Jared Triolo — OGILVIE

Jared TrioloSS Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 28 R/R 6'3" / 212 lbs MLB Svc 2.413S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION215 act + 233 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8883vR 69

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .320 / .356

PA233

HR4

SB9

K%23

BB%9

BABIP309

ISO111

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

718.8%

xwOBA

410.298

POWER45

Barrel%

255.0

Avg EV

4188.4

Bat Spd

6172.5

EYE55

Chase%

9022.2%

SPEED60

Sprint

7628.5

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 822 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

244

578

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

305

280

◀L

ISO

120

110

◀L

BABIP

301

265

◀L

22.1%

24.2%

◀L

BB%

9.8%

9.7%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.413 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$1.0M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+1.3	$10M	+$7M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+1.0	$7M	+$4M
2029	Arb-4	$4M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$20M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	473	439	113	28	0	8	26	122	4	25	6	257	305	376	681	118	335	26	5	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	473	421	128	29	0	15	42	94	4	25	6	304	371	480	851	176	358	20	9	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	495	446	105	20	3	7	42	118	3	24	5	235	305	341	646	105	302	24	8	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	495	425	120	21	5	9	63	87	3	24	5	282	379	419	798	136	333	18	13	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	453	397	105	25	2	4	50	144	4	16	4	264	353	368	720	103	402	32	11	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	453	382	114	28	3	5	65	126	4	16	4	298	406	427	832	128	431	28	14	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	446	394	86	10	1	9	42	118	5	8	1	218	302	317	619	99	283	26	9	279	72	-14	+1	+3	+2	+13	0.5
2024	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	446	394	85	10	1	9	42	118	5	8	1	216	299	315	614	99	279	26	9	280	73	-14	+1	+3	+2	+13	0.5
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	434	382	86	20	2	9	46	88	2	16	2	225	312	359	670	134	269	20	11	298	86	-7	+2	+6	+5	+12	1.8
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	434	377	86	20	2	9	51	85	2	16	2	228	323	363	687	135	271	20	12	310	95	-2	+2	+6	+5	+12	2.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	PIT	—	215	195	45	11	0	1	16	48	3	6	1	231	299	303	602	72	301	22	7	273	67	-8	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.0
YTD	28	MLB	PIT	—	215	193	45	11	0	1	16	48	3	6	1	233	299	306	605	73	306	22	7	276	70	-7	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.1
ROS	28	MLB	PIT	100%	233	208	51	9	1	4	21	53	2	9	2	245	320	356	676	111	306	23	9	301	89	-3	+1	+2	+1	+7	0.8
ROS	28	MLB	PIT	100%	233	208	51	9	1	4	21	53	2	9	2	245	320	356	676	111	304	23	9	293	82	-5	+1	+2	+1	+7	0.6
FULL	28	MLB	PIT	—	448	403	96	20	1	5	37	101	5	15	3	238	310	330	640	92	305	23	8	283	75	-13	+2	+1	+3	+13	0.6
TOT	28	MLB	PIT	—	448	403	96	20	1	5	37	101	5	15	3	238	310	330	640	92	305	23	8	288	79	-11	+2	+1	+3	+13	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	PIT	92%	437	390	94	17	1	7	40	100	4	15	3	241	318	344	662	103	306	23	9	300	88	-6	+2	+2	+2	+12	1.2
2028	30	MLB	PIT	92%	427	381	90	16	1	6	39	99	4	13	3	236	314	331	644	94	305	23	9	297	86	-7	+1	+2	+2	+12	1.0
2029	31	MLB	PIT	92%	412	367	87	16	1	6	38	97	4	11	2	237	315	335	651	98	302	24	9	293	82	-8	+1	+1	+1	+12	0.7
2030	32	MLB	PIT	92%	393	350	81	14	1	5	36	94	4	9	2	231	310	320	630	89	299	24	9	287	78	-10	+1	-0	+1	+11	0.4
2031	33	MLB	PIT	92%	363	324	73	12	1	4	33	89	3	6	1	225	303	306	608	80	294	25	9	280	73	-11	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.0
2032	34	MLB	PIT	88%	318	283	62	10	1	3	29	80	3	4	1	219	298	293	592	74	288	25	9	272	66	-12	+0	-2	+1	+9	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	PIT	92%	402	358	86	16	1	6	37	92	4	14	3	240	318	341	659	101	304	23	9	291	81	-9	+2	+2	+1	+11	0.8
2028	30	MLB	PIT	92%	393	350	84	15	1	6	36	91	4	12	2	240	318	340	658	100	303	23	9	289	79	-9	+2	+1	+1	+11	0.6
2029	31	MLB	PIT	92%	379	337	79	14	1	5	35	89	4	10	2	234	314	326	640	92	301	23	9	285	76	-10	+1	+1	+1	+11	0.4
2030	32	MLB	PIT	92%	362	322	75	13	1	5	33	87	4	8	2	233	312	326	638	93	297	24	9	279	72	-12	+1	-0	+1	+10	0.1
2031	33	MLB	PIT	92%	334	298	67	11	1	4	30	82	3	6	1	225	302	309	611	84	293	25	9	272	67	-13	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2032	34	MLB	PIT	88%	278	248	55	9	1	3	25	70	3	3	1	222	301	302	603	81	287	25	9	264	60	-13	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3412	3027	711	124	10	52	322	821	34	89	17	235	315	334	649	99	303	24	9	289	79	-81	+11	+16	+16	+97	6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	136	24	2	10	61	156	6	17	3	236	315	336	651	101	304	24	9	289	79	-15	+2	+3	+3	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	4884	4361	1033	197	15	72	442	1202	42	156	32	237	313	338	652	102	308	25	9	293	83	-95	+18	+16	+21	+138	10.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	138	26	2	10	59	160	6	21	4	238	315	341	656	103	309	25	9	293	83	-13	+3	+2	+3	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	473	421	128	29	0	15	42	94	4	25	6	304	371	480	851	176	358	20	9	374	144	+24	+3	—	—	+13	4.0
2022	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	495	425	120	21	5	9	63	87	3	24	5	282	379	419	798	136	333	18	13	357	132	+18	+3	—	—	+14	3.5
2023	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	209	181	54	9	0	3	24	63	3	6	1	298	389	398	787	99	440	30	11	358	132	+8	+1	+4	+2	+6	2.0
2023	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	226	185	53	15	3	2	39	60	1	10	3	286	413	432	846	146	411	27	17	381	150	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.0
2023	25	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	18	16	7	4	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	438	500	688	1.188	250	538	17	11	514	251	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	446	394	85	10	1	9	42	118	5	8	1	216	299	315	614	99	279	26	9	280	73	-14	+1	+3	+2	+13	0.5
2025	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	376	331	75	18	2	7	39	76	2	13	2	227	312	356	668	130	273	20	10	301	88	-5	+2	+6	+5	+11	1.8
2025	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	58	46	11	2	0	2	12	9	0	3	0	239	397	413	810	174	257	16	21	370	141	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1031	906	214	37	3	19	105	257	10	27	4	236	322	347	669	110	306	25	10	303	90	-11	+4	+12	+8	+29	4.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Alex Coralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA	12	3,756	35	47	245	312	341	+8	+29	7.8	8.1
#4Alex Coralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA	/162	664	6	8	245	312	341	+1.4	+5.2	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,842	58	105	235	312	334	+27	+32	7.4	7.3
	/162	664	10	18	235	312	334	+4.7	+5.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Triolo (OGILVIE)	28	45	45	60	55	238/310/330	92	305	5	15	23%	8%	79	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2020 · MLB	28	46→52	44→45	53→55	46	224/304/346	122	289	11	19	25%	7%	85	+0.7	215/309/329	114	290	11	22	27%	9%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Tyler Saladino 2017 · MLB	28	51→47	44→45	56→55	44	252/296/368	116	298	12	23	20%	5%	85	+0.7	219/282/335	116	282	12	16	26%	7%	72	-0.2	198/271/322	124	259	14	15	28%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Delino DeShields 2021 · MLB	28	49→55	40→45	57→65	51	233/306/326	93	302	7	27	24%	9%	79	+0.3	216/308/294	78	305	5	28	27%	11%	72	-0.2	207/307/267	61	307	3	31	30%	12%	63	-0.5
✕Damian Jackson 2002 · MLB	28	52→54	41→45	59→55	52	245/325/358	113	317	7	26	23%	10%	95	+1.4	243/307/348	105	297	7	27	19%	8%	85	+0.7	255/323/351	95	294	7	32	15%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Jeff Duncan 2007 · MLB	28	50→46	42→45	54→60	46	239/303/343	103	307	10	22	24%	7%	82	+0.5	227/292/311	84	297	7	18	24%	7%	69	-0.4	199/273/205	6	269	0	18	24%	9%	31	-0.8
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	43→51	44→45	54→55	50	211/304/325	114	268	12	21	24%	9%	79	+0.3	200/298/284	84	273	7	21	27%	10%	67	-0.5	173/285/221	48	247	3	23	28%	11%	45	-1.8
✕Drew Ferguson 2021 · AAA	28	50→49	44→45	54→55	48	240/322/359	120	321	12	21	27%	9%	95	+1.4	213/282/319	106	334	10	21	36%	8%	68	-0.5	147/237/187	40	274	4	35	43%	11%	12	-0.8
✕Eric Fryer 2014 · MLB	28	43→53	44→45	55→50	48	213/285/333	120	267	11	12	24%	8%	72	-0.2	232/293/322	90	302	7	10	23%	8%	72	-0.2	248/309/312	64	324	3	6	23%	8%	73	-0.0
✕Ed Lucas 2010 · AAA	28	51→56	44→50	53→50	48	246/308/363	117	306	11	17	23%	8%	89	+1.0	231/290/357	126	293	14	9	25%	7%	80	+0.4	258/309/329	70	334	5	3	23%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Peter Bourjos 2015 · MLB	28	48→56	43→50	55→60	44	232/295/350	118	304	10	15	26%	7%	81	+0.4	228/288/362	134	295	11	13	25%	6%	81	+0.4	240/282/379	139	307	10	8	24%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Tim Locastro 2020 · MLB	28	49→53	42→45	60	44	236/324/349	114	285	8	29	19%	5%	95	+1.4	222/308/343	121	268	10	25	21%	6%	86	+0.8	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Drew Stubbs 2014 · MLB	29	46→51	46→50	56→60	46	226/296/350	124	308	14	26	30%	9%	82	+0.5	229/299/368	139	326	15	24	32%	9%	87	+0.8	223/297/362	139	322	15	29	33%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Kevin Thompson 2008 · MLB	28	49→52	45→50	56→60	49	238/306/370	132	291	11	27	22%	8%	90	+1.0	230/290/346	116	284	10	27	22%	7%	77	+0.1	247/301/351	105	298	9	44	20%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Steve Tolleson 2012 · MLB	28	48→53	42→45	52→50	47	233/293/341	108	285	10	16	21%	7%	78	+0.2	233/297/338	105	295	9	15	23%	8%	79	+0.3	236/304/337	101	299	9	14	22%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Pokey Reese 2001 · MLB	28	51→55	46→45	60→55	52	250/315/384	134	277	13	26	15%	8%	98	+1.6	240/304/351	111	281	10	23	17%	8%	85	+0.7	235/299/330	95	280	8	24	18%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	46→48	45→50	54→55	49	228/299/352	124	289	12	20	25%	9%	83	+0.6	228/305/365	137	299	15	23	27%	10%	89	+1.0	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Carlos Febles 2003 · MLB	27	50→52	42→40	53→55	54	242/319/350	108	278	9	18	16%	9%	91	+1.1	237/308/330	93	275	8	17	16%	8%	81	+0.4	229/292/254	25	269	0	22	14%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Sam Haggerty 2022 · MLB	28	47→44	44→50	58→65	45	226/294/347	122	307	11	25	29%	8%	80	+0.4	250/324/395	145	318	12	35	24%	8%	105	+2.1	257/335/401	144	323	11	42	22%	9%	107	+1.2
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	44→45	54→50	47	229/290/350	121	273	12	17	21%	7%	79	+0.3	228/308/352	124	288	13	12	24%	10%	87	+0.8	220/310/331	111	279	11	10	23%	11%	81	+0.1
✕Chris Burke 2008 · MLB	28	49→56	45	52→55	49	242/310/370	129	273	12	17	16%	7%	93	+1.3	223/295/329	106	262	9	18	18%	8%	76	+0.0	210/283/299	89	253	6	22	18%	8%	56	-0.7