Bryan Arendt

C Lansing Lugnuts
Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2351ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202522AOAK71.136/.271/.203105—.113/.214/.177
202623A+/A/ROKOAK300.206/.314/.3368837—.163/.246/.270
2027PROJMLE24MLBOAK1.203/.271/.3160062-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBOAK55.206/.274/.32211650.0
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBOAK105.208/.277/.32622670.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Whiff%76
Z-Con%73
BB%39
K%31
Chase%30
ISO17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsGrae Kessinger (age 24) · Connor Kaiser (age 24) · Dylan Neuse (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .271 / .316
PA1
HR0
K%28
BB%7
BABIP272
ISO113
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT27
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE47
scouting grade only
SPEED47
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202522 AStockton Ports — 7159 8101 8203 00 136271203475 68184 2811 234 5 — — — — — —
202623 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 125109 18302 13352 21 165266248514 83219 2810 243 11 — — — — — —
202623 AStockton Ports — 11899 22506 9265 30 222319455773 232225 228 329 62 — — — — — —
202623 ROKACL Athletics — 5745 12100 10131 30 267411289700 22364 2318 332 44 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 A MLEStockton Ports — 7162 7101 5273 00 113214177392 65173 387 176 5 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 125113 15202 9442 21 133210204413 71190 357 185 11 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEStockton Ports — 118102 18405 6355 30 176257363619 186186 305 260 62 — — — — — —
202623 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 5749 10100 6191 30 204304224528 20285 3311 233 44 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEStockton Ports — 7162 7101 5273 00 113214177392 65176 387 176 5 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWStockton Ports — 7159 8101 8203 00 136271203475 68184 2811 234 5 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE3 teams — 300264 42706 21998 81 159242254496 95218 337 224 37 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW3 teams — 300253 52908 32748 81 206314336650 130249 2511 294 37 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEStockton Ports — 7163 7101 5273 00 111214175389 63173 387 176 5 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE3 teams — 300268 42706 21998 81 157242250492 93206 337 224 37 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A MLEStockton Ports — 7163 7101 5273 00 111214175389 63173 387 176 5 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE3 teams — 300268 42706 21998 81 157242250492 93206 337 224 37 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEOAK 0% 350317 641227 251005 62 198266306573 109263 297 260 62 -16 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXOAK 0% 11 0000 000 00 203271316587 112272 00 266 62 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEOAK 30% 180162 33614 13513 31 200269313582 113265 287 264 65 -8 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.0
202926 MLB MLEOAK 44% 237215 43815 17663 41 202272317589 115266 287 267 67 -9 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
203027 MLB MLEOAK 49% 272246 50916 20764 41 204273319592 116267 287 268 68 -11 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.1
203128 MLB MLEOAK 52% 292265 541016 21814 41 204273319592 115267 287 268 68 -11 +0 -1 +5 +6 -0.0
203229 MLB MLEOAK 51% 296268 541016 22824 41 203273317590 114267 287 267 67 -12 +0 -1 +5 +6 -0.1
203330 MLB MLEOAK 51% 296268 541016 22834 42 200269309579 109265 287 262 64 -13 +0 -2 +5 +6 -0.3
202825 MLB CTXOAK 30% 5550 10201 4161 10 206274322597 116274 297 270 65 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202926 MLB CTXOAK 44% 10595 20412 8291 20 208277326603 118275 288 272 67 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.0
203027 MLB CTXOAK 49% 133120 26513 10372 21 209278328607 119276 288 274 68 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
203128 MLB CTXOAK 52% 150136 29613 11422 21 209279328607 119276 287 274 68 -6 +0 -0 +3 +3 -0.0
203229 MLB CTXOAK 51% 152138 29613 11422 21 209278326604 117276 287 273 67 -6 +0 -1 +3 +3 -0.1
203330 MLB CTXOAK 51% 152138 29613 11432 21 206274318593 112274 287 268 64 -7 +0 -1 +3 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 747677 14329515 5520910 114 211280335616 124279 287 272 60 -30 +1 -2 +13 +16 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 12425413 481829 103 211280333613 122279 287 272 60 -26 +1 -2 +12 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 20991891 36566743 15260935 349 193266304569 111257 297 257 60 -70 +2 -4 +31 +37 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 11220213 4718911 113 191264299563 108255 297 257 60 -26 +1 -2 +12 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 125 PAwOBA .239 → .185 (−54)K% 28.0% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.00%÷1.000×1.270——35.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.40%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9987.37%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.790—×0.9981.26%
Singles /BIP17.57%÷1.000×0.920×0.972×0.99815.67%
Doubles /BIP4.05%÷1.000×0.810×0.972×0.9983.18%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.972×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9982.16%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .239 → .185; ISO .083 → .062; BABIP .219 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AStockton Ports · 118 PAwOBA .331 → .260 (−71)K% 22.0% → 30.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.03%÷1.000×1.360——29.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.63%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9905.21%
HBP% /PA4.24%—×0.780—×0.9903.27%
Singles /BIP15.07%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×0.99013.04%
Doubles /BIP6.85%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×0.9905.35%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP8.22%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9906.51%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .331 → .260; ISO .232 → .182; BABIP .225 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Athletics · 57 PAwOBA .331 → .233 (−98)K% 22.8% → 32.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.81%÷1.000×1.440——32.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.54%÷1.000×0.620—×0.96510.50%
HBP% /PA1.75%—×0.720—×0.9651.22%
Singles /BIP34.38%÷1.000×0.820—×0.96527.20%
Doubles /BIP3.12%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9652.17%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9650.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .331 → .233; ISO .022 → .015; BABIP .364 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AStockton Ports · 71 PAwOBA .228 → .176 (−53)K% 28.2% → 37.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.17%÷1.011×1.360——37.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.27%÷1.029×0.690——7.55%
HBP% /PA4.23%—×0.780——3.30%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷1.003×0.920×1.048—14.78%
Doubles /BIP2.56%÷0.990×0.830×1.048—2.25%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.048—0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.56%÷1.113×0.800——1.84%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .228 → .176; ISO .068 → .048; BABIP .184 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).