Drew Cavanaugh — OGILVIE

Drew CavanaughC Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 24 L/R 6'1" / 219 lbs AA BB -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.8 · 2029

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .295 / .327

PA320

HR8

SB6

K%35

BB%10

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

50→50

SPD

45→45

EYE

58↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.8peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.8	$16M	+$15M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.7	$15M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.5	$14M	+$13M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.3	$12M	+$10M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.0	$10M	+$7M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.7	$4M	+$0.6M
Totals		$11M		$71M	+$60M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	2 teams	64	53	11	1	0	0	7	24	3	1	0	.208	.333	.226	.560	.019	.367	38	11	.248	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2024	22	A	3 teams	223	194	36	5	0	2	23	87	5	0	0	.186	.288	.242	.531	.057	.321	39	10	.251	50	-13	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
2025	23	A+	4 teams	402	341	69	11	2	10	42	145	13	7	2	.202	.313	.334	.647	.132	.307	36	10	.286	77	-11	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	52	42	12	5	0	1	7	14	3	2	2	.286	.423	.476	.899	.190	.407	27	13	.386	154	+3	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.5
ROS	24	MLB	SF	268	232	48	9	1	7	27	91	7	4	2	.207	.308	.345	.653	.138	.305	34	10	.299	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
TOT	24	MLB	SF	320	274	60	14	1	8	34	105	10	6	4	.219	.327	.365	.692	.146	.321	33	11	.313	98	-1	-0	+0	+6	+9	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	SF	368	317	68	13	1	10	38	116	10	6	3	.215	.318	.356	.674	.142	.297	32	10	.305	91	-4	+0	+0	+7	+10	1.4
2028	26	MLB 26%	SF	406	351	75	14	1	11	42	125	10	7	3	.214	.315	.353	.668	.140	.298	31	10	.309	94	-3	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.7
2029	27	MLB 44%	SF	419	362	80	15	2	12	44	128	10	7	3	.221	.322	.373	.695	.152	.298	31	11	.310	95	-2	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.8
2030	28	MLB 53%	SF	424	366	79	15	1	12	45	129	10	6	3	.216	.318	.361	.679	.145	.297	30	11	.309	95	-3	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.7
2031	29	MLB 64%	SF	420	363	78	15	1	11	44	129	10	6	3	.215	.317	.353	.669	.138	.296	31	10	.307	93	-3	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.5
2032	30	MLB 73%	SF	414	357	75	14	1	11	44	129	10	5	3	.210	.314	.347	.661	.137	.295	31	11	.304	91	-4	-0	-2	+7	+12	1.3
2033	31	MLB 81%	SF	389	336	70	13	1	10	41	123	9	4	2	.208	.311	.342	.653	.134	.293	32	11	.300	88	-5	+0	-3	+7	+11	1.0
2034	32	MLB 88%	SF	361	312	64	12	1	9	38	116	8	4	2	.205	.307	.337	.644	.131	.291	32	11	.295	84	-6	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.7
2035	33	MLB 94%	SF	323	279	56	10	1	8	34	106	7	3	3	.201	.303	.330	.633	.129	.290	33	11	.290	80	-7	-1	-4	+6	+9	0.3
2036	34	MLB	SF	274	237	46	8	1	6	29	92	6	3	3	.194	.298	.312	.610	.118	.288	34	11	.283	75	-8	-1	-5	+5	+8	-0.1
2037	35	MLB	SF	220	190	38	7	1	5	23	76	5	2	3	.200	.303	.326	.629	.126	.285	35	10	.276	69	-8	-1	-6	+4	+6	-0.4
2038	36	MLB	SF	166	144	26	5	0	3	17	59	4	2	3	.181	.285	.278	.563	.097	.282	36	10	.267	63	-7	-1	-6	+3	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5141	4434	919	167	15	127	538	1675	127	67	38	.207	.311	.338	.648	.130	.298	33	10	.295	84	-91	-2	-31	+92	+146	11.5
/ 162G	—			650	561	116	21	2	16	68	212	16	8	5	.207	.311	.337	.647	.130	.297	33	10	.295	84	-12	-0	-4	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	San Jose Giants	24	20	5	0	0	0	3	7	0	1	0	.250	.348	.250	.598	.000	.357	29	12	.276	69	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	21	ROK	ACL Giants Black	40	30	9	1	0	0	7	10	3	0	0	.300	.475	.333	.808	.033	.450	25	18	.390	157	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	22	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	35	30	9	0	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	.300	.400	.300	.700	.000	.391	20	11	.333	113	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	22	A	San Jose Giants	154	126	29	7	0	2	23	45	4	0	0	.230	.366	.333	.699	.103	.338	29	15	.326	108	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	34	30	6	2	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	.200	.294	.267	.561	.067	.300	29	12	.264	60	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	23	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	53	49	9	1	0	1	4	15	0	0	0	.184	.245	.265	.511	.082	.242	28	8	.236	39	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	56	43	8	2	0	1	8	15	5	1	0	.186	.375	.302	.677	.116	.259	27	14	.329	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	162	131	39	6	1	6	22	46	5	4	2	.298	.418	.496	.914	.198	.398	28	14	.397	162	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2025	23	A	San Jose Giants	131	99	29	6	1	6	27	34	3	2	0	.293	.457	.556	1.013	.263	.377	26	21	.438	193	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Cavanaugh (OGILVIE)	24	45	50	45	55	.199/.295/.327	.128	.294	8	4	35%	10%	78	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Collins 2020 · MLB	25	39→42	50	47→40	49	.198/.295/.356	.158	.297	18	3	37%	12%	84	+0.6	.205/.299/.358	.153	.296	17	5	33%	11%	86	+0.8	.189/.282/.331	.142	.278	16	4	35%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Chance Sisco 2020 · MLB	25	45→55	49→50	41→40	43	.224/.308/.369	.145	.304	17	3	30%	8%	92	+1.2	.211/.305/.361	.150	.284	17	4	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.177/.284/.310	.133	.243	14	0	31%	10%	65	-0.2
●Bryson Stott 2022 · AAA	24	49→56	47→45	48→55	47	.240/.306/.374	.134	.324	14	10	29%	9%	92	+1.2	.247/.306/.374	.127	.297	13	20	20%	8%	92	+1.2	.255/.321/.377	.122	.291	12	29	16%	8%	94	+1.3
✕Isan Díaz 2020 · MLB	24	40	49→55	45	43	.205/.275/.353	.148	.282	17	8	33%	8%	74	-0.1	.211/.285/.363	.152	.282	18	7	30%	9%	81	+0.4	.191/.269/.374	.183	.233	28	8	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Trevor Hauver 2023 · AA	24	40→47	50	47→40	52	.200/.306/.354	.153	.292	18	3	35%	12%	88	+0.9	.208/.298/.350	.142	.312	15	3	35%	11%	83	+0.6	.209/.298/.348	.139	.309	14	2	34%	10%	80	+0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2020 · MLB	24	47→48	48→50	47→50	43	.232/.291/.379	.147	.311	16	11	30%	7%	87	+0.8	.218/.281/.354	.136	.299	14	11	30%	8%	76	+0.0	.193/.264/.313	.119	.268	12	10	31%	8%	55	-0.3
●Scott Moore 2008 · MLB	24	44→51	52→55	45→50	41	.224/.288/.393	.169	.305	20	10	33%	7%	90	+1.0	.219/.279/.370	.151	.276	17	7	27%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.304/.380	.142	.292	16	5	23%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2012 · AAA	24	49→50	48→55	49→50	41	.241/.295/.396	.155	.330	14	11	30%	7%	93	+1.3	.229/.292/.378	.149	.318	15	10	31%	8%	87	+0.8	.219/.301/.407	.188	.300	20	11	32%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Miguel Amaya 2023 · AA	24	46→42	46→50	50→40	46	.220/.304/.349	.130	.315	13	7	32%	9%	85	+0.7	.231/.307/.376	.145	.291	16	4	25%	8%	94	+1.3	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2006 · AAA	24	45→44	49→55	47→40	45	.225/.299/.368	.143	.303	17	9	30%	8%	88	+0.9	.222/.279/.337	.115	.315	14	5	32%	6%	71	-0.3	.225/.287/.410	.185	.314	26	2	36%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	46→45	49→50	48	.214/.309/.343	.130	.291	14	12	30%	9%	87	+0.8	.210/.307/.314	.104	.303	9	14	31%	10%	79	+0.3	.210/.307/.291	.081	.310	5	16	30%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	40	46→45	42→45	52	.200/.296/.328	.127	.281	14	6	32%	12%	76	+0.1	.179/.260/.279	.100	.257	10	6	32%	9%	49	-1.8	.150/.230/.230	.080	.212	8	4	32%	9%	21	-1.6
✕Jose Lobatón 2009 · AA	24	44	46→45	42→30	45	.219/.285/.349	.131	.294	14	3	30%	8%	76	+0.1	.222/.281/.341	.119	.293	12	3	27%	8%	72	-0.2	.241/.325/.370	.129	.305	12	0	23%	11%	94	+0.6
✕James Ramsey 2014 · AA	24	46→50	44→45	50→45	45	.220/.297/.339	.120	.316	12	11	32%	9%	79	+0.3	.227/.289/.354	.127	.323	13	7	32%	7%	79	+0.3	.224/.280/.348	.124	.320	13	5	32%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Hunter Feduccia 2022 · AA	25	44→47	45→50	45→40	48	.220/.287/.342	.122	.280	13	4	26%	8%	76	+0.0	.217/.289/.360	.143	.287	16	3	28%	9%	82	+0.5	.226/.315/.344	.118	.304	11	2	27%	11%	86	+0.5
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA	25	39	50→60	48→45	43	.204/.276/.365	.162	.275	17	7	32%	8%	78	+0.2	.196/.274/.375	.179	.254	22	4	31%	9%	80	+0.4	.201/.284/.419	.218	.235	28	2	28%	9%	91	+0.9
✕Blake Sabol 2023 · AAA	25	50→48	50→55	52→50	41	.239/.299/.395	.156	.347	17	9	34%	8%	95	+1.4	.224/.291/.359	.135	.319	16	10	33%	8%	82	+0.5	.202/.277/.317	.115	.286	14	11	32%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Robert Kral 2013 · AAA	24	48→41	45→55	44→40	55	.233/.327/.361	.127	.304	12	6	26%	12%	98	+1.6	.209/.303/.357	.148	.261	16	4	25%	11%	87	+0.8	.190/.291/.340	.151	.227	18	2	25%	12%	76	+0.0
✕George Kottaras 2007 · AAA	24	48→53	46→55	43→30	49	.234/.302/.367	.133	.300	12	3	25%	9%	89	+0.9	.219/.285/.364	.145	.282	16	3	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.223/.338/.408	.185	.278	22	1	26%	14%	105	+0.7
✕Blaze Alexander 2023 · AAA	24	43→48	49→50	49→50	39	.212/.281/.357	.145	.322	17	13	38%	7%	78	+0.2	.222/.300/.354	.132	.332	14	10	35%	8%	85	+0.7	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)