Wyatt Lunsford-Shenkman

Wyatt Lunsford-Shenkman P Everett AquaSox

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 228 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%21.0%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP35

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	7	0	6	33	7	8	0	0%	0.9	21.2%	24.2%	-3.0%	0.0%	8.53	4.38	—
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	7	0	6	33	7	8	0	0%	0.9	21.2%	24.2%	-3.0%	0.0%	8.53	4.38	—
2025	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	7	0	6	33	7	8	0	0%	0.9	21.2%	24.2%	-3.0%	0.0%	8.53	4.68	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	35	0	50	218	44	34	5	0%	1.4	15.5%	17.9%	-2.4%	2.9%	2.54	5.63	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	35	0	50	218	44	34	5	0%	1.4	15.5%	17.9%	-2.4%	2.9%	2.54	5.63	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	SEA	35	0	50	218	44	34	5	0%	1.4	20.2%	15.6%	4.6%	2.3%	2.54	4.63	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SEA	47	0	50	210	46	24	6	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.6%	10.2%	3.0%	4.82	4.74	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	48	0	50	213	47	23	6	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.8%	11.5%	3.0%	4.67	4.59	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	48	0	50	213	48	23	6	0%	1.1	22.6%	10.7%	11.9%	3.0%	4.59	4.55	0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	SEA	20	0	21	89	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.6%	10.2%	3.0%	4.82	4.74	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	31	0	33	139	31	15	4	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.8%	11.5%	3.0%	4.67	4.59	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	38	0	40	169	38	18	5	0%	1.1	22.6%	10.7%	11.9%	3.0%	4.59	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		90	0	95	400	89	44	12	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.67	4.23	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	93	25	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.67	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		42	0	56	251	41	47	6	0%	1.3	16.3%	18.8%	-2.5%	2.5%	3.21	5.47	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	0	200	896	146	168	22	0%	1.3	16.3%	18.8%	-2.5%	2.5%	3.21	5.47	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wyatt Lunsford-Shenkman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	21.0%	13.0%	3.0%	—	4.63	22.2%	11.2%	151	-0.36	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	93
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	92
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	92
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	91
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	90
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	90
Bailey Dees R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.35	21.3%	9.7%	278	+0.09	3.41	330	90
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	90
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	89
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	89
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	89
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	89
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	5.02	18.8%	6.8%	174	+0.70	4.32	218	89
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	89
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	88
Kieran Lovegrove R 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.9%	12.6%	3.2%	.273	4.46	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.46	3.79	215	88
Vince Arobio R 2018 · 4.47 FIP	23	SU	4.47	20.5%	12.0%	2.9%	.365	3.67	24.1%	16.2%	55	-0.80	3.67	118	88
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	88

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	46	22.0%	11.4%	1.15	4.75
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64