Andy Blake — OGILVIE

Andy BlakeSS Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 25 R/R 6'4" / 200 lbs A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 246 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .263 / .313

PA21

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	77	68	16	2	0	3	8	15	1	3	1	235	325	397	722	162	260	19	10	326	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	22	ROK	ACL Angels	—	23	22	7	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	1	318	348	500	848	182	333	13	4	373	139	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	23	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	50	45	9	0	0	2	4	12	1	2	1	200	280	333	613	133	226	24	8	280	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	23	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	189	165	22	1	1	3	19	44	1	9	0	133	227	206	433	73	158	23	10	204	24	-17	+2	—	—	+4	-1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	77	71	14	2	0	2	5	20	1	3	1	197	260	310	570	113	227	26	6	249	55	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	23	22	6	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	1	273	304	455	759	182	273	22	4	278	74	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	23	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	50	46	8	0	0	2	3	16	1	2	1	174	240	304	544	130	196	32	6	218	34	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	23	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	189	172	19	1	1	3	12	60	1	9	0	110	173	180	353	70	135	32	6	151	-12	-25	+2	—	—	+4	-2.0
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	100	93	18	2	0	3	6	24	1	3	2	194	250	312	562	118	227	24	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	100	90	23	3	0	4	9	18	1	3	2	256	330	422	752	167	279	18	9	337	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	239	218	26	1	1	4	15	76	2	11	1	119	183	188	371	69	157	32	6	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	239	210	31	1	1	5	23	56	2	11	1	148	238	233	472	86	172	23	10	220	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	100	93	18	2	0	3	6	24	1	3	2	194	250	312	562	118	238	24	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	239	220	26	1	1	4	15	76	2	11	1	118	183	186	369	68	148	32	6	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	100	93	18	2	0	3	6	24	1	3	2	194	250	312	562	118	238	24	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	239	220	26	1	1	4	15	76	2	11	1	118	183	186	369	68	148	32	6	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	21	20	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	200	238	250	488	50	260	29	5	262	63	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	30%	313	285	60	11	2	7	22	82	3	6	2	211	274	337	611	126	263	26	7	269	68	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	42%	349	317	67	12	2	8	25	91	4	7	2	211	277	338	615	126	265	26	7	273	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	372	338	71	13	2	8	27	97	4	7	2	210	276	331	608	121	266	26	7	275	72	-12	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	LAA	49%	378	343	72	13	2	8	28	99	4	7	2	210	277	329	607	120	266	26	7	274	72	-13	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	LAA	50%	381	346	72	13	2	8	28	101	4	6	2	208	275	327	602	118	265	27	7	272	70	-14	+0	-2	+4	+8	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAA	30%	95	87	17	3	0	2	7	25	1	2	0	195	263	299	562	103	263	26	7	261	68	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	42%	146	133	28	5	1	3	10	38	2	3	1	211	276	331	607	120	265	26	7	266	71	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	177	160	34	6	1	4	13	46	2	3	1	212	280	338	618	125	266	26	7	267	72	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	LAA	49%	186	168	35	6	1	4	14	49	2	3	1	208	277	327	605	119	266	26	8	267	72	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	LAA	50%	191	173	36	6	1	4	14	50	2	3	1	208	275	324	599	116	265	26	7	264	70	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	795	721	150	26	4	17	58	208	9	14	4	208	275	326	601	118	266	26	7	265	62	-28	+1	-2	+9	+17	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	122	21	3	14	47	170	7	11	3	207	273	324	597	117	265	26	7	265	62	-23	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2153	1960	390	66	11	46	152	576	22	47	13	199	264	314	579	115	255	27	7	260	62	-64	+3	-4	+19	+39	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	118	20	3	14	46	174	7	14	4	199	266	314	580	115	255	27	7	260	62	-23	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.2	796	18	15	210	273	331	+9	+6	0.4	0.4
/162	664	15	12	+7.1	+5.0	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Blake (OGILVIE)	25	30	40	55	43	201/263/313	112	260	5	5	27%	7%	63	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	38→40	44→50	51→50	39	193/251/307	114	272	12	15	33%	6%	57	-1.8	199/261/336	137	306	16	11	38%	7%	68	-1.0	179/258/334	155	270	19	6	39%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	37→35	45→50	51→55	39	190/251/306	117	268	13	16	34%	6%	57	-1.8	204/278/330	126	297	13	15	34%	8%	73	-0.6	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	49→45	39	205/249/331	126	254	13	8	25%	4%	61	-1.5	209/262/319	110	263	11	9	24%	5%	63	-1.3	191/247/278	87	234	9	6	22%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2012 · AAA	26	40	44→40	51→50	43	205/266/313	108	265	13	14	27%	7%	63	-1.3	218/256/309	91	276	10	11	24%	4%	59	-1.7	199/234/276	76	254	10	9	26%	3%	39	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	38	46→45	46→40	39	196/258/318	122	283	14	4	35%	7%	63	-1.4	207/287/317	110	285	12	5	29%	9%	74	-0.6	195/283/285	90	265	9	2	28%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Óscar Hernández 2018 · MLB	25	36	45→50	49→40	41	188/238/307	119	236	14	5	27%	6%	52	-2.2	189/241/291	102	247	10	5	27%	6%	49	-2.4	162/215/244	83	211	8	1	27%	5%	27	-1.2
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	185/248/306	121	260	15	19	34%	7%	56	-1.9	181/262/305	124	259	14	22	34%	8%	62	-1.4	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Durán 2023 · AAA	25	37	48→50	47→45	37	199/236/338	139	252	16	4	28%	4%	59	-1.7	221/264/365	144	279	16	5	26%	5%	75	-0.5	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/280/293	102	262	10	6	29%	9%	65	-1.2	199/277/327	128	250	14	10	25%	7%	72	-0.7	186/267/323	137	222	16	12	24%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Trent Giambrone 2019 · AA	25	41	46→45	48→55	42	213/264/338	125	266	15	16	26%	6%	69	-0.9	194/252/324	130	265	15	16	32%	7%	61	-1.5	161/224/262	101	227	11	16	33%	7%	35	-2.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps