Kaelen Culpepper

Kaelen CulpepperSS St. Paul Saints

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs AAA BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 2.5 · 2029

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .305 / .379

PA320

HR9

SB11

K%23

BB%7

MLB%14%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗49

PWR

50↘47

SPD

55↘52

FLD

46↗51

EYE

46↘36

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$16M	+$16M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$20M	+$19M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.5	$22M	+$21M
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+2.5	$23M	+$18M
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+2.4	$22M	+$14M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+2.2	$21M	+$10M
Totals		$26M		$124M	+$97M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	2 teams	112	102	22	4	1	3	8	20	2	4	1	.216	.286	.363	.648	.147	.241	18	7	.263	60	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2025	22	AA	2 teams	517	468	115	12	3	17	36	122	13	25	4	.246	.317	.393	.710	.147	.298	24	7	.307	93	-4	+3	+0	+6	+15	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AAA	St. Paul Saints	94	86	18	3	0	2	7	24	1	4	0	.209	.277	.314	.591	.105	.267	26	7	.275	69	-3	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
ROS	23	MLB	MIN	226	204	48	7	1	6	16	53	4	7	1	.235	.304	.368	.671	.132	.284	23	7	.302	89	-3	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.7
TOT	23	MLB	MIN	320	290	66	10	1	8	23	77	5	11	1	.228	.296	.352	.647	.124	.282	24	7	.294	83	-6	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 28%	MIN	476	429	104	15	2	14	36	99	8	13	2	.242	.313	.385	.698	.142	.281	21	8	.314	98	-1	+2	+0	+5	+13	2.0
2028	25	MLB 46%	MIN	503	451	111	16	2	16	39	104	8	12	1	.246	.317	.397	.714	.151	.283	21	8	.318	101	+1	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.3
2029	26	MLB 60%	MIN	518	463	113	17	2	16	42	108	8	12	1	.244	.318	.393	.711	.149	.284	21	8	.320	103	+2	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.5
2030	27	MLB 78%	MIN	523	467	114	17	2	16	43	109	8	11	1	.244	.319	.392	.710	.148	.284	21	8	.320	103	+2	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.5
2031	28	MLB 85%	MIN	522	466	113	17	2	16	43	110	8	11	1	.242	.317	.391	.708	.148	.284	21	8	.319	102	+1	+2	-0	+6	+15	2.4
2032	29	MLB 91%	MIN	514	458	111	16	2	16	43	110	8	10	0	.242	.318	.391	.709	.148	.283	21	8	.317	101	+0	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.2
2033	30	MLB	MIN	504	449	108	16	2	15	42	110	8	9	0	.241	.317	.385	.702	.145	.282	22	8	.314	98	-1	+2	-2	+5	+14	1.9
2034	31	MLB	MIN	491	439	103	15	2	14	41	109	8	8	0	.235	.311	.374	.685	.139	.280	22	8	.310	95	-3	+2	-2	+5	+14	1.6
2035	32	MLB	MIN	473	424	98	14	2	13	39	107	7	7	0	.231	.306	.366	.672	.134	.279	23	8	.305	92	-4	+1	-3	+5	+13	1.2
2036	33	MLB	MIN	444	397	91	13	2	12	37	104	7	6	0	.229	.306	.363	.669	.134	.277	23	8	.300	88	-6	+1	-4	+5	+13	0.9
2037	34	MLB	MIN	398	356	79	11	1	10	33	96	6	5	0	.222	.299	.343	.641	.121	.276	24	8	.293	83	-8	+1	-5	+4	+11	0.4
2038	35	MLB	MIN	345	309	67	9	1	8	28	87	5	5	0	.217	.292	.330	.622	.113	.274	25	8	.286	77	-9	+1	-5	+4	+10	0.0
2039	36	MLB	MIN	286	257	54	7	1	6	23	75	4	4	0	.210	.285	.315	.600	.105	.271	26	8	.277	70	-10	+1	-6	+3	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6852	6139	1451	206	28	198	549	1523	112	149	12	.236	.311	.376	.686	.139	.282	22	8	.308	94	-48	+25	-27	+73	+194	22.2
/ 162G	—			650	582	139	20	3	19	52	144	11	14	1	.239	.313	.381	.695	.143	.284	22	8	.308	94	-5	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	71	62	13	1	1	1	8	13	1	2	0	.210	.310	.306	.616	.097	.250	18	11	.287	77	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	41	37	11	3	0	2	3	2	1	2	1	.297	.366	.541	.906	.243	.273	5	7	.397	162	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	270	239	68	7	1	11	24	50	7	10	2	.285	.367	.460	.827	.176	.320	19	9	.369	141	+12	+1	—	—	+8	2.2
2025	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	247	215	63	9	2	9	26	40	6	15	2	.293	.385	.479	.864	.186	.325	16	11	.385	152	+15	+2	—	—	+7	2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kaelen Culpepper (OGILVIE)	23	35→49	50→47	55→52	36	.238/.305/.379	.141	.288	9	8	23%	7%	94	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46	49→50	52→50	42	.230/.311/.380	.151	.300	16	13	28%	6%	97	+1.5	.224/.309/.378	.154	.287	18	12	27%	8%	95	+1.4	.208/.294/.355	.146	.264	19	11	28%	9%	79	+0.2
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	53→55	49→50	44	.234/.298/.405	.171	.295	21	12	28%	7%	97	+1.5	.242/.300/.407	.165	.317	19	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	.245/.303/.409	.164	.323	19	11	29%	7%	97	+1.4
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	46→53	51→55	51→50	39	.236/.280/.398	.161	.306	18	15	29%	5%	87	+0.8	.218/.269/.368	.150	.284	17	13	29%	5%	75	-0.0	.225/.267/.399	.174	.293	23	8	31%	5%	79	+0.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA	23	44→49	50→60	47→50	44	.224/.296/.380	.156	.288	18	12	28%	7%	90	+1.0	.234/.304/.421	.187	.295	22	11	28%	7%	104	+2.0	.238/.311/.439	.201	.293	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB	23	48→52	51→55	51→50	48	.244/.304/.405	.161	.281	19	12	21%	7%	99	+1.7	.220/.307/.378	.158	.261	16	11	22%	10%	94	+1.3	.211/.309/.373	.162	.247	16	10	21%	11%	91	+1.0
✕Lastings Milledge 2009 · MLB	24	52→58	48→50	50→55	47	.257/.325/.401	.144	.300	15	19	19%	7%	107	+2.2	.263/.318/.377	.114	.306	11	18	17%	6%	98	+1.6	.264/.316/.363	.099	.305	8	19	16%	6%	88	+0.7
●Jeremy Peña 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	47→50	51→50	41	.233/.294/.365	.132	.308	14	14	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.251/.297/.399	.148	.305	18	13	23%	5%	95	+1.4	.274/.329/.411	.137	.319	14	17	18%	6%	107	+2.3
✕Brendan Rodgers 2020 · MLB	23	48→54	48→50	47→45	39	.241/.286/.381	.139	.300	16	7	25%	4%	85	+0.7	.244/.294/.380	.136	.298	14	4	22%	6%	89	+0.9	.253/.308/.383	.131	.298	13	0	19%	6%	93	+0.8
✕Aaron Luna 2010 · AA	23	40→43	50	49→45	46	.207/.313/.367	.160	.264	17	8	27%	8%	95	+1.4	.222/.323/.370	.148	.277	16	7	25%	8%	100	+1.7	.221/.326/.364	.144	.274	17	6	24%	9%	97	+1.0
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→41	50	52→55	45	.218/.284/.375	.158	.271	18	18	26%	7%	83	+0.6	.182/.253/.314	.132	.259	17	20	35%	7%	55	-1.4	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
●Alec Bohm 2020 · AA	23	48→57	50	46→45	48	.243/.298/.396	.154	.274	17	6	19%	7%	95	+1.4	.261/.316/.388	.127	.318	13	6	21%	7%	99	+1.7	.272/.325/.418	.146	.303	15	4	15%	6%	107	+2.1
●Javier Herrera 2008 · AAA	23	45→54	48→50	49→50	40	.228/.287/.365	.138	.302	16	15	29%	6%	82	+0.5	.228/.277/.365	.137	.313	15	12	31%	6%	77	+0.1	.241/.298/.383	.142	.334	15	14	31%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	45	.219/.299/.355	.136	.271	16	5	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.219/.305/.373	.154	.269	18	5	25%	8%	92	+1.2	.210/.321/.386	.176	.261	20	2	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	52→50	45→40	38	.228/.270/.393	.165	.288	21	7	29%	5%	82	+0.5	.229/.283/.369	.140	.329	16	5	34%	5%	81	+0.4	.234/.323/.349	.115	.320	13	1	28%	9%	90	+0.6
●Zack Gelof 2023 · AAA	23	44→50	53→55	52→55	42	.227/.289/.396	.169	.319	22	13	35%	8%	91	+1.1	.230/.295/.400	.170	.324	21	23	33%	8%	95	+1.4	.222/.291/.389	.167	.310	21	27	34%	8%	88	+0.7
✕Joe Benson 2011 · AA	23	45→50	52→60	51→50	41	.226/.298/.400	.174	.315	18	16	33%	7%	96	+1.5	.220/.286/.381	.161	.306	17	14	32%	7%	86	+0.8	.202/.268/.342	.140	.286	13	14	32%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	48→55	51→55	44	.226/.288/.373	.147	.292	15	21	28%	7%	84	+0.6	.212/.274/.363	.151	.280	17	17	29%	7%	76	+0.1	.189/.253/.336	.147	.253	17	17	32%	7%	57	-0.6
●Aledmys Díaz 2015 · AA	24	47→57	46→55	51→45	40	.232/.282/.364	.132	.298	13	14	26%	5%	79	+0.3	.249/.301/.395	.146	.287	15	8	18%	6%	95	+1.4	.262/.314/.431	.169	.281	19	6	14%	6%	105	+1.6
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	47→60	49→55	41	.240/.300/.376	.136	.307	14	12	26%	6%	90	+1.0	.246/.317/.423	.177	.300	21	19	25%	6%	111	+2.5	.248/.320/.446	.198	.298	25	24	25%	6%	113	+2.3
✕German Duran 2008 · AA	23	47→49	50	49→45	42	.243/.284/.403	.160	.282	18	11	21%	5%	90	+1.0	.223/.266/.343	.120	.264	12	7	20%	5%	66	-0.6	.205/.247/.284	.079	.244	7	3	19%	4%	41	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)