Jared Triolo

SS Pittsburgh Pirates
Age 29 R/R 6'3" / 212 lbs MLB HR -15%K -5% Svc 3.413 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202426MLBPIT446.216/.299/.31598780.4
202527AAAPIT58.239/.397/.4132381—.216/.310/.373
202527MLBPIT376.227/.312/.356713891.6
202628MLBPIT362.238/.306/.302313750.2
2027PROJ29MLBPIT302.239/.315/.337512880.4
2028PROJ82% MLB30MLBPIT243.236/.312/.32948850.1
2029PROJ82% MLB31MLBPIT228.231/.307/.3193580-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 2.2  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.413First FA2030
2027Arb-1$1M2028Arb-2$1M2029Arb-3$3M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed71
Bat Spd61
xwOBA40
Avg EV35
Barrel%23
Form.233/.302/.326 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .239/.313/.339
CompsGarrett Hampson (age 29) · Delino DeShields (age 29) · Jonathan Davis (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9188vR 78
AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .315 / .337
PA302
HR5
SB12
K%21
BB%9
BABIP293
ISO104
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +2.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -2.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +3.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +6.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.60.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
xAVG
300.235
POWER45
Barrel%
234.7
Avg EV
3587.9
Bat Spd
6172.5
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
7128.3
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%▼24% over 49 PA (60d) · proj 21%
BB%8%▼6% over 49 PA (60d) · proj 9%
ISO.094·.068 over 44 AB (60d) · proj .101
HR/BB2.6%·3.0% over 33 BBE (60d) · proj 2.4%
BABIP.289·.219 over 32 BIP (60d) · proj .292
SLASH.233/.302/.326▼proj .239/.313/.339
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 822 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
244
578
—
wRC+
92
76
◀◀L
wOBA
305
280
◀L
ISO
120
110
◀L
BABIP
301
265
◀L
K%
22.1%
24.2%
◀L
BB%
9.8%
9.7%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.413 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$1M+0.6$2M+$1M
2028Arb-2$1M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Arb-3$3M———
Totals $1M $2M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202123 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers — 473421 12829015 42944 256 304371480851 176358 209 374 84 — — — — — —
202224 AAAltoona Curve — 495425 1202159 63873 245 282379419798 136333 1813 357 88 — — — — — —
202325 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 209181 54903 24633 61 298389398787 99440 3011 358 129 +7 +1 +4 +2 +5 1.8
202325 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 226185 531532 39601 103 286413432846 146411 2717 381 86 — — — — — —
202325 ABradenton Marauders — 1816 7400 230 00 4385006881.188 250538 1711 514 167 — — — — — —
202426 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 446394 851019 421185 81 216299315614 99279 269 280 78 -12 +1 +3 +2 +10 0.4
202527 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 376331 751827 39762 132 227312356668 130273 2010 301 89 -5 +2 +6 +5 +8 1.6
202527 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 5846 11202 1290 30 239397413810 174257 1621 370 81 — — — — — —
202628 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 362324 771203 28725 131 238306302609 65296 208 279 75 -11 +2 -1 +4 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 13931230 29149322 13332915 405 237318335653 98303 2410 297 87 -21 +6 +11 +12 +30 3.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202123 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 473438 10925010 271244 256 249299374673 126318 266 293 84 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 495444 1111947 441093 245 250322358680 108308 229 299 88 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 209181 54903 24633 61 298389398787 99440 3011 359 129 +7 +1 +4 +2 +5 1.8
202325 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 226198 451221 26751 103 227320323643 96357 3312 296 86 — — — — — —
202325 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 1817 6300 140 00 353389529918 176476 226 415 167 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 446394 8610110 421185 81 218302325626 107279 269 283 78 -12 +1 +3 +2 +10 0.4
202527 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 376332 751728 38762 132 226309361671 136273 2010 300 89 -5 +2 +6 +5 +8 1.6
202527 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 5851 11202 7110 30 216310373683 157230 1912 288 81 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 362326 761103 28725 131 233304294598 61296 208 279 75 -11 +2 -1 +4 +8 0.2
202123 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 473438 10925010 271244 256 249299374673 126321 266 293 84 — — — — — —
202123 A+ RAWGreensboro Grasshoppers — 473421 12829015 42944 256 304371480851 176358 209 374 84 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 495444 1111947 441093 245 250322358680 108313 229 299 88 — — — — — —
202224 AA RAWAltoona Curve — 495425 1202159 63873 245 282379419798 136333 1813 357 88 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE3 teams — 453395 1062425 521424 164 268359377736 109404 3111 330 109 — — — — — —
202325 AAA RAW3 teams — 453382 1142835 651264 164 298406427832 128431 2814 375 109 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 446394 8610110 421185 81 218302325626 107280 269 283 78 -12 +1 +3 +2 +10 0.4
202426 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates — 446394 851019 421185 81 216299315614 99279 269 280 78 -12 +1 +3 +2 +10 0.4
202527 MLB MLE2 teams — 434383 851929 45872 162 222307352659 131264 2010 298 88 -6 +2 +6 +5 +9 1.6
202527 MLB RAW2 teams — 434377 862029 51852 162 228323363687 135271 2012 310 88 -6 +2 +6 +5 +9 1.6
202628 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 362326 761103 28725 131 233304294598 61290 208 279 75 -11 +2 -1 +4 +8 0.2
202628 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates — 362324 771203 28725 131 238306302609 65296 208 279 75 -11 +2 -1 +4 +8 0.2
202123 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 473439 10925010 271244 256 248299374672 125318 266 293 84 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 495445 1111947 441093 245 249322357679 108308 229 299 88 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE3 teams — 453394 1062425 521424 164 269359378737 109400 3111 330 109 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 446396 8610110 421185 81 217302323625 106279 269 283 78 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLE2 teams — 434384 851929 45872 162 221307352659 130267 2010 298 88 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 362326 761103 28725 131 233304294598 61296 208 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 446396 8610110 421185 81 217302323625 106279 269 283 78 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLE2 teams — 434384 851929 45872 162 221307352659 130267 2010 298 88 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 362326 761103 28725 131 233304294598 61296 208 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLEPIT 100% 405362 871417 36854 163 239316340656 101292 219 298 88 -6 +2 -3 +4 +9 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXPIT 100% 302269 651115 27633 123 239315337652 98293 219 296 88 -4 +1 -2 +3 +7 0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLEPIT 82% 296265 631015 26633 102 236312332644 96290 219 293 85 -5 +1 -4 +3 +6 0.1
202931 MLB MLEPIT 82% 278249 58914 24603 72 232307322629 90287 229 287 80 -6 +1 -5 +3 +6 -0.2
202830 MLB CTXPIT 82% 243217 52914 21523 82 236312329641 93291 219 292 85 -4 +1 -3 +3 +5 0.1
202931 MLB CTXPIT 82% 228204 47803 20492 51 231307319626 88288 219 286 80 -5 +1 -4 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18641651 39066429 17443020 538 236316334650 98300 239 295 87 -31 +7 +4 +17 +40 3.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 13523110 611507 183 234315330645 95298 239 295 87 -11 +3 +1 +6 +14 1.3
Career— MLE — 35393163 7581371258 31583832 13126 240315346660 106306 249 296 87 -38 +9 +0 +21 +49 4.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 13925211 581546 245 239315346661 107305 249 296 87 -11 +3 +0 +6 +14 1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 58 PAwOBA .361 → .288 (−73)K% 15.5% → 19.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.52%÷0.965×1.200——19.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.69%÷1.112×0.690—×1.00312.88%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP18.92%÷1.008×0.930—×1.00317.51%
Doubles /BIP5.41%÷0.995×0.830—×1.0034.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷0.915×0.700—×1.0034.15%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 93, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .361 → .288; ISO .174 → .145; BABIP .257 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 226 PAwOBA .374 → .296 (−78)K% 26.5% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.55%÷0.967×1.200——32.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.26%÷1.056×0.690—×1.03311.65%
HBP% /PA0.44%—×0.940—×1.0330.43%
Singles /BIP26.40%÷1.004×0.930×0.950×1.03324.01%
Doubles /BIP12.00%÷1.013×0.830×0.950×1.0339.65%
Triples /BIP2.40%÷1.150×0.970×0.950×1.0331.99%
Home runs /BIP1.60%÷1.095×0.700—×1.0331.06%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 93, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .374 → .296; ISO .146 → .113; BABIP .411 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ABradenton Marauders · 18 PAwOBA .500 → .415 (−85)K% 16.7% → 21.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷1.037×1.360——21.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷0.994×0.690—×0.9707.48%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9700.00%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷0.958×0.920—×0.97021.49%
Doubles /BIP30.77%÷0.949×0.830—×0.97026.10%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×0.9700.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.971×0.800—×0.9700.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 92, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .500 → .415; ISO .250 → .207; BABIP .538 → .476. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAltoona Curve · 495 PAwOBA .351 → .299 (−52)K% 17.6% → 22.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.58%÷0.975×1.220——22.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.53%÷1.006×0.700—×1.0128.82%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.850—×1.0120.52%
Singles /BIP25.15%÷1.010×0.970×0.970×1.01223.71%
Doubles /BIP6.21%÷0.928×0.860×0.970×1.0125.65%
Triples /BIP1.48%÷1.150×0.950×0.970×1.0121.20%
Home runs /BIP2.66%÷1.084×0.780—×1.0121.94%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .351 → .299; ISO .136 → .111; BABIP .333 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 473 PAwOBA .367 → .293 (−74)K% 19.9% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.87%÷1.021×1.350——26.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.88%÷1.085×0.710—×0.9985.80%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.810—×0.9980.68%
Singles /BIP25.69%÷0.981×0.910×0.982×0.99823.36%
Doubles /BIP8.87%÷0.918×0.830×0.982×0.9987.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.820×0.982×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP4.59%÷1.238×0.830—×0.9983.07%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 96, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 104, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .367 → .293; ISO .176 → .129; BABIP .358 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).