Paxton Kling — OGILVIE

Paxton KlingCF Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs A+ HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION396 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP300

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	50	45	11	3	0	0	4	10	1	1	1	244	320	311	631	67	314	20	8	292	84	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	43	38	14	4	1	1	3	9	0	1	0	368	415	605	1.020	237	433	21	7	422	172	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	50	46	10	3	0	0	3	13	1	1	1	217	280	283	563	65	283	26	6	233	44	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	43	39	12	3	1	1	2	13	0	1	0	308	341	513	854	205	372	30	5	344	119	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	93	86	21	5	1	1	4	26	1	2	1	244	286	360	646	116	328	28	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	93	83	25	7	1	1	7	19	1	2	1	301	363	446	808	145	369	20	8	353	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	93	88	21	5	1	1	4	26	1	2	1	239	286	352	638	114	324	28	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	93	88	21	5	1	1	4	26	1	2	1	239	286	352	638	114	324	28	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	TEX	—	396	337	68	12	1	6	37	135	17	40	11	202	312	297	609	95	313	34	9	269	68	-15	+4	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	TEX	—	379	304	75	14	1	7	55	98	15	38	11	247	387	368	755	122	338	26	15	347	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	TEX	—	17	13	3	1	0	0	1	3	2	2	0	231	375	308	683	77	300	18	6	310	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	TEX	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		297	33	11	280	76	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	TEX	—	405	345	69	12	1	6	38	138	17	41	11	200	310	293	603	93	310	34	9	270	69	-15	+4	-0	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TEX	30%	329	289	61	11	1	7	29	102	8	13	4	211	301	329	629	118	296	31	9	289	82	-7	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	44%	383	337	72	13	1	9	34	115	9	13	4	214	303	338	641	125	297	30	9	297	87	-6	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	51%	416	366	81	15	2	11	38	124	9	12	3	221	310	363	673	142	297	30	9	302	90	-5	+1	-0	+1	+9	0.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	425	373	82	15	2	11	39	126	10	12	3	220	310	359	670	139	296	30	9	302	91	-5	+1	-0	+2	+9	0.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	429	376	83	15	2	11	40	128	10	11	3	221	312	359	671	138	296	30	9	301	90	-5	+1	-1	+2	+9	0.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	423	372	81	15	1	11	39	127	9	10	3	218	307	352	659	134	295	30	9	299	89	-6	+1	-2	+2	+9	0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	416	365	78	14	1	10	39	126	9	10	3	214	305	340	645	126	293	30	9	296	87	-7	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	TEX	30%	100	89	18	3	0	2	9	31	2	4	1	202	290	303	593	101	299	31	9	275	82	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	44%	169	148	33	6	1	4	15	51	4	6	2	223	311	358	669	135	299	30	9	284	87	-3	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	51%	211	185	42	8	1	6	19	63	5	6	2	227	316	378	694	151	299	30	9	290	90	-2	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	223	196	44	8	1	6	20	66	5	6	2	224	312	367	680	143	299	30	9	291	91	-2	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	229	201	44	8	1	6	21	68	5	6	2	219	308	358	667	139	298	30	9	290	90	-3	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	222	194	43	8	1	6	21	66	5	5	1	222	314	366	680	144	297	30	9	288	89	-3	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	217	190	42	7	1	6	20	65	5	5	1	221	312	363	675	142	296	30	9	285	87	-3	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1371	1203	266	48	6	36	125	410	31	38	11	221	311	361	671	140	301	30	9	287	88	-19	+3	-4	+5	+30	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	126	23	3	17	59	194	15	18	5	221	311	361	672	140	301	30	9	287	88	-9	+2	-2	+2	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2923	2572	560	103	11	71	263	877	65	84	24	218	306	349	655	131	298	30	9	298	88	-40	+7	-7	+10	+61	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	124	23	2	16	58	195	14	19	5	217	304	348	652	131	296	30	9	298	88	-9	+2	-2	+2	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.1	1,372	35	38	219	305	353	-8	+1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	17	19	-4.0	+0.6	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paxton Kling (OGILVIE)	23	32→44	44→53	60	58	202/298/305	102	297	3	11	32%	9%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	42→51	43→50	56→55	43	208/263/326	118	266	9	16	25%	6%	65	-1.2	209/282/325	116	264	11	24	24%	8%	73	-0.6	235/299/371	136	298	13	21	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Samad Taylor 2021 · A	23	37→47	41→45	53→65	43	182/258/286	104	274	8	22	34%	8%	55	-1.9	228/299/361	133	324	14	34	32%	8%	87	+0.4	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A	23	44→42	40→50	53→55	40	211/273/310	98	303	7	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	216/283/342	126	287	11	10	27%	7%	78	-0.3	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Mario Lisson 2007 · A	23	45→49	44→50	55	47	219/296/340	121	292	11	22	27%	8%	82	-0.0	215/266/325	110	280	11	19	26%	5%	66	-1.1	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	44→50	52→55	42	198/271/320	122	284	10	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	206/272/329	123	293	11	18	32%	7%	70	-0.8	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Corey Julks 2019 · A	23	46→51	43→50	52→55	43	221/279/335	114	304	10	18	30%	7%	74	-0.6	214/275/320	106	297	9	13	29%	7%	69	-0.9	226/286/381	155	284	18	21	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Michael A. Taylor 2014 · A	23	41→51	42→55	56→60	37	198/250/308	110	297	8	24	35%	6%	56	-1.9	225/281/358	133	331	15	26	34%	7%	80	-0.2	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Keon Broxton 2013 · A	23	41→50	43→55	51→60	38	199/255/305	106	304	11	16	37%	7%	58	-1.7	217/271/343	126	324	12	18	35%	7%	72	-0.7	224/300/388	164	339	17	38	36%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	44	202/275/339	137	273	14	17	30%	8%	74	-0.6	192/271/310	118	266	11	17	30%	8%	66	-1.1	166/252/265	99	226	9	19	29%	8%	47	-1.4
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	221/288/339	118	278	11	16	24%	6%	78	-0.3	214/270/297	83	283	6	12	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/264	59	274	3	10	25%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	43	42→45	54→60	45	207/286/310	104	309	10	15	34%	9%	71	-0.8	194/277/309	115	290	12	22	35%	9%	68	-1.0	178/266/288	110	261	13	29	34%	9%	58	-0.8
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	210/284/319	109	280	9	10	27%	8%	72	-0.7	203/288/320	117	266	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.5	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Taylor Trammell 2021 · AA	23	42→46	40→55	51→55	46	203/278/290	87	288	8	17	30%	9%	63	-1.3	213/292/373	160	289	19	15	31%	9%	88	+0.4	203/297/373	170	273	21	23	32%	11%	88	+0.3
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	36→46	48→60	52→50	39	190/252/328	138	270	16	15	35%	6%	63	-1.4	210/267/353	143	279	14	14	29%	7%	74	-0.6	206/295/413	207	291	28	7	37%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Blaze Alexander 2022 · A	23	37→47	42→45	52→50	38	179/250/280	101	296	10	14	40%	8%	51	-2.3	221/293/352	131	332	14	10	35%	7%	84	+0.1	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Ryan Rua 2013 · A	23	46→54	41→50	56→50	43	220/276/325	105	298	7	11	28%	7%	70	-0.9	222/279/378	156	280	18	8	27%	6%	84	+0.2	242/299/373	132	310	15	9	26%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Clay Fuller 2010 · A	23	43→45	42→45	56→55	45	206/285/313	107	296	9	20	31%	9%	72	-0.7	213/272/326	113	292	12	16	30%	6%	69	-0.9	210/263/325	115	279	14	16	29%	5%	63	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps