Danny Serretti — OGILVIE

Danny SerrettiIF Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 26 S/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION265 act + 176 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .315 / .354

PA176

HR4

K%28

BB%11

BABIP291

ISO138

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A+	3 teams	—	116	96	24	8	0	1	17	30	3	7	2	250	379	365	744	115	354	26	15	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	3 teams	—	116	89	28	8	0	2	24	21	3	7	2	315	474	472	946	157	394	18	21	428	186	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	424	379	83	18	1	6	34	112	4	3	5	219	290	319	609	100	287	26	8	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	424	360	90	20	2	6	51	81	4	3	5	250	348	367	714	117	300	19	12	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	363	323	49	12	0	5	27	148	6	5	4	152	230	235	466	84	251	41	7	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	363	307	59	13	0	5	42	102	6	5	4	192	301	283	584	91	263	28	12	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	240	215	41	8	1	3	21	57	2	5	1	191	269	279	548	88	242	24	9	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	240	206	43	10	1	3	30	47	2	5	1	209	315	311	626	102	253	20	12	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	ARI	—	265	222	55	10	2	11	35	71	6	9	3	248	365	459	824	212	312	27	13	356	130	+9	+1	+0	+0	+8	1.8
YTD	26	AA	ARI	—	265	206	60	12	2	12	51	55	6	9	3	291	445	544	989	252	343	21	19	432	188	+26	+1	+0	+0	+8	3.5
ROS	26	AA	ARI	2%	176	152	33	7	1	4	19	50	3	4	1	216	315	354	669	138	283	28	11	300	88	-2	+0	+0	+0	+5	0.3
ROS	26	MLB	ARI	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						285	25	0	291	81	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	AA	ARI	—	269	226	55	10	2	11	35	72	6	9	3	243	360	451	811	208	306	27	13	355	130	+9	+1	+0	+0	+8	1.8
TOT	26	AA	ARI	—	441	374	88	17	3	15	54	121	9	13	4	235	345	416	761	181	303	27	12	333	113	+7	+1	+0	+0	+13	2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	ARI	27%	291	255	54	11	1	7	30	81	4	5	2	212	304	345	650	133	282	28	10	301	89	-4	+0	+0	+0	+8	0.5
2028	28	MLB	ARI	40%	331	289	62	13	1	8	34	91	5	6	2	215	308	349	657	135	283	27	10	302	89	-4	+0	-1	+0	+9	0.5
2027	27	MLB	ARI	27%	78	69	14	3	0	2	8	22	1	1	1	203	295	333	628	130	285	28	10	293	82	-2	-0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
2028	28	MLB	ARI	40%	132	115	25	5	1	3	14	36	2	2	1	217	313	357	669	139	285	27	11	294	83	-3	+0	-0	+0	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	214	188	39	8	1	5	22	59	3	3	2	207	300	340	641	133	272	28	10	294	83	-4	-0	-0	+0	+6	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	118	24	3	15	67	179	9	9	6	207	300	338	638	131	271	28	10	294	83	-13	-1	-1	+0	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	1941	1709	346	77	5	34	182	569	27	35	17	202	289	313	602	111	277	29	9	273	67	-73	+0	-1	+0	+55	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	116	26	2	11	61	190	9	12	6	203	290	313	603	110	279	29	9	273	67	-24	+0	-0	+0	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	24	19	5	0	0	0	4	4	1	2	0	263	417	263	680		333	17	17	335	115	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	46	38	11	4	0	0	6	11	2	1	1	289	413	395	808	105	407	24	13	372	143	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	46	32	12	4	0	2	14	6	0	4	1	375	565	688	1.253	312	417	13	30	533	266	+9	+0	—	—	+1	1.1
2023	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	186	156	32	7	0	1	25	36	1	1	1	205	317	269	586	64	254	19	13	274	68	-7	-0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2023	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	238	204	58	13	2	5	26	45	3	2	4	284	372	441	813	157	335	19	11	357	132	+9	-1	—	—	+7	1.4
2024	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	43	34	7	0	0	0	6	11	3	1	1	206	372	206	578		304	26	14	296	85	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	320	273	52	13	0	5	36	91	3	4	3	190	291	293	584	103	258	28	11	266	62	-14	-0	—	—	+9	-0.5
2025	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	240	206	43	10	1	3	30	47	2	5	1	209	315	311	626	102	253	20	12	289	79	-6	+1	—	—	+7	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	215	5	4	217	306	358	+0	+0	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	17	12	217	306	358	+0.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Danny Serretti (OGILVIE)	26	40	35	45	55	235/345/416	181	303	15	13	27%	12%	113	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕James Boone 2009 · AA	26	41	45	42→50	40	206/266/323	117	283	13	6	31%	6%	63	-0.9	201/255/304	103	281	10	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	145/187/197	52	198	4	7	28%	4%	-9	-1.3
✕Chase Calabuig 2022 · AA	26	40→50	41→40	44→45	48	200/269/289	89	255	9	6	25%	8%	54	-1.4	250/310/384	134	290	13	5	18%	7%	95	+1.4	279/338/427	148	317	13	3	16%	8%	113	+1.3
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Brent Wyatt 2011 · AA	26	44→50	41→40	50	49	213/296/312	99	266	8	13	22%	8%	72	-0.2	222/304/314	92	288	6	11	23%	9%	76	+0.1	227/320/312	84	302	4	9	23%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Nathan Panther 2007 · AA	26	43	42→45	44→45	46	212/274/314	102	269	9	7	24%	7%	63	-0.9	225/294/356	131	279	13	7	23%	8%	82	+0.5	226/302/373	147	273	15	6	22%	9%	87	+0.5
●Trei Cruz 2023 · AA	25	37→47	42→45	51→50	49	181/275/288	107	278	9	13	35%	11%	57	-1.2	204/280/326	122	294	12	10	32%	9%	69	-0.4	223/300/348	125	306	12	10	29%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Michael Beltre 2021 · AA	26	47→52	39→50	50→60	47	221/292/310	89	307	7	11	28%	9%	69	-0.4	226/290/384	158	321	15	32	32%	8%	88	+0.9	221/289/395	174	311	17	42	33%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Jimmy Herron 2022 · AA	26	40→45	39→45	50→55	47	194/272/281	87	265	6	15	28%	9%	54	-1.4	216/292/348	132	270	14	21	25%	8%	80	+0.4	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Victor Cruzado 2017 · AA	25	45→47	40→45	44→45	48	218/283/315	98	280	7	6	24%	8%	66	-0.6	213/275/303	90	298	8	7	29%	8%	60	-1.0	197/260/266	69	288	6	4	32%	8%	40	-1.4
✕Thomas Spitz 2018 · AA	26	46	40	46→50	46	220/284/308	88	294	7	11	27%	8%	65	-0.7	221/281/328	107	331	9	9	33%	7%	69	-0.4	212/269/352	140	358	9	4	41%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Cullen Large 2022 · AAA	26	41→46	40	41→45	42	199/263/296	98	284	7	6	31%	7%	53	-1.5	218/278/326	108	309	9	8	30%	7%	67	-0.5	218/280/323	104	315	8	8	31%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2019 · AA	26	44→53	41→45	45	45	211/273/308	96	286	8	5	28%	8%	60	-1.0	208/275/303	95	291	7	8	29%	8%	60	-1.0	181/240/309	127	254	13	7	33%	7%	44	-1.0
✕Riley Unroe 2022 · AAA	26	43→48	44→50	46→55	42	215/270/332	117	280	11	11	27%	6%	66	-0.6	225/299/355	130	294	14	22	27%	9%	84	+0.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Daniel Nunez 2008 · AAA	26	43→50	42→30	44→50	45	211/279/312	101	290	10	10	29%	8%	64	-0.8	216/274/309	93	300	8	13	29%	6%	61	-1.0	241/320/318	77	309	5	14	21%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Nolan Fontana 2017 · AAA	26	40→43	37→40	40→50	46	190/267/265	74	277	4	7	30%	9%	47	-1.9	196/284/308	112	273	9	11	29%	10%	66	-0.6	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Jeremy Farrell 2013 · AAA	26	43→36	40→45	44→45	41	208/277/300	92	294	8	6	30%	6%	61	-1.0	198/259/295	97	296	7	4	34%	5%	52	-1.6	191/248/287	96	292	7	2	35%	5%	42	-1.2
✕Beau Taylor 2016 · AA	26	41→45	40→45	44→30	44	201/267/292	90	282	8	4	30%	8%	54	-1.4	221/288/315	94	316	8	3	30%	8%	69	-0.4	218/307/332	114	311	11	1	30%	11%	80	+0.2
✕Josh Tobias 2019 · AA	26	47→53	40	44→45	39	230/273/320	90	301	8	7	26%	4%	63	-0.8	235/291/340	105	318	9	7	27%	6%	76	+0.1	258/321/372	114	347	9	4	26%	6%	94	+0.5