Kyle Robinson
P
Greensboro Grasshoppers
Age 23
RHP
6'6" / 225 lbs
A+
peak 1.0 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144135vR 126
ERA5.59
FIP5.59
K%13.2%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%-0.2%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 163 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 3 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 67% | 2.3 | 26.5% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 7.71 | 3.60 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 3 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 67% | 2.3 | 26.5% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 7.71 | 3.67 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 121 | 524 | 87 | 53 | 10 | 80% | 4.8 | 13.1% | 11.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.54 | 4.83 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 121 | 524 | 87 | 53 | 10 | 80% | 4.8 | 16.6% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 4.54 | 4.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Lansing Lugnuts | 22 | 20 | 98 | 411 | 87 | 41 | 12 | 91% | 4.5 | 15.9% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.03 | 5.18 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 36 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 13.2% | 13.4% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 5.59 | 5.59 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.2% | 13.4% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 5.59 | 5.59 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 163 | 685 | 123 | 78 | 20 | — | — | 18.0% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 4.65 | 5.34 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 13.2% | 13.4% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 5.59 | 5.21 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 16 | 16 | 87 | 366 | 57 | 45 | 10 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.33 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 88 | 371 | 63 | 43 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 5.03 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 88 | 371 | 67 | 42 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.9% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.94 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 87 | 366 | 66 | 41 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 4.96 | 4.96 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 84 | 355 | 63 | 41 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 5.04 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 37 | 156 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.33 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 10 | 58 | 245 | 42 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 53 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.9% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 74 | 312 | 56 | 35 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 4.96 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 75 | 317 | 57 | 36 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 53 | 53 | 314 | 1327 | 232 | 153 | 38 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.5% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 4.64 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 148 | 97 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.5% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 42 | 226 | 969 | 143 | 111 | 29 | 84% | 4.5 | 14.7% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.93 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 37 | 200 | 856 | 126 | 98 | 25 | 84% | 4.5 | 14.7% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Robinson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.59 | 13.2% | 13.4% | 2.8% | — | 5.07 | 16.9% | 5.2% | 263 | -0.52 | — | — | — |
| Brooks Auger R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.81 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 46 | -1.19 | 3.81 | 138 | 90 |
| Troy Miller R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.96 | 12.0% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .299 | 5.35 | 18.3% | 8.3% | 45 | +0.39 | 4.96 | 168 | 89 |
| Hayden Merda R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.06 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.42 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.50 | 182 | 87 |
| Baron Stuart R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .266 | 4.16 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 187 | -1.00 | 3.55 | 287 | 87 |
| Elliot Morris R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 102 | 85 |
| Jacob Meador R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.28 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .301 | 6.83 | 14.7% | -6.6% | 50 | +1.55 | 5.28 | 139 | 85 |
| Adam Hill R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.96 | 15.6% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .297 | 6.36 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 91 | +1.40 | 4.96 | 213 | 85 |
| Jeff Brigham R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.19 | 14.5% | 11.3% | 3.4% | .327 | 3.86 | 17.8% | 8.5% | 288 | -1.33 | 3.52 | 620 | 85 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.39 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 137 | 85 |
| Victor Mederos R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.56 | 13.4% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .322 | 4.32 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 163 | -1.24 | 4.19 | 360 | 84 |
| Jack Noble R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.45 | 16.5% | 13.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 6.15 | 20.3% | 8.2% | 58 | +1.70 | 4.45 | 125 | 84 |
| Adam Maier R 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.75 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 4.2% | .280 | 4.71 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 60 | -1.04 | 3.63 | 239 | 84 |
| Jason Savacool R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.43 | 16.6% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .285 | 7.34 | 19.6% | 3.2% | 26 | +2.91 | 4.43 | 225 | 84 |
| Elijah Dale R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.70 | 16.7% | 13.6% | 2.3% | .239 | 6.40 | 18.4% | -1.6% | 31 | +1.70 | 4.70 | 140 | 84 |
| Nathan Dettmer R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.71 | 13.0% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .365 | 3.34 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 80 | -1.37 | 3.34 | 190 | 83 |
| Tommy Mace R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.24 | 16.0% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .261 | 5.13 | 14.7% | 2.7% | 376 | -0.11 | 4.93 | 501 | 83 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Aaron Davenport R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.03 | 14.3% | 14.7% | 4.2% | .272 | 4.53 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 276 | -1.50 | 4.09 | 498 | 82 |
| Kevin Biondic R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.39 | 8.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.39 | 100 | 82 |
| Bradley Brehmer R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.40 | 14.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .349 | 2.88 | 21.3% | 13.7% | 82 | -1.52 | 2.76 | 153 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 86 | 16.6% | 11.9% | 1.10 | 5.17 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Dakota Hudson ('24) | 6 | 92 | 15.0% | 11.1% | 0.91 | 4.25 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Aaron Sanchez ('22) | 7 | 93 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 4.32 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |