Jace AvinaLF
Somerset Patriots
Age 23
R/R
6'0" / 180 lbs
AA
HR +8%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .266 / .320
PA320
HR8
K%36
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
50→50
SPD
50→50
FLD
50→50
EYE
43↗48
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-3M | $-14M | -$12M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | 2 teams | 268 | 230 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 134 | 18 | 4 | 3 | .170 | .282 | .348 | .630 | .178 | .330 | 50 | 7 | .260 | 58 | -13 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +8 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 399 | 347 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 169 | 17 | 10 | 3 | .156 | .266 | .294 | .560 | .138 | .262 | 42 | 9 | .252 | 51 | -22 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +11 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 397 | 366 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 151 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .167 | .220 | .273 | .493 | .107 | .249 | 38 | 4 | .216 | 24 | -34 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +11 | -2.7 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 415 | 363 | 75 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 137 | 13 | 5 | 3 | .207 | .294 | .339 | .633 | .132 | .291 | 33 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -13 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +12 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 66 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .117 | .185 | .250 | .435 | .133 | .200 | 52 | 6 | .189 | 3 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYY | 254 | 230 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 96 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .178 | .250 | .300 | .550 | .122 | .277 | 38 | 7 | .257 | 55 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.8 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | NYY | 320 | 290 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 130 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .166 | .237 | .290 | .526 | .124 | .260 | 41 | 7 | .243 | 44 | -20 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 8% | NYY | 470 | 422 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 139 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .197 | .274 | .339 | .613 | .142 | .256 | 30 | 8 | .276 | 70 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +13 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 17% | NYY | 501 | 446 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 145 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .202 | .282 | .348 | .630 | .146 | .260 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 75 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +14 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 25% | NYY | 518 | 461 | 94 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 148 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .204 | .285 | .351 | .636 | .148 | .262 | 29 | 8 | .288 | 78 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +15 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 35% | NYY | 524 | 466 | 96 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 149 | 10 | 8 | 2 | .206 | .287 | .354 | .641 | .148 | .263 | 28 | 8 | .289 | 79 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +15 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 40% | NYY | 523 | 464 | 94 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 150 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .203 | .286 | .349 | .635 | .147 | .262 | 29 | 8 | .288 | 78 | -13 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +15 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 44% | NYY | 516 | 458 | 93 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 149 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .203 | .286 | .352 | .637 | .148 | .261 | 29 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -14 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +15 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 52% | NYY | 507 | 450 | 90 | 20 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 149 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .200 | .283 | .342 | .625 | .142 | .260 | 29 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -15 | +1 | -2 | -5 | +14 | -0.7 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 56% | NYY | 494 | 440 | 87 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 147 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .198 | .281 | .336 | .617 | .139 | .258 | 30 | 9 | .279 | 71 | -16 | +1 | -3 | -5 | +14 | -0.9 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB 67% | NYY | 476 | 424 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 144 | 9 | 3 | 0 | .191 | .275 | .323 | .598 | .132 | .256 | 30 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -17 | +1 | -3 | -5 | +13 | -1.2 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB 77% | NYY | 447 | 399 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 138 | 8 | 2 | 0 | .190 | .273 | .321 | .593 | .130 | .254 | 31 | 8 | .268 | 64 | -18 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +13 | -1.5 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB 88% | NYY | 401 | 358 | 66 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 127 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .184 | .266 | .307 | .574 | .123 | .252 | 32 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -19 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +11 | -1.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7110 | 6324 | 1220 | 279 | 15 | 190 | 562 | 2272 | 162 | 83 | 23 | .193 | .276 | .332 | .608 | .139 | .264 | 32 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -262 | +7 | -18 | -76 | +201 | -15.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 578 | 111 | 26 | 1 | 17 | 51 | 208 | 15 | 8 | 2 | .192 | .275 | .329 | .604 | .137 | .263 | 32 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -24 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +18 | -1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 119 | 102 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 3 | .245 | .342 | .471 | .812 | .225 | .351 | 35 | 10 | .353 | 128 | +4 | -1 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | 149 | 119 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 15 | 2 | 0 | .294 | .436 | .630 | 1.066 | .336 | .431 | 34 | 10 | .461 | 211 | +19 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 2.4 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 399 | 326 | 76 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 56 | 118 | 17 | 10 | 3 | .233 | .373 | .442 | .815 | .209 | .320 | 30 | 14 | .367 | 139 | +18 | +1 | — | — | +11 | 3.0 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 397 | 351 | 86 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 108 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .245 | .322 | .399 | .721 | .154 | .318 | 27 | 8 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 194 | 170 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .224 | .316 | .341 | .657 | .118 | .297 | 26 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -3 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 221 | 176 | 52 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 54 | 9 | 3 | 1 | .295 | .423 | .506 | .929 | .210 | .367 | 24 | 14 | .402 | 166 | +17 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 2.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jace Avina (OGILVIE) | 23 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 48 | .192/.266/.320 | .128 | .285 | 8 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Carlos Rincon 2021 · AA |
23 | 37→39 | 50→55 | 46→45 | 40 | .197/.265/.347 | .151 | .284 | 19 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.263/.376 | .164 | .301 | 21 | 6 | 36% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .203/.253/.375 | .171 | .279 | 24 | 4 | 36% | 5% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2023 · AA |
23 | 41→44 | 48→50 | 49→45 | 33 | .201/.255/.341 | .140 | .322 | 16 | 7 | 41% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .210/.267/.348 | .138 | .325 | 16 | 6 | 38% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .201/.258/.333 | .132 | .315 | 15 | 6 | 39% | 6% | 58 | -1.0 |
|
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA |
23 | 38→37 | 49→55 | 49→45 | 41 | .196/.267/.342 | .146 | .295 | 17 | 9 | 38% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .198/.271/.366 | .168 | .280 | 22 | 7 | 36% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .193/.273/.374 | .181 | .256 | 25 | 7 | 34% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Sandro Fabian 2021 · A |
23 | 39→45 | 44→55 | 45 | 38 | .198/.254/.311 | .113 | .271 | 13 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .226/.268/.393 | .167 | .263 | 22 | 4 | 23% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | .223/.272/.390 | .167 | .250 | 20 | 4 | 20% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Joey Curletta 2018 · AA |
24 | 37→47 | 48→55 | 47→45 | 39 | .191/.252/.332 | .141 | .286 | 16 | 6 | 38% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .208/.275/.356 | .148 | .298 | 19 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .201/.272/.346 | .145 | .281 | 20 | 2 | 34% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 |
|
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A |
23 | 42 | 44→50 | 50 | 38 | .206/.263/.332 | .126 | .313 | 11 | 8 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .226/.273/.356 | .130 | .336 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .235/.278/.368 | .133 | .343 | 18 | 1 | 36% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Travis Demeritte 2018 · AA |
23 | 37→43 | 48→60 | 48→50 | 38 | .189/.250/.335 | .146 | .297 | 16 | 9 | 40% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .202/.267/.367 | .165 | .295 | 19 | 7 | 36% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .204/.271/.391 | .188 | .288 | 24 | 7 | 37% | 8% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA |
23 | 39 | 44→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .195/.268/.308 | .113 | .290 | 12 | 13 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.270/.300 | .100 | .307 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .166/.253/.240 | .073 | .276 | 4 | 11 | 37% | 10% | 33 | -0.6 |
|
✕Quincy Latimore 2012 · AA |
23 | 40→42 | 46→50 | 44→50 | 34 | .204/.249/.336 | .132 | .288 | 14 | 6 | 34% | 4% | 58 | -1.2 | .210/.262/.339 | .129 | .285 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .217/.269/.354 | .137 | .281 | 15 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jodd Carter 2019 · AA |
23 | 42→40 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 41 | .210/.267/.320 | .110 | .295 | 12 | 8 | 32% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.274/.330 | .122 | .294 | 14 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .190/.267/.316 | .126 | .265 | 16 | 9 | 33% | 9% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Nellie Rodriguez 2016 · AA |
22 | 39→40 | 48→50 | 47→30 | 41 | .198/.261/.337 | .139 | .288 | 15 | 2 | 36% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .188/.256/.336 | .148 | .306 | 18 | 2 | 42% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .171/.244/.316 | .145 | .286 | 19 | 0 | 45% | 8% | 50 | -1.4 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA |
24 | 42→35 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .203/.282/.321 | .118 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.293/.355 | .159 | .317 | 19 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .180/.284/.345 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 3 | 42% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA |
23 | 43→38 | 49→60 | 52→50 | 33 | .214/.257/.358 | .145 | .326 | 17 | 12 | 39% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .208/.270/.393 | .185 | .289 | 25 | 14 | 36% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .200/.270/.389 | .189 | .255 | 26 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Yu Chang 2019 · AAA |
23 | 40→44 | 48→50 | 48→45 | 39 | .205/.264/.353 | .148 | .287 | 16 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.272/.361 | .144 | .294 | 15 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .213/.268/.374 | .161 | .271 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Patrick Leonard 2016 · AA |
23 | 44→49 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 41 | .214/.277/.333 | .120 | .303 | 11 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .214/.268/.329 | .115 | .314 | 10 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .211/.263/.319 | .108 | .306 | 10 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.0 |
|
✕Richie Shaffer 2015 · AA |
24 | 38→39 | 49→55 | 52→40 | 42 | .200/.259/.348 | .148 | .263 | 16 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .201/.270/.363 | .162 | .278 | 20 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .189/.264/.348 | .159 | .268 | 20 | 4 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jacob Heyward 2019 · A |
23 | 40 | 45→50 | 44→50 | 43 | .202/.275/.325 | .123 | .289 | 13 | 10 | 33% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .193/.283/.322 | .129 | .298 | 14 | 9 | 37% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .164/.260/.293 | .129 | .260 | 17 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 51 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jaylin Davis 2017 · A |
23 | 42→47 | 49→50 | 51→45 | 36 | .205/.267/.351 | .147 | .328 | 17 | 7 | 41% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .210/.262/.342 | .132 | .322 | 15 | 7 | 38% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .218/.284/.381 | .163 | .305 | 21 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2021 · A |
23 | 42→45 | 44→55 | 45 | 36 | .207/.251/.317 | .109 | .301 | 12 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .209/.266/.354 | .145 | .336 | 19 | 7 | 41% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .223/.287/.396 | .173 | .327 | 26 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕John Schuknecht 2017 · A |
23 | 44 | 46→55 | 48→50 | 39 | .217/.274/.354 | .137 | .306 | 13 | 11 | 32% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .174/.239/.276 | .102 | .268 | 10 | 6 | 37% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .124/.196/.206 | .082 | .189 | 10 | 3 | 39% | 6% | 1 | -3.3 |