	1	4	16	59	2	5	2	234	293	349	643	115	305	26	7	288	82	-5	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	220	201	47	9	1	4	15	58	2	3	2	232	290	343	634	112	304	26	7	284	79	-5	-0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1179	1078	256	50	8	21	79	308	11	25	11	237	296	357	653	120	311	26	7	287	78	-26	+1	-1	+4	+26	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	142	28	4	12	44	170	6	14	6	239	298	360	658	121	313	26	7	287	78	-15	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3199	2933	685	122	26	52	207	864	29	90	39	234	291	346	637	113	311	27	6	283	78	-62	+2	-2	+10	+58	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	140	25	5	11	42	176	6	18	8	235	292	349	641	114	312	27	6	283	78	-15	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 233 PAwOBA .345 → .268 (−77)K% 24.9% → 32.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.89%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	32.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.44%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.998	5.65%
HBP% /PA	0.86%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	0.66%
Singles /BIP	25.17%	÷1.000	×0.870	×1.006	×0.998	21.98%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷1.000	×0.780	×1.006	×0.998	7.46%
Triples /BIP	2.04%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.006	×0.998	1.74%
Home runs /BIP	2.72%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	2.39%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .345 → .268; ISO .156 → .126; BABIP .370 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 214 PAwOBA .318 → .266 (−51)K% 23.8% → 32.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.83%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	32.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.81%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	6.70%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.72%
Singles /BIP	33.09%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×0.990	31.64%
Doubles /BIP	2.94%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×0.990	2.54%
Triples /BIP	1.47%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×0.990	1.39%
Home runs /BIP	1.47%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	1.16%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .318 → .266; ISO .075 → .061; BABIP .378 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ABradenton Marauders · 70 PAwOBA .276 → .224 (−52)K% 18.6% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.57%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	25.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.71%	÷1.052	×0.690	—	—	3.75%
HBP% /PA	1.43%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.11%
Singles /BIP	22.00%	÷0.993	×0.920	×0.950	—	19.36%
Doubles /BIP	4.00%	÷1.084	×0.830	×0.950	—	2.91%
Triples /BIP	4.00%	÷0.952	×0.910	×0.950	—	3.63%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.932	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .276 → .224; ISO .095 → .079; BABIP .288 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Luis Matos'00-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,773 PA	2.7	1,773	30	72	245*	304*	365*	+1	+10	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	27	+0.3	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 3
#2Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#3Damon Buford'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,072 PA	3.1	2,072	54	56	230*	296*	371*	-1	-2	0.2	0.8
/162	664	17	18	-0.4	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
#4Timo Perez'00-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,825 PA	2.7	1,825	26	23	259*	298*	372*	-12	+6	0.0	0.7
/162	664	9	8	-4.3	+2.3	0.0	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,180	21	26	236	291	352	-7	+0	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	12	14	-4.0	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 0
#5George Wright'82-'86 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,322 PA	3.5	2,322	42	19	241*	288*	377*	-2	-7	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	12	5	-0.5	-2.1	-0.1	pk7: -0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Tate (OGILVIE)	23	31→36	34→39	57→62	47	229/283/329	99	309	3	5	27%	6%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A	23	44→43	40→50	53→55	40	211/273/310	98	303	7	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	218/286/346	128	290	12	10	27%	7%	79	-0.2	222/308/380	158	297	16	16	29%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	222/290/341	119	280	12	16	24%	7%	80	-0.2	214/272/298	84	283	6	12	25%	6%	62	-1.4	205/259/264	60	274	3	10	25%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	43	42→45	54→60	45	206/285/309	103	308	10	15	34%	9%	70	-0.8	197/279/312	115	290	12	22	34%	9%	70	-0.9	181/270/293	112	261	13	29	33%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Hudson Haskin 2022 · A	23	48→47	40→45	52→50	41	223/299/320	97	312	7	18	29%	6%	78	-0.3	223/308/336	113	313	10	15	30%	7%	86	+0.3	213/307/319	106	308	10	17	31%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Tanner O'Tremba 2024 · A	24	43	43→45	54→50	40	205/296/322	116	309	10	13	34%	7%	78	-0.3	193/277/297	104	309	9	14	38%	7%	65	-1.2	132/229/210	78	232	8	17	42%	7%	27	-1.5
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Michael Suiter 2015 · A	23	43→38	41→40	52→50	43	208/276/305	97	263	9	15	24%	6%	66	-1.1	201/253/279	78	272	6	10	27%	5%	51	-2.3	193/243/263	70	263	6	10	28%	4%	40	-1.8
✕Cade Gotta 2015 · A	23	40→50	39→45	54→55	46	193/267/282	90	272	5	16	29%	8%	57	-1.8	217/266/317	100	285	7	21	25%	6%	64	-1.3	240/299/336	96	305	5	36	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Peyton Graham 2024 · A	23	42→52	39→45	53→60	42	200/268/288	87	292	7	17	32%	7%	59	-1.6	211/289/307	96	293	7	23	28%	8%	72	-0.7	224/305/325	101	305	8	36	27%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Clay Fuller 2010 · A	23	43→46	42→45	56→55	46	208/288/316	108	299	9	20	31%	9%	73	-0.6	213/273/328	115	291	12	16	30%	7%	70	-0.8	210/264/327	117	279	14	16	29%	5%	63	-0.8
✕David Kandilas 2014 · A	23	45→44	39→45	55	45	215/275/304	90	283	7	19	26%	7%	65	-1.2	210/271/308	98	277	7	16	25%	7%	64	-1.3	195/259/302	107	251	7	17	24%	6%	56	-1.2
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/283/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	199/294/337	138	307	14	5	37%	10%	81	-0.1	184/291/336	152	287	18	4	38%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/286/293	74	316	4	14	30%	7%	67	-1.1	231/319/297	66	315	3	29	25%	9%	80	-0.1	237/325/293	56	311	2	37	22%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Kristopher Negrón 2009 · A	23	46→49	40→45	57→55	43	220/279/317	97	278	7	19	23%	6%	70	-0.9	225/284/324	99	290	8	20	24%	6%	73	-0.6	217/277/337	120	309	13	14	32%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	44	38→50	53→50	48	207/283/291	84	275	5	14	25%	9%	65	-1.2	204/289/333	129	276	14	8	29%	9%	78	-0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Chad Hinshaw 2014 · A	23	46→42	35→45	53→55	43	212/300/270	59	301	3	13	28%	7%	68	-1.0	217/293/335	118	306	10	25	31%	6%	80	-0.2	209/287/328	119	299	11	30	31%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Angel Aponte 2023 · A	23	43	42→40	54→55	40	211/271/311	99	290	9	22	30%	6%	65	-1.2	199/250/291	92	300	8	16	34%	5%	53	-2.1	154/194/223	68	249	5	20	39%	4%	13	-1.6

Josh Tate

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps