Kaelen Culpepper

Kaelen CulpepperSS St. Paul Saints

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION460 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP285

ISO141

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$49M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 50 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT50

xAVG

470.249

POWER48

Barrel%

153.7

Avg EV

2687.3

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED52

Sprint

6027.9

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%19%▲▲17% over 96 PA (30d) · proj 22%

BB%6%▼5% over 117 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.138·.132 over 106 AB (60d) · proj .141

HR/BB3.9%·3.6% over 83 BBE (60d) · proj 4.2%

BABIP.291▲.338 over 80 BIP (60d) · proj .286

SLASH.255/.314/.393·proj .243/.310/.384

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.4M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$14M	+$13M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$14M	+$14M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+2.1	$13M	+$9M
2030	Arb-2	$11M	+2.1	$12M	+$5M
2031	Arb-3	$15M	+2.0	$11M	+$2M
Totals		$33M		$66M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	71	62	13	1	1	1	8	13	1	2	0	210	310	306	616	97	250	18	11	287	80	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	41	37	11	3	0	2	3	2	1	2	1	297	366	541	906	243	273	5	7	397	155	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	239	68	7	1	11	24	50	7	10	2	285	367	460	827	176	320	19	9	369	136	+12	+1	—	—	+6	1.9
2025	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	247	215	63	9	2	9	26	40	6	15	2	293	385	479	864	186	325	16	11	385	146	+14	+2	—	—	+5	2.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	71	65	12	1	1	1	5	18	1	2	0	185	254	277	530	92	219	25	7	215	32	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	41	38	10	3	0	2	2	3	1	2	1	263	317	500	817	237	237	7	5	338	115	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	246	60	6	1	8	17	65	7	10	2	244	311	374	685	130	295	24	6	298	88	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	247	222	55	7	2	7	19	55	6	15	2	248	324	392	716	144	297	22	8	312	97	-1	+2	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	112	102	21	4	1	2	8	21	2	4	1	206	277	324	600	118	241	19	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	112	99	24	4	1	3	11	15	2	4	1	242	330	394	724	152	259	13	10	327	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	517	468	116	13	3	16	36	120	13	25	4	248	319	391	710	143	301	23	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	517	454	131	16	3	20	50	90	13	25	4	289	375	469	844	181	323	17	10	377	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	112	101	21	4	1	2	8	21	2	4	1	208	277	327	604	119	226	19	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	517	463	116	13	3	16	36	120	13	25	4	251	319	395	714	145	296	23	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	112	101	21	4	1	2	8	21	2	4	1	208	277	327	604	119	226	19	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	517	463	116	13	3	16	36	120	13	25	4	251	319	395	714	145	296	23	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	MIN	—	460	413	99	17	2	13	33	99	11	18	3	240	313	385	698	145	283	22	7	307	94	-3	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	23	MLB RAW	MIN	—	117	106	30	5	0	3	6	24	4	1	0	283	345	415	760	132	338	21	5	339	94	-1	+0	+0	+5	+3	0.7
YTD	23	AAA RAW	MIN	—	343	295	80	15	2	14	39	63	7	17	3	271	370	478	847	207	300	18	11	374	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	MLB RAW	MIN	—	117	106	30	5	0	3	6	24	4	1	0	283	345	415	760	132	338	21	5	339	116	+2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.6
ROS	23	AAA MLE	MIN	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		284	20	10	312	97	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	23	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		285	20	10	296	97	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	MIN	—	127	115	32	5	0	3	7	26	4	1	0	278	341	400	741	122	333	20	6	336	94	-1	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.3
TOT	23	AAA MLE	MIN	—	470	422	101	17	2	13	34	101	11	18	3	239	313	382	694	142	283	21	7	307	94	-3	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	558	502	122	19	3	16	40	120	11	19	4	243	313	388	701	145	285	22	7	313	98	-1	+2	+1	+6	+12	2.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	590	529	129	20	3	18	44	126	12	20	4	244	316	395	711	151	285	21	7	316	100	+0	+2	+1	+6	+13	2.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	578	518	127	20	3	18	44	124	11	19	4	245	318	400	717	154	286	21	8	318	101	+1	+2	+1	+6	+13	2.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	567	507	124	20	3	17	44	122	11	19	4	245	319	396	715	152	286	22	8	318	101	+1	+2	+1	+6	+12	2.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	555	496	121	19	3	17	43	120	11	18	4	244	318	397	715	153	285	22	8	317	101	+1	+2	+0	+6	+12	2.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	544	486	117	19	2	16	43	119	10	16	3	241	315	387	702	146	285	22	8	316	100	-0	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.9
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	533	476	114	18	2	16	42	118	10	14	3	239	314	387	701	147	284	22	8	313	98	-1	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.7
2034	31	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	523	467	111	18	2	15	41	117	10	12	2	238	313	381	694	143	282	22	8	309	95	-3	+2	-2	+6	+11	1.4
2035	32	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	512	458	107	17	2	14	40	117	9	10	2	234	308	371	679	138	279	23	8	304	92	-5	+1	-3	+5	+11	1.0
2036	33	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	450	404	92	14	2	12	35	105	8	7	1	228	302	361	663	134	275	23	8	297	87	-7	+1	-4	+5	+10	0.5
2037	34	MLB MLE	MIN	88%	404	363	81	12	2	10	31	97	7	4	1	223	297	350	647	127	270	24	8	289	82	-9	+0	-4	+4	+9	0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	513	461	111	17	2	15	37	110	10	17	3	241	311	384	695	143	285	21	7	298	98	-1	+2	+1	+5	+11	1.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	543	487	119	19	3	16	40	116	11	18	4	244	316	394	710	150	285	21	7	302	100	+0	+2	+1	+6	+12	2.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	532	477	116	19	2	16	40	114	10	18	4	243	315	392	707	149	286	21	8	304	101	+1	+2	+1	+6	+12	2.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	522	467	113	18	2	16	40	112	10	17	3	242	315	392	707	150	286	21	8	304	101	+1	+2	+1	+6	+11	2.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	511	456	112	18	2	16	40	110	10	16	3	246	320	399	719	154	285	22	8	304	101	+1	+2	+0	+5	+11	2.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	500	447	108	17	2	15	39	109	10	15	3	242	317	389	706	148	285	22	8	302	100	-0	+2	-1	+5	+11	1.8
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	490	440	105	17	2	14	38	108	9	13	3	239	312	382	694	143	284	22	8	299	98	-1	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.5
2034	31	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	481	431	102	16	2	14	38	108	9	11	2	237	312	381	692	144	282	22	8	296	95	-3	+1	-2	+5	+10	1.3
2035	32	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	471	422	98	15	2	13	37	107	9	9	2	232	308	370	677	137	279	23	8	290	92	-5	+1	-3	+5	+10	0.9
2036	33	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	414	371	85	13	2	11	32	96	8	6	1	229	304	364	668	135	276	23	8	284	87	-6	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.5
2037	34	MLB CTX	MIN	88%	354	318	70	10	1	9	27	85	6	4	1	220	293	343	636	123	270	24	8	276	82	-8	+0	-4	+4	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5341	4786	1141	179	22	155	409	1177	102	144	29	238	312	382	694	144	283	22	8	297	96	-22	+17	-11	+57	+116	16.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	140	22	3	19	50	143	12	18	4	241	313	387	700	146	286	22	8	297	96	-3	+2	-1	+7	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6453	5785	1384	213	31	187	492	1428	125	187	37	239	313	384	696	145	285	22	8	310	96	-24	+19	-12	+62	+126	17.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	139	21	3	19	50	144	13	19	4	238	313	383	696	144	284	22	8	310	96	-3	+2	-1	+7	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	7.7	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
/162	664	21	3	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	8.6	5,728	165	155	241	310	385	+59	+6	21.3	18.3
/162	664	19	18	+6.8	+0.7	2.5	pk7: 15
#3Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#4Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kaelen Culpepper (OGILVIE)	23	41→50	48	55→52	41	239/310/382	142	284	8	10	22%	7%	97	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	51→49	51→60	55→50	46	254/314/422	168	308	18	23	23%	7%	107	+1.8	257/315/455	198	301	27	14	24%	8%	115	+2.4	244/301/432	187	279	27	12	23%	7%	102	+0.9
✕Lastings Milledge 2009 · MLB	24	52→59	48→50	51→55	47	259/325/401	142	299	15	20	19%	7%	106	+1.8	263/318/375	112	306	10	18	17%	6%	97	+1.1	263/315/360	97	305	8	19	16%	6%	89	+0.4
●Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB	23	48→52	50→55	51→50	48	244/305/399	156	281	17	13	20%	7%	98	+1.2	219/308/375	156	260	16	11	22%	10%	95	+0.9	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
✕Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	49→50	44	231/295/391	160	292	19	12	28%	7%	93	+0.8	239/298/393	154	317	17	11	29%	7%	94	+0.9	239/312/395	156	325	18	14	30%	8%	98	+1.0
●Jeremy Peña 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	48→55	52→55	40	235/295/380	144	312	16	14	29%	6%	90	+0.6	253/299/401	148	305	18	13	23%	5%	97	+1.1	276/328/432	157	317	19	18	19%	5%	112	+2.0
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→55	45	50	232/308/392	160	264	21	7	21%	8%	98	+1.2	235/298/411	176	286	24	5	26%	7%	99	+1.3	229/284/404	175	286	26	2	29%	6%	91	+0.4
✕Josh Rutledge 2013 · MLB	24	53→60	48→50	55→50	39	263/299/417	155	319	14	14	22%	4%	100	+1.3	247/297/370	123	310	11	11	23%	5%	88	+0.4	241/297/345	104	310	8	9	24%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	47→53	50→55	52→50	40	237/280/396	159	303	17	15	28%	5%	88	+0.4	217/268/361	144	284	16	12	28%	5%	76	-0.4	230/272/404	174	301	22	8	31%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46	48→50	52→50	42	230/313/379	148	298	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	221/305/368	147	284	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	208/293/349	141	265	17	11	27%	8%	80	-0.1
●Oneil Cruz 2022 · AAA	23	49→53	54→60	57→60	41	249/296/432	184	324	21	21	30%	6%	103	+1.5	239/302/428	189	318	23	20	30%	8%	104	+1.6	243/326/440	197	329	25	34	32%	10%	110	+1.8
●Rickie Weeks Jr. 2006 · MLB	23	49→58	53→55	59→55	50	247/338/432	185	302	20	19	24%	9%	118	+2.7	251/353/417	166	310	16	23	23%	11%	120	+2.8	254/348/435	181	311	21	11	24%	10%	120	+3.0
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA	23	45→49	49→60	47→50	44	227/296/379	152	293	17	12	28%	7%	91	+0.7	233/304/413	180	294	21	11	27%	7%	101	+1.4	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
●Zack Gelof 2023 · AAA	23	45→50	51→55	52→55	43	228/290/387	159	317	20	13	33%	8%	90	+0.6	230/295/403	173	322	21	23	33%	8%	96	+1.0	223/292/397	174	309	22	27	34%	8%	91	+0.5
●Luis Urías 2020 · MLB	23	49→59	46→55	47→45	49	240/318/375	135	298	13	6	23%	8%	98	+1.2	239/324/394	155	290	17	6	23%	10%	105	+1.7	237/332/395	158	281	19	4	21%	10%	105	+1.1
✕Vinnie Catricala 2012 · AA	23	53→57	51→55	49→45	44	263/319/429	167	315	17	9	22%	6%	111	+2.1	218/267/330	112	273	11	7	24%	5%	68	-1.0	193/239/278	85	243	9	4	24%	5%	43	-2.3
●Elijah Dukes 2007 · AAA	23	52	48→55	51→50	49	256/318/405	149	297	15	15	19%	7%	104	+1.6	241/336/411	170	286	18	13	21%	11%	113	+2.3	235/343/409	174	277	18	13	21%	13%	112	+1.4
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
✕J.R. Towles 2007 · A	23	52→53	49→50	49→50	43	260/314/414	154	305	16	14	20%	5%	105	+1.7	236/309/373	137	276	14	11	20%	6%	95	+0.9	224/307/357	133	262	14	9	19%	7%	87	+0.2
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	46→60	49→55	42	243/302/374	131	307	13	12	25%	5%	92	+0.7	246/317/424	178	299	21	19	25%	6%	109	+2.0	246/317/445	199	306	24	25	27%	7%	110	+2.1
✕Daulton Varsho 2020 · AA	24	48→49	50→60	55→50	46	244/303/400	156	281	18	19	20%	6%	98	+1.2	236/302/421	185	275	22	15	22%	8%	103	+1.5	228/296/424	195	260	25	15	23%	8%	98	+1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps