Marek Houston

SS Wichita Wind Surge

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #59MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP51ETA2028MLB%6%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+MIN	51	.152/.220/.239	1	1	3	—	.149/.200/.234
2025	21	AMIN	59	.370/.424/.444	0	6	91	—	.286/.322/.339
2026	22	AAMIN	286	.301/.383/.450	7	26	100	—	.268/.333/.393
2026	22	A+MIN	268	.325/.412/.461	5	24	101	—	.274/.344/.380
2027PROJ6% MLB	23	MLBMIN	19	.245/.313/.364	0	1	92	0.1
2028PROJ45% MLB	24	MLBMIN	256	.248/.316/.372	5	10	95	1.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	25	MLBMIN	369	.248/.317/.376	8	15	96	1.6

Next 3 projected WAR 2.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$6M2032Arb-2$9M2033Arb-3$12M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Chase%94

Whiff%93

wOBA77

Speed76

K%72

wRC+69

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 24, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 75%

CompsMaikel Garcia (age 23) · Rafael Lantigua (age 24) · Andy Burns (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .313 / .364

PA19

HR0

K%21

BB%5

BABIP303

ISO56

MLB%6%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$46M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$11M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$11M	+$11M
2031	Arb-1	$6M	+1.8	$11M	+$7M
2032	Arb-2	$9M	+1.7	$9M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$12M	+1.4	$7M	+$0.8M
Totals		$29M		$57M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	51	46	7	1	0	1	3	8	1	1	2	152	220	239	459	87	162	16	6	210	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	59	54	20	4	0	0	5	13	0	6	0	370	424	444	868	74	488	22	8	392	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	286	249	75	14	1	7	29	59	4	26	7	301	383	450	833	149	366	21	10	368	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	268	228	74	14	1	5	32	49	2	24	2	325	412	461	873	136	388	18	12	383	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	51	47	7	1	0	1	2	10	1	1	2	149	200	234	434	85	147	20	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	59	56	16	3	0	0	3	18	0	6	0	286	322	339	661	54	434	31	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	286	257	69	12	1	6	21	72	4	26	7	268	333	393	726	125	338	25	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	268	237	65	11	1	4	23	62	2	24	2	274	344	380	723	105	338	23	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	110	103	23	4	0	1	5	28	1	7	2	223	266	291	557	68	297	25	5	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	110	100	27	5	0	1	8	21	1	7	2	270	330	350	680	80	333	19	7	307	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	554	494	134	23	2	10	44	134	6	50	9	271	338	387	725	115	347	24	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	554	477	149	28	2	12	61	108	6	50	9	312	397	455	852	143	376	19	11	375	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	110	103	23	4	0	1	5	28	1	7	2	223	266	291	557	68	301	25	5	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	554	499	134	23	2	10	44	134	6	50	9	269	338	383	721	114	338	24	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	110	103	23	4	0	1	5	28	1	7	2	223	266	291	557	68	301	25	5	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	554	499	134	23	2	10	44	134	6	50	9	269	338	383	721	114	338	24	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIN	6%	541	487	120	23	2	10	43	121	6	22	5	245	313	364	677	119	303	22	8	304	92	-5	+2	+3	+6	+12	1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIN	6%	19	18	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	245	313	364	678	119	303	21	5	304	92	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIN	45%	568	512	127	24	2	12	45	126	6	23	5	247	316	371	687	124	303	22	8	308	95	-4	+3	+4	+6	+12	2.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIN	63%	583	525	130	24	3	12	47	129	6	23	5	248	317	375	692	128	303	22	8	310	96	-3	+3	+5	+6	+13	2.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	589	530	132	25	3	13	48	130	6	23	5	248	317	377	694	129	302	22	8	311	97	-2	+3	+5	+6	+13	2.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIN	74%	588	529	130	25	2	13	48	131	6	23	5	247	316	376	692	129	301	22	8	310	96	-3	+3	+5	+6	+13	2.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIN	75%	583	524	128	24	2	13	48	131	6	20	5	245	315	373	688	128	300	22	8	308	95	-4	+2	+5	+6	+13	2.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIN	74%	575	517	126	24	2	12	47	131	6	17	4	243	312	367	679	125	299	23	8	305	93	-5	+2	+4	+6	+12	2.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIN	73%	567	511	122	23	2	11	46	131	5	13	4	240	309	360	669	120	298	23	8	301	90	-7	+1	+3	+6	+12	1.6
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	508	458	109	20	2	10	40	119	5	8	3	236	304	351	655	115	295	23	8	295	86	-9	+0	+2	+5	+11	1.0
2036	32	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	490	445	103	19	2	9	38	117	4	4	2	231	298	339	637	108	292	24	8	287	81	-11	+0	+1	+5	+11	0.6
2037	33	MLB MLE	MIN	78%	461	419	93	17	1	7	35	113	4	0	1	225	291	324	615	99	287	25	8	279	75	-14	-0	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIN	45%	256	231	57	11	1	5	20	57	3	10	2	248	316	372	688	124	304	22	8	308	95	-2	+1	+2	+3	+6	1.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIN	63%	369	332	83	16	2	8	30	82	4	15	3	248	317	376	693	128	303	22	8	311	96	-2	+2	+3	+4	+8	1.6
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	423	382	94	18	2	9	34	94	4	17	4	248	317	377	695	130	302	22	8	311	97	-2	+2	+4	+5	+9	1.8
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIN	74%	434	391	97	18	2	10	36	97	4	17	4	247	317	377	693	130	302	22	8	310	96	-2	+2	+4	+5	+9	1.8
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIN	75%	436	393	97	18	2	10	36	98	4	15	4	245	315	374	689	129	300	22	8	309	95	-3	+1	+4	+5	+9	1.7
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIN	74%	423	382	93	17	2	9	34	96	4	12	3	243	312	368	680	125	299	23	8	305	93	-4	+1	+3	+5	+9	1.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIN	73%	413	373	90	17	2	8	33	95	4	10	3	240	309	360	669	120	298	23	8	301	90	-5	+1	+2	+4	+9	1.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	368	333	79	15	1	7	29	86	3	6	2	236	304	351	655	115	295	23	8	295	86	-6	+0	+1	+4	+8	0.8
2036	32	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	354	320	74	14	1	6	28	85	3	3	1	231	298	339	637	108	292	24	8	288	81	-8	+0	+1	+4	+8	0.4
2037	33	MLB CTX	MIN	78%	362	328	74	13	1	6	28	89	3	0	1	225	291	325	616	100	288	25	8	279	75	-11	-0	+0	+4	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3838	3465	838	157	16	78	308	879	36	105	27	242	310	364	674	122	301	23	8	302	91	-44	+10	+24	+41	+83	11.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	142	27	3	13	52	149	6	18	5	242	310	365	675	123	301	23	8	302	91	-7	+2	+4	+7	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6496	5856	1427	265	24	129	516	1492	64	224	53	244	312	363	675	120	304	23	8	303	91	-64	+17	+36	+62	+126	18.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	143	27	2	13	52	149	6	22	5	244	312	363	676	119	304	23	8	303	91	-7	+2	+4	+7	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Ivan de Jesus'74-'88 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,193 PA	7.8	5,193	21	194	248*	320*	350*	+55	+68	16.1	16.8
/162	664	3	25	+7.0	+8.7	2.1	pk7: 18
#4Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#5Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.8	3,857	78	105	242	307	364	+41	+31	11.1	10.5
/162	664	13	18	+7.1	+5.4	1.9	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marek Houston (OGILVIE)	23	35→55	35→41	55	60	243/311/361	118	303	6	13	22%	8%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Maikel Garcia 2023 · MLB	23	52→58	41→45	57→60	48	250/309/356	106	315	8	27	22%	8%	88	+0.5	254/311/364	110	310	8	26	19%	8%	92	+0.7	260/322/390	130	293	10	24	14%	8%	102	+1.4
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	45→55	45	53→55	45	223/288/353	130	296	13	20	28%	8%	81	-0.1	252/324/360	108	331	8	18	24%	9%	96	+1.0	259/335/353	95	336	7	18	23%	10%	95	+0.9
✕Andy Burns 2014 · AA	23	47→57	46→50	53→55	44	234/288/377	143	295	12	19	25%	6%	86	+0.3	237/281/352	115	291	9	13	21%	5%	78	-0.3	235/285/340	105	281	10	9	20%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	48→54	48→55	52→55	45	238/301/386	148	304	14	21	26%	7%	94	+0.9	222/284/374	152	291	16	17	28%	7%	85	+0.2	202/265/351	149	268	17	17	30%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	51→57	43→50	53→50	47	245/305/369	123	304	9	13	22%	7%	91	+0.6	254/314/393	139	316	13	14	22%	8%	100	+1.3	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Leo Jiménez 2024 · AAA	23	49→52	42→45	49→45	48	234/321/342	108	294	9	9	22%	8%	92	+0.7	231/325/340	109	290	10	6	23%	8%	93	+0.8	223/330/323	99	283	10	3	22%	8%	91	+0.3
●Jakob Marsee 2024 · AA	23	47→49	47→45	58→60	58	234/337/363	130	285	15	28	22%	12%	103	+1.5	219/318/347	128	277	12	34	24%	11%	92	+0.7	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA	24	50→55	38→40	57→60	52	230/333/311	81	290	5	25	20%	9%	90	+0.6	242/331/329	87	297	6	24	19%	10%	92	+0.7	256/352/337	81	314	4	22	17%	11%	102	+0.9
●Chase Meidroth 2024 · AA	23	52→58	43→40	52→50	53	249/341/361	113	320	11	12	24%	10%	103	+1.6	259/348/358	99	312	9	12	18%	11%	105	+1.7	263/352/365	101	313	10	11	17%	11%	107	+1.8
●Tyler Bortnick 2011 · A	24	50→60	42→45	52→55	51	240/313/351	112	294	8	22	21%	8%	91	+0.6	244/325/348	104	300	5	24	19%	9%	94	+0.9	244/329/344	99	302	4	27	18%	9%	91	+0.6
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	46→45	41→45	52→70	47	220/294/323	104	279	8	25	24%	8%	77	-0.3	220/322/335	115	284	11	35	24%	11%	91	+0.7	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA	24	46→47	42→45	54→55	48	220/296/330	110	289	9	19	26%	8%	79	-0.2	228/289/327	99	286	8	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	258/304/376	118	306	11	25	19%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Dru Baker 2023 · A	23	49→57	44→40	58→60	45	236/301/356	120	326	11	24	30%	8%	86	+0.3	240/293/333	93	336	8	32	29%	6%	78	-0.3	239/291/316	77	338	6	36	29%	5%	70	-0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2024 · MLB	22	47→53	46→50	59→55	46	231/290/362	131	284	12	21	23%	7%	84	+0.1	247/304/374	127	293	12	12	19%	7%	92	+0.7	248/309/365	117	296	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2010 · A	23	49→50	42→45	55→60	49	236/311/356	119	289	8	19	20%	8%	91	+0.6	229/288/337	108	289	6	27	22%	6%	77	-0.3	225/286/341	117	286	11	26	24%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Ryan Brett 2015 · AA	23	55→58	42→45	58→60	43	263/302/378	114	316	9	26	20%	5%	91	+0.7	234/271/342	108	290	9	14	22%	4%	72	-0.7	204/234/289	85	261	7	7	24%	2%	43	-1.3
✕Tyler Goeddel 2016 · AA	23	49→52	43→45	56→55	43	236/290/355	119	308	9	19	26%	6%	82	-0.0	220/282/323	103	282	8	14	24%	7%	72	-0.7	204/271/293	89	262	6	12	23%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Jared Triolo 2023 · AA	25	51→61	43→45	54→55	47	244/304/358	113	311	10	20	24%	8%	88	+0.4	240/318/352	112	323	10	17	26%	10%	92	+0.7	234/320/347	113	312	11	17	26%	10%	92	+0.5
●Michael Reed 2016 · AAA	23	50→60	40→45	56→55	51	231/315/340	109	319	5	21	27%	10%	88	+0.4	219/303/322	103	323	9	17	32%	10%	80	-0.1	220/309/321	102	329	11	16	33%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A	24	51→55	43→45	59→55	48	244/303/364	120	295	8	21	20%	7%	88	+0.5	256/317/349	93	320	6	20	20%	7%	91	+0.6	262/325/343	81	331	5	21	21%	8%	89	+0.3

Marek Houston

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps