Bryan Arendt

C Lansing Lugnuts

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AOAK	71	.136/.271/.203	1	0	5	—	.113/.214/.177
2026	23	A+OAK	125	.165/.266/.248	2	2	11	—	.133/.210/.204
2026	23	AOAK	118	.222/.319/.455	6	3	62	—	.176/.257/.363
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBOAK	1	.203/.271/.316	0	0	62	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBOAK	87	.206/.274/.322	2	1	65	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBOAK	154	.208/.277/.326	3	3	67	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%76

Z-Con%73

BB%39

K%31

Chase%30

ISO17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsGrae Kessinger (age 24) · Collin Price (age 24) · Connor Kaiser (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .271 / .316

PA1

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP272

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT27

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	71	59	8	1	0	1	8	20	3	0	0	136	271	203	475	68	184	28	11	234	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	125	109	18	3	0	2	13	35	2	2	1	165	266	248	514	83	219	28	10	243	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Stockton Ports	—	118	99	22	5	0	6	9	26	5	3	0	222	319	455	773	232	225	22	8	329	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	57	45	12	1	0	0	10	13	1	3	0	267	411	289	700	22	364	23	18	332	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	71	62	7	1	0	1	5	27	3	0	0	113	214	177	392	65	173	38	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	125	113	15	2	0	2	9	44	2	2	1	133	210	204	413	71	190	35	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	118	102	18	4	0	5	6	35	5	3	0	176	257	363	619	186	186	30	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	57	49	10	1	0	0	6	19	1	3	0	204	304	224	528	20	285	33	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	71	62	7	1	0	1	5	27	3	0	0	113	214	177	392	65	176	38	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Stockton Ports	—	71	59	8	1	0	1	8	20	3	0	0	136	271	203	475	68	184	28	11	234	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	300	264	42	7	0	6	21	99	8	8	1	159	242	254	496	95	218	33	7	224	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	300	253	52	9	0	8	32	74	8	8	1	206	314	336	650	130	249	25	11	294	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	71	63	7	1	0	1	5	27	3	0	0	111	214	175	389	63	173	38	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	300	268	42	7	0	6	21	99	8	8	1	157	242	250	492	93	206	33	7	224	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	71	63	7	1	0	1	5	27	3	0	0	111	214	175	389	63	173	38	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	300	268	42	7	0	6	21	99	8	8	1	157	242	250	492	93	206	33	7	224	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	350	317	64	12	2	7	25	100	5	6	2	198	266	306	573	109	263	29	7	260	62	-16	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	OAK	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	203	271	316	587	112	272	0	0	266	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	30%	287	261	52	10	1	6	20	81	4	5	1	200	269	313	582	113	265	28	7	264	65	-12	+1	+0	+5	+6	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	OAK	44%	349	316	64	12	2	7	25	98	5	6	2	202	272	317	589	115	266	28	7	267	67	-14	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	OAK	49%	380	344	70	13	2	8	28	106	5	6	2	204	273	319	592	116	267	28	7	268	68	-15	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	397	360	74	14	2	8	29	110	5	6	2	204	273	319	592	115	267	28	7	268	68	-15	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	OAK	51%	400	362	74	14	2	8	30	111	5	5	2	203	273	317	590	114	267	28	8	267	67	-16	+0	-1	+7	+9	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	OAK	51%	400	363	73	13	2	8	29	112	5	5	2	200	269	309	579	109	265	28	7	262	64	-17	+0	-2	+7	+9	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	30%	87	80	16	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	206	274	322	597	116	274	29	7	270	65	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	OAK	44%	154	140	29	6	1	3	11	43	2	3	1	208	277	326	603	118	275	28	7	272	67	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	OAK	49%	186	167	35	7	1	4	14	52	3	3	1	209	278	328	607	119	276	28	8	274	68	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	205	185	39	8	1	4	15	57	3	3	1	209	279	328	607	119	276	28	7	274	68	-8	+0	-0	+4	+4	0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	OAK	51%	206	186	39	8	1	4	15	57	3	3	1	209	278	326	604	117	276	28	7	273	67	-8	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	OAK	51%	206	186	39	8	1	4	15	58	3	3	1	206	274	318	593	112	274	28	7	268	64	-9	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1044	944	197	40	5	21	76	292	15	16	5	209	278	328	607	120	277	28	7	272	61	-42	+1	-2	+19	+23	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	123	25	3	13	47	182	9	10	3	209	278	328	606	119	278	28	7	272	61	-26	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2834	2558	501	92	12	57	205	816	44	45	13	196	267	308	575	112	261	29	7	259	61	-100	+3	-4	+44	+53	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	115	21	3	13	47	187	10	10	3	196	267	308	575	112	261	29	7	259	61	-26	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,045	21	16	203	270	317	+19	+12	0.6	0.6
/162	664	13	10	+11.9	+7.6	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryan Arendt (OGILVIE)	24	27	40	47	47	196/264/304	108	263	5	4	29%	7%	62	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Collin Price 2024 · A	24	37→36	43→50	43→45	44	186/262/299	114	266	11	4	33%	9%	60	-1.6	190/264/324	134	268	16	7	33%	8%	67	-1.1	176/256/317	141	243	18	8	34%	8%	60	-1.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	189/265/291	102	263	10	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	193/262/310	117	276	12	11	32%	8%	62	-1.4	179/257/294	115	257	12	17	33%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Dustin Garneau 2012 · A	24	37→38	47→50	44→45	47	193/265/333	141	235	14	6	24%	8%	69	-0.9	198/264/324	126	228	12	5	19%	7%	66	-1.1	178/254/344	166	215	21	0	29%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/278/294	103	260	10	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	197/274/326	129	246	14	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	183/262/322	139	217	16	12	24%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A	24	42	43→40	49→30	40	209/255/316	107	273	11	8	28%	6%	59	-1.6	242/294/324	82	299	6	4	20%	5%	76	-0.4	241/298/321	80	287	7	1	18%	5%	75	-0.2
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Shane Muntz 2023 · A	24	39	43→45	48→45	43	191/272/299	108	276	10	5	33%	8%	64	-1.3	201/273/311	110	301	11	7	34%	7%	67	-1.1	174/253/281	107	263	11	5	36%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	37	44→45	42→30	41	190/246/305	115	260	12	4	31%	7%	55	-2.0	219/258/326	107	295	10	3	28%	5%	63	-1.4	186/243/289	103	304	11	2	40%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	38	46→45	43→45	38	191/260/319	128	284	14	3	36%	6%	64	-1.3	204/280/315	111	273	11	6	28%	7%	70	-0.8	198/280/300	102	256	10	6	25%	7%	65	-0.8
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Gavin Collins 2019 · A	24	39	45	41→40	38	202/250/329	127	261	13	4	28%	5%	61	-1.5	208/263/319	111	257	11	4	23%	6%	64	-1.3	194/267/303	108	239	14	1	24%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Jay Brossman 2009 · A	24	41→36	43→45	46→45	40	206/255/316	110	267	10	9	27%	5%	61	-1.5	197/247/320	123	252	13	8	27%	5%	58	-1.7	178/226/306	128	217	16	7	26%	5%	46	-0.7
✕Daniel Vellojin 2024 · AA	24	39	43→45	45	49	192/277/302	110	267	11	6	30%	10%	66	-1.1	177/253/266	89	250	8	6	31%	8%	49	-2.4	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	39	42→50	50→40	39	193/251/299	106	278	10	5	33%	6%	55	-1.9	211/268/337	126	277	13	5	28%	6%	70	-0.8	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6

Bryan Arendt

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps