Hao-Yu Lee

2B Detroit Tigers

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 190 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

MLB40-MANFG #235Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	AADET	386	.298/.368/.488	12	16	118	—	.289/.339/.459
2025	22	AAADET	579	.243/.345/.406	14	22	91	—	.229/.308/.375
2026	23	MLBDET	364	.264/.325/.424	10	3	112	1.3
2027PROJ	24	MLBDET	380	.241/.308/.387	10	5	99	0.9
2028PROJ92% MLB	25	MLBDET	564	.242/.310/.390	15	8	100	1.4
2029PROJ92% MLB	26	MLBDET	553	.242/.310/.389	15	7	100	1.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3 · Next 3 projected WAR 3.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$4M2030Arb-2$7M2031Arb-3$9M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Speed66

Avg EV55

Barrel%52

xwOBA44

Bat Spd28

Form.247/.331/.407 ▲ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .245/.310/.396

CompsMiguel Vargas (age 24) · Connor Norby (age 24) · Henry Davis (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .308 / .387

PA380

HR10

SB5

K%23

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO142

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 49 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT49

xAVG

290.234

POWER49

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

5589.5

Bat Spd

2869.0

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED48

Sprint

6628.1

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%22%▲21% over 72 PA (45d) · proj 23%

BB%11%▲▲13% over 122 PA (60d) · proj 8%

ISO.159·.171 over 105 AB (60d) · proj .151

HR/BB4.1%·4.1% over 74 BBE (60d) · proj 4.1%

BABIP.298·.310 over 71 BIP (60d) · proj .297

SLASH.247/.331/.407▲proj .245/.310/.396

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$9M	+$8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+1.3	$9M	+$6M
2030	Arb-2	$7M	+1.2	$8M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$9M	+1.0	$6M	+$0.1M
Totals		$22M		$42M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	25	22	8	2	2	1	3	5	0	0	0	364	440	773	1.213	409	438	20	12	507	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	40	35	9	3	1	1	5	9	0	3	0	257	350	486	836	229	320	22	12	366	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	302	258	73	11	1	7	36	57	7	10	7	283	385	415	800	132	338	19	12	362	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	317	275	76	13	2	6	32	62	8	16	5	276	368	404	772	127	335	20	10	348	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	59	49	13	2	0	1	9	12	0	1	1	265	379	367	747	102	324	20	15	339	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	342	102	19	5	12	33	69	5	16	1	298	368	488	857	190	337	18	9	373	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	497	121	23	8	14	65	121	12	22	5	243	345	406	751	163	292	21	11	336	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	364	330	87	19	2	10	30	87	0	3	2	264	325	424	749	161	326	24	8	330	112	+5	-0	-2	+2	+8	1.3
2026	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	63	56	13	2	0	3	6	13	1	0	1	232	317	429	746	196	250	21	10	333	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	364	330	87	19	2	10	30	87	0	3	2	264	325	424	749	161	326	24	8	330	109	+4	-0	-2	+2	+8	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	25	23	5	1	1	1	2	7	0	0	0	217	280	478	758	261	337	28	8	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	40	37	7	2	1	1	3	12	0	3	0	189	250	378	628	189	277	30	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	302	270	66	9	1	6	24	78	7	10	7	244	322	352	674	107	317	26	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	317	283	69	11	1	6	24	78	8	16	5	244	321	353	674	110	305	25	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	353	102	17	5	11	22	83	5	16	1	289	339	459	798	170	338	22	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	515	118	21	9	12	47	135	12	22	5	229	308	375	683	146	283	23	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	364	331	88	19	2	10	29	87	0	3	2	266	325	426	751	160	326	24	8	334	112	+5	-0	-2	+2	+8	1.3
2026	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	63	58	12	2	0	2	4	16	1	0	1	207	270	345	615	138	234	25	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	25	23	5	1	1	1	2	7	0	0	0	217	280	478	758	261	267	28	8	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	25	22	8	2	2	1	3	5	0	0	0	364	440	773	1.213	409	438	20	12	507	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	342	307	74	12	2	7	27	89	7	13	7	241	317	362	678	121	316	26	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	342	293	82	14	2	8	41	66	7	13	7	280	381	423	804	143	336	19	12	363	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	376	337	82	13	2	7	28	93	8	17	6	243	316	356	672	113	312	25	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	376	324	89	15	2	7	41	74	8	17	6	275	370	398	768	123	333	20	11	347	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	353	102	17	5	11	22	83	5	16	1	289	339	459	798	170	343	22	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	342	102	19	5	12	33	69	5	16	1	298	368	488	857	190	337	18	9	373	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	515	118	21	9	12	47	135	12	22	5	229	308	375	683	146	284	23	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	497	121	23	8	14	65	121	12	22	5	243	345	406	751	163	292	21	11	336	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	427	389	100	21	2	13	33	103	1	3	3	257	317	422	738	165	315	24	8	324	106	+3	-1	-2	+2	+9	1.2
2026	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	427	386	100	21	2	13	36	100	1	3	3	259	324	425	749	166	315	23	8	330	106	+3	-1	-2	+2	+9	1.2
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	25	23	5	1	1	1	2	7	0	0	0	217	280	478	758	261	337	28	8	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	342	305	74	12	2	7	27	89	7	13	7	243	317	364	681	121	312	26	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	376	337	82	13	2	7	28	93	8	17	6	243	316	356	672	113	305	25	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	356	102	17	5	11	22	83	5	16	1	287	339	455	795	169	338	22	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	515	118	21	9	12	47	135	12	22	5	229	308	375	683	146	283	23	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	427	390	100	21	2	13	33	103	1	3	3	256	317	421	737	164	313	24	8	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	356	102	17	5	11	22	83	5	16	1	287	339	455	795	169	338	22	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	515	118	21	9	12	47	135	12	22	5	229	308	375	683	146	283	23	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	427	390	100	21	2	13	33	103	1	3	3	256	317	421	737	164	313	24	8	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	DET	100%	380	344	85	16	2	11	31	88	2	5	1	246	313	396	709	151	297	23	8	315	99	-0	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	DET	100%	380	344	82	15	2	10	31	88	2	5	1	241	308	387	695	146	292	23	8	310	99	-0	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	92%	613	554	137	25	4	18	50	141	4	8	2	246	314	399	713	153	297	23	8	317	100	+0	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	DET	92%	601	542	133	25	3	17	50	138	4	8	2	246	314	399	713	153	297	23	8	317	100	+0	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	DET	92%	589	531	130	24	3	17	49	136	4	7	2	245	313	396	709	151	296	23	8	315	99	-0	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	DET	92%	577	521	126	23	3	16	48	135	3	5	1	243	311	392	702	149	295	23	8	312	98	-2	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	DET	92%	565	511	123	23	3	15	46	134	3	3	1	241	308	385	693	145	294	24	8	309	95	-3	+0	-3	+2	+12	0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	DET	92%	554	501	119	22	3	14	45	133	3	1	1	237	304	377	681	140	292	24	8	304	92	-5	-0	-4	+2	+12	0.5
2034	31	MLB MLE	DET	92%	405	367	86	16	2	10	33	99	2	1	0	233	299	367	666	134	289	24	8	298	88	-6	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.0
2035	32	MLB MLE	DET	92%	386	350	80	14	2	9	31	96	2	1	0	227	292	354	646	126	284	25	8	290	82	-8	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	92%	564	509	123	23	3	15	46	130	4	8	2	242	310	390	699	148	292	23	8	311	100	+0	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	DET	92%	553	499	120	22	3	15	46	127	3	7	2	242	310	389	699	148	292	23	8	311	100	+0	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	DET	92%	542	489	118	22	3	15	45	125	3	7	2	240	309	387	695	146	291	23	8	310	99	-0	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	DET	92%	531	479	115	21	3	14	44	124	3	5	1	239	307	382	689	143	290	23	8	307	98	-2	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	DET	92%	520	469	111	20	3	13	43	123	3	3	1	236	304	376	680	140	289	24	8	303	95	-3	+0	-3	+2	+11	0.8
2033	30	MLB CTX	DET	92%	510	460	108	20	2	13	42	122	3	1	1	233	300	368	668	135	287	24	8	299	92	-5	-0	-3	+2	+11	0.4
2034	31	MLB CTX	DET	92%	373	338	78	14	2	9	30	91	2	1	0	229	295	359	654	130	284	24	8	293	88	-5	+0	-4	+1	+8	0.0
2035	32	MLB CTX	DET	92%	355	323	73	13	2	8	28	88	1	1	0	223	289	346	634	122	280	25	8	285	82	-8	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4312	3896	933	174	23	112	354	1017	22	36	11	239	306	382	689	143	294	24	8	306	96	-18	+3	-23	+16	+93	7.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	140	26	3	17	53	153	3	5	2	239	304	380	684	141	292	24	8	306	96	-3	+0	-4	+2	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6805	6145	1500	273	46	178	542	1610	60	110	32	244	312	390	702	146	301	24	8	310	96	-21	+4	-27	+18	+109	8.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	143	26	4	17	52	154	6	11	3	244	312	388	701	145	300	24	8	310	96	-3	+0	-3	+2	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Jeimer Candelariolast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,576 PA	5.4	3,576	110	19	237	316	412	+8	-5	12.7	13.0
/162	664	20	4	+1.6	-0.9	2.4	pk7: 13
#3Jim Lefebvre'65-'72 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,417 PA	5.1	3,417	74	8	250*	327*	411*	+11	-10	13.0	13.0
/162	664	14	2	+2.1	-2.0	2.5	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.1	4,691	127	40	244	307	391	+17	-15	13.0	12.1
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	-2.1	1.8	pk7: 11
#4Daryl Spencer'52-'63 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,206 PA	6.3	4,206	105	13	236*	321*	384*	+30	-4	11.2	11.7
/162	664	17	2	+4.8	-0.6	1.8	pk7: 12
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Don Wert'63-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,346 PA	6.5	4,346	77	22	251*	323*	379*	+16	-20	6.5	7.2
/162	664	12	3	+2.5	-3.1	1.0	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hao-Yu Lee (OGILVIE)	24	45→49	47→49	45→48	53	243/310/393	150	297	11	5	23%	8%	99	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Miguel Vargas 2024 · MLB	24	48→54	49→55	52→50	53	240/320/398	158	282	16	12	21%	10%	103	+1.6	226/321/395	169	261	18	12	20%	11%	103	+1.6	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Connor Norby 2024 · AAA	24	48→51	50→55	48→50	44	242/302/398	155	309	17	10	27%	7%	97	+1.1	248/313/406	158	334	18	13	29%	8%	103	+1.5	247/320/404	157	334	17	14	30%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Henry Davis 2024 · MLB	24	47	51→50	46→50	49	236/325/396	160	295	19	13	26%	9%	106	+1.8	209/290/352	143	263	18	10	27%	8%	83	+0.1	186/269/319	134	227	18	8	26%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Gerald Laird 2004 · MLB	24	51→47	49→50	51→50	51	251/329/407	156	303	16	9	22%	9%	109	+2.0	244/303/386	142	295	15	9	22%	7%	95	+0.9	254/306/408	154	305	16	10	22%	6%	99	+0.6
✕Aaron Luna 2011 · AAA	24	44→46	49→50	50→45	50	221/334/375	154	272	16	7	24%	9%	105	+1.7	234/324/374	140	297	16	9	25%	8%	101	+1.4	233/321/367	134	297	17	8	26%	7%	97	+0.6
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2017 · MLB	24	52→56	47→50	46→45	47	259/305/397	138	297	15	5	19%	6%	97	+1.1	244/296/388	144	291	16	3	21%	7%	93	+0.8	232/284/372	140	280	17	1	23%	6%	84	+0.1
●Luis Urías 2021 · MLB	24	49→59	47→55	46→45	48	241/319/380	139	306	14	7	25%	8%	99	+1.3	237/328/398	161	282	19	5	22%	10%	107	+1.9	228/328/385	157	271	19	3	22%	11%	105	+1.3
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2021 · MLB	24	53→57	48→50	53→50	47	259/318/416	157	314	14	11	22%	7%	107	+1.8	254/311/391	137	314	13	15	22%	7%	98	+1.2	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Jordan Westburg 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	50→60	50	45	233/304/391	158	314	16	11	30%	8%	97	+1.1	248/305/429	181	306	21	9	25%	6%	105	+1.7	254/308/447	193	302	23	7	24%	6%	110	+1.6
●Luis Campusano 2023 · MLB	24	48→56	47→50	48→30	45	240/294/371	131	293	15	3	23%	6%	88	+0.4	259/315/408	149	296	18	3	19%	7%	104	+1.6	260/336/420	160	301	19	1	20%	10%	113	+1.4
●Alec Bohm 2021 · MLB	24	54→56	48→50	44→45	50	266/326/414	148	308	15	6	19%	8%	109	+2.0	262/313/382	120	319	12	6	21%	7%	97	+1.1	273/325/420	147	304	15	4	15%	6%	111	+2.0
●Khalil Greene 2004 · MLB	24	47→53	51→60	45	45	237/300/403	166	294	18	8	26%	7%	97	+1.1	254/315/425	171	290	18	6	18%	7%	108	+1.9	252/315/425	173	286	18	6	18%	7%	109	+1.7
✕Haydn McGeary 2024 · AA	24	48	47→50	46→45	48	234/313/369	135	313	15	7	28%	9%	95	+0.9	204/272/316	112	311	13	8	36%	8%	67	-1.1	171/234/291	120	258	16	8	39%	7%	47	-1.7
●Jonathan India 2022 · MLB	25	51→54	50	49→50	53	252/351/414	163	314	17	11	24%	10%	119	+2.7	248/341/395	147	300	16	11	21%	10%	111	+2.1	238/339/373	135	284	14	9	20%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Luke Hughes 2009 · AAA	24	51→54	47→50	50→45	42	250/299/390	140	321	15	7	26%	6%	94	+0.9	229/284/373	144	287	15	7	25%	6%	84	+0.2	207/269/334	128	263	13	6	26%	7%	70	-0.6
✕Joey Ortiz 2023 · AAA	25	49→57	46→50	52→50	45	243/295/381	138	292	13	8	21%	6%	90	+0.6	248/307/382	134	301	11	12	20%	7%	95	+0.9	243/310/366	123	286	11	14	18%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Miguel Amaya 2024 · MLB	25	47→43	50	49→40	47	230/327/387	157	309	17	5	29%	9%	105	+1.7	233/302/374	141	280	15	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	231/300/364	133	275	15	0	21%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Yairo Muñoz 2019 · MLB	24	51→54	47→50	47→55	42	254/295/388	135	307	15	13	22%	5%	92	+0.7	262/300/381	119	319	12	18	21%	5%	91	+0.7	270/297/369	99	322	9	23	19%	3%	85	+0.1
●Brendan Harris 2005 · MLB	24	44→54	47→50	49→45	47	223/286/361	138	258	15	8	20%	7%	82	+0.0	252/305/383	131	301	13	8	20%	6%	94	+0.9	269/330/404	135	325	11	4	20%	7%	108	+1.6
✕Addison Russell 2018 · MLB	24	46→52	52→55	47→50	46	238/302/409	171	285	20	5	24%	7%	99	+1.3	240/308/381	141	293	16	6	23%	8%	95	+1.0	238/309/362	124	293	15	5	23%	8%	92	+0.5

Hao-Yu Lee

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps