J.R. Freethy2B
Vancouver Canadians
Age 23
S/R
6'0" / 215 lbs
A+
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.0 · 2030
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .301 / .320
PA320
HR6
K%29
BB%10
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
35→35
SPD
45→45
EYE
66↘60
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.3M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $12M | $20M | +$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 76 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .153 | .342 | .203 | .545 | .051 | .235 | 32 | 17 | .271 | 66 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | 3 teams | 353 | 299 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 110 | 11 | 7 | 3 | .187 | .308 | .271 | .579 | .084 | .282 | 31 | 12 | .264 | 60 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 67 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .088 | .224 | .105 | .329 | .018 | .167 | 40 | 15 | .171 | -11 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | 253 | 220 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 76 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .195 | .295 | .300 | .595 | .105 | .275 | 30 | 11 | .273 | 67 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | TOR | 320 | 277 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 103 | 4 | 4 | 3 | .173 | .280 | .260 | .540 | .087 | .257 | 32 | 12 | .251 | 50 | -18 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | TOR | 383 | 329 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 92 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .207 | .313 | .322 | .635 | .116 | .262 | 24 | 12 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | TOR | 430 | 370 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 102 | 6 | 7 | 3 | .214 | .319 | .338 | .656 | .124 | .265 | 24 | 12 | .298 | 87 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | TOR | 459 | 395 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 54 | 108 | 7 | 7 | 3 | .213 | .318 | .339 | .657 | .127 | .267 | 24 | 12 | .301 | 89 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | TOR | 472 | 406 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 112 | 7 | 7 | 3 | .214 | .320 | .340 | .660 | .126 | .268 | 24 | 12 | .302 | 89 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | TOR | 475 | 408 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 57 | 113 | 7 | 7 | 3 | .213 | .320 | .338 | .658 | .125 | .267 | 24 | 12 | .301 | 89 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | TOR | 470 | 404 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 114 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .210 | .317 | .334 | .651 | .124 | .266 | 24 | 12 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | TOR | 463 | 398 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 55 | 113 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .209 | .315 | .327 | .642 | .118 | .265 | 24 | 12 | .296 | 85 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | TOR | 451 | 388 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 54 | 112 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .206 | .312 | .325 | .637 | .119 | .263 | 25 | 12 | .292 | 82 | -9 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 434 | 373 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 110 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .201 | .309 | .314 | .622 | .113 | .262 | 25 | 12 | .287 | 78 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +12 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 405 | 349 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 106 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .198 | .303 | .301 | .604 | .103 | .260 | 26 | 12 | .282 | 74 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 361 | 310 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 43 | 97 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .194 | .302 | .294 | .595 | .100 | .258 | 27 | 12 | .276 | 69 | -13 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +10 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5485 | 4708 | 965 | 184 | 23 | 103 | 652 | 1389 | 88 | 80 | 30 | .205 | .313 | .319 | .632 | .114 | .266 | 25 | 12 | .291 | 81 | -120 | +4 | -20 | +20 | +155 | 4.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 558 | 115 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 77 | 165 | 10 | 9 | 4 | .206 | .313 | .321 | .633 | .115 | .268 | 25 | 12 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +18 | 0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 76 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .182 | .408 | .236 | .644 | .055 | .250 | 24 | 22 | .329 | 110 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 120 | 99 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .253 | .383 | .364 | .747 | .111 | .320 | 19 | 15 | .347 | 123 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 193 | 151 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 41 | 5 | 4 | 3 | .252 | .408 | .377 | .786 | .126 | .321 | 21 | 18 | .361 | 135 | +8 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 40 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .167 | .375 | .233 | .608 | .067 | .263 | 28 | 18 | .308 | 94 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| J.R. Freethy (OGILVIE) | 23 | 40 | 35 | 45 | 60 | .208/.301/.320 | .112 | .287 | 6 | 5 | 29% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2015 · A |
23 | 45 | 42→40 | 44→55 | 51 | .221/.298/.326 | .105 | .274 | 9 | 10 | 22% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.276/.306 | .084 | .294 | 6 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .226/.279/.297 | .071 | .294 | 6 | 7 | 24% | 5% | 55 | -0.5 |
|
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 48 | .209/.289/.317 | .108 | .281 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.304/.311 | .090 | .312 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .236/.329/.308 | .072 | .330 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jose Lobatón 2007 · A |
22 | 44 | 42→45 | 43→30 | 47 | .212/.290/.319 | .108 | .298 | 9 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.282/.343 | .126 | .297 | 13 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .241/.325/.370 | .129 | .305 | 12 | 0 | 23% | 11% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A |
23 | 43 | 41→45 | 47→30 | 47 | .209/.286/.311 | .102 | .282 | 7 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .220/.287/.309 | .089 | .311 | 7 | 4 | 29% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .218/.288/.304 | .087 | .309 | 9 | 1 | 30% | 8% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A |
24 | 43 | 40 | 47→40 | 51 | .209/.287/.304 | .095 | .275 | 8 | 5 | 25% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.289/.310 | .095 | .290 | 9 | 5 | 27% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .210/.286/.290 | .080 | .278 | 8 | 3 | 26% | 9% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A |
23 | 38→41 | 40 | 48→40 | 55 | .186/.291/.272 | .085 | .244 | 8 | 6 | 25% | 12% | 61 | -1.0 | .189/.280/.274 | .085 | .266 | 8 | 4 | 29% | 10% | 56 | -1.3 | .198/.288/.298 | .100 | .256 | 11 | 0 | 25% | 10% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A |
24 | 40→39 | 43→45 | 46→55 | 54 | .196/.296/.310 | .114 | .268 | 9 | 11 | 28% | 12% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.295/.313 | .115 | .254 | 11 | 19 | 24% | 12% | 72 | -0.2 | .200/.299/.321 | .122 | .247 | 12 | 27 | 23% | 12% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A |
23 | 43 | 39→30 | 48→40 | 49 | .206/.285/.289 | .084 | .266 | 7 | 7 | 24% | 9% | 62 | -0.9 | .224/.308/.287 | .063 | .307 | 4 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .233/.323/.283 | .051 | .326 | 2 | 2 | 26% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Austin Elkins 2014 · A |
23 | 44→42 | 41→40 | 49→50 | 54 | .211/.300/.309 | .099 | .258 | 7 | 13 | 20% | 10% | 73 | -0.1 | .216/.298/.306 | .090 | .273 | 7 | 10 | 22% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .213/.300/.279 | .066 | .272 | 4 | 6 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Luis Lara 2018 · A |
23 | 46 | 44→45 | 52→45 | 48 | .226/.285/.348 | .122 | .272 | 10 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .201/.267/.278 | .077 | .279 | 5 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .159/.237/.177 | .019 | .231 | 0 | 2 | 28% | 9% | 9 | -1.4 |
|
✕BJ Murray 2023 · A |
23 | 49→43 | 44→50 | 47→50 | 49 | .236/.316/.352 | .117 | .319 | 11 | 9 | 28% | 10% | 91 | +1.1 | .214/.296/.350 | .136 | .289 | 14 | 12 | 29% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .200/.286/.344 | .144 | .257 | 17 | 15 | 28% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Andy Parrino 2009 · A |
23 | 47→51 | 40→45 | 44→45 | 47 | .216/.296/.303 | .087 | .324 | 7 | 7 | 33% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.295/.321 | .104 | .312 | 9 | 7 | 30% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .231/.307/.359 | .128 | .310 | 11 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Shawn Zarraga 2012 · A |
23 | 49 | 39→40 | 50→45 | 45 | .233/.296/.316 | .083 | .301 | 6 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .249/.309/.343 | .094 | .297 | 6 | 7 | 17% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .272/.340/.355 | .083 | .316 | 4 | 2 | 14% | 7% | 101 | +0.6 |
|
✕Patrick Bailey 2022 · A |
23 | 44→49 | 45 | 50→45 | 43 | .213/.278/.336 | .122 | .306 | 12 | 8 | 33% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .213/.279/.336 | .123 | .289 | 13 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .229/.288/.338 | .110 | .303 | 11 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
●Leo Rivas 2021 · A |
23 | 39→49 | 39→40 | 48→65 | 46 | .188/.266/.276 | .088 | .284 | 7 | 8 | 34% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .215/.292/.302 | .087 | .300 | 7 | 21 | 28% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .238/.354/.331 | .093 | .320 | 9 | 44 | 25% | 14% | 100 | +1.2 |
|
✕Louis Ott 2008 · A |
23 | 47→48 | 38→30 | 47→45 | 45 | .222/.286/.300 | .078 | .296 | 6 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .228/.300/.296 | .068 | .325 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .228/.307/.282 | .054 | .331 | 3 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A |
23 | 45 | 40 | 45→40 | 44 | .215/.290/.307 | .093 | .291 | 8 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.295/.297 | .080 | .272 | 8 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .202/.287/.263 | .061 | .244 | 8 | 1 | 19% | 7% | 57 | -0.4 |
|
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A |
23 | 44 | 40 | 47→40 | 46 | .212/.286/.304 | .092 | .282 | 7 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.260/.271 | .071 | .268 | 4 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .245/.301/.340 | .096 | .298 | 7 | 3 | 19% | 6% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Drew Millas 2023 · AA |
25 | 44 | 40→45 | 50 | 50 | .212/.289/.303 | .091 | .285 | 7 | 11 | 27% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .238/.302/.356 | .118 | .293 | 11 | 14 | 21% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .252/.308/.379 | .127 | .291 | 12 | 17 | 17% | 7% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A |
23 | 43 | 40 | 52→50 | 58 | .204/.316/.298 | .095 | .286 | 7 | 14 | 28% | 14% | 78 | +0.2 | .203/.301/.290 | .087 | .301 | 4 | 9 | 30% | 12% | 69 | -0.4 | .184/.288/.306 | .123 | .253 | 10 | 12 | 29% | 12% | 68 | -0.2 |