Logan Wagner — OGILVIE

Logan WagnerSS Great Lakes Loons

Age 22 S/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION211 act + 140 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .265 / .326

PA140

HR4

K%35

BB%9

BABIP258

ISO143

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-3	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$25M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	58	53	8	1	0	0	4	17	1	2	1	151	224	170	394	19	222	29	7	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	58	50	11	1	0	0	7	12	1	2	1	220	328	240	568	20	289	21	12	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	15	12	1	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	83	267	83	350		200	47	20	162	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	15	11	1	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	91	333	91	424		167	33	27	246	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	164	132	21	6	1	4	22	59	8	4	0	159	315	311	625	152	239	36	13	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	164	126	31	8	2	6	27	41	8	4	0	246	407	484	892	238	309	25	16	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	601	526	86	22	1	13	59	222	11	20	3	163	262	283	545	120	247	37	10	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	601	495	107	25	3	17	90	157	11	20	3	216	349	382	731	166	276	26	15	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	LAD	—	211	196	40	12	0	9	11	80	1	3	2	204	250	403	653	199	282	38	5	282	74	-6	-0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
YTD	22	A+	LAD	—	211	190	54	17	0	12	16	59	1	3	2	284	341	563	905	279	344	28	8	385	153	+13	-0	+0	+2	+6	2.1
ROS	22	A+	LAD	0%	140	125	23	6	0	4	12	49	2	2	1	183	265	326	591	143	268	35	9	277	70	-5	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	LAD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						264	0	0	263	59	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	LAD	—	212	197	40	12	0	9	11	80	1	3	2	203	249	401	650	198	279	38	5	282	74	-6	-0	-0	+2	+6	0.2
TOT	22	A+	LAD	—	351	321	63	18	0	13	23	129	3	5	3	196	256	373	629	177	272	37	7	280	72	-11	-0	-2	+4	+10	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	LAD	35%	494	442	88	22	1	16	42	164	7	7	2	199	279	362	641	163	273	33	9	288	79	-12	+1	-5	+5	+14	0.3
2028	24	MLB	LAD	46%	530	472	98	24	2	18	46	170	7	7	2	208	288	381	669	174	275	32	9	296	85	-9	+1	-6	+6	+15	0.7
2029	25	MLB	LAD	52%	581	517	109	26	2	21	51	183	8	8	2	211	292	391	682	180	277	31	9	301	88	-8	+1	-6	+6	+16	1.0
2030	26	MLB	LAD	54%	580	516	110	26	2	21	51	181	8	8	2	213	294	393	687	180	277	31	9	303	90	-7	+1	-6	+6	+16	1.1
2031	27	MLB	LAD	54%	575	511	109	26	2	21	51	180	8	8	2	213	295	395	690	182	277	31	9	303	90	-6	+1	-6	+6	+16	1.1
2032	28	MLB	LAD	54%	568	505	106	25	2	20	51	179	7	7	2	210	291	386	677	176	277	32	9	302	89	-7	+1	-7	+6	+16	0.9
2033	29	MLB	LAD	53%	559	497	104	25	1	20	50	177	7	7	2	209	291	384	675	175	276	32	9	300	88	-8	+1	-7	+6	+16	0.8
2034	30	MLB	LAD	52%	540	479	100	24	1	19	49	172	7	6	2	209	292	382	674	173	275	32	9	298	86	-8	+0	-8	+6	+15	0.5
2035	31	MLB	LAD	52%	526	466	96	23	1	18	48	170	7	6	2	206	290	376	665	170	273	32	9	294	83	-10	+0	-8	+6	+15	0.3
2027	23	MLB	LAD	35%	171	153	30	8	0	5	14	57	2	2	1	196	272	346	619	150	268	33	8	275	68	-6	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	LAD	46%	245	219	45	11	1	8	21	79	3	3	1	205	284	374	658	169	271	32	9	283	74	-7	+0	-3	+3	+7	0.0
2029	25	MLB	LAD	52%	300	267	55	13	1	10	26	95	4	4	1	206	286	375	661	169	272	32	9	287	78	-8	+0	-3	+3	+8	0.1
2030	26	MLB	LAD	54%	315	280	59	14	1	11	28	98	4	4	1	211	292	386	677	175	273	31	9	289	79	-7	+0	-3	+3	+9	0.2
2031	27	MLB	LAD	54%	312	277	58	14	1	11	28	98	4	4	1	209	291	386	678	177	273	31	9	289	79	-7	+0	-3	+3	+9	0.2
2032	28	MLB	LAD	54%	308	273	57	13	1	11	28	97	4	4	1	209	292	385	676	176	272	31	9	288	79	-7	+0	-4	+3	+9	0.1
2033	29	MLB	LAD	53%	297	264	54	13	1	10	27	94	4	4	1	205	288	375	663	170	272	32	9	287	78	-8	+0	-4	+3	+8	0.1
2034	30	MLB	LAD	52%	283	251	52	12	1	10	26	90	4	3	1	207	292	382	674	175	271	32	9	284	76	-8	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.1
2035	31	MLB	LAD	52%	274	244	50	12	1	9	25	88	3	3	1	205	287	373	660	168	268	32	9	281	73	-8	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2506	2229	460	110	8	85	223	796	32	31	9	206	288	377	665	171	276	32	9	285	77	-66	+3	-31	+27	+71	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	120	29	2	22	58	206	8	8	2	208	288	379	667	171	278	32	9	285	77	-17	+1	-8	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	5931	5253	1059	256	16	195	539	1930	88	92	23	202	287	368	654	166	273	33	9	291	81	-126	+9	-62	+64	+168	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	116	28	2	21	59	211	10	10	3	201	287	366	654	165	273	32	9	291	81	-14	+1	-7	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	58	50	11	1	0	0	7	12	1	2	1	220	328	240	568	20	289	21	12	275	69	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	15	11	1	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	91	333	91	424		167	33	27	246	47	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	164	126	31	8	2	6	27	41	8	4	0	246	407	484	892	238	309	25	16	392	158	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.7
2025	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	533	440	95	23	2	15	78	140	11	18	3	216	348	380	727	164	277	26	15	331	111	+7	+2	—	—	+15	2.5
2025	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	68	55	12	2	1	2	12	17	0	2	0	218	358	400	758	182	270	25	18	339	118	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
	/162	664	21	1	241	303	410	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	5	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
	/162	664	24	5	248	301	431	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,506	88	33	209	287	384	+27	-20	6.3	5.9
	/162	664	23	9	209	287	384	+7.1	-5.3	1.7	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Wagner (OGILVIE)	22	20→30	40→55	40	60	196/256/373	177	272	13	5	37%	7%	72	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Yasel Antuna 2022 · A	22	39→36	46→45	42→50	43	201/262/335	134	275	14	5	32%	7%	63	-0.8	184/270/284	100	268	9	14	32%	10%	54	-1.4	161/261/245	84	234	8	18	32%	11%	40	-1.6
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	39→42	46→55	45	43	196/268/326	129	288	14	8	35%	8%	64	-0.8	209/275/354	145	294	16	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
●Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	39→34	46→60	42→45	38	197/261/329	133	293	14	5	36%	6%	62	-0.9	199/253/355	156	287	18	5	36%	6%	66	-0.6	250/322/470	220	318	31	2	30%	9%	122	+1.4
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	39	46→45	42→45	52	198/293/324	126	277	14	6	32%	12%	75	-0.0	179/260/273	94	259	9	6	32%	9%	47	-1.9	150/237/225	75	215	8	4	32%	9%	24	-1.2
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Jose Lobatón 2007 · A	22	44	42→50	42→30	47	210/289/319	109	299	10	4	31%	9%	71	-0.3	219/282/346	127	299	13	3	29%	8%	75	-0.0	237/323/373	135	298	13	0	23%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	42→50	44→55	44	196/272/305	109	295	9	6	34%	9%	60	-1.0	191/297/306	115	253	10	15	26%	13%	72	-0.2	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	41→40	44→55	49→50	45	201/281/320	119	294	11	8	33%	9%	68	-0.5	192/266/342	150	282	16	11	36%	9%	67	-0.5	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	46	206/268/342	136	253	15	4	25%	7%	68	-0.5	206/284/361	155	265	18	3	28%	9%	80	+0.4	187/284/370	183	237	21	4	30%	10%	81	+0.3
●Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→38	45→60	46→50	44	204/280/325	122	284	12	13	31%	8%	69	-0.4	220/279/399	179	271	22	14	27%	6%	88	+0.9	220/277/428	209	258	27	17	27%	5%	92	+0.8
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	69	-0.4	183/263/286	103	286	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
●Parker Meadows 2022 · A	22	36→46	43→60	43→55	40	186/246/294	108	264	11	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	220/283/392	172	278	20	17	28%	8%	87	+0.8	226/293/417	190	275	23	21	26%	8%	95	+1.4
✕Ian Rice 2017 · A	23	43→39	47→50	43→30	48	212/291/346	133	289	14	4	30%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/349	145	281	18	3	32%	10%	79	+0.3	185/276/320	135	253	18	0	33%	10%	64	-0.4
✕Jakson Reetz 2019 · A	23	41→31	40→60	39→45	43	199/274/285	87	282	8	5	31%	7%	56	-1.3	198/277/317	119	290	13	5	34%	7%	66	-0.6	196/276/392	196	242	25	4	30%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A	22	35→33	53→55	44→50	35	195/242/365	170	267	21	8	36%	5%	63	-0.8	181/230/331	150	256	20	4	37%	5%	50	-1.8	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→37	43→55	44→30	42	178/266/287	109	280	11	3	38%	8%	54	-1.4	196/276/343	147	277	18	3	34%	8%	72	-0.2	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Cody Puckett 2009 · A	22	42→39	44→50	44→50	44	208/279/323	115	290	13	9	32%	8%	68	-0.5	201/253/340	139	284	15	11	33%	5%	61	-1.0	194/245/345	151	267	17	12	33%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Jose Sermo 2013 · A	22	44→34	41→60	48→50	37	214/256/311	97	298	8	8	30%	4%	53	-1.5	197/242/288	91	315	7	9	38%	5%	41	-2.3	195/236/332	137	302	17	13	40%	5%	50	-0.5