Andy Blake — OGILVIE

Andy BlakeSS Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 25 R/R 6'4" / 200 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 246 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .264 / .320

PA246

HR5

SB5

K%27

BB%7

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	100	94	20	3	0	3	5	24	1	3	2	213	260	340	600	128	254	24	5	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	100	90	23	3	0	4	9	18	1	3	2	256	330	422	752	167	279	18	9	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	239	218	27	1	1	5	15	76	2	11	1	124	187	206	394	83	158	32	6	170	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	239	210	31	1	1	5	23	56	2	11	1	148	238	233	472	86	172	23	10	220	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	LAA	—	246	224	45	8	1	5	17	66	3	5	1	201	266	312	579	112	261	27	7	265	61	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	LAA	30%	313	285	60	11	2	7	22	83	3	6	2	211	274	337	611	126	264	27	7	272	66	-12	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2028	27	MLB	LAA	42%	349	317	67	12	2	8	25	92	4	7	2	211	277	338	615	126	266	26	7	276	69	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2029	28	MLB	LAA	48%	372	338	72	13	2	9	27	97	4	7	2	213	279	343	622	130	267	26	7	277	70	-12	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.2
2030	29	MLB	LAA	49%	378	343	73	13	2	9	28	99	4	7	2	213	280	341	621	128	268	26	7	277	70	-13	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.1
2027	26	MLB	LAA	30%	95	87	17	3	0	2	7	25	1	2	0	195	263	299	562	103	263	26	7	263	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	LAA	42%	146	132	28	5	1	3	11	38	2	3	1	212	283	333	616	121	265	26	8	267	62	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	28	MLB	LAA	48%	177	160	34	6	1	4	13	46	2	3	1	212	280	338	618	125	266	26	7	268	63	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2030	29	MLB	LAA	49%	186	168	35	6	1	4	14	49	2	3	1	208	277	327	605	119	267	26	8	268	63	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	604	547	114	20	3	13	45	158	7	11	3	208	277	327	604	119	266	26	7	267	62	-26	+1	-1	+6	+17	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	123	22	3	14	48	170	8	12	3	209	278	328	605	119	267	26	7	267	62	-28	+1	-1	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	1997	1819	364	61	10	46	139	537	21	46	12	200	265	321	585	120	255	27	7	261	58	-95	+4	-2	+21	+57	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	118	20	3	15	45	175	7	15	4	199	264	319	583	120	254	27	7	261	58	-31	+1	-1	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	77	68	16	2	0	3	8	15	1	3	1	235	325	397	722	162	260	19	10	326	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	22	ROK	ACL Angels	—	23	22	7	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	1	318	348	500	848	182	333	13	4	373	144	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	50	45	9	0	0	2	4	12	1	2	1	200	280	333	613	133	226	24	8	280	73	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	23	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	189	165	22	1	1	3	19	44	1	9	0	133	227	206	433	73	158	23	10	204	14	-18	+2	—	—	+5	-1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	605	14	12	212	275	338	+6	+6	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	16	13	212	275	338	+7.1	+6.6	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Blake (OGILVIE)	25	31	41	55	43	202/264/320	117	261	5	5	27%	7%	61	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	39	47→50	49→45	39	203/247/337	133	251	15	8	26%	4%	57	-1.2	206/258/325	119	258	13	9	25%	5%	59	-1.1	184/241/285	100	222	12	6	23%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Óscar Hernández 2018 · MLB	25	35	46→50	49→40	40	187/237/310	123	238	14	5	28%	6%	46	-2.0	191/243/300	109	251	11	5	28%	6%	46	-2.0	168/221/258	91	219	9	1	27%	5%	24	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→41	45→50	51→50	38	192/249/314	122	273	13	15	34%	6%	53	-1.5	201/262/346	145	307	18	11	38%	7%	67	-0.5	192/257/340	148	302	19	10	41%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	42	195/273/320	125	283	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	201/277/315	114	267	11	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	164/253/261	97	214	9	20	27%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2011 · AAA	25	41	40→45	50	44	201/272/294	93	265	8	9	26%	7%	57	-1.2	222/267/338	116	273	14	13	24%	5%	66	-0.6	226/262/325	99	269	14	12	22%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	37→39	47→50	50	39	195/247/328	133	260	15	11	31%	6%	55	-1.4	212/254/352	140	250	18	10	23%	5%	65	-0.7	208/243/357	149	220	23	8	19%	4%	58	-0.8
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Bryan Holaday 2013 · AAA	25	41	40→45	50→40	42	203/257/289	87	262	7	6	25%	6%	49	-1.8	221/265/314	93	274	8	4	22%	4%	58	-1.2	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Davis Wendzel 2022 · AAA	25	43→27	46→50	43→40	42	216/287/345	128	285	14	5	28%	6%	77	+0.1	190/264/331	141	249	19	5	31%	8%	65	-0.7	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1