Drew Cavanaugh — OGILVIE

Drew CavanaughC Sacramento River Cats

Age 24 L/R 6'1" / 219 lbs MLB HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION265 act + 176 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .326 / .345

PA176

HR4

K%31

BB%10

BABIP313

ISO126

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT45

xwOBA

410.298

POWER50

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

2186.9

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

Sprint

1024.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+1.0	$8M	+$8M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$14M	+$13M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$14M	+$14M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+2.2	$14M	+$11M
2030	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$12M	+$7M
2031	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$10M	+$4M
Totals		$22M		$72M	+$58M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	2 teams	—	64	53	10	1	0	0	7	25	3	1	0	189	317	208	525	19	345	39	11	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	2 teams	—	64	50	14	1	0	0	10	17	3	1	0	280	429	300	729	20	412	27	16	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	3 teams	—	223	194	36	5	0	2	23	87	5	0	0	186	288	242	531	57	321	39	10	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	3 teams	—	223	186	44	9	0	2	31	62	5	0	0	237	360	317	678	81	341	28	14	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	4 teams	—	402	342	68	10	2	10	41	144	13	7	2	199	308	327	636	129	299	36	10	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	4 teams	—	402	322	85	15	2	14	61	110	13	7	2	264	402	453	855	189	348	27	15	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	SF	—	265	223	54	13	0	7	29	80	11	6	2	242	357	395	752	152	343	30	11	337	116	+5	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.8
YTD	24	AAA	SF	—	265	212	63	16	0	9	40	64	11	6	2	297	433	500	933	203	386	24	15	414	175	+22	+0	+0	+5	+8	3.6
ROS	24	AAA	SF	100%	176	150	33	7	0	4	18	55	6	3	1	219	326	345	671	126	310	31	10	310	96	-1	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.8
ROS	24	MLB	SF	100%	177	151	31	6	0	4	18	55	6	3	1	205	314	325	639	119	304	31	10	282	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
FULL	24	AAA	SF	—	442	374	85	19	0	11	47	135	17	9	3	227	340	366	706	139	322	31	11	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
TOT	24	AAA	SF	—	441	373	87	20	0	11	47	135	17	9	3	233	345	375	720	142	331	31	11	326	108	+4	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SF	92%	420	361	81	16	1	11	44	129	12	6	2	224	329	366	694	141	310	31	10	313	98	-1	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.9
2028	26	MLB	SF	92%	441	380	85	16	1	12	46	133	12	7	2	224	326	366	692	142	308	30	10	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+8	+12	2.1
2029	27	MLB	SF	92%	442	381	86	17	1	12	46	132	12	7	2	226	328	370	698	144	307	30	10	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2030	28	MLB	SF	92%	439	379	85	16	1	12	46	131	11	6	2	224	326	367	692	142	306	30	10	315	100	-0	+0	-1	+8	+12	2.0
2031	29	MLB	SF	92%	429	370	82	16	1	11	45	129	11	6	2	222	324	359	683	138	305	30	10	314	98	-1	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.8
2032	30	MLB	SF	92%	420	362	80	15	1	11	44	127	11	5	1	221	324	359	683	138	304	30	10	311	96	-2	+1	-2	+8	+12	1.6
2033	31	MLB	SF	92%	393	339	74	14	1	10	41	120	10	4	1	218	321	354	674	136	301	31	10	307	93	-3	+0	-3	+7	+11	1.3
2034	32	MLB	SF	92%	363	313	68	13	1	9	38	112	9	3	1	217	319	351	671	134	298	31	10	301	89	-5	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.9
2035	33	MLB	SF	92%	324	279	59	11	1	8	34	102	8	2	1	211	315	344	659	133	293	31	10	294	83	-6	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.5
2036	34	MLB	SF	88%	275	238	48	8	1	6	28	88	7	1	0	202	304	319	623	118	287	32	10	286	77	-7	+0	-5	+5	+8	0.1
2037	35	MLB	SF	83%	220	191	36	6	0	4	22	72	5	1	0	188	289	283	572	94	280	33	10	276	70	-8	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	SF	92%	386	332	73	14	1	10	40	119	11	6	2	220	324	358	682	139	304	31	10	287	78	-10	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.9
2028	26	MLB	SF	92%	406	350	78	15	1	11	42	122	11	6	2	223	325	366	691	143	302	30	10	291	81	-9	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.0
2029	27	MLB	SF	92%	407	351	78	15	1	11	42	121	11	6	2	222	324	365	689	142	301	30	10	292	81	-9	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.1
2030	28	MLB	SF	92%	404	348	77	15	1	11	42	120	11	6	2	221	324	365	689	144	300	30	10	291	81	-9	+0	-1	+7	+11	1.0
2031	29	MLB	SF	92%	395	341	74	14	1	10	41	118	10	5	2	217	319	352	671	135	299	30	10	289	80	-9	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.8
2032	30	MLB	SF	92%	386	333	73	14	1	10	40	117	10	5	1	219	321	357	679	138	298	30	10	287	78	-10	+1	-2	+7	+11	0.7
2033	31	MLB	SF	92%	362	312	67	13	1	9	38	110	9	4	1	215	318	349	667	135	295	30	10	283	75	-10	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.4
2034	32	MLB	SF	92%	334	288	61	11	1	8	35	103	8	3	1	212	314	340	654	128	292	31	10	278	71	-11	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.1
2035	33	MLB	SF	92%	298	258	53	9	1	7	31	94	7	2	1	205	307	329	637	124	287	32	10	271	66	-12	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.2
2036	34	MLB	SF	88%	241	208	40	7	0	5	25	77	6	1	0	192	297	298	595	106	281	32	10	263	60	-11	+0	-4	+4	+7	-0.4
2037	35	MLB	SF	83%	183	158	30	5	0	4	19	60	4	1	0	190	293	297	590	108	275	33	10	254	53	-10	+0	-5	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3979	3430	735	138	9	100	413	1216	104	48	15	214	317	347	664	133	298	31	10	283	75	-114	+4	-22	+71	+113	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	120	23	1	16	67	199	17	8	2	214	316	345	661	130	299	31	10	283	75	-19	+1	-4	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	5031	4332	931	171	12	122	523	1586	135	59	17	215	318	344	663	129	305	32	10	302	89	-61	+5	-25	+90	+143	15.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	121	22	2	16	68	205	17	8	2	216	320	348	668	132	306	32	10	302	89	-8	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	24	20	5	0	0	0	3	7	0	1	0	250	348	250	598		357	29	12	276	69	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	21	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	40	30	9	1	0	0	7	10	3	0	0	300	475	333	808	33	450	25	18	390	157	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	22	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	35	30	9	0	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	300	400	300	700		391	20	11	333	113	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	154	126	29	7	0	2	23	45	4	0	0	230	366	333	699	103	338	29	15	326	108	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	34	30	6	2	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	200	294	267	561	67	300	29	12	264	60	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	23	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	53	49	9	1	0	1	4	15	0	0	0	184	245	265	511	82	242	28	8	236	39	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	56	43	8	2	0	1	8	15	5	1	0	186	375	302	677	116	259	27	14	329	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	162	131	39	6	1	6	22	46	5	4	2	298	418	496	914	198	398	28	14	397	162	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2025	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	131	99	29	6	1	6	27	34	3	2	0	293	457	556	1.013	263	377	26	21	438	193	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Jason LaRuelast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,000 PA	11	3,000	93	10	232	316	397	+32	+47	16.9	16.2
	/162	664	21	2	232	316	397	+7.1	+10.5	3.7	pk7: 15
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	4,121	104	48	218	317	354	+67	+44	15.1	13.7
	/162	664	17	8	218	317	354	+10.8	+7.1	2.4	pk7: 12
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Cavanaugh (OGILVIE)	24	45	50	45	55	233/345/375	142	331	11	9	31%	11%	108	+2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chance Sisco 2019 · MLB	24	48→58	43→50	43→40	42	231/303/341	110	322	11	4	30%	7%	82	+0.5	215/308/370	155	289	19	3	31%	8%	93	+1.3	197/299/362	164	258	20	0	30%	9%	85	+0.3
●Bryson Stott 2022 · AAA	24	49→56	45	48→55	47	237/303/361	123	324	12	10	29%	9%	87	+0.8	247/306/373	126	296	13	20	20%	8%	91	+1.1	254/320/377	123	288	13	29	16%	8%	95	+1.4
✕Trevor Hauver 2023 · AA	24	40→48	49→50	46→40	53	199/309/350	151	292	17	3	35%	13%	89	+0.9	217/305/367	150	319	15	3	33%	11%	90	+1.0	220/308/374	154	316	15	2	32%	10%	90	+0.8
✕Robert Kral 2013 · AAA	24	49→42	46→55	43→40	55	235/329/366	131	305	13	5	26%	12%	100	+1.7	209/301/355	146	265	16	4	26%	11%	85	+0.7	194/294/345	151	234	18	2	25%	12%	78	+0.1
✕Matt Thaiss 2019 · AAA	24	46→50	45→55	46→45	45	227/279/354	127	279	12	7	23%	6%	75	-0.0	224/293/384	160	275	19	5	25%	9%	89	+1.0	224/303/389	165	274	20	4	25%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Meibrys Viloria 2022 · MLB	25	45→47	42→45	43→40	44	211/291/318	107	319	10	6	34%	9%	72	-0.2	223/312/350	127	327	13	7	32%	11%	89	+1.0	223/334/350	127	322	13	3	31%	13%	95	+0.7
✕Shed Long Jr. 2020 · MLB	24	47	49→50	47→50	44	235/295/384	149	313	16	10	30%	7%	89	+1.0	221/283/359	138	302	14	10	30%	8%	79	+0.3	199/268/324	125	275	13	10	31%	8%	61	-0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2020 · MLB	24	41→42	49→55	45	43	211/278/363	152	288	17	8	32%	8%	78	+0.2	216/289/370	154	291	18	7	30%	9%	84	+0.6	193/273/381	188	236	29	8	32%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Hunter Feduccia 2022 · AA	25	43→50	47→50	46→40	46	220/283/351	130	279	15	4	26%	8%	76	+0.1	220/292/364	144	293	16	3	29%	9%	84	+0.6	232/319/354	122	311	11	2	27%	11%	90	+0.7
✕Jose Lobatón 2009 · AA	24	45	46→50	43→30	45	222/286/355	133	297	14	3	29%	8%	79	+0.3	223/283/340	117	294	12	3	27%	8%	73	-0.1	237/323/373	135	298	13	0	23%	11%	96	+0.7
✕George Kottaras 2007 · AAA	24	48→53	45→55	43→30	49	232/301/364	132	299	12	3	26%	9%	87	+0.8	218/284/364	146	280	16	3	27%	8%	80	+0.4	229/331/425	195	263	23	2	22%	13%	112	+1.0
●Luis Urías 2021 · MLB	24	47→57	47→55	46→45	48	233/309/369	136	296	14	7	25%	8%	92	+1.2	239/331/408	169	283	20	5	22%	10%	112	+2.6	232/333/399	167	273	21	3	22%	11%	108	+1.7
●J.P. Crawford 2019 · MLB	24	41→51	43→45	49→50	50	203/285/318	115	257	10	8	24%	9%	69	-0.4	241/318/362	121	299	10	9	21%	9%	94	+1.3	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
✕Zack Collins 2020 · MLB	25	39→43	49→50	48→40	49	195/292/347	152	294	17	3	37%	12%	80	+0.4	199/293/346	147	289	15	5	34%	11%	80	+0.4	189/281/328	139	279	15	4	35%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2013 · MLB	25	50	47→60	45→50	43	243/300/384	141	336	14	10	31%	7%	92	+1.2	217/283/377	160	301	17	10	32%	8%	83	+0.6	219/300/412	193	303	21	11	33%	10%	95	+0.8
✕Ryan McMahon 2019 · MLB	24	48→57	46→55	48→45	41	233/283/368	136	317	13	8	30%	6%	80	+0.4	217/290/368	151	287	18	6	29%	9%	84	+0.6	209/295/353	144	270	17	6	28%	10%	80	+0.3
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→43	43→45	42→40	51	222/313/332	110	294	10	4	26%	10%	85	+0.7	235/325/339	104	322	10	6	27%	10%	92	+1.2	236/335/327	92	323	10	5	27%	11%	91	+0.5
✕Carter Kieboom 2023 · MLB	25	44→50	45→50	43→45	52	220/315/340	120	274	14	5	24%	10%	89	+0.9	222/293/341	119	290	14	7	27%	8%	78	+0.2	231/290/331	100	300	10	7	25%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Eric Munson 2002 · MLB	24	42→43	47→60	45→40	43	215/270/354	139	279	14	8	28%	7%	72	-0.2	226/297/403	177	251	24	6	21%	9%	97	+1.5	228/295/436	207	245	30	3	22%	8%	101	+1.1
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2009 · MLB	24	50→53	48→60	40	49	246/318/392	147	318	16	3	27%	9%	102	+1.8	231/293/394	163	304	19	3	29%	8%	92	+1.2	232/311/417	185	312	22	2	31%	10%	101	+1.4