Jace Avina — OGILVIE

Jace AvinaLF Somerset Patriots

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION527 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP272

ISO136

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	119	102	25	4	2	5	12	42	3	2	3	245	342	471	812	225	351	35	10	353	125	+4	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	19	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	149	119	35	8	1	10	15	51	15	2	0	294	436	630	1.066	336	431	34	10	461	198	+17	+0	—	—	+3	2.1
2023	20	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	326	76	22	2	14	56	118	17	10	3	233	373	442	815	209	320	30	14	367	135	+16	+1	—	—	+9	2.6
2024	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	351	86	24	0	10	32	108	8	4	1	245	322	399	721	154	318	27	8	320	102	+1	+0	—	—	+9	1.0
2025	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	194	170	38	11	0	3	19	50	4	2	2	224	316	341	657	118	297	26	10	300	89	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	221	176	52	13	0	8	30	54	9	3	1	295	423	506	929	210	367	24	14	402	158	+15	+0	—	—	+5	2.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	119	106	16	2	1	3	8	61	3	2	3	151	231	274	504	123	281	51	7	227	40	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Blue	—	149	124	21	4	1	6	10	73	15	2	0	169	309	363	672	194	305	49	7	284	78	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	347	53	14	1	10	35	169	17	10	3	153	263	285	548	133	254	42	9	248	54	-22	+1	—	—	+9	-1.3
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	364	63	16	0	7	19	153	8	4	1	173	230	275	505	102	257	39	5	222	36	-30	+0	—	—	+9	-2.1
2025	22	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	194	176	32	9	0	2	13	63	4	2	2	182	254	267	521	85	266	32	7	238	47	-12	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	221	186	44	10	0	7	20	74	9	3	1	237	340	403	743	167	308	33	9	318	101	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	268	231	38	7	2	9	17	134	18	4	3	165	274	329	603	165	322	50	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	268	221	60	12	3	15	27	93	18	4	3	271	395	557	951	285	391	35	10	413	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	347	53	14	1	10	35	169	17	10	3	153	263	285	548	133	256	42	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	326	76	22	2	14	56	118	17	10	3	233	373	442	815	209	320	30	14	367	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	364	63	16	0	7	19	153	8	4	1	173	230	275	505	102	267	39	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	351	86	24	0	10	32	108	8	4	1	245	322	399	721	154	318	27	8	320	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	415	362	76	19	0	9	33	136	13	5	3	210	299	337	636	127	299	33	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	415	346	90	24	0	11	49	104	13	5	3	260	373	425	797	165	332	25	12	355	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	268	231	38	7	2	9	17	134	18	4	3	165	274	329	603	165	294	50	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	344	53	14	1	10	35	169	17	10	3	154	263	288	551	134	254	42	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	367	63	16	0	7	19	153	8	4	1	172	230	272	503	101	257	39	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	415	366	76	19	0	9	33	136	13	5	3	208	299	333	632	126	288	33	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	344	53	14	1	10	35	169	17	10	3	154	263	288	551	134	254	42	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	367	63	16	0	7	19	153	8	4	1	172	230	272	503	101	257	39	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	415	366	76	19	0	9	33	136	13	5	3	208	299	333	632	126	288	33	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	NYY	—	527	474	98	24	3	16	42	151	8	16	6	207	282	371	654	165	265	29	8	283	78	-14	+1	+0	-6	+11	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	NYY	—	527	456	115	29	3	21	60	124	8	16	6	252	349	467	816	215	299	24	11	360	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	NYY	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		269	30	10	285	79	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	NYY	—	537	483	99	24	3	16	43	154	8	16	6	205	281	366	647	161	263	29	8	283	78	-14	+1	+0	-6	+12	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	23%	479	431	91	21	2	14	38	137	7	11	4	211	286	367	652	155	271	29	8	292	84	-9	+1	+0	-5	+10	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	35%	506	453	98	23	2	15	41	142	7	12	4	216	291	375	667	159	273	28	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	-5	+11	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	42%	521	466	101	23	2	16	42	144	8	12	5	217	293	378	670	161	274	28	8	299	89	-7	+0	+0	-6	+11	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	45%	526	470	102	23	2	16	43	145	8	12	5	217	294	377	670	160	274	28	8	300	89	-7	+0	+0	-6	+11	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	47%	525	468	101	23	2	16	44	146	8	12	5	216	294	376	670	160	273	28	8	299	88	-7	+0	-1	-6	+11	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYY	46%	517	462	99	22	2	16	43	145	7	12	4	214	291	374	665	160	272	28	8	297	87	-8	+1	-1	-6	+11	-0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYY	46%	507	452	96	22	2	15	43	143	7	11	4	212	291	369	660	157	270	28	8	294	85	-9	+1	-2	-5	+11	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	23%	110	98	20	5	0	3	9	31	2	2	1	204	284	347	631	143	274	28	8	286	84	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	35%	178	159	35	8	1	6	14	50	3	4	2	220	295	396	692	176	276	28	8	291	87	-3	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	42%	219	196	43	10	1	7	18	61	3	5	2	219	295	388	683	168	276	28	8	294	89	-3	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	45%	236	211	47	11	1	8	20	65	3	5	2	223	299	398	697	175	277	28	8	295	89	-3	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	47%	244	218	48	11	1	8	20	68	4	6	2	220	298	390	687	170	276	28	8	293	88	-3	+0	-0	-3	+5	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYY	46%	240	215	47	11	1	8	20	67	3	5	2	219	294	391	685	172	274	28	8	291	87	-4	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYY	46%	235	210	45	10	1	7	20	66	3	5	2	214	292	371	663	157	273	28	9	288	85	-4	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1462	1307	285	66	6	47	121	408	21	32	13	218	295	386	680	168	277	28	8	292	78	-22	+1	-2	-16	+32	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	127	29	3	21	54	181	9	14	6	219	295	387	682	169	277	28	8	292	78	-10	+1	-1	-7	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5070	4515	919	213	17	143	399	1597	108	105	41	204	284	353	637	150	276	31	8	284	78	-56	+4	-3	-38	+78	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	117	27	2	18	51	205	14	13	5	202	283	349	631	147	275	32	8	284	78	-10	+1	-1	-7	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.2	1,468	44	33	216	289	375	-16	+0	0.4	0.4
/162	664	20	15	-7.1	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jace Avina (OGILVIE)	23	40	50	50	51	203/278/353	150	269	9	8	30%	8%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Buddy Kennedy 2022 · AA	23	43→51	48→45	50	44	220/286/355	135	294	17	12	30%	8%	81	-0.1	223/304/336	113	290	10	8	25%	9%	84	+0.1	227/314/338	111	280	9	4	21%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Clint Frazier 2018 · MLB	23	45→46	48→55	52→50	43	223/278/371	148	292	14	11	28%	7%	82	-0.0	233/295/397	164	301	17	8	27%	7%	95	+0.9	235/306/410	175	299	20	6	27%	8%	98	+0.6
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	36→46	48→60	52→50	39	190/252/328	138	270	16	15	35%	6%	63	-1.4	210/267/353	143	279	14	14	29%	7%	74	-0.6	206/295/413	207	291	28	7	37%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	44→50	52→55	42	198/271/320	122	284	10	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	206/272/329	123	293	11	18	32%	7%	70	-0.8	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	44	202/275/339	137	273	14	17	30%	8%	74	-0.6	192/271/310	118	266	11	17	30%	8%	66	-1.1	166/252/265	99	226	9	19	29%	8%	47	-1.4
✕Wladimir Balentien 2007 · AA	23	40→45	52→55	48→50	39	208/267/373	165	294	20	10	35%	7%	78	-0.3	220/280/385	165	277	20	9	27%	7%	86	+0.3	220/282/388	168	265	20	8	25%	8%	86	+0.2
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA	24	40→43	49→55	53→50	46	203/284/353	150	293	17	13	35%	10%	80	-0.1	215/314/395	180	286	21	10	30%	12%	101	+1.4	209/318/396	187	271	23	9	30%	12%	102	+1.1
✕Aristides Aquino 2017 · A	23	41	50→60	50	37	213/252/369	156	271	17	9	29%	4%	72	-0.7	202/246/362	160	265	20	8	31%	5%	68	-1.0	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	42→44	45→55	49→50	46	211/275/328	117	264	14	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	213/275/347	134	274	15	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Yepez 2021 · AA	23	45→49	44→60	48→45	41	223/275/341	119	293	12	7	28%	6%	74	-0.6	229/288/412	183	270	24	3	25%	7%	95	+1.0	222/281/400	178	258	23	1	24%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Aaron Luna 2010 · AA	23	40→45	50	49→45	46	205/312/364	158	263	16	8	27%	8%	95	+0.9	225/323/366	141	281	15	8	24%	8%	99	+1.2	223/327/361	137	276	16	6	24%	9%	97	+0.7
✕Jabari Henry 2014 · A	23	42→41	46→55	45	49	209/282/340	131	262	12	7	25%	9%	76	-0.4	200/278/360	160	268	19	6	31%	9%	80	-0.1	182/263/345	163	243	21	5	33%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→55	48→55	42	197/259/341	144	266	16	12	32%	7%	68	-1.0	215/261/367	152	281	19	15	30%	5%	75	-0.5	224/265/381	157	284	20	15	28%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2014 · AAA	23	41→46	47→50	48→50	36	213/252/349	136	284	15	14	31%	4%	67	-1.1	222/272/366	144	281	17	13	27%	5%	78	-0.3	219/272/356	137	273	17	13	26%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	201/259/308	107	270	11	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	217/276/340	123	279	13	9	26%	6%	74	-0.5	208/269/326	118	262	13	7	25%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Christian Villanueva 2014 · AA	23	44→46	47→55	43→50	39	221/270/360	139	281	14	9	27%	4%	76	-0.4	207/253/339	132	254	14	4	24%	5%	65	-1.2	223/280/397	174	256	23	3	23%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Sean Bouchard 2019 · A	23	39→44	44→55	48→50	38	198/249/313	115	283	11	13	33%	6%	57	-1.8	206/259/338	132	302	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	223/323/414	192	292	21	16	29%	12%	107	+0.9
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	38→46	48→60	54→50	38	198/249/337	139	281	15	16	35%	6%	63	-1.3	226/295/422	196	298	25	12	32%	8%	101	+1.4	225/303/429	204	283	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	38→39	48→55	49→45	42	193/265/335	142	287	16	9	37%	8%	70	-0.9	197/270/360	163	275	21	7	35%	9%	77	-0.3	202/279/386	184	273	24	7	34%	9%	83	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps