Kaelen Culpepper

Kaelen CulpepperSS St. Paul Saints

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION295 act + 196 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .318 / .406

PA196

HR7

SB8

K%22

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO166

MLB%14%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE36

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$19M	+$19M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.8	$19M	+$19M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+2.9	$18M	+$14M
2030	Arb-2	$10M	+2.9	$17M	+$11M
2031	Arb-3	$14M	+2.8	$15M	+$7M
Totals		$32M		$90M	+$69M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	112	102	19	3	1	2	8	21	2	4	1	186	259	294	553	108	215	19	7	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	112	99	24	4	1	3	11	15	2	4	1	242	330	394	724	152	259	13	10	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	517	468	112	12	2	17	36	129	13	25	4	239	311	382	694	143	295	25	7	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	517	454	131	16	3	20	50	90	13	25	4	289	375	469	844	181	323	17	10	377	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	MIN	—	295	261	61	9	1	12	26	61	6	15	2	234	317	414	731	180	258	21	9	317	101	+0	+2	+0	+3	+8	1.4
YTD	23	AAA	MIN	—	295	250	68	11	1	14	37	51	6	15	2	272	379	492	871	220	289	17	13	383	152	+17	+2	+0	+3	+8	3.2
ROS	23	AAA	MIN	14%	196	174	42	6	1	7	16	43	4	8	1	240	318	406	725	166	273	22	8	319	102	+0	+1	+0	+2	+6	1.0
ROS	23	MLB	MIN	14%	28	25	6	1	0	1	2	6	1	1	0	240	321	400	721	160	274	21	7	305	91	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
FULL	23	AAA	MIN	—	323	286	67	10	1	13	28	67	7	16	2	234	318	413	730	178	260	21	9	316	100	-0	+2	+0	+3	+9	1.5
TOT	23	AAA	MIN	—	491	435	103	15	2	19	42	104	10	23	3	236	318	411	729	174	266	21	9	318	101	+1	+3	+0	+5	+14	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIN	49%	530	473	113	16	2	19	42	115	10	19	3	239	314	402	716	163	275	22	8	320	103	+2	+3	+1	+6	+15	2.6
2028	25	MLB	MIN	65%	544	485	117	17	2	20	44	118	10	20	3	241	317	408	726	167	276	22	8	323	105	+3	+3	+1	+6	+15	2.8
2029	26	MLB	MIN	73%	549	489	118	17	2	20	45	119	10	20	3	241	318	407	725	166	277	22	8	324	106	+4	+3	+1	+6	+16	2.9
2030	27	MLB	MIN	74%	548	487	118	18	2	20	46	119	10	20	3	242	320	411	731	168	278	22	8	324	106	+4	+3	+1	+6	+16	2.9
2031	28	MLB	MIN	75%	544	484	116	17	2	20	46	119	9	19	3	240	317	407	724	167	277	22	8	323	106	+3	+3	-0	+6	+15	2.8
2032	29	MLB	MIN	74%	537	478	114	17	2	19	45	118	9	17	3	238	316	402	717	163	277	22	8	322	104	+3	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.5
2033	30	MLB	MIN	73%	529	470	112	16	2	19	45	118	9	15	2	238	317	402	719	164	276	22	9	319	102	+1	+2	-2	+6	+15	2.3
2034	31	MLB	MIN	72%	520	462	109	16	2	18	44	118	9	13	2	236	315	396	711	160	274	23	8	315	99	-0	+2	-2	+6	+15	2.0
2035	32	MLB	MIN	72%	510	453	105	15	2	17	43	117	9	11	2	232	311	386	697	155	271	23	8	310	95	-3	+1	-3	+5	+14	1.6
2036	33	MLB	MIN	72%	449	401	90	12	2	14	38	106	7	7	1	224	303	369	672	145	267	24	8	303	90	-5	+1	-4	+5	+13	1.0
2037	34	MLB	MIN	68%	403	359	78	10	1	12	34	97	7	5	1	217	297	351	648	134	262	24	8	295	84	-7	+1	-4	+4	+11	0.5
2038	35	MLB	MIN	63%	349	311	65	8	1	10	29	87	6	3	0	209	289	338	627	129	257	25	8	286	77	-9	+1	-5	+4	+10	-0.0
2039	36	MLB	MIN	54%	290	260	53	6	1	8	23	75	5	1	0	204	281	327	608	123	251	26	8	276	69	-10	+0	-6	+3	+8	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	MIN	49%	258	231	55	8	1	9	20	56	5	9	1	238	312	398	711	160	275	22	8	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2028	25	MLB	MIN	65%	354	316	77	11	2	13	29	77	6	13	2	244	319	415	734	171	277	22	8	310	96	-2	+2	+0	+4	+10	1.5
2029	26	MLB	MIN	73%	399	356	87	13	2	15	33	86	7	15	2	244	321	419	739	174	277	22	8	312	97	-1	+2	+0	+4	+11	1.7
2030	27	MLB	MIN	74%	407	363	88	13	2	15	34	88	7	15	2	242	319	413	733	171	278	22	8	312	97	-1	+2	+0	+4	+12	1.7
2031	28	MLB	MIN	75%	408	364	88	13	2	15	34	89	7	14	2	242	319	412	731	170	277	22	8	311	96	-2	+2	-0	+4	+12	1.6
2032	29	MLB	MIN	74%	396	352	84	12	2	14	34	87	7	13	2	239	318	403	721	165	277	22	9	309	95	-2	+2	-1	+4	+11	1.5
2033	30	MLB	MIN	73%	386	343	82	12	1	14	33	86	7	11	2	239	319	402	721	163	276	22	9	307	93	-3	+1	-1	+4	+11	1.3
2034	31	MLB	MIN	72%	377	336	79	12	1	13	32	85	6	9	1	235	313	393	706	158	274	23	8	303	90	-4	+1	-2	+4	+11	1.1
2035	32	MLB	MIN	72%	368	328	75	11	1	12	31	85	6	8	1	229	307	378	685	149	271	23	8	298	86	-6	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.8
2036	33	MLB	MIN	72%	323	288	64	9	1	10	27	76	5	5	1	222	300	365	665	142	267	24	8	292	81	-7	+1	-3	+3	+9	0.4
2037	34	MLB	MIN	68%	272	243	53	7	1	8	23	66	4	3	0	218	296	354	650	136	262	24	8	284	75	-8	+1	-3	+3	+8	0.1
2038	35	MLB	MIN	63%	220	197	41	5	1	6	18	55	3	2	0	208	284	335	619	127	257	25	8	274	68	-8	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.2
2039	36	MLB	MIN	54%	157	141	29	3	1	4	13	40	2	1	0	206	282	326	608	121	251	25	8	264	61	-7	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4353	3883	908	130	18	149	363	982	73	119	16	234	311	392	703	158	274	23	8	302	89	-53	+17	-16	+47	+123	12.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	135	19	3	22	54	147	11	18	2	233	310	390	700	157	273	23	8	302	89	-8	+3	-2	+7	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	7127	6356	1481	206	27	242	584	1619	129	207	32	233	310	388	698	155	273	23	8	312	97	-25	+29	-25	+76	+202	26.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	135	19	2	22	53	148	12	19	3	233	310	386	696	153	274	23	8	312	97	-2	+3	-2	+7	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	71	62	13	1	1	1	8	13	1	2	0	210	310	306	616	97	250	18	11	287	77	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	41	37	11	3	0	2	3	2	1	2	1	297	366	541	906	243	273	5	7	397	162	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	239	68	7	1	11	24	50	7	10	2	285	367	460	827	176	320	19	9	369	141	+12	+1	—	—	+8	2.2
2025	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	247	215	63	9	2	9	26	40	6	15	2	293	385	479	864	186	325	16	11	385	152	+15	+2	—	—	+7	2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,370	151	119	235	309	394	+42	+4	17.0	15.1
	/162	664	23	18	235	309	394	+6.4	+0.7	2.6	pk7: 13
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kaelen Culpepper (OGILVIE)	23	42→49	47→46	54→52	36	236/318/411	174	266	19	23	21%	9%	101	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	50	44	232/297/394	162	296	20	12	28%	7%	93	+1.3	242/301/407	165	320	20	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
●Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB	23	48→53	51→55	51→50	47	245/302/410	166	280	19	13	21%	7%	100	+1.7	221/308/380	159	262	17	11	22%	10%	95	+1.4	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
✕Lastings Milledge 2009 · MLB	24	52→59	48→50	51→55	47	260/326/403	144	299	15	20	19%	7%	108	+2.3	264/319/376	112	307	10	18	17%	6%	97	+1.5	264/317/362	98	306	8	19	16%	6%	89	+0.7
●Jeremy Peña 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	51→50	52→55	39	240/297/399	159	312	19	14	29%	5%	95	+1.4	250/296/394	144	302	17	13	23%	5%	93	+1.3	268/323/398	130	314	13	17	18%	6%	102	+1.9
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	47→45	48→50	52→50	41	230/312/373	143	305	15	13	28%	6%	95	+1.4	220/304/371	151	284	18	12	28%	8%	92	+1.2	207/291/353	147	263	19	11	28%	8%	78	+0.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA	23	45→49	50→60	47→50	43	227/296/385	158	295	18	12	29%	7%	91	+1.1	235/306/425	190	295	23	11	28%	7%	106	+2.2	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Vinnie Catricala 2012 · AA	23	51→55	51→55	49→45	44	257/312/423	165	308	18	9	23%	6%	108	+2.3	216/264/333	117	272	13	7	25%	5%	63	-0.8	191/237/285	94	243	11	4	25%	5%	37	-2.1
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→60	45	49	231/306/395	163	263	22	7	22%	8%	98	+1.6	237/300/420	183	287	26	5	27%	7%	102	+1.9	232/287/415	183	287	28	2	29%	6%	94	+0.9
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	46→52	50→55	52→50	39	234/277/394	160	299	18	15	28%	5%	85	+0.7	213/265/357	144	280	16	12	29%	5%	70	-0.3	233/275/409	176	307	23	8	31%	5%	85	+0.3
●Alec Bohm 2020 · AA	23	47→56	50	46→45	49	239/297/393	153	271	17	6	19%	7%	93	+1.3	258/314/383	125	316	13	6	22%	7%	97	+1.5	270/324/418	148	300	16	4	15%	6%	108	+2.2
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→40	52→50	51→55	45	219/286/388	169	275	19	17	28%	8%	88	+0.9	179/253/304	125	255	16	21	35%	8%	53	-1.5	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
●Elijah Dukes 2007 · AAA	23	52	50→55	51→50	48	259/320/420	161	299	17	15	20%	7%	109	+2.4	242/337/416	174	286	19	13	21%	11%	116	+2.8	236/343/411	176	277	18	13	21%	13%	114	+1.7
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→44	52→55	54→50	48	206/295/372	166	284	19	16	33%	10%	88	+0.9	216/301/395	179	269	22	10	27%	10%	96	+1.5	207/293/388	181	246	23	6	26%	10%	89	+0.7
✕Josh Rutledge 2013 · MLB	24	51→58	50	55→50	38	255/291/416	161	312	16	14	24%	4%	96	+1.5	237/287/356	119	300	11	11	24%	5%	79	+0.3	229/285/328	99	297	8	9	24%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Jordan Westburg 2023 · AAA	24	46→50	50→60	50	44	231/298/392	161	310	18	11	30%	8%	94	+1.3	245/301/428	183	302	21	9	25%	6%	104	+2.0	251/304/444	193	297	23	7	24%	6%	107	+1.7
●Luis Urías 2020 · MLB	23	48→58	47→55	47→45	48	237/314/374	137	295	14	6	24%	8%	95	+1.4	241/325/402	161	291	19	6	23%	9%	108	+2.3	232/333/399	167	273	21	3	22%	11%	108	+1.7
✕German Duran 2008 · AA	23	48→50	51→50	49→45	42	247/287/411	164	285	19	10	21%	5%	94	+1.3	222/265/339	117	264	12	7	20%	5%	65	-0.7	206/248/286	80	247	7	3	19%	4%	42	-0.9
✕Gabriel Arias 2023 · MLB	23	50→58	48→50	51→50	43	246/304/383	137	322	15	8	28%	7%	93	+1.3	231/285/376	145	322	15	12	31%	6%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	333	17	16	34%	5%	82	+0.3
●Aledmys Díaz 2015 · AA	24	48→58	47→55	51→45	40	237/285/374	137	304	14	15	27%	5%	83	+0.6	251/303/397	146	289	15	8	18%	6%	96	+1.5	262/313/431	170	280	19	6	14%	6%	105	+1.6