Paxton Kling — OGILVIE

Paxton KlingOF Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION237 act + 158 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .306 / .338

PA158

HR3

SB6

K%30

BB%9

BABIP303

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$1.0M
2031	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.4M
2032	Arb-3	$1M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	93	86	21	5	1	1	4	26	1	2	1	244	286	360	646	116	328	28	4	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	93	83	25	7	1	1	7	19	1	2	1	301	363	446	808	145	369	20	8	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	TEX	—	237	200	43	8	1	4	23	78	11	16	7	215	329	325	654	110	325	33	10	289	79	-6	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.0
YTD	23	A+	TEX	—	237	188	49	10	1	5	34	58	11	16	7	261	402	404	806	144	346	24	14	365	138	+10	+0	+0	-1	+7	1.6
ROS	23	A+	TEX	0%	158	139	30	6	1	3	14	48	4	6	2	216	306	338	644	122	298	30	9	291	81	-3	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.0
ROS	23	MLB	TEX	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						300	0	0	274	68	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	TEX	—	238	201	43	8	1	4	23	78	11	16	7	214	328	323	651	109	322	33	10	289	79	-6	+0	-0	-1	+7	0.0
TOT	23	A+	TEX	—	395	339	73	14	2	7	37	126	15	22	9	215	320	330	650	115	316	32	9	290	80	-9	+1	-0	-2	+11	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TEX	30%	310	273	60	11	2	7	27	91	7	9	3	220	306	352	658	132	298	29	9	297	85	-5	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.2
2028	25	MLB	TEX	44%	369	326	73	14	2	9	32	106	8	10	4	224	309	362	671	138	298	29	9	302	89	-4	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.4
2029	26	MLB	TEX	51%	406	360	81	15	2	11	35	116	8	10	4	225	308	369	677	144	298	29	9	305	92	-4	+0	-0	-2	+12	0.6
2030	27	MLB	TEX	52%	419	371	84	16	2	11	37	119	8	11	4	226	310	369	679	143	297	28	9	306	92	-4	+1	-0	-3	+12	0.6
2031	28	MLB	TEX	53%	425	376	84	16	2	11	38	121	8	10	4	223	308	364	672	141	297	28	9	305	91	-4	+0	-1	-3	+12	0.5
2032	29	MLB	TEX	53%	420	371	82	15	2	11	38	121	8	10	4	221	307	361	668	140	296	29	9	303	90	-5	+0	-2	-3	+12	0.3
2033	30	MLB	TEX	52%	414	366	81	15	2	11	37	120	8	9	4	221	307	363	670	142	294	29	9	300	88	-6	+0	-2	-2	+12	0.1
2027	24	MLB	TEX	30%	94	84	17	3	0	2	8	28	2	3	1	202	287	310	597	107	300	30	9	283	75	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	TEX	44%	163	145	32	6	1	4	14	47	3	4	2	221	302	359	661	138	299	29	9	289	79	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	TEX	51%	206	182	42	8	1	6	18	59	4	5	2	231	314	385	698	154	299	29	9	292	82	-4	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.0
2030	27	MLB	TEX	52%	220	195	44	8	1	6	19	63	4	6	2	226	307	369	677	144	299	29	9	293	82	-4	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.1
2031	28	MLB	TEX	53%	227	201	45	8	1	6	20	65	4	6	2	224	307	363	670	139	298	29	9	292	82	-5	+0	-1	-1	+6	0.0
2032	29	MLB	TEX	53%	221	195	44	8	1	6	20	64	4	5	2	226	311	369	680	144	297	29	9	290	80	-5	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.1
2033	30	MLB	TEX	52%	216	191	43	8	1	6	19	63	4	5	2	225	308	372	680	147	296	29	9	287	78	-5	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1348	1194	267	49	6	36	118	389	25	34	13	224	307	365	672	142	298	29	9	290	80	-30	+2	-3	-8	+38	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	129	24	3	17	57	188	12	16	6	224	307	365	672	141	299	29	9	290	80	-15	+1	-1	-4	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3014	2668	596	113	16	75	262	868	60	77	30	223	307	362	669	139	299	29	9	302	89	-38	+3	-6	-18	+85	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	128	24	3	16	57	187	13	17	6	223	307	358	666	136	298	29	9	302	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	50	45	11	3	0	0	4	10	1	1	1	244	320	311	631	67	314	20	8	292	82	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	43	38	14	4	1	1	3	9	0	1	0	368	415	605	1.020	237	433	21	7	422	181	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,347	35	33	225	306	367	-8	+1	1.5	1.5
	/162	664	17	16	225	306	367	-4.0	+0.7	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paxton Kling (OGILVIE)	23	32→44	44→53	60	57	215/320/330	115	316	7	22	32%	9%	80	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	46→55	52→55	42	202/273/338	137	283	13	17	32%	7%	69	-0.4	210/275/344	134	293	13	18	31%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Buddy Kennedy 2022 · AA	23	41→51	47→50	50	43	211/277/342	131	291	16	12	32%	8%	72	-0.2	221/301/335	114	288	11	8	25%	9%	79	+0.3	233/314/376	143	270	15	6	19%	8%	93	+0.8
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	45	223/293/342	119	282	12	16	24%	7%	79	+0.3	210/268/294	84	282	6	12	26%	6%	55	-1.4	194/247/254	61	264	3	10	27%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	44→50	43→50	57→55	44	214/268/338	124	268	9	16	23%	6%	66	-0.6	212/284/333	121	266	12	24	24%	8%	72	-0.2	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Nick Loftin 2022 · A	23	45→53	45→50	53→50	49	224/290/352	128	265	11	11	20%	7%	79	+0.3	236/299/370	134	274	15	14	20%	7%	88	+0.9	240/320/368	128	270	14	11	16%	9%	94	+0.9
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→60	48→55	41	195/256/339	145	267	16	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	222/268/400	178	287	24	15	31%	5%	83	+0.6	235/274/422	187	292	26	15	29%	5%	88	+0.8
✕Eudy Pina 2014 · A	23	39→48	47→45	53→55	41	198/266/340	143	281	13	12	33%	7%	67	-0.5	225/271/336	111	318	9	9	30%	5%	66	-0.6	233/271/326	93	327	6	8	30%	4%	61	-0.7
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	39→38	47→50	54→55	43	198/273/336	137	281	14	17	33%	8%	69	-0.4	191/270/311	120	270	12	17	32%	8%	62	-0.9	168/253/270	102	226	10	19	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	41→51	47→50	54→55	41	205/273/349	144	294	13	13	34%	7%	72	-0.2	233/279/364	131	293	11	16	24%	6%	77	+0.1	244/287/365	121	297	10	15	21%	5%	78	+0.2
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A	23	44→42	40→50	53→55	40	211/271/309	98	301	7	14	31%	6%	59	-1.1	215/283/343	128	287	12	10	28%	7%	75	-0.0	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	37→46	48→60	54→50	36	196/246/338	142	285	17	16	37%	6%	57	-1.2	225/294/422	197	299	25	12	32%	8%	100	+1.7	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Sean Bouchard 2019 · A	23	39→41	43→55	49→50	38	195/247/302	108	280	10	13	33%	6%	48	-1.9	197/253/324	127	295	12	10	36%	6%	56	-1.3	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A	24	40→48	45	55→45	46	199/274/329	130	265	11	12	28%	8%	67	-0.5	219/289/330	111	313	8	8	30%	8%	73	-0.1	224/298/330	106	321	7	7	30%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Mario Lisson 2007 · A	23	45→49	44→55	55	47	219/296/340	121	292	11	22	27%	8%	79	+0.3	215/266/328	113	281	11	19	26%	5%	63	-0.9	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	44	47→50	58→50	45	221/288/362	141	302	14	18	31%	8%	81	+0.4	208/272/332	124	270	14	11	27%	8%	66	-0.6	216/281/385	169	263	20	13	26%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Corey Julks 2019 · A	23	47→51	43→55	52→55	42	225/283/342	118	313	10	18	30%	7%	73	-0.1	210/272/317	107	297	9	13	30%	7%	63	-0.9	227/289/390	162	290	20	21	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Keon Broxton 2013 · A	23	40→48	42→55	51→60	38	196/251/299	103	298	11	16	36%	6%	49	-1.8	214/267/351	137	321	15	18	36%	6%	69	-0.4	223/298/398	174	337	19	38	37%	9%	93	+1.0
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA	23	47→48	49→55	57→55	45	236/289/395	160	287	15	16	24%	7%	90	+1.0	235/296/383	148	288	14	17	23%	8%	90	+1.0	234/299/385	150	285	15	17	23%	8%	90	+0.8